Crypto Market Cap 300% PUMP 2025?!This chart highlights a recurring pattern in the Total Crypto Market Cap over several years, emphasizing the cyclical nature of the market.
Key Observations for 2025:
- The chart shows prior cycle tops aligning with similar patterns, where support and resistance levels played a critical role in market direction.
- We are now at a key resistance level (highlighted in green). If the market successfully breaks above this level, the next phase of upward momentum (Green Arrow) may lead to significant growth.
- However, failure to hold this breakout could result in another correction phase (Red Arrow).
This analysis showcases the importance of understanding market cycles to anticipate possible trends. While history doesn’t repeat perfectly, it often rhymes , making pattern recognition a valuable tool in strategic decision-making.
Could we see a 300% rally or more? Let your opinion be known in the comments.
INDEX:BTCUSD
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
TOTAL trade ideas
MARKETS week ahead: December 16 – 22Last week in the news
The ECB cut euro reference rates by 25 basis points, which the market expects also for Fed at their FOMC meeting on December 18th. Markets were traded in a relatively mixed manner during the previous week, positioning as per expectations for the forthcoming rate cut. The S&P 500 tested for one more time the recent ATH, however, ended the week a bit lower, at the level of 6.051. The price of Gold reverted a bit during the week, on US Dollar strengthening, closing the week at the level of $2.647. The US Treasuries were reacting on inflation data, in expectation of the forthcoming rate cut, where the 10Y benchmark yields returned shortly back toward the 4,4% level. The crypto market had a relatively mixed week, with BTC shortly tested the $95K support line, but ended the week above the $100K level.
The European Central Bank cut interest rates for another 25 basis points, as expected. The ECB is for some time struggling to achieve the inflation within the targeted level of 2%, and to sustain the Euro Zone economy which was hit by the environment of high interest rates. The ECB President Lagarde tried to stay optimistic, and pointed to the better-than-expected growth in Q3 and that “the economy should strengthen over time”. The latest ECB economic projections were also optimistic. It projects a growth of 1,1% in 2025, while inflation should move around targeted 2%. Still, it should be mentioned that these projections do not include effects of potential moves from the US newly elected President.
The company Broadcom was highly discussed in the news during the previous week. It was in the market stoplight due to the company's surge in the price of shares by 24% for the week, after the company published that its revenue generated through AI products soared by an incredible 220% for the quarter. At the same time, the company reached a $1 trillion club. At the moment analyst opinions are divided regarding the future prospects for this company. On one side, there are those who strongly support the opinion that the company's value will only grow amid increasing demand for AI chips, while on the other side are those who noting that it is a heavy field for one company to stay competitive to NVDA.
The US Nasdaq index, which follows the 100 largest US companies, announced that it is planning to include MicroStrategy in its latest yearly rebalancing of the index. Analysts are noting that this move will be positive for Michael Saylor`s company, as it will increase the demand for shares originating from exchange traded funds.
News is reporting that one of largest banks in France, Societe Generale has successfully conducted the first Repo transaction with the National Bank of France. Bonds were deposited on Ethereum blockchain, in exchange for the central bank digital currency.
Crypto market cap
During the previous week the crypto market was traded in a mixed manner. One of the supporting notes for BTC came from CEO of the BlackRock investment fund, Larry Fink, who noted his opinion that a diversified portfolio should contain up to 10% exposure in BTC. A strong demand for BTC still holds on the market, which helped this coin to return toward levels above the $100K, after modestly reverted to $95K. Still, total crypto market capitalization decreased by modest 2% during the end of the week, losing some $80B in value. Daily trading volumes also eased, reaching $279B on a daily basis, which is a drop from $405B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.862B, which represents a 114% surge from the beginning of this year.
Most of the crypto coins were traded with a negative sentiment during the previous week. Still, the market was driven by BTC, in which sense, total weekly loss eased due to inflow in BTC of $ 26B, increasing its value by 1,3% on a weekly level. On the opposite side was ETH, with a weekly loss in the market cap of $19B or 3,95%. DOGE was also on a losing side, with a drop in value of $9,5B or more than 14%. ADA dropped by 12,2%, decreasing cap by $ 5B, while BNB ended the week down by 5,8%, losing $$6,2B. Among the highest losers in relative terms were coins like Bitcoin Gold, which dropped by 41% w/w, DASH, EOS, IOTA, DOT lost more than 20% in value, while the majority of other coins lost somewhere between 6% and 20%. Tether was one of rare coins which increased its market cap by 1,65%, increasing by this percentage the number of its coins on the market.
Increased activity within the field of circulating coins continues. The highest weekly increase came from SOL, which increased the number of circulating coins by 0,6%, and was followed by IOTA, with a surge of 0,5%. Thai week Filecoin increased the number of coins by 0,4%, while the majority of other coins had an increase of 0,1%.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market reflected the sentiment from the spot market as of the end of the previous week. BTC short term futures were holding relatively flat compared to the previous week, while the longer term ones just modestly dropped by around 0,5%. However, futures maturing in December 2025 were traded almost flat to the week before, with closing price of $111.685, and $114.090 for maturity in March 2026.
ETH futures which are maturing as of the end of the year had a significant drop of 18% on a weekly level. The longer maturities had a lower weekly drop of around 3,5%. Futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at the level of $4.242, while those maturing in March 2026 were last traded at $4.320.
Crypto Bullish Momentum is coming and brewing Price has successfully broken above key resistance levels on both the 6-Day and 6-Week timeframes, signaling continued bullish momentum.
Here’s the detailed observation:
1. 6-Day Chart:
• Price has cleared previous resistance and is holding above key levels.
• A clear cup formation (highlighted) is visible, typically indicating a bullish continuation pattern.
• Consolidation at this point shows strength, as it allows price to build momentum for the next push upwards.
2. 6-Week Chart:
• The bullish candle structure looks strong and clean.
• Price remains above the 21’ High, which acts as a significant support level.
• Volume and structure indicate a healthy trend, with no signs of reversal at this point.
• This timeframe aligns with the bullish sentiment, further confirming the upward trajectory.
Summary:
The bullish momentum remains intact across multiple timeframes. The break above resistance combined with consolidation is a strong indicator that price is preparing for the next leg up. Monitoring the 6-Day and 6-Week charts closely will help confirm continued strength as the market progresses.
Urgent! Crypto Flirting with Critical Support ZoneThe Crypto market cap is testing a critical support level of 3.49T . A drop under this liquidity zone could trigger a cascade of sell-offs, potentially leading to heightened volatility across the market. If the support fails to hold, it may signal a bearish trend reversal, prompting further downside pressure as traders and institutions seek to minimize risk. Conversely, a strong bounce from this level could reinforce bullish sentiment and set the stage for a recovery rally. The next key levels to watch would be the 3.3T range for support and 3.6T for resistance.
TOTAL 15M: Hidden Bullish Divergence on Fake-OutThe Total Crypto Market Cap is displaying a significant technical setup on the 15-minute timeframe. We've observed a hidden bullish divergence forming in conjunction with a false breakout pattern, suggesting strong continuation potential. The market has maintained its structural integrity despite the fake-out attempt, indicating robust underlying strength.
The primary trend direction remains bullish, evidenced by the series of higher lows forming on the 15-minute chart. A notable hidden bullish divergence has emerged between price action and the RSI indicator, where price made higher lows while the RSI showed lower lows - a classic continuation signal in an uptrend. The market's reaction to the false breakout demonstrates strong buying pressure, as prices quickly recovered and resumed the upward trajectory.
Price Targets
Based on the technical structure and the measured move from the pattern:
Initial Target: $3.85T (near-term resistance level)
Secondary Target: $4.0T (psychological round number)
Extended Target: $4.2T (based on previous move projection)
Entry Conditions
Primary entry at current market price ($3.51T) following confirmation of hidden divergence
Secondary entry on any pullback to $3.45T support level
Initial Stop Loss: $3.42T (below the recent swing low to protect against further fake-outs)
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $3.85T (25% position size)
TP2: $4.0T (50% position size)
TP3: $4.2T (remaining position)
Stop Loss Placement: Below the recent swing low to accommodate market volatility
Position Scaling: Consider scaling into the position with 50% at entry, 50% on pullback
Market Conditions to Watch: Bitcoin's price action, as it often leads market direction
Additional Considerations
The presence of a false breakout followed by quick recovery suggests strong underlying buying pressure. The hidden bullish divergence adds significant weight to the continuation thesis, particularly given the overall market strength.
Bullish Case: Maintained as long as price holds above $3.42T with RSI showing positive momentum
Invalidation: A clear break and close below $3.42T would negate the setup
The broader crypto market is showing strength, with major cryptocurrencies maintaining their upward momentum. This macro context supports the bullish continuation scenario for total market capitalization.
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Total market cap follows 2016-2017 parabolic run!The market, which led parabolic waves despite being rejected in 2016-2017, is based on stronger foundations with the increase in corporate interest in 2020-2024 and the state-based adoption process that started in 2020.
We will witness the highest levels in history!
CRYPTO Market Cap Hits $3 trillion! Double Top!The Crypto market cap is breaking $3 trillion but it is also double topping.
Even though we may get a pullback here, I would not panic sell out. I would instead add to my BTC long position as I think it will be short-lived.
I did not post my long trade here on TV as it was only for my subscribers.
To be updated as needed.
TOTAL - Will We See Another Bearish Wave?TOTAL
Its worth noting here that the market bounce has arrived to the retracement Golden Window.
It may well be fine and continue to drift or move up.
But if we were to see some significant bearish whipsaw here then that may be a signal that a third wave down may print to complete a 3 wave correction.
I'm not saying this will happen but if we see that whipsaw then this perspective is on the table.
If this did happen then there would be further altcoin dump action 👀.
Note that this is not a short call but a warning for now...
There is a TradingView glitch on hour based charts, but on day based and above the 1.618 has been hit.
Not advice
TOTAL - The Holy GrailBitcoin corrects and altcoins dump at Phi related ratio bands on the TOTAL chart.
Three of these correction have occurred so far this market cycle.
Understanding where they are and how to plot them is perhaps the Holy Grail of this line of work.
Enormous profit to be made in anticipating them.
Pain for those that are unaware.
Not advice
TOTAL Update - Dec 10 2024Sometimes a tool as simple as parallel channel can help us identify important support/resistance zones.
Looking at the chart, it's obvious that TOTAL reached 3.6T zone. Not only is this zone the area where a couple of fibs exist, but also it is indeed the upper boundary of the long term ascending channel.
Higher possibility scenario is to see a drop towards 2.5T - 2.73T zone before continuing the rally towards higher level. In order to keep its bullish integrity, TOTAL must not drop below 2.28T level.
TotalCrypto Market Pullback: What's Next for the Bull Run?Hello, crypto enthusiasts!
How are you today? I hope you're doing well and not letting this price action ruin your day. Times like these can be tough if you're unprepared or trading with emotions instead of following a proper plan or system.
This chart represents the **Total Market Cap** of cryptocurrencies, and as we can clearly see, it's heading down. Today marks the second consecutive day of downside price action, accompanied by increased volume.
Yesterday was the ideal exit point for the long trade that started after the U.S. elections. The signal was simple: **price pierced the PSAR**, indicating that the trade should be closed. While this index doesn’t represent an actual tradable position, it reflects the system's logic. Since this index aggregates the price action of all crypto assets, its decline suggests that most crypto assets are also experiencing downside pressure. While exceptions exist, this is the general trend.
Technical Analysis with Oscillators
- **RSI**: The Relative Strength Index has dropped from overbought levels (above 70) and is now at **~52**, signaling weakening bullish momentum. This suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend.
- **MACD**: The MACD line is trending down and crossing below the signal line, which indicates bearish momentum. This crossover often signals a further downside.
- **OBV**: The On-Balance Volume is showing a decline, confirming that selling pressure is dominating the market, supporting the bearish move.
What’s next?
- **First Target**: The 2021 top, marked by the black line, where we may see a reaction.
- **Second Target**: The **0.236 Fibonacci retracement level**, which provides another possible support area.
Of course, nothing is ever certain in trading. Tomorrow, the market could rally and ignore all current signals, but for now, the price appears to be trending downward.
A few reminders:
- In crypto, things rarely go the way we want.
- Stay prepared for every scenario and keep your portfolio ready to re-enter the market.
- Avoid letting hope and fear dictate your decisions—they won’t lead to profit.
I'll keep monitoring the markets and share my thoughts as they develop.
If you found this analysis useful, feel free to like, share, or comment below. And as always: **stay safe and keep calm!**
MARKETS week ahead: December 9 – 16Last week in the news
A positive sentiment still holds on financial markets, but a star of the previous week was BTC. The value of BTC managed to cross the $100K level for the first time in history of this coin. The US equity markets also traded in a positive sentiment for the third consecutive week, with the S & P 500 reaching a fresh new all time highest level at 6.090. The US Dollar weakened a bit during the week, while the price of gold was traded sideways. The US mixed November jobs data supported market expectations over another 25bps Fed's rate cut, in which sense, the 10Y Treasury yields were traded to the downside, ending the week at 4,17%.
The US Non-farm Payrolls and unemployment data were the main macro data posted for the week. The results were pretty mixed as defined by the majority of macro analysts. The US added 227K new jobs in November, which was modestly above the market expectation. At the same time, unemployment reached 4,2% in November, a bit higher from 4,1% posted previously. The analyst described figures as “not too hot and not too cold”. Still, it did not change the current sentiment regarding the expectation over a 25 bps Fed's rate cut. As per CME FedWatch Tool, currently there are 85% odds that the Fed will cut at their December meeting, scheduled for December 17-18th.
The news that pushed BTC to the levels above the $100K target was a nomination of Paul S. Atkins as a new leader of the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Atkins previously served in the SEC, under the Bush administration, and is known as a supporter of free-market principles. He is also known as a supporter of Chamber of Digital Commerce, which supports bringing up the clear regulation in the US regarding the crypto currencies.
In a recent interview with CNBC, a CEO of MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor, noted that the company wants to take Treasury function for BTC holders. As the company already is providing bonds, convertible bonds, notes, options, backed with crypto assets, they indeed might take a higher role in the further development of the BTC market in the US. At the same time, at his X account, Michael Saylor posted that the company bought another 15.400 BTC at the price of $95.976, bringing it to total holdings of 402.100BTC.
The European Central Bank issued a second progress report on the digital Euro preparation phase. The report notes an update of the single rulebook with comments from consumers and business and also calls for applications to select potential external providers of the service.
Crypto market cap
The previous week was a significant one for the crypto market. The long awaited $100K target for BTC has been reached. Actually the new all time highest level for BTC currently stands at $103.813. The news that hit the market and also the crypto market to the upside was the announcement of the nomination of Paul S. Atkins as the new SEC Chair under the Trump administration. Atkins is known in the business circles as a person who supports a clear regulation of the crypto market, in which sense, the crypto investors are expecting some positive developments under his presidency. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by additional $ 230B, or 7% on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes were again increased to the level of around $405B on a daily basis, from $320B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.942B, which represents a 119% surge from the beginning of this year.
The majority of coins ended the week in green. Although BTC was certainly a star of the week, still, the altcoins were for one more time in the center of investors attention. Despite the new ATH, BTC ended the week by 2,8% higher from the week before, adding $55B to its market cap. ETH was another star of the week, as the coins managed to touch the $ 4K level, bringing its market cap higher by 7,3%, adding $ 33B to it. XRP continues to shine for the third week in a row. This week, XRP managed to add an additional 30% to its cap, increasing it by $33B. BNB had an excellent week, where its market cap increased by more than 14% or almost $14B. This week, Tron should be mentioned as the coin surged by 54% w/w, adding to its market cap $9,7B. Extraordinary week on the crypto market, where the majority of other altcoins managed to add somewhere between 15% and 30% in value.
Developments with circulating coins continue. This week Polygon should be especially mentioned, as it decreased the number of its coins in circulation by 12% w/w. On the opposite side were the majority of other altcoins. Tether had another good week, where the number of coins increased by additional 2,8%, increasing its market cap by this percentage. Filecoin had a surge of coins in circulation by 0,5%, while Maker had an increase of 0,4%.
Crypto futures market
Same as the spot market, the crypto futures market was quite happy with the nomination of Paul S. Atkins as a new SEC Chair. BTC short term futures were traded higher by 3%, while the longer term ones by more than 4%. Current structure of futures prices looks pretty positive, with December 2024 last traded at $101.580, and above the $100K target. December 2025 closed the week at the level of $111.715.
ETH futures had a stronger weekly push in the value of futures, which were traded by more than 12% higher from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $4.068, the first time after many weeks, the price was closed above the $ 4K target. This level holds for other maturities, so December 2025 was last traded at $4.388.