6 Back-to-Back Winning Trades Using Ellipse Price Action.6 Back-to-Back Winning Trades Using Ellipse Price Action Indicator (Crude Oil · 1H)
Ellipse Price Action Indicator captured 6 clean winning entries on MCX Crude Oil (1-Hour).
The system is simple:
✔ Indicator gives Buy/Sell Signal (Green/Red Triangle or Orange Arrow)
✔ Take entry only when price is outside the Ellipse boundary
✔ Exit strictly at the Moving Average (MA)
✔ Never trade in the middle zone or when price is sitting on the MA
✔ Follow stop loss at opposite side of the ellipse
Trade-by-Trade Breakdown
1.🔻 Signal-1 → Short Entry → WIN
Indicator gave Short Signal-1 at ellipse top
Price dropped smoothly
Take Profit at MA for Trade-1
✔ Clean reversal trade
2.🟢 Signal-2 → Long Entry → WIN
Oversold conditions + indicator gave Long Signal-2
Strong bounce from lower ellipse
Exit at Moving Average for trade-2
✔ System worked beautifully — TP hit immediately
3.🟢 Signal-3 → Long Entry → WIN
Price again touched lower ellipse
Indicator gave Long Signal-3
Clean breakout candle
Take Profit at MA for trade-3
✔ Another textbook reversal
4.🟢 Signal-4 → Long Entry → WIN
Third buying zone from ellipse bottom
Long Signal-4 triggered
Strong continuation move
Take Profit at MA for trade-4
✔ Perfect bounce-to-MA setup
5. 🔻 Signal-5 → Short Entry → WIN
Price rejected exactly at upper ellipse boundary
Indicator gave Short Signal-5
Trend followed down toward MA
Take Profit at MA for trade -5
✔ High-probability entry in sell zone
6. 🔻 Signal-6 → Short Entry → WIN
Compression high + overbought zone
Short Signal-6 activated
Smooth drop
Take Profit at MA for trade-6
✔ Final clean short as per system rules
4️⃣ BEST ENTRY ZONES
Long at Lower Ellipse Boundary
Short at Upper Ellipse Boundary
Avoid central zone completely
2️⃣ EXIT RULE (VERY IMPORTANT)
✔ Exit 100% of the trade at the Moving Average
This rule alone protects profits and avoids reversals.
5️⃣ RISK MANAGEMENT
0.5–1% risk per trade
Never add positions in the middle zone
Trade only clear signals with confirmed direction
🔥 Why This Indicator Works So Well
Your screenshot demonstrates:
✔ Automatic reversal detection
✔ Early trend shifts
✔ Compression + expansion zones
✔ Perfect MA exits
✔ No repainting structure
✔ High-probability entries at ellipse extremes
📌 FINAL POST CAPTION (Copy–Paste for TradingView)
"6 Winning Trades in a Row — Ellipse Price Action Indicator (Crude Oil 1H).
Buy/Sell Signals only at boundaries. Strict exit at MA.
Zero trades in middle zone → Zero noise → Maximum accuracy."
(Follow and Boost Script and Idea) MCX:CRUDEOILM1!
Trade ideas
CRUDE OILDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
CRUDE OILDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
MCX Crude Oil Dec -Bearish Setup The chart has identified a Bearish Opportunity with a well-defined trade structure:
✅ Entry Zone: 5430 – 5440
🔒 Stop Loss: 5510 (Strict SL — no relaxation)
🎯 Target Zone: 5330 - 5200– 5100
⚠️ Risk Management Rule:
Once the trade achieves 1:1 Reward:Risk, immediately shift Stop Loss to Cost-to-Cost to secure the position and reduce downside exposure.
Stay disciplined. Follow levels precisely. 📊🔥
Crude Oil Weekly Outlook: Inventory Pressure and 59.7 Key levelBackdrop: The Crude Oil Narrative
The tone in crude oil has been largely defined by a tug-of-war between demand uncertainty and controlled supply. OPEC has maintained its view that global oil demand should continue growing into 2026, but at a modest pace. Despite this, the group has acknowledged noticeable inventory builds worldwide over recent months. That dynamic alone has kept sentiment cautious and has acted as a headwind for sustained rallies.
OPEC+ has also chosen to hold off on further production increases into early 2026. Instead of expanding output, the group is now focusing on capacity assessments and quota alignment among members. This shift signals discipline on the supply side, but also suggests that the group is aware of potential oversupply risk if demand fails to firm up.
Markets have been responding to this mixed backdrop. On one side, controlled supply helps prevent severe breakdowns. On the other, rising inventories and uneven demand expectations limit follow-through on the upside. As a result, price discovery has been driven less by strong directional conviction and more by rotation between value areas, bid blocks, and responsive supply zones. Recent price behavior reflects traders waiting for clearer demand signals before committing to a trend.
What the Market Has Done?
At the end of September the market sold off but found support around the 60.17 area. That initial drop appears to have been triggered by worries about economic growth and a stronger dollar undermining demand.
At the start of October sellers stepped down and held the 62.3 level, which corresponds to the Composite Value area LVN. From that zone prices continued to sell off to 56.0 by mid-October. The continued selloff seems to reflect growing bearish conviction as macro data added to demand fears and inventories remained elevated.
Buyers began to accumulate again, forming bid block 1. From there the market auctioned prices upward back to the 62.3 area where sellers were still present and defended that zone vigorously.
From the last week of October up until the third week of November offers steadily stepped down as the market grinded lower, auctioning price down back toward bid block 1. Buyers responded by stepping up bids and holding the top of bid block 1 range. Throughout the last week of November the market balanced between 59.0 and 57.3, forming bid block 2 with clear buyer accumulation in that area.
In the most recent week, the market balanced between 58.4 (roughly the midpoint of bid block 2) and 59.82 (17 November weekly VPOC). This shifted the weekly value area higher. Last Friday, the market managed a close above the previous week’s VAH, suggesting that buying strength may be gaining momentum.
What to Expect This Coming Week?
The key level to watch is 59.7, which was last week’s VAH.
Bullish scenario
If the market holds above 59.7, anticipate a possible move up toward the 61.0 area, which corresponds to a daily level 1 and the weekly 0.5 SD high.
Expect sellers to possibly defend 61.0.
If price breaks through that zone, the next target is 62.3 (Composite Low Value Area), which is confluent with the weekly 1 SD high.
Bearish scenario
If buyers cannot defend 59.7, the market could drop back through last week’s value area toward 59.0 (previous week’s VAL), confluent with the weekly 0.5 SD Low.
Expect buyers to possibly defend 59.0
Should that support fail, price could move further down toward 58.0 (24 November weekly VPOC), which is confluent with the weekly 1 SD low.
Neutral scenario
If sellers respond at the 61.0 area or if buyers step up at 58.0, the market could balance here and potentially shift value higher as buyers accumulate.
Conclusion
In summary crude oil has been trading under pressure from macroeconomic headwinds and demand concerns while finding support at key zones. The market has rotated between zones and recently shows signs of buyer strength. The key 59.7 level will likely dictate whether price heads toward 61.0 or returns toward 58.0.
What’s your outlook for Crude this week? Drop a comment and give this post a boost so more traders in the community can join the discussion! Thank you.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your risk carefully.
CRUDE OILDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
CRUDE OILDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Crude Oil Has Finally Finished An Intraday Corrective SetbackCrude oil made a very strong rebound back in mid-October with an impulsive move of more than 11%, while the current retracement from 62 is very slow, which still suggests a counter-trend movement despite the weakness now retesting the 78.6% support levels. We can still see three waves down, and ideally subwave c is coming into a potential support zone, so a rebound can still happen while the market trades above 55.96 invalidation.
Looks like Crude oil is finally on the way back to October highs, as we see a sharp and impulsive rebound from the 78,6% Fibonacci retracement after a completed wedge pattern. So be aware of more intraday gians, especially if breaks back above 60 level, just watch out for pullbacks.
CRUDE OILDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio.
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Will Crude Oil Rise or Fall?Crude Oil Futures (Jan 2026) - Market Analysis
Crude oil is trading at $58.39 per barrel, down 0.19%. Recent data show prices ranging from $58.12 to $58.62, indicating a period of consolidation. Key support is forming around $58.12, while resistance is at $58.62.
The overall momentum suggests limited near-term volatility, with the price hovering near its recent lows. Traders should watch for a breakout above resistance or a drop below support for the next directional move.
Stay tuned for further updates as market conditions evolve, and always manage risk
appropriately when trading futures.
#crudeoil #oilprices #trading #commodities #marketanalysis
3 Reasons Oil Prices Are Falling — The Rocket Booster Strategy The Rocket Booster Strategy Explained
🔥 The Rocket Booster Strategy:
Why Oil Prices Are Falling Right Now
==
In the current market environment,
Oil has entered a powerful bearish phase,
and the chart is telling the whole
story. One of the simplest yet most
effective technical confirmations is
what I call
The Rocket Booster Strategy — a momentum
-based system built
around the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
🚀 What Is the Rocket Booster Strategy?
Think of the 50 EMA and 200 EMA
as “boosters” that guide trend
direction and strength.
When price is above both EMAs,
the trend has bullish thrust.
When price is below both, the boosters
point downward, signaling
strong downside momentum.
Right now, Oil is experiencing exactly that.
📉 Why Oil Is Falling
1. Price Has Broken Below the 50 EMA
The 50 EMA is the first momentum filter.
When price closes below it, short-term
strength weakens and buyers lose control.
2. Price Is Also Below the 200 EMA
This is the bigger confirmation.
The 200 EMA represents long-term trend direction.
Once price sits below it together
with the 50 EMA, the market enters a
“gravity zone,” where selling pressure accelerates.
3. EMAs Are Widely Spread
The distance between the two EMAs
is expanding — a sign that the bearish
momentum is not just a pullback
but a trend continuation.
This is a classic rocket-booster
alignment but pointed downward.
🧭 What This Means for Traders
The Rocket Booster Strategy tells
you one thing:
➡️ The path of least resistance for
Oil right now is DOWN.
This setup is often used by
trend followers to:
Take short positions on pullbacks
to the 50 EMA
Ride momentum moves as long
as price stays below both EMAs
Target previous swing lows or
major demand zones
It’s not about predicting — it’s about
trading with the flow.
⚠️ Risk Notes
No strategy is perfect.
Always watch for:
Fakeouts above the 50 EMA
Sudden news-driven spikes
Oversold conditions on
higher timeframes
Key support levels that
may attract buyers
📌 Final Thoughts
The Rocket Booster Strategy is powerful
because it keeps trading simple.
When the 50 EMA and 200 EMA are
stacked above price, the boosters
are firing downward.
Oil is currently in this
formation, meaning
sellers still control the market.
Until price climbs back above the
EMAs with strong candles, rallies
may simply be
opportunities to sell into
strength.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk
management and profit
taking strategies
also feel free to use a simulation
trading account before
you trade with real money
Crude Oil MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 9 Dec., 25Crude Oil MCX Futures — Chart Pathik Intraday Levels for 09-Dec-2025
(If these levels add value to your trades, a quick boost or comment goes a long way in supporting this free content and keeping our trading community thriving!)
Crude Oil Futures are trading near 5,323 after a sharp rejection from the 5,416–5,461 resistance zone, and price is now slipping back below the zero line at 5,334, shifting control intraday in favour of sellers. The recent break back under the old descending trendline also warns that the latest spike may have been an exhaustion move rather than the start of a sustained uptrend.
Bullish Structure
Longs activate again only above the Long Entry band at 5,400, with more conviction once price holds above 5,412 (Long Target 1 zone) and the Short Exit at 5,416.
Targets: 5,461 (Long Target 2 / upper resistance where intraday booking is favoured) for any strong reversal back into the supply zone.
Control: On any long attempts from lower supports, risk can be defined around the Zero Line at 5,334 and the recent support at 5,305; a clean break below 5,305 would invalidate intraday bullish structure.
Bearish Structure
Shorts remain the preferred structure while price trades below 5,334 and especially on failed retests of 5,358–5,371 (Long Exit and Short Entry band).
Fresh shorts open on rejection near 5,358–5,371 with downside focus towards 5,256 (Short Target 1) and 5,207 (Short Target 2) if selling pressure extends.
Control: Fast short covers are required if price reclaims and sustains above 5,400–5,416, where bearish structure weakens and a squeeze towards 5,461 can develop.
Neutral Zone
5,334 is today’s inflection and zero line—expect choppy, stop-hunting action while crude trades between roughly 5,305 and 5,358 without decisive 4‑hour closes beyond this band.
Every setup is designed for structure, plan, and logic—let the chart work for you, not your emotions.
Boost or comment if these levels help your preparation—help Chart Pathik keep delivering quality analysis to more intraday traders!
Crude Oil MCX Future - Weekly Technical Analysis - 01 -05 Dec.MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
Crude Oil MCX Futures — Chart Pathik Weekly Levels for 01–05 Dec. 2025
(If these levels add value to your trades, a quick boost or comment goes a long way in supporting this free content and keeping our trading community thriving!)
Crude Oil Futures are trading around 5,345, consolidating just above the Weekly Zero Line at 5,324 and near the W Short Exit band at 5,345, reflecting a pause after a strong recovery from sub‑5,150 levels. Price is holding higher lows on the 2h framework, keeping the broader weekly bias mildly bullish while testing an important supply zone.
Weekly Bullish Structure
Weekly long bias remains active above the W Long Entry level at 5,250 and the W Add Long Position zone at 5,223, where prior demand and breakout structure align.
Upside reference targets stand at 5,466 (W Long Target 1) and 5,553 (W Long Target 2), marking positional booking areas if crude sustains above the Zero Line and builds higher highs.
Control: Positional longs can trail or define risk below the W Long Exit at 5,173 and more structurally below 5,223, where the weekly bullish structure begins to weaken.
Weekly Bearish Structure
If price slips back below 5,223 and fails to reclaim 5,250, focus shifts to the W Short Entry zone near 5,195, where breakdown retests can invite fresh selling pressure.
Downside weekly targets lie at 5,182 (W Short Target 1) and 5,095 (W Short Target 2), providing zones for swing short profit booking if weakness extends.
Control: Bears must stay cautious on any strong reclaim above 5,324–5,345, where failed breakdowns can flip into a squeeze towards the weekly long targets.
Neutral & Trading Plan Context
5,324 is the Weekly Zero Line pivot—while crude trades between roughly 5,250 and 5,345, expect choppy mean‑reversion swings rather than a clean directional trend, favouring tactical buys near support and profit booking near resistance.
Use these weekly levels to frame intraday entries, exits, and trailing logic—let the chart define structure and risk, not emotions.
Boost or comment if these weekly levels support your preparation—help Chart Pathik keep delivering structured, high-quality analysis to more MCX traders!
USOIL SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSISGood Morning guyzzz!!
Go "LONG" if it stays above 5363 with 5388 as the first target and if it stays above that then go for 5414.
Go "SHORT" if it breaks 5363 and sustains below with 5339 as the first target and staying below that might lead to 5315 and below that might lead to 5290 and for the extremes but caution it might lead to 5263, 5291 & 5123.
Note: Keep a track of the trendline as well.
Crude Oil MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 2nd Dec. 25MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
Crude Oil MCX Futures — Chart Pathik Intraday Levels for 02-Dec-2025 - 02:42 AM
(If these levels add value to your trades, a quick boost or comment goes a long way in supporting this free content and keeping our trading community thriving!)
Crude Oil Futures are trading near 5,330, consolidating just above the zero line at 5,324 after a prior intraday selloff from the 5,390–5,400 zone, reflecting an active tug-of-war between bulls attempting a recovery and bears defending higher levels. Each comment or share builds the momentum for disciplined, structured analysis across our trading community!
Bullish Structure
Longs activate above the Long Entry level at 5,350, with stronger confirmation if price sustains above the Add Long Position level at 5,337 while holding above the zero line at 5,324.
Targets: 5,393 (Long Target 1 / primary booking zone) and 5,435 (Long Target 2 / extended move if momentum expands).
Control: Place stop or trail near 5,324–5,313 (zero line and Long Exit) to manage risk while bullish structure remains valid.
Bearish Structure
Shorts open below the Short Entry level at 5,323 or on sharp rejection in the 5,337–5,350 supply zone after failed upside attempts.
Targets: 5,255 (Short Target 1 / partial or scalp zone) and 5,213 (Short Target 2 / extended move on sustained breakdown).
Control: Fast short covers are required back above 5,337–5,350 where bearish structure weakens and short risk increases.
Neutral Zone
5,324 is today’s inflection and zero line—expect sideways, noisy price action while crude oscillates between 5,324 and 5,350 without decisive closes beyond either band.
Every setup is designed for structure, plan, and logic—let the chart work for you, not your emotions.
Boost or comment if these levels help your preparation—help Chart Pathik keep delivering quality analysis to more intraday traders!
CL1! — Bullish Above 58 with Target at 62.22Crude oil maintains a constructive bullish structure as long as price holds above the 58.00 key support zone. This level remains the foundation of the current upward bias.
The next meaningful obstacle for buyers sits at the 60.69 resistance, which aligns with a major Fibonacci cluster and has shown strong rejection in previous attempts. A clean breakout and sustained close above 60.69 would confirm renewed bullish momentum.
Above that resistance, the path opens toward 61.71 followed by the main upside target at 62.22, which represents the completion of the current Fibonacci expansion.
As long as price trades above 58, the bullish scenario remains valid. A failure at 60.69 may trigger a temporary pullback, but the broader structure favors continuation toward 62.22 once the level is cleared.
MCL | week 49 | 1hr chart.
T.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.






















