Market Analysis and Trading Strategy of USOILThe USOIL market has witnessed significant fluctuations recently. Yesterday, the price broke below the key support level of $61.5, and then it has been declining all the way. As of today, it has approached the vicinity of $59.5. This downward trend reflects that the bearish force currently dominates the market.
From a technical analysis perspective, once the support level of $61.5 is broken, its nature will transform into a strong resistance level. The rapid decline of the price to $59.5 indicates strong bearish momentum. Currently, the focus of the market is on the $59 mark, which is of crucial importance. If this support level is breached, according to the continuity of the price trend and the technical pattern, USOIL is highly likely to continue to decline further. The next important support level is around $57.5. Conversely, if the price can be effectively supported near $59, based on the technical repair demand after being oversold, the price is expected to rebound.
Based on the above analysis, in terms of trading strategy, investors can consider taking a short position near $60. If the price breaks below $59, the short position can be held, with the target price set at $57.5. If the price stabilizes and rebounds near $59, the stop-loss order should be executed in a timely manner to avoid expanding losses. Given the frequent release of important data recently and the significant impact of these data, market volatility will increase significantly. Investors must trade with caution, strictly control their positions, and set reasonable stop-loss levels to cope with the possible sharp price fluctuations.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
OIL_CRUDE trade ideas
WTI Wave Analysis – 29 April 2025
- WTI reversed from the resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 58.00
WTI crude oil recently reversed from the resistance area between the resistance level 64.60 (former multi-month low from September 2024), the 20-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the start of April.
The downward reversal from this resistance started the active short-term impulse wave 5, which belongs to the intermediate impulse sequence from last year.
Given the clear daily uptrend, WTI crude oil can be expected to fall toward the next support level 58.00.
Could the price bounce from here?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 59.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 57.02
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 62.08
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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WTI OIL Bearish Cross confirming more selling ahead.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the December 06 2024 Low. The last Bearish Leg started on a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) rejection and was confirmed with a 1D MACD Bearish Cross 3 days after.
At the moment we have had a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection and today we will complete a new 1D MACD Bearish Cross. As a result, we almost have a new sell confirmation. Once completed, sell and target $53.50 (-19% from the point of the rejection).
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Oil - Short Term Sell Trade Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 17th I shared this idea "Oil - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short Term"
I expected to see bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above.
The price is currently holding in the first Fibonacci resistance zone.
Until both the Fibonacci resistance zones hold my bearish view still remains.
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USOIL SPOT CASH ANALYSIS Oil Analysis:
Overall Trend: The general trend remains bearish, moving towards key supportive correction zones aligned with Fibonacci retracement levels.
Technical Signals:
A regular hidden positive divergence has appeared, suggesting a potential upward movement from the corrective Fibonacci levels.
Outlook:
Based on the current setup, there are expectations for a bullish rebound from the corrective zones toward higher target areas, as illustrated in the accompanying chart.
USOIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 61.191.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 56.009 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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XTIUSD – 4H Short Position ExplanationI have entered a short position on XTIUSD (WTI Crude Oil) based on a multi-timeframe bearish confluence setup:
Weekly and Daily Trend: The overall structure on both the weekly and daily charts is bearish, showing a consistent downtrend and favoring sell setups.
Daily Chart Structure: Recently, price formed a lower high on the daily timeframe, indicating continued bearish pressure and a rejection from a key resistance zone.
4H Price Action: On the 4-hour chart, price has broken a major support level, confirming the bearish momentum. This breakdown increases the probability of further downside movement.
Trendline & Structure: The pair is respecting a descending trendline, further supporting the bearish scenario.
RSI Confirmation: The RSI has dropped below 40 and continues to trend downward, reflecting bearish strength without yet being oversold.
This trade aligns with the higher timeframe trend, with a clear break of support and momentum favoring sellers. The risk is managed above the broken structure, and the setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
WTI Oil H4 | Bearish reversal off an overlap resistance?WTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 62.04 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 64.95 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 59.18 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bearish drop off pullback resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 61.64
1st Support: 59.89
1st Resistance: 63.13
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USOIL: Recent Analysis and Trading StrategiesOver the past two weeks, USOIL has been continuously fluctuating and consolidating within the price range of $61.5 - $64.5. The overall trend shows a pattern of rising first and then falling. During the upward phase, the bullish momentum was scarce, making it difficult to achieve an effective breakthrough. Subsequently, it shifted into a downward trend. Yesterday's market situation was particularly typical. It opened higher at $63.5 in the early trading session and then declined all the way. It not only broke below the key support level of $61.5 but also had weak rebound strength. Currently, the price is still hovering around this support level, indicating the market's indecision.
Currently, most investment institutions hold a pessimistic view on the future of USOIL. However, it is worth noting that the price has touched the support level of $61.5 five times in the past two weeks. Although it briefly broke below this level twice, it failed to effectively form a trending breakthrough. The principle that "if a support level can't be broken after repeated attempts, there will be a rebound" has been verified many times in similar situations, suggesting that there may be strong potential buying power at this support level.
Based on the above analysis, today's trading strategy is recommended to maintain a cautiously bearish tone, but it is necessary to closely guard against potential technical rebound risks. During the trading process, it is essential to set stop-loss levels strictly to avoid the expansion of losses due to sudden market movements. At the same time, it is advisable to reduce aggressive trading and mainly adopt a wait-and-see approach. Be patient and wait for clearer trend signals, and then choose the right time to enter the market when the market direction becomes more explicit.
USOIL
sell@62-62.5
tp:61-60.5
sl:62.8
In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.WTI Crude Oil turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.387, MACD = -1.000, ADX = 27.186) as it crossed under the 4H MA50. Still, it hit and is so far contained at the bottom of the Channel Up, which makes it a strong short term buy opportunity. Aim for the 4H MA200 (TP = 65.00).
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The price fluctuation range of USOIL is quite obvious.In the past two weeks, USOIL has been continuously fluctuating within the price range of $61.5 - $64.5. Its trend shows a pattern of rising first and then falling. During the upward phase, there was a slight lack of momentum, and subsequently, it entered a downward channel. This kind of fluctuation is not isolated but has complex underlying causes.
In terms of trading strategies, given that the current price fluctuation range is relatively clear, a strategy of selling high and buying low within the range of $61.5 - $64.5 can be considered. However, it should be noted that once the price breaks through the above-mentioned range, the strategy should be adjusted in a timely manner to follow the market trend, and one should be on guard against the risks brought about by a one-sided market.
USOIL
sell:63.5-64
tp:62.5-62
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USOIL Long Idea#USOIL
Under current market conditions, the area near 62.28 has been identified as a critical support zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. If the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 62.28 area, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 63.67 and 64.86, corresponding to logical technical resistance zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.