DXY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Today, the 4-hour chart of the DXY shows a volatile downward trend, and it is currently testing the support area of 99.40 - 99.30. Overall, it remains in a downtrend. Pay attention to the resistance near 100.00 above and the support near 99.00 below. Wait for a rebound and then go short.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.00-99.80
TP:99.00-98.80
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DXY trade ideas
DXY Breakout! Bullish Momentum Targets 103.6 and 107.4 The US Dollar Index (DXY) has just made a strong bullish breakout from the 99.05–100 demand zone, confirming a reversal from its recent downtrend. This region has acted as a high-volume node and key institutional accumulation zone, as highlighted by the LuxAlgo Supply & Demand Visible Range.
Key Technical Highlights:
Demand Zone: The 98.5–100.5 range showed significant volume buildup and price rejection, signaling strong buyer interest.
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke through minor resistance at 101.2 with strong momentum and a bullish candle close.
Next Target: Eyes on 103.621, the next key resistance zone. A break above may push DXY towards 107.467, aligning with a major supply area.
Volume Profile: Low volume between 101.2 and 103.6 suggests a potential quick move toward the next resistance.
Indicators: RSI trending up but not yet overbought. MACD shows early bullish crossover on the 4H timeframe.
Fundamentals to Watch:
Upcoming USD economic data (CPI, Retail Sales, FOMC minutes).
Risk-off sentiment globally could boost USD as a safe-haven play.
Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice):
Buy Zone: Already triggered breakout above 101.2.
TP1: 103.6
TP2: 107.4
SL: Below 99.8 to invalidate the breakout thesis.
What do you think? Will DXY continue its bullish move or face rejection around 103.6? Let’s discuss in the comments.
Viper Sunday Breakdown May11th 2025On Sunday's we give a weekly peek into the markets and see what happened last week and what's possible for the week ahead.
Using the Viper indicator and 3 distinct strategies we breakdown DXY,Gold, US30, Nas100, Oil and Forex pairs.
CPI news coming this week, looking for a great volatile week ahead!!
DXY Rebound or Reversal? All Eyes on the Bearish OB Zone! Analysis:
As anticipated, DXY has now swept the major weekly/monthly sell-side liquidity (SSL) at 99.58, tapping deep into a high-probability reversal zone. This aggressive liquidity raid was followed by a sharp bullish reaction—marking the first signs of potential re-accumulation or a relief rally.
Currently, price is pushing back toward a bearish order block (OB) that aligns with a dense cluster of confluences:
A weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A monthly FVG that’s been previously respected
Major supply resistance from previous highs around 108.40–109.39
This confluence zone is critical.
📍 Two Likely Scenarios:
Rejection from OB Zone: If price respects the OB, expect continuation to the downside—possibly targeting a deeper structural shift and breaking below the recent SSL.
Breakthrough & Reclaim: If price breaks and closes strongly above the OB zone, it opens the door for a move toward 114.60, the next major daily buy-side liquidity.
🧠 Either outcome offers a significant macro play, especially for risk-sensitive pairs (i.e., AUD, NZD, Gold, or equities inversely correlated to USD strength). Keep in mind, DXY's movement is heavily influenced by macroeconomic events, so dollar strength or weakness can cascade across global markets.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 100.215 / 99.58
Resistance: 108.40 → 109.39 OB zone
Upper Target if invalidated: 114.60
⚠️ DYOR. Let price confirm before bias is committed.
DXY (Dollar index) Shorts from 1hr supply zone My general outlook on the DXY this week leans bearish, as I expect price to continue trending lower. I’ve identified a nearby 1H supply zone, where we could see price react and begin pushing lower. There is also a larger supply zone further above, but it’s currently out of reach unless price pulls back significantly.
Looking back, the 2-day demand zone I marked over a week ago has played out well, with a strong bullish reaction from that level — price is still rising from that zone. During this move, a new 11H demand zone has formed, which also led to a change of character to the upside. If price revisits that zone, we may see another bullish continuation from there.
Key Points:
Overall bearish trend expected to continue in the short term.
1H supply zone nearby is a potential trigger point for a sell-off.
2D demand zone previously marked is still holding and influencing price.
11H demand zone has caused a bullish shift and could provide another long opportunity if price returns.
P.S. This is my general DXY outlook for the week. I don’t trade the dollar directly, but I use it as a key confluence when analysing and executing trades across other major pairs.
Do Not Be Fooled TVC:DXY is not truly weak. Over the past 2 months the only thing mainstream Fin Media has been talking about is how Dollar value is plummeting and while I do not debate the merits o that I do take contention with the idea that this means the DXY Will KEEP going down significantly from here. From a pure TA perspective DXY is simply in a consolidation phase with a high level volatility which did not begin with the recent drop in March. I began watching DXy like a HAWK in November 2024 and for anyone who has not, the extreme volatility began then with DXY going on a rally from Nov 24 to feb 25. The move from Mach until now has been simply another leg of vol extension. This is important to realize because the volatility now points to higher levels of it eventually returning and when that happens I predict it will take the form of an explosive impulse to the upside based on the long term inverse head and shoulders pattern coupled with the near textbook bull flag pattern
DXY Outlook: FVG Retest Complete — Is 105 the Next Sweep?DXY Weekly Forecast
In recent weeks, DXY dropped to the extreme demand zone, sweeping the lows around 98–99, before launching a bullish reversal and breaking through multiple minor highs.
Last Friday, price retested a daily Fair Value Gap — perfectly aligned with the NFP release — and held. Now, we may see some sideways consolidation at this level before continuation higher toward the 105.000 zone, where key liquidity sits above prior highs.
Bias: Bullish
Key Zones:
• Support: 102.000 (FVG / demand area)
• Resistance: 105.000 (liquidity target)
The structure is clean: bulls in control, as long as the FVG zone holds.
—
Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading
Drop your thoughts in the comments.
#DXY #DollarIndex #USD #ForexAnalysis #LiquiditySweep #SphinxWeekly #FairValueGap #NFP #SmartMoney
A Brief Summary of Trump's 100 Day and Effects on U.S. EconomyOverview
In the 2024 campaign, Donald Trump proposed an aggressive "America First" economic agenda. His key proposals centered around four pillars: tariffs and trade, tax policy, energy and environment, and regulatory changes . These proposals built upon his first-term policies but were more sweeping and intense.
Key Proposals
1. Tariffs & Trade
Universal import tariffs of 10–20% across all goods.
60% tariffs on Chinese imports , plus targeted tariffs on Mexico and Canada (linked to immigration and drug policy).
Threatened reciprocal tariffs and 100% tariffs on BRICS nations .
Proposed tariffs on U.S. companies that offshore production.
2. Taxes & Fiscal Policy
Make all 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent (individual, corporate, estate taxes).
Lower corporate tax rate to 20% or 15% for domestic production.
Expand tax credits for “ Made in America ” goods, SALT relief, caregiver and overtime pay.
Analysts estimate a $5–11 trillion reduction in federal revenue over a decade due to these cuts.
3. Energy & Environment
Rescind Biden-era climate regulations, including EPA emissions standards and clean-energy mandates.
Repeal unspent Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) funds, ending subsidies for EVs, solar, wind, and batteries.
Open federal lands and waters for fossil fuel production, aiming to boost oil output by 3 million barrels/day .
4. Deregulation & Crypto
Slash regulations in energy, finance, and technology sectors.
Promote crypto: proposed a government Bitcoin reserve and replacing SEC leadership.
Vowed to cut federal bureaucracy and fast-track project permitting.
Projected Economic Impact (2024–2026)
GDP Growth
Analysts predict modestly slower growth under Trump.
High tariffs may reduce long-run GDP by 6% and wages by 5% , per Penn Wharton Budget Model.
Tariff effects are projected to outweigh gains from tax cuts and deregulation.
Employment
Slower GDP growth would moderate job gains.
Tariffs could hurt export industries and raise input costs.
Deregulation and tax incentives may support hiring in energy and construction.
Inflation
Most economists agree Trump’s tariffs would raise consumer prices.
Combined with deficit-financed tax cuts, inflation could rise 4–7 percentage points above baseline by 2026.
This would likely delay or reverse Fed rate cuts.
Interest Rates
Rising inflation would pressure the Federal Reserve to keep rates higher for longer.
Bond markets have already priced in higher yields in response to Trump’s proposed tariffs.
Stock Market
Markets initially rallied on tax and deregulation hopes.
Bitcoin hit all-time highs; S&P 500 surged post-election.
However, trade war fears caused sell-offs in early 2025, especially in tech and consumer sectors.
Business & Consumer Sentiment
Business leaders expressed concern over trade uncertainty.
Consumer polls show widespread fear of rising prices.
CEO confidence rose post-election due to expected pro-business policies, despite tariff concerns.
Summary Outlook
GDP growth expected to slow below the ~ 2.8% pace of late 2024.
Inflation likely to climb above 3% , driven by tariffs and fiscal stimulus.
Interest rates may remain high due to inflationary pressures.
Markets may oscillate—rallying on tax cuts but reacting negatively to trade disruptions.
Overall effect is mixed: pro-growth tax cuts and deregulation may not fully offset the drag from trade and inflation risks.
Sources
Tax and Fiscal: Tax Foundation, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB)
Trade and Tariffs: Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Penn Wharton Budget Model
Energy and Environment: NPR, Thomson Reuters, Hoover Institution
Macroeconomic Impact: Hoover Institution, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), Peterson Institute
Market Reaction: Reuters, ABC News, AP, Bloomberg
Sentiment Surveys: PwC, Conference Board, PBS, ABC/Washington Post
Dxy bullish idea for next week - MMBMThis is a bullish possibility for DXY price action for next week.
Monthly:
- Price took a swing low confluent with a bearish breaker in discount and closed above the level;
Weekly:
- Price Took a swing below monthly swing with a bullish reaction. If this week closes with above previous weeks high, it confirms a bullish weekly swing;
Daily:
- Monday printed the likelly low of the week
- A daily fair value gap is open allow with a volume imballance around monday open signalling bullish price action - a retrace to these levels would be a good buying opportunity.
4h:
- there is a market maker buy model in play.
- as of now, price already printed an intermidiate term low signalling that low risk buy myght have happened.
News forecast:
- I expect NFP to either retrace price to daily fvg or daily volume imbalance and leave a bullish reaction.
- FOMC next week might bring the volatility to complete the mmbm
Thank you for reading
Bearish Crab Pattern Will Start from 100.7The dollar index has retreated from 100.7, a movement potentially correlated with a bearish crab pattern observed in market analysis.
Further observation is warranted to confirm the validity and predictive power of this pattern in forecasting future dollar index fluctuations.
DXY updateDaily fractals shifted to bullish But the overall daily swing is bearish
so it might be counted as a retracement of the overall trend.
there is a supply zone upside high probs for price to tab 101 level .
In 2h fractals shift for upside has happened after a liq-swept .
so to conclude short time bearish trend gonna happend for xxx / usd pairs
and bullish for usd / xxx...
DXY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyThis week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!👉👉👉
This week, the DXY was quoted at 100.0471. Technically, the index is in a downward channel. Focus on the resistance level of 100.8500. If it breaks through this level, there is a good chance of an upward movement; otherwise, it may test the recent low point. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to mainly take short positions during rebounds. Trade with a small position size and also pay attention to the changes in economic data and the trade situation.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.5000-100.2000
TP:99.5000-99.0000
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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"DXY Dollar Index" Market Bullish Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "DXY Dollar Index" Bank Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Line Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (100.400) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (99.000) Day/swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 102.300
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸"DXY Dollar Index" Bank Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
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we recommend the following:
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Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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US INDEX (DXY) TIME TO BUY !!!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see this chart created a harmonic pattren and it crystal clear showing the levels till it hold above our design Stop Loss Trade War Talks and NFP results with slowing down the inflation shows us that $ will recover from this zone if not break SL make a proper research befor taking any trade we appriciate your cooments and support us Stay Tuned for more updates ...
De-Dollarization Debunked: Why BRICS Can’t Dethrone the USD!The Dollar’s Throne—Shaky or Rock-Solid?
Picture this: a gang of economic rebels—Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and their new BRICS+ pals—plotting to topple King Dollar from its global throne. The headlines scream “De-Dollarization!” as if the U.S. dollar is about to be dethroned by a shiny new BRICS currency, backed by gold, blockchain, or sheer ambition. Sounds like a blockbuster, right? Except, here’s the twist: the dollar’s throne isn’t just solid—it’s practically welded to the global economy. So, why does the BRICS crew think they can pull off this heist? And why are they doomed to trip over their own ambitions? Buckle up for a 5,000-word joyride through the wild world of global finance, where the dollar reigns supreme, BRICS dreams big, and the numbers tell a story funnier than a sitcom.
Act 1: The Dollar’s Superpower—Why It’s Still King
Let’s start with a jaw-dropping stat: the U.S. dollar accounts for 88% of international transactions through the SWIFT system and 59% of global central bank reserves as of 2024. That’s not just dominance; it’s the financial equivalent of the dollar flexing its biceps while other currencies watch from the sidelines. The euro? A distant second at 20% of reserves. China’s yuan? A measly 2.3%. The dollar’s grip is so tight, it’s practically giving the global economy a bear hug.
Why does the dollar rule? It’s not just because Uncle Sam prints greenbacks like they’re going out of style (though the U.S. debt is a whopping $34 trillion in 2025). The dollar’s superpower lies in trust, liquidity, and infrastructure. The U.S. has deep, liquid financial markets, a stable (ish) legal system, and no capital controls—things no BRICS nation can match. Want to trade oil? Dollars. Settle a cross-border deal? Dollars. Hide your cash from your dictator boss? You guessed it—dollars. The greenback is the world’s financial comfort food, and everyone’s got a craving.
But here’s where it gets juicy: BRICS thinks they can crash this party. At the 2024 Kazan Summit, Russia’s Vladimir Putin called the dollar a “weapon,” while China’s Xi Jinping pushed for a BRICS “Unit” currency. Sounds spicy, but let’s unpack why this plan is less Ocean’s Eleven and more Three Stooges.
Act 2: BRICS’ Big Dream—And Bigger Problems
The BRICS Fantasy: A Currency to Rule Them All
BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, plus newbies like Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE) wants to ditch the dollar for a new currency or a basket of their own—maybe even a gold-backed “Unit.” The pitch? Reduce reliance on the dollar, dodge U.S. sanctions, and flex their collective muscle (they represent 28% of global GDP and 44% of crude oil production). In 2023, one-fifth of oil trades sidestepped the dollar, a shift driven by Russia and China settling in rubles and yuan. That’s a bold move, right?
Except, here’s the punchline: creating a BRICS currency is like herding cats while riding a unicycle and juggling flaming torches. Let’s break down why their dream is a logistical nightmare.
Problem #1: No Trust, No Party
BRICS nations don’t exactly exchange friendship bracelets. India and China? They’ve got border disputes so tense, their soldiers once threw rocks at each other. Russia and China might cozy up to dodge sanctions, but Brazil and India aren’t thrilled about Beijing calling the shots. A common currency needs trust—think the eurozone, where Germany and France (mostly) play nice. BRICS? It’s more like a reality show where everyone’s secretly voting each other off the island.
X posts sum it up: “BRICS replacing the dollar? Mutual distrust and weak legal systems will kill any shared currency initiative.” Without trust, no one’s pooling their reserves or agreeing on who controls the money printer.
Problem #2: The Yuan’s Not Ready for Prime Time
China’s yuan is the closest BRICS has to a dollar rival, but it’s got stage fright. Only 7% of foreign exchange trading involves the yuan, and China’s capital controls keep it on a tight leash. Want to invest your yuan globally? Good luck—Beijing’s not keen on letting cash flow freely. Morgan Stanley’s strategists put it bluntly: “China would need to relax control of its currency and open the capital account. That’s not happening soon.”
Plus, China’s economy isn’t exactly inspiring confidence. Consumer demand is sagging, and the property crisis is dragging on like a bad soap opera. The yuan’s share in global payments via SWIFT is up to 6.4% in 2024, but that’s still pocket change compared to the dollar’s dominance.
Problem #3: Oil’s Not Enough
BRICS+ produces 44% of global crude oil, so why not price it in their currencies? Saudi Arabia’s riyal is pegged to the dollar, and even their flirtation with yuan-based oil deals hasn’t gone far. Why? Oil is only 15% of global trade, and the dollar’s used for everything else—tech, cars, coffee, you name it. Even if BRICS prices oil in rubles or rupees, the rest of the world’s still paying for iPhones in dollars.
And here’s a kicker: at the 2024 BRICS Summit, Russia advised attendees to bring dollars and euros because local banks preferred them over rubles. Talk about an own goal
Act 3: The Dollar’s Kryptonite—Does It Exist?
Let’s play devil’s advocate. Could BRICS pull off a miracle? They’ve got some tricks up their sleeves: blockchain-based payment systems like BRICS Bridge, gold-backed reserves (BRICS+ holds 42% of global FX reserves), and a push for local currency trade. Russia and China already settle 95% of their trade in rubles and yuan. That’s not nothing.
But here’s the reality check: these moves are like bringing a water gun to a tank fight. The dollar’s dominance isn’t just about transactions; it’s about network effects. The greenback’s infrastructure—SWIFT, Wall Street, Treasury bonds—is a fortress. BRICS’ alternative, like the mBridge CBDC platform, is promising but embryonic. It connects China, Hong Kong, Thailand, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, but it’s nowhere near replacing SWIFT’s global reach.
And gold? BRICS loves it—gold’s 10% of their reserves, half the global average—but it’s not a currency. You can’t pay for Netflix with gold bars, and central banks aren’t keen on lugging bullion around. The Atlantic Council’s 2024 “Dollar Dominance Monitor” says it best: “The dollar’s role as the primary global reserve currency is secure in the near and medium term.”
Act 4: Trump’s Tariffs and the De-Dollarization Drama
Enter Donald Trump, stage right, with a megaphone and a tariff hammer. In 2025, he’s threatening 100% tariffs on BRICS nations if they push de-dollarization. “Any BRICS state that mentions the destruction of the dollar will lose access to America’s markets,” he thundered. Sounds like a plan to keep the dollar king, right?
Wrong. Here’s the irony: Trump’s aggressive tactics might accelerate de-dollarization. Sanctions and tariffs make BRICS nations double down on alternatives. China’s been diversifying reserves and pushing yuan trade for years, partly because of U.S. pressure. As one analyst put it, “Trump’s threats are a rallying cry for BRICS to act.”
But don’t hold your breath. Tariffs hurt BRICS economies (China’s exports to the U.S. are 15% of its total), but they don’t solve BRICS’ internal chaos. India’s External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar said it plainly: “India has never been for de-dollarization.” Brazil’s also lukewarm, fearing a China-dominated BRICS. Without unity, their currency dreams are just hot air.
Act 5: The Numbers Don’t Lie—Dollar’s Here to Stay
Let’s crunch some numbers to seal the deal:
SWIFT Transactions: Dollar: 88%. Euro: 20%. Yuan: 7%.
Global Reserves: Dollar: 59%. Euro: 20%. Yuan: 2.3%.
Oil Trade: 80% in dollars in 2023, down from 100%.
Global Trade: 50% dollar-denominated.
BRICS GDP: $28.5 trillion (28% of global). U.S.: $25.5 trillion (24%).
The dollar’s share is slipping—reserves dropped from 72% post-WWII to 59%—but it’s still laps ahead. BRICS’ push for local currencies is gaining traction (Russia-China trade is 80% non-dollar), but scaling that globally is a pipe dream. The euro flopped as a dollar rival; the yuan’s too controlled; and a BRICS “Unit”? It’s a concept, not a currency.
Act 6: Thought-Provoking Twist—What If BRICS Succeeds?
Let’s indulge in a wild “what if.” Imagine BRICS pulls it off: a gold-backed Unit currency, blockchain payments, and oil priced in yuan. The dollar crashes, inflation spikes, and Americans pay $10 for a coffee. Scary, right? Former White House economist Joe Sullivan warned BRICS could swing an “economic wrecking ball” at the dollar.
But here’s the catch: a BRICS win hurts BRICS too. Their economies rely on dollar-based trade—China holds $3 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds. A dollar collapse tanks their assets. Plus, who trusts a BRICS currency when China’s calling the shots? As Ray Dalio noted, de-dollarization is “financial risk management,” not a revolution. BRICS wants options, not chaos.
Act 7: The Funny Finale—BRICS’ Comedy of Errors
Picture BRICS at a poker table, bluffing with a bad hand. Russia’s got rubles nobody wants. China’s yuan is chained to Beijing’s whims. India’s like, “I’m just here for the snacks.” Brazil’s dreaming of free trade, and South Africa’s wondering why they RSVP’d. Meanwhile, the dollar’s dealing cards, smirking, “You sure you wanna bet against me?”
The de-dollarization saga is a comedy of errors—big talk, small results. BRICS’ heart is in it, but their heads are in the clouds. The dollar’s not perfect (hello, $34 trillion debt), but it’s the only game in town. As Morgan Stanley’s James Lord said, “When global markets fall, you want dollars.”
Epilogue: Keep Your Eyes on the Dollar
So, what’s the takeaway? De-dollarization is a catchy buzzword, but BRICS can’t dethrone the dollar anytime soon. The greenback’s too entrenched, BRICS too divided, and the world too hooked on dollar-based trade. Will BRICS chip away at the edges? Sure—expect more yuan trades and blockchain experiments. But a dollar-free world? That’s science fiction, not finance.
For traders, here’s a tip: watch DXY’s inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. A breakout above 100 could signal another dollar rally. For everyone else, laugh at the BRICS hype, stash some dollars under your mattress, and enjoy the show. The dollar’s throne isn’t going anywhere—yet.