USDAUD trade ideas
AUD/USD Secures Bullish Momentum Above $0.6407FenzoFxโAUD/USD closed above $0.6407 and remains stable, signaling a bullish trend supported by the 50-period simple moving average.
However, indicators like Stochastic and RSI 14 suggest an overbought condition, hinting at a possible correction. Key support lies at $0.6395, with traders watching for bullish signals such as candlestick patterns.
The outlook stays bullish above $0.6276, while dips below this level could trigger extended consolidation.
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AUDUSD Buy ForecastAUDUSD New Forecast๐จโ๐ป๐จโ๐ป
This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup.
Note:
Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP.
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AUDUSD still bulishChart Observations:
1. Trend Direction:
The market has shifted from a strong downtrend to a bullish reversal.
A clean breakout from the consolidation zone (red resistance zone turned support) confirms bullish momentum.
2. Moving Averages:
Price is above all EMAs (red, yellow, green, blue lines), indicating bullish alignment.
The EMAs are fanned out and sloping upward โ further confluence for bullish continuation.
3. Support/Resistance Zones:
The red zone around 0.63875โ0.64100 now acts as strong support.
Next key resistance: 0.65425 (Take Profit area in the trade).
4. Entry Confirmation:
The green bullish candle just broke out of resistance with volume and momentum.
A strong bullish engulfing pattern near the breakout point.
5. Risk/Reward Setup:
Stop Loss: 0.63875
Entry: Around 0.64120
Take Profit: 0.65425
R:R ratio is healthy (~2:1 or more).
Additional Notes:
If price dips back into the red zone and closes below 0.63875 on a 4H candle โ exit the trade.
If price consolidates near current levels, wait for another bullish candle to enter or add to position.
Always monitor DXY and fundamentals (US data releases, RBA tone) for confirmation.
AUD/USD $AUDUSD update M1 D1 H4 - NO shorts in 2025Monthly SFP + Weakness of the main currency
Forget about short positions for the next year
This might be the best entry point for long of the year
H4
Without closing the imbalance, they shouldn't go up, so I expect such a scenario
Based on all the data, I expect a local strengthening of the dollar in May and only growth after that
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD Wyckoff RedistributionThe pair seems as if it may be looking to continue the downtrend. I have identified a possible redistribution pattern. The recent "upthrust" could be the last up move that is typically used to trap buyers. Could be too soon to tell but keep an eye on price falling back under resistance and preliminary supply on strong sell volume for confirmation.
AUDUSD D1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the D1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.6493, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibo extension
Our take profit is set at 0.6325, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 0.6652, an overlap resistance.
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Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.6328
1st Support: 0.6206
1st Resistance: 0.6537
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Week of 4/20/25: AUDUSD AnalysisWeekly and daily candles are consecutively bullish with a V-shape recovery to the upside. Looking for longs and especially keeping an eye out for the 1H POI flip-zone that I refined in the 4H POI.
Unless 1H internal structure shifts bearish, I am long ALL THE WAY!
Major News:
PMI - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Thanks for tuning in, have a great week.
AUDUSD: Consolidation Near Key ResistanceIn the previous analysis, the decline toward the 0.60 support was accurately predicted, followed by a rebound from the identified zone. After a sharp rally, a corrective move is not unexpected. With the price now approaching the 0.64 supply zone, a pullback toward 0.63 or lower is likely. However, if the 0.64 resistance is broken, the next bullish target would be 0.65, as illustrated in the chart scenario.
AUDUSD - Resistance Test Points to Imminent Price CorrectionThe AUD/USD pair has shown impressive upside momentum in recent days, recovering sharply from its early April lows near 0.5900 to now testing the key resistance zone highlighted in blue around 0.6400. After such a substantial rally of approximately 500 pips, technical indicators suggest the pair is becoming overextended in the short term. We anticipate a corrective pullback as price encounters this significant resistance level, which previously acted as support in mid-March. This correction would be a healthy development within the broader market structure, potentially setting up better entry opportunities for those still bullish on the Australian dollar in the medium term.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Weekly Analysis for AUD/USD๐ Weekly Analysis for AUD/USD
๐ Technical Outlook by Shaker Trading
โ
Reasons for the Bearish Outlook:
Descending Price Channel:
The pair is clearly moving within a downward channel, reflecting continued bearish pressure in the medium to long term.
Overbought Signals on Indicators:
Both RSI and MACD are showing overbought conditions, suggesting a possible reversal from current levels.
Strong Supply Zones:
Price has entered into major supply zones that are likely to act as resistance and push the price downward.
๐ Trading Idea:
As long as the price remains below the supply zone and inside the descending channel, the bearish bias remains valid.
Best sell opportunities are expected from the upper resistance areas highlighted on the chart.
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AUD/USD H4 AnalysisAfter multiple rejections of 0.5950, we saw a huge stimulus of buying which has now taken price up to the 0.6400 zone.
We have recently seen rejections in this area, and what is noticeable is that the most recent price action appears to be slowing down, with the higher highs and lows not significantly advancing.
Is this a sign to exit any buy positions and anticipate sells?
This is an idea of what may happen. You should always trade with a well tested and profitable trading strategy using good risk management.
AUDUSD(20250418)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, the seventh rate cut in the past year, and this decision was unanimous.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6369
Support and resistance levels:
0.6430
0.6407
0.6392
0.6346
0.6331
0.6309
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6392, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6407
If the price breaks through 0.6369, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6346
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D18 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday !
SUMMARY
- IMO, if this shorts, it's a slippy slide !
- Daily order block setup
- Daily highs confluence
- Weekly 50 Ema forecast to provide resistance for the short.
- Required to await 15' breaks of structure as price is bullish/ ranging at the moment .
- upon intra day breaks of structure, anticipating a creation of 15' order block to provide an area of interest to short from.
FRGNT X