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US500.F trade ideas

S&P 500 ,,, Update chartTrending possibility As I mentioned in a previous analysis, the chart reacted to a strong support zone with a significant bullish candle, indicating an emotional response. This was followed by a small correction. One encouraging sign suggesting a potential move into the green zone is the considerable buying volume observed at the support level, potentially signaling the end of this correction. According to my strategy, identifying a new uptrend involves breaking a descending trend line and moving decisively above a major level, such as 5500 on this chart. Therefore, if a strong bullish candle forms and closes above this key level, I will consider initiating new long positions. It's crucial to remember that consistent success in this market relies on having a clear strategy and adhering to it diligently. Good luck.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by pardis
SPX500 (4H) LONG POSITIONGreeting there traders this is my idea on SP500 and it is Long. We can clearly see a recovery from the “Support Area” (yellow zone), after a wave formation (probably a completed Elliott Wave correction). You are currently in a very impulsive uptrend. Momentum looks strong, with no major retracements — meaning that buyers would currently be in a dominating position. Key Levels Support Level (red): 5.019 – 5.091 This is the “ultima ratio” zone where the price made a strong rebound. Softer Support: 5.276 – 5.282 (where you are now) This is the zone of possible correction, as you marked. Resistance/Target: 6.150 – 6.156 If the current trend holds and there is no major retracement below 5,250, it is very likely that we will test the 6,000–6,150 level in the coming days. The price is currently in a “blast-off” phase — if volume remains strong, you can hit the TP as early as late April or early May. I predict that we have started an uptrend towards a new ATH. I believe that the market will start to "fly" already on Monday or Tuesday. Possible catalysts: Trump strikes a deal with China, announces a pause in the trade war, or Powell responds with an emergency rate cut. My goal is mid $6,000 to low $7,000 by July 4th (maybe sooner). After that I expect a 60-70% drop.
SP:SPXLong
by Zaks_ForexRules
2
Buy Fear, Not Euphoria: The Trader's EdgeWhen you look back at the greatest trading opportunities in history, they all seem to share a common element: fear. Yet, when you're in the moment, it feels almost impossible to pull the trigger. Why? Because fear paralyzes, while euphoria seduces. If you want to truly evolve as a trader, you need to master this fundamental shift: buy fear, not euphoria. Let's break it down together. ________________________________________ What Fear and Euphoria Really Mean in Markets In simple terms, fear shows up when prices are falling sharply, when bad news dominates the headlines, and when people around you are saying "it's all over." Euphoria, on the other hand, is everywhere when prices are skyrocketing, when everyone on social media is celebrating, and when it feels like "this can only go higher." In those moments: • Fear tells you to run away. • Euphoria tells you to throw caution to the wind. Both emotions are signals. But they are inverted signals. When fear is extreme, value appears. When euphoria is extreme, danger hides. ________________________________________ Why Buying Fear Works Markets are pricing machines. They constantly adjust prices based on emotions, news, and expectations. When fear hits, selling pressure often goes beyond what is rational. People dump assets for emotional reasons, not fundamental ones. Here’s why buying fear works: • Overreaction: Bad news usually causes exaggerated moves. • Liquidity Vacuums: Everyone sells, no one buys, creating sharp discounts. • Reversion to Mean: Extreme moves tend to revert once emotions stabilize. Buying into fear is not about being reckless. It’s about recognizing that the best deals are available when others are too scared to see them. ________________________________________ Why Chasing Euphoria Fails At the peak of euphoria, risks are often invisible to the crowd. Valuations are stretched. Expectations are unrealistic. Everyone "knows" it's going higher — which ironically means there's no one left to buy. Chasing euphoria often leads to: • Buying high, selling low. • Getting trapped at tops. • Emotional regret and revenge trading. You’re not just buying an asset — you're buying into a mass illusion. ________________________________________ How to Train Yourself to Buy Fear It's not enough to "know" this. In the heat of the moment, you will still feel the fear. Here's how you build the right habit: 1. Pre-plan your entries: Before panic strikes, have a plan. Know where you want to buy. 2. Focus on strong assets: Not everything that falls is worth buying. Choose assets with strong fundamentals or clear technical setups. 3. Scale in: Don’t try to catch the bottom perfectly. Build positions gradually as fear peaks. 4. Use alerts, not emotions: Set price alerts. When they trigger, act mechanically. 5. Remember past patterns: Study previous fear-driven crashes. See how they recovered over time. Trading is a game of memory. The more you internalize past patterns, the easier it is to act when everyone else panics. ________________________________________ A Recent Example: April 2025 Tariff Panic Very recently, at the start of April, Trump’s new tariff announcements sent shockwaves through the market. Panic took over. Headlines screamed. Social media was flooded with fear. But if you looked beyond the noise, charts like SP500 and US30 told a different story: the drops took price right into strong support zones. At the time, I even posted this : support zones were being tested under emotional pressure. If you had price alerts set and reacted mechanically, not emotionally , you could have bought into that fear — and potentially benefited from the rebound that followed just days later. This is the essence of buying fear. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts In trading, you are paid for doing the hard things. Buying when it feels terrible. Selling when it feels amazing. Remember: Fear offers you discounts. Euphoria offers you traps. The next time the market feels like it's crashing, ask yourself: • Is this fear real, or exaggerated? • Is this an opportunity hiding under an emotional fog? If you can answer that with clarity, you're already ahead of 90% of traders. Stay rational. Stay prepared. And above all: buy fear, not euphoria. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Education
by Mihai_Iacob
US500 TRADE IDEAhi again The US500 has shown strength by breaking the resistance at 5483.5 and is now at 5535. If the price reaches 5604.6 and a pullback occurs, targeting a temporary decline at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is a good strategy. Fibonacci retracement is often used to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price might pause or reverse. The 50% level is one of the commonly watched levels by traders as it often indicates a significant turning point in price movement. good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by mytw0cents
SPX: Good push at EOD 4/30, but…Possible H&S? Hear me outGood push at end of day on 4/30 at close. Zooming out, it’s starting look like it’s forming a H&S. I’m starting to see a lot of people flipping bearish as well. But, also near close today, volume was not promising, declining at the close. I swung short-term puts on SPY, I like SPX puts for a day trade due to this formation but this H&S can possibly out within the end of week with more data and uncertainty or the following week. I’m short at the touch of the light red line: 5655.79 to the downside. Gaps below 5354.76, 5206.44 Would say by EOW to next week, if we pull back, may form/complete the right shoulder. Do your DD! Let me know your thoughts! #NFA
SP:SPXShort
by sweatytrigger
Mechanical Over Mood. AlwaysWell, this week really wanted to test both my trading discipline… and my tech patience. My laptop decided to kick the bucket mid-session. But honestly? Not even mad. Because it reminded me of something traders forget too often: Simple is better. Mechanical is best. No charts? No problem. Noisy bias? Ignore it. Just follow the system and let the setups do the work. And right now? The market gave us a Tag off the lower Bollinger Band… Then a Turn with some clean bullish pulse bars… Now we’re tagging the upper band again. Textbook mechanical structure. No predictions. No overlays. Just rules. Yes, compression still lingers – the bands are squeezed tighter than my laptop battery casing. But until something breaks out (or explodes), I’m trading it simple. --- SPX Market View Some days the market whispers. Some days it screams. And then… there are days like this – where it quietly tags, turns, and retags like a kid playing solo hide and seek. Welcome to compression. Welcome to Tag ‘n Turn 2: Return to the Band. Yesterday gave us exactly what we needed: Tag off the lower Bollinger Band Bullish pulse bars firing in sequence Now back to the upper BB as of this morning It’s a full mechanical cycle playing out in slow motion. The band width? Still squeezed. So unless we get a confirmed breakout – no compounding, no fireworks, no fast lane. That’s not a problem. It’s a feature. Why? Because in environments like this, the strategy doesn’t just work – it filters the noise. No guesswork. No hoping. No “is this the one?” Just a defined setup, and a playbook that responds only when the price earns it. I’m staying bullish as long as this range holds. Pulse bars off the highs or lows? I’m in. Breakout confirmed? Let’s ride it. Dip to mid-band? Still valid. The structure is intact. The setup is valid. And even if my laptop’s dying breath is a warning beep, I’ll still be trading off what matters. Trade the system. Trust the sequence. Let the rest break down. --- Expert Insights: Mistake #1: Overcomplicating compressed conditions. Compression doesn’t mean “do more” – it means “do less, better.” Fix: Let the pulse bar do the talking. Keep your setup clean. Mistake #2: Ignoring band re-tags as valid setups. Returning to the upper or lower band doesn’t invalidate the prior move. Fix: Use structure. Re-tags can still deliver if pulse bars confirm. Mistake #3: Letting tech failures bleed into trading decisions. Just because your screen flickers doesn’t mean your system broke. Fix: Stay mechanical. Even from a mobile. It’s not the gear – it’s the method. --- Rumour Has It… Wall Street insiders are reporting that Apple’s next product will be the MacBook Trader, a laptop designed specifically to fail whenever Bollinger Bands compress. Features include: An auto-dimming screen whenever pulse bars form A built-in “Hope Mode” that deletes your rulebook And a random error that whispers “maybe just this once…” Traders are advised to plug directly into their mechanical setups or, failing that, scribble strategies on a coffee-stained napkin like it’s 2002. Rumour has it that a squirrel from Central Park is currently outperforming several hedge funds using nothing but broken Fibonacci tools and pure optimism. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? --- Fun Fact – Did You Know? The term “Frankenstein” originally came from Mary Shelley’s story of a scientist trying to control something he didn’t fully understand… Which is what most traders do with indicators. They bolt on RSI here, MACD there, sprinkle in some Fibonacci dust, and hope it walks. But the real monsters aren’t the tools – they’re discretionary trades pretending to be mechanical. Moral of the story? You don’t need a stitched-together algo monster. You just need a clean pulse bar, a set of rules, and the ability to sit still.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Bullish rise off pullback support?S&P500 has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,478.47 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 5,349.10 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level; Take profit: 5,776.02 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
The SPX Sell Off at 5500Hi all, It has been a while since we posted as we waited for a really good trade setup. The SPX is hovering at 5500 and we believe it is the right level to sell. 1) There is a shark pattern at this level 2) RSI is overbought on every time frame except H4 and D1 3) There are smaller patterns to sell 4) There is very strong structural resistance at 5510 to 5520 The first target will be 5306 which has a great risk to reward of 1:5. We will wait for M15 divergence and a trend line break to enter.
SPREADEX:SPXShort
by JavonDias_Trading
SPY/SPX500: Bearish Setup Ahead of Key Macro Events🔍 15-Min Chart Analysis – April 30, 2025 The S&P 500 (SPX500) is currently facing resistance near the 5,560.65 zone, a confluence of a key Fibonacci level (0.382 retracement) and a rising wedge upper boundary. Price has shown signs of rejection after a recovery from the ORB low of 5,505.88, and is struggling to break above 5,557–5,560, which aligns with a prior supply zone. 🔧 Technical Breakdown: Bearish Rising Wedge Formation: Price is respecting the wedge trendlines, suggesting a potential breakdown. Fibonacci Confluence Zones: Resistance: 0.382 at 5,557.18 Support: 1.382 extension aligns with 5,508.75, which is just above the ORB low and a possible target. Short Bias Trigger: A clean break below the wedge support (~5,545) could accelerate downside. Target Zones: 🎯 First target: 5,524.39 (ORB low) 🎯 Second target: 5,508–5,505 area (Fibo 1.382 + ORB range support) 🔮 Probability Outlook: Bearish bias: 65% Bullish breakout: 25% Sideways consolidation: 10% 🧠 Macro Context: With U.S. GDP and FOMC decisions imminent, volatility is expected to spike. A break below wedge support could trigger a retracement toward key support zones. Be cautious of false breakouts as macro catalysts come into play. 📌 Watch the 5,545 level closely. Rejection + volume drop = high-probability short setup.
FX:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPX Peaks at 6,100; Correction Toward 4,600 LikelyThe SP:SPX ’s rally, which kicked off at 3,500 in late 2022, climaxed around 6,100 in February 2025. Since then, the trend has clearly reversed, and I expect the correction to persist. As long as the index remains below 5,800 (supply), downward momentum should continue. A pullback toward 4,600 by 2026 appears plausible, with that level likely acting as resistance or support—warranting a fresh assessment upon arrival. In the near term, the SPX is likely to trade within a 5,100–5,700 range.
SP:SPXShort
by The_Quantastic