USDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISWe are currently observing the USD/CHF pair, which is trading around 0.8225 as of April 23, 2025. The pair has recently experienced a slight uptick, driven by renewed demand for the US dollar following President Trump's decision to retract threats against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This move has alleviated investor concerns regarding the Fed's independence, providing a temporary boost to the greenback.
Despite this short-term rally, the overall outlook for USD/CHF remains bearish. The pair is trading below the critical 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 36, indicating continued selling pressure. The immediate resistance level is identified at 0.8360, while the first support level to monitor is at 0.8121.
Fundamentally, the Swiss franc has appreciated significantly, surging approximately 9% against the US dollar in April alone. This appreciation is attributed to global uncertainties stemming from shifting US trade policies, which have increased demand for safe-haven assets like the franc. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is under pressure to address this rapid rise, as it poses risks to their inflation targets and the competitiveness of Swiss exports.
In conclusion, while there may be short-term fluctuations influenced by geopolitical developments and central bank communications, the prevailing trend for USD/CHF appears bearish. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors that could impact the pair's trajectory.
USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.807.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.824 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Possible Long Setup on USDCHFA structure break occurred at the 0.8123 level, shifting the market from a bearish structure to a local bullish one — which now has the potential to continue higher.
With that in mind, a long position can be considered on a renewed break above 0.8123. The target is 0.8267.
If the setup is triggered, the stop-loss should be placed either below the most recent (optimal) local low, or simply at 0.8065.
USDCHF Swing UpdateUSDCHF has officially broken out of the 0.82485 consolidation zone. Based on structure and momentum, we could be seeing a deeper pullback toward 0.83366, which has been a key level historically and would make sense for retesting the bearish structure.
If price fails to reach that level or rejects sooner, I’ll be watching for continuation setups below 0.81394 and 0.80464. A clean break and retest of either would offer strong selling opportunities targeting 0.70517 for a longer-term swing setup.
Momentum remains bearish, so staying patient for high-quality entries is key.
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USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Trade confluences
- Weekly order block rejection
- Weekly imbalance to be filled
- Daily bullish close
- 4H 50 EMA supporting long position
- Intraday breaks of structure
- 15’ order block created
- Tokyo ranges to be filled
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📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
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USD/CHF Bearish Tri Breakout - 5 Signs of a Strong Bearish BreakOANDA:USDCHF Bears have started the week off hot with Price having dropped 1.16% at the time of publication since Market Open. This price decline has seen a Breakout and fresh low after price has been caught in a Bearish Triangle Pattern, formed by Lower Highs into a Support Level.
1) Price has been trading well Below the 200 EMA.
2) After Price makes contact of the 34 EMA Band while attempting a Breakout of the Falling Resistance of the Triangle, it is sent back down into pattern.
3) After the rejection at the Falling Resistance, we see an influx of Volume enter the Markets, ultimately leaning Bearish.
4) All the Price Action while in Pattern has happened while the RSI has been Below 50, adding Bearish Pressure.
5) Price has made a strong Bearish Candle Break so far of the Support Level of the Triangle and the currently Low of Price @ .80684 has given us a new Lower Low, breaking the Support Level Low @ .80983, suggesting Bears have taken the Support Level and will turn it Resistance.
** With all Indications combined, I believe we are looking at a True Bearish Breakout of the Triangle and will be looking for a Break & Retest Set-Up!
--> Once Price Confirms the Break and Closes, We should expect a Retest of the Break of Support between ( .80983 - .81141 ) to deliver potential Short Opportunities!
Now, Fundamentals:
Price Action lately has heavily been influenced by a couple factors:
- Federal Reserves current dilemma with deciding to not cut Interest Rates in the assumption that the Tariffs will Rise Inflation while the CPI y/y on April 10th printed a -.4% drop from 2.8% to 2.4% which could create complications later if Interest Rates are not cut soon enough.
(If Global Trade slows, that alone will Inflate prices, Tariffs (once applied) will affect as well)
- ECB has made the decision to cut Interest Rates 25 bps from 2.65% to 2.4%. This alone in-time will start the act of slowing the economy so the euro doesn't inflate too much and, in theory, will make the Euro seem less attractive for foreign investment.
This could leave investors to lean towards one of the worlds most "Safe-haven" currencies, the Swiss Franc with the Franc currently hitting a 10-Year High!
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USDCHF Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast:
0.84000 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
OANDA:USDCHF
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.80385 on 04/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.83314 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.84000) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.83314
0.84000
0.85430
0.86286
0.87550
0.89147
0.90367
0.92218
0.94400
__________________________________________________________________
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Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8114
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8241
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDCHF likely to continue its bearish trendprice has completed its retracement from the .618 Fib level, also known as "golden pocket"; moreover, there is no any major sign of reversal. The projection of the bearish flag pattern s also shown on the chart. Instant selling with a marked stop loss would be good to enjoy decent profits
USDCHF INTRADAY bearish below 0.8270The USDCHF pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 0.8270, which represents the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 0.8270 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 0.8040, with further potential declines to 0.7970 and 0.7900 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 0.8270 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 0.8344 resistance, with a potential extension to 0.8424 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDCHF sentiment remains bearish, with the 0.8270 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
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USDCHF: One More Bearish Wave Ahead?! 🇺🇸🇨🇭
It looks like USDCHF has successfully completed a consolidation
after quite an extended bearish rally.
A breakout of a support line of an ascending triangle pattern
on a 4H time frame provides a strong bearish confirmation.
We can expect a movement down at least to 0.81 level.
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USD/CHF H4 | Heading into a pullback resistanceUSD/CHF is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8130 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.8277 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7932 which is a support level that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection.
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USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
Summary
- Weekly order block
- Daily order block
- Price is currently bearish
Requirements
- Wait for a comprehensive bullish turn around in price action
- 15' break of structure
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
FRGNT X
IG - JCFRGNT
USD/CHF Collapses to Fresh Decade+ Lows – Oversold?The U.S. dollar continues to slide against the Swiss franc, with USD/CHF falling below 0.8100 and hitting its lowest level since 2015. The technical picture remains heavily bearish:
📉 Price is well below the 50- and 200-day SMAs
⚠️ RSI is deeply oversold at 26.21, but showing no bullish divergence yet
📉 MACD is accelerating to the downside, confirming downside momentum
🔻 Support at 0.8400 was shattered and may now act as resistance
While a short-term bounce could emerge due to oversold conditions, the downtrend remains firmly intact. A close below 0.8075 opens the door to a potential test of the psychological 0.8000 handle.
-MW
Institutional Demand: USD/CHF longsHey,
Another beautiful pullback play is likely for many USDs this week.
NU, GU, EU etc are all in or near value.
Together with USD/CHF also moving towards a key area of value.
I'll patiently wait till price reaches it and then look for our 4-hour confirmation.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld