SPOTCRUDE trade ideas
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 62.01 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 58.60 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 65.63 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Rebounds in TandemMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Rebounds in Tandem
WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $60.00 and might extend gains.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices started a recovery wave above the $60.00 and $61.50 resistance levels.
- There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $63.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a recovery wave from $58.40 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.00 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls pushed the price above the $61.50 and $62.00 resistance levels. The recent high was formed at $64.20 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59.87 swing low to the $64.18 high.
There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $63.00. The RSI is now below the 50 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62.0 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59.87 swing low to the $64.18 high.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $61.50 zone, below which the price could test the $59.90 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $58.40. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $56.20 support zone.
If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $64.20. The next major resistance is near the $65.00 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $68.50 level.
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COLLECTING CONFLUENCE across multiple timeframes is your job!!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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Potential bullish rise?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 62.09
1st Support: 58.07
1st Resistance: 66.63
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialDriven by the U.S. sanctions on Iran's oil exports, crude oil rebounded in the short term. OPEC has received updated compensation production reduction plans from eight countries (reducing daily oil production by 305,000 barrels until June 2026), coupled with the U.S. intention to reduce Iran's energy exports to zero. The recent oil price rally is primarily driven by short-term news, reflecting supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements.
Although U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, escalating global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will limit the upside of oil price rebounds.
USOIL
buy@62-63
tp:64-65
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
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USOIL: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
USOIL
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USOIL
Entry - 64.408
Stop - 66.133
Take - 60.964
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USOUSD (WTI crude) breakout-pullback-bearish continuation?Oil has been bearish for several months now and making mostly lower highs while the area between 67.140 and 65.280 has provided solid support. About 3 weeks ago a breakout below occurred and a pullback to the support zone is now in progress.
I will be monitoring PA closely next week to see if there is any evidence of bearish continuation. If bearish price action does resume, IMO, we could well see the round number 50.00 be achieved.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Why Oil Could Gap Down on Monday▫️ Context
Amid ceasefire news 🕊️ and my dissatisfaction 😤 with the previous wave count, I spent 3 hours ⏳ searching for options with a sharp drop on Monday ⬇️.
▫️ What I Found
1️⃣ Complex Wave Count 🧩: To understand the wave logic, zoom in 📊.
2️⃣ Elliott Wave Rules 🧠⚡: Interpreting them correctly is like soldering a circuit board without instructions 🔧.
3️⃣ Why Now? 🌟: It’s nearly impossible during the week (market volatility + time pressure), but weekends are perfect 🛋️.
▫️ Takeaways
→ Glad we held short positions over the weekend 🤞.
→ News is overwhelmingly positive 📰 (but bearish for oil due to tariffs).
→ In a correction, keep positions aligned with the trend.
OIL Approaching Critical Resistance –Will Bulls Hold Control?🔍 Price has broken above the 62.94 resistance and is now approaching the 65.75 resistance. Momentum is bullish, but the next move depends on how price reacts at this level.
📌 Marked Zones:
• Resistance: 65.75 ❌ | 68.70 🔼 | 71.88 🔼
• Support: 62.94 ⚠️ | 59.17 🔽 | 55.15 🔽
📈 Scenarios:
• Bullish Bias: A clean break and retest above 65.75 could open the way to 68.70.
• Bearish Bias: Rejection from 65.75 or failure to hold above 62.94 may lead to a drop toward 59.17.
📘 This is not financial advice. Always trade your plan.
Recent correlation breakdown between $USOIL and $DXYUsually, market watchers will say if the Dollar index TVC:DXY is down then commodities like Crude Oil and Gold should outperform. But recent market events have invalidated this assessment. Since 2022 we see that there is a correlation breakdown between TVC:USOIL and $DXY. These 2 indexes have been moving in tandem recently. In 2025 we saw a massive sale in the TVC:DXY and a similar downturn in the US Dollar index. With TVC:DXY below 100 and TVC:USOIL recently below 60 $, these 2 indexes are clearly indicating a US recession with low Oil demand.
IN this chart we see that the next key support levels in TVC:USOIL is 54 $. If we go below 54 $ then the next level to watch will be 35 $. That will be a recessionary scenario last seen during COVID lows. That can bring down the TVC:DXY to 90 levels. All those will indicate a deep recession which is not my base case scenario. My assessment we will see TVC:USOIL @ 55 $ and TVC:DXY @ 95 and then we will hover around those levels.
Verdict: TVC:USOIL can touch 55 $ if TVC:DXY touches 95.
USOIL: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 64.411 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 63.338..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Oil’s Red-Hot Crash: the Iranian Trigger? 🛢️☕ #OilisMyCoffee | 📐 #TechnicalAnalysis
The most frustrating thing is when the market follows the script, but your account is in a drawdown 😭 Corrections are sneaky 🐍 Mid-week, I leaned toward the red scenario 🔴 (see last week’s chart), but the market suddenly shifted to black ⚫️.
Now the uncertainty: How and when will the diagonal end? I see at least 3 scenarios:
🔴 Red
⚫️ Black
🔵 Blue
Waiting for a resolution ⚡️ — so I closed positions ahead of the weekend. Iran negotiations in Rome on Saturday 🤝 With moderate progress, prices might dip slightly before surging upward ahead of a reversal next week.
What will trigger a crash? No clue 🤷 But S&P500 is also eyeing a downside after consolidation 📉 Possible triggers: U.S. market events or global financial shocks dragging oil down without geopolitics.
Weekly results:
➖ -10% on the master account
➖ Oil & gas portfolio yield dropped to 103%
🔥 Sharpest weekly drop in the account’s history
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Our analysis is food for thought 💡, not trading signals 🚫📊.
Trade with a cool head ❄️, a clear plan 📝, and your own analysis 👁️🗨️.
💬 Your predictions?
🔄 Drop your analysis below ➡️: How do you assess risks and opportunities? 🎯
Major Crash on USOIL ???US OIL in danger of collapsing
Trading plan
SL:60
TP:50/ floating
Trading set up
break of major support since 2023 at 65 level
Lower low lower high that indicates bearish momentum
price below its moving averages that shows seller pressure
price rejects 0,618 fib retracement
reasoning:
trade war, China retaliation, global demand slowdown, and oil has broken its yearly major support.
USOIL: Start Shorting
After reaching $55, USOIL started to rise. Currently, it is approaching the key resistance level, which is around $64.5. You can start shorting when it reaches this area.
All the signals I sent have been profitable, and I will continue to send accurate signals.
USOIL Trading Strategy for Next Week:
usoil sell@64.5-65
tp:63-61
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 63.67
Target Level: 56.31
Stop Loss: 68.58
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Crude Oil Holds at Key ResistanceFollowing a sharp rebound from the $55 low—mirroring broader market strength and gains in U.S. indices—oil is now hovering near a key resistance level at $64. Meanwhile, major U.S. indices remain below their respective resistance zones, awaiting confirmation of further uptrends.
A sustained break and hold above $64 could open the door for additional upside toward $66 and $70.
On the downside, if gains fail to hold and prices slip back below $64, support levels to watch are $60, $58, and $55.
A decisive break below $55 may trigger a steeper decline, potentially driving oil prices back toward the $49 per barrel region.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Bearish reversal?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 65.92
1st Support: 62.37
1st Resistance: 68.53
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USOIL BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL is going up now
And the price made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 63.00$ which is now
A support so we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Bullish continuation until
Oil hits the horizontal
Resistance above around 65.61$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.