Dive into the Wild Waves of Gold and Silver!treasure hunters! Ever feel like the gold and silver markets are like surfing big waves?
The fluctuations in precious metal prices are often likened to the contrasting behaviors of wild crabs; gold prices soar upward, akin to a crab climbing, while silver prices plunge into the depths, reminiscent of a crab diving beneath the waves.
Such dynamics illustrate the volatility and unpredictable nature of the commodities market, where various factors can influence the trajectory of these valuable resources.
Understanding these movements is essential for investors aiming to navigate the complexities of financial markets effectively.
GOLDSILVER trade ideas
This is the Gold Silver Ratio, FIB Time ZonesThis is my comparison tracking the divergence in the gold and silver prices since 2006 prior to the Global Financial Crisis.
I noticed that both prices in USD and tracking in the same upward channel. I have inserted two FIB time zones that seem to be playing out with a move about to play out here on the 20th April 2025.
Important breakdown in the Gold & Silver ratio !!!This is a heads up that concerns the PM sector as well as all other assets.
An important breakdown just happened in the Gold & Silver ratio. This means precious metals bull resumes and SILVER will now overperform gold !! We are now in back test mode !
For the other asset classses this is good news also, because this breakdown in the ratio signifies the return of (asset) inflation. So this is good for stocks and crypto also.
It remains to be seen whether PM's will outperform stocks. My guess is YES.
Silver still under-valued vs GOLDBased on history, The relative value of gold and silver reverts between the 40:1 ratio and 80:1. Silver is still above 80:1, so IMO is a good buying opportunity, to leverage against gold.
The idea is; hold gold and buy silver above 80:1 ratio and sell silver and buy gold at or below 40:1 ratio. After a cycle, you will end up having twice as much gold as if you just bought gold outright.
If you think that silver cannot make major and quick advances relative to gold... look at 2020. We are just in a holding pattern, if you want confirmation, look for the 80:1 ratio level - that is currently acting as support to give way and for silver (smaller less liquid market) to make quick progress.
G&S ratio rising could be bearish on metals medium termThe G&S ratio is back above resistance (now support) and wants to break out of the bullish wedge in dark rose color.
If that happens, an inverse H&S formation could play out and shoot us up (blue line) to the extension of the rising resistance of the (yellow) bearish rising wedge. This would mean a last hurray spike of the ratio, to touch the apex a last time before falling again.
The final fall of the G&S ratio would then signal the risumption of the bull market and the further collapse in the G&S ratio would signifie a raging bull market for precious metale (both silver and gold - but especially silver).
The bull market in metals is unavoidable with the current macro sitauation. However its resumption could be delaid if this set up plays out.
Metals bull run has legs - Silver is gaining momentum!The gold-to-silver ratio is a key signal—a roadmap, if you will—showing us where we are in the cycle of precious metals. Gold typically takes the lead, but then, like clockwork, silver catches up, and fast. In recent months, we’re seeing that exact shift—silver is gaining momentum.
We’re entering a phase where silver is primed to outperform over the next several months. The first conservative target? $44.3. But here’s the thing—if BRICS nations decide to step in, if they start stacking silver too, I believe we could be looking at a price much, much higher by the time this move plays out. Buckle up—this could be big.
GOLD is going to start getting much cheaper in SILVER terms.Gold has been on an absolute tear lately as the de facto U.S. corporate government has been printing and spending FRNs (Federal Reserve Notes) into oblivion. As a result, real money is gaining value against the Federal Reserve's monopoly money. Naturally, those who saw the money devaluation coming have been buying gold to preserve their purchasing power, but silver has been lagging behind, even though it has also been appreciating. Although the price of precious metals is, and will continue to be, on the rise, the price of gold is about to get much cheaper in terms of silver. Instead of buying gold, I believe the best move right now is to buy silver, hold it, and once the exchange rate drops to the 35/45 to 1 area, then exchange your silver for gold.
I believe that in the next year to a year and a half, we will see the price of gold cut in half in silver terms, which means it will take half the silver to buy the same amount of gold, effectively doubling the purchasing power of silver versus gold.
Good luck!
What does gold-silver ratio tell us about precious metals?The gold-silver ratio has reached a key area of resistance between 80.30 to 80. 55 area and has reacted. This comes on the back of a major breakdown below a multi-year bullish trend line back in early May. So far, the ratio has held resistance here, which suggests that silver might be able to outperform gold again. However, it could also mean that both precious metals may be in a correction phase, with gold falling faster than silver
But given the bullish price action we have seen so far this year, I'm leaning more towards the bullish argument for precious metals than bearish. For that reason, the breakdown in the gold-silver ratio makes me remain bullish on silver.
Meanwhile, the grey metal itself has been testing a major area of support around $28.00 to $29.00 in the last few weeks. So far there have not been any major bullish breakthrough with the metal holding inside what appears to be a bull flag pattern or bearish channel.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
Why longer term charts are importantI took a look at the weekly gold/silver ratio and noticed a few significant patterns. For example, there was a notable acceleration downward following the break of a 3-year uptrend a couple of weeks ago. Additionally, there is support at the 74.65/63 level, which has been in place since January 2022.
This observation reminded me of the importance of examining long-term charts, regardless of your trading time frame. Longer-term charts provide essential context and clarity that short-term charts often lack.
Why everyone should be looking at longer term charts:
1. Identifying Trends
Long-term charts help in identifying significant trends that might not be visible in short-term data.
2. Smoothing Out Volatility
Short-term data is often noisy, with frequent fluctuations that can obscure the underlying pattern. Long-term charts smooth out this volatility, providing a clearer picture of the fundamental movement and reducing the influence of random, short-term events.
3. Contextualizing Current Movements
Long-term charts place current price or economic movements in a broader context. This helps investors and analysts understand whether a recent change is part of a larger trend or not.
4. Historical Comparisons
These charts allow for comparisons with past periods, making it possible to identify cycles, recurring patterns, and historical precedents. This historical perspective can be invaluable for forecasting future movements and making informed predictions.
5. Assessing Risk and Reward
By examining long-term performance, investors can better assess the potential risks and rewards of an investment. Understanding how an asset has performed over various market cycles helps in evaluating its stability and growth potential.
6. Avoiding Emotional Bias
Short-term market movements can evoke strong emotional responses, leading to impulsive decisions. Long-term charts provide a more detached view, helping investors stay focused on long-term objectives and avoid reacting to short-term market noise.
Conclusion
In summary, long-term charts offer a comprehensive view that is critical for understanding trends, reducing noise, contextualizing current events, making historical comparisons, assessing risk, avoiding emotional decisions, developing strategies, and analysing economic cycles. They are an indispensable tool for anyone involved in financial markets or economic analysis, providing the clarity and perspective necessary for informed decision-making.
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Gold SIlver ration 51724Huge event as GSR finally capitulates. It has broken down and targeting the floor of 30 oz silver to 1 oz gold.
Ive told ppl I was accumulating all major crashes in silver since it dumped into the teens in the RONA crash. I was laughed at. But just like Bitcoin it was a game of patience.
Long term will we see Silver return to its historical average of around 10 to 1? No one knows but imo Silver has been manipulated so low for so long. That now it could blow and completely destroy all shorts and rip to levels. THat you would likely scoff and laugh at.
The silver stackers will have the last laugh
Gold/Silver Ratio will Break the 375-day Triangle Pattern SoonGold/Silver Ratio will break the 375-day Triangle Pattern soon. There was a false breakout to the upside last week. Price couldn't break the trend line. Gold/Silver Ratio is expected to go down.
Formed Patterns : Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern, Rising Wedge Pattern, Double Top Pattern on the momentum indicator.
Scenario 1 : Gold/Silver Ratio quickly goes to 76 levels.
Scenario 2 : Gold/Silver Ratio hits 81.58 and retreat to the 86. And then goes to 76.
G/S Ratio Breaks Out. Bearish for Gold & SilverThe Gold-Silver ratio, which represents the number of ounces of silver required to purchase one ounce of gold, is currently showing a bearish trend. This is evident from the ratio breaking its 19-day chart, indicating a significant shift towards bearishness for precious metals. This trend suggests that the market may experience many months of downside, which could lead to a considerable decline in the prices of gold and silver. Investors may want to exercise caution and consider diversifying their portfolios in light of this trend.
I am shorting silver.