COST trade ideas
Stalking for a crash. Good traders stalk 90% of the time and trade only 10% of time. Quote me. :) :)
In this screencast I run through several superhot equities on the monthly time frame.
The higher time frames are often the cause of surprises for people' on 15min - 1H time frames.
Then the end of the screencast I look at the VIX on the 2 hour time frame for signs of nervousness.
I suspect - not predict that something big is coming.
COST Bull FlagNoticed a flag appearing on COSTCO and entered position on bounce and break.
target at around 133-134 are but no current limit. Used more of an entry for long term EPS generally growing and PE is also getting higher but at a much lower pace.
Stop is low due to the nature of getting into the position. If it were to go that low from entry then I expect the market has changed for the position and sentiment would turn more bearish.
Keeping on position for time being to find any blatant exit signals.
Short COST on throw-overThis 120m chart of COST shows a pattern that I trade frequently - the ending diagonal. It is a setup that, when identified correctly, can result in sharp moves lower as the stock breaks out of its impulsive sequence. I recently placed a similar trade on INTC that is working well.
As COST grinds higher in a converging wedge, it looks to have "thrown-over" trendline resistance. This is common in ending diagonals as price makes one final push before breaking lower through the bottom of the channel. Initiating a short position at 207.50 for a move back toward 180. A sustained rally through 215 will cause me to reevaluate the trade.
$COST Over-extended on Weekly Chart$COST Costco looking over-extended on the weekly chart, appears to be holding within the upward channel limits. Valuation getting a little rich compared to industry average (P/E almost 50% > industry average).
Assuming this trend line holds, Costco could be overdue for a correction back to the area of the 50d ema or ~$190 by next ER (Oct).
Note: Observation/opinion, not investment advice.