XLMUSD: Aggressive surge expected to at least 0.5500Stellar (XLMUSD) just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.377, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 37.056), extending the rebound on its 1W MA50. The long term pattern is a Triangle so for the medium term the upside is limited to 0.55000. Since however the structure from mid 2024 resembles late 2016 onwards (price rising then pulling back to the 0.5 Fib), we expect a rise to the 1.618 Fib (TP = 2.5000) if the price crosses above the LH trendline.
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XLMUSD trade ideas
XLM/USDT Breakdown: Structure Shift & Bearish Retracement Setup🚀 XLM/USDT Trade Outlook 🔎
I've been reviewing the XLM/USDT pair, and it's showing a very familiar setup compared to other majors. 🔁 On the daily timeframe, we've seen a notable shift in structure, with a clear break to the downside. 🧱📉 Dropping into the 4-hour chart, that structural break is even more apparent, adding confidence to a bearish bias. 🔍
Currently, the pair is extended away from value—and I’m anticipating a pullback into the fair value zone, where I’ll be watching closely for a potential short setup. 📐💼
🎯 In the breakdown video, we cover:
The prevailing trend context 🌊
How market structure is unfolding across timeframes 🔂
Price action cues to validate the setup 🎥📈
Key support and resistance areas for both entry and target planning 🎯
For risk management, I’m positioning the stop above the retracement high, using roughly 2x ATR for calculated protection 🛑⚙️. A potential reward could extend to 5–6x ATR, depending on how price reacts around prior structure levels on the left. ⬅️📊
As always, I’m cross-checking with my Fibonacci levels for extra confluence—and the alignment here is looking solid. 🔢🧲
Remember, this is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence. ⚠️💡📉
Nov 9, 2021 chart still usable in 2025@readCrypto's chart from Nov 9, 2021 showing the levels he picked up on in 2021 are still true for this cycle. Look how each level will hold and when it breaks it goes right down to next level and is true for peaks. Great charting, looking forward to staying up to date with this one.
Original chart below:
XLM/USD Main trend. Timeframe 1 week. Channel. Radiant Star of 2218) One of the most “silent” cryptocurrencies. Unlike its fellow clone, pumped up by the community on the ears of pseudo-esoterics (although 589 is not going anywhere, which is, that is, it is not price))))....
Note that past secondary trend reversals are shrinking after significant dips. We are now in the lower zone of the channel, but not at the lowest potential values. Never “catch” the lows and highs, but work most of your position near those values, and you will be happy and relaxed.
I advise you to combine pyramiding (up) + martingale (down), and you won't care where the price goes, because you'll be happy with either direction. It is also rational to protect your profits with stops, but not near intraday volatility.
It is also natural for your peace of mind to forget about two things if you have a mind:
1) Forget margin trading. Work only on spot.
2) Forget the 1 “world's most reliable exchange” (diversification of trading and storage).
Coinmarket: XLM
About the enlightenment: .
1) Instant (less than 3 sec) transactions,
2) Conditionally free transactions $0.000001 (0.00001 XLM micro payments),
3) No network congestion (30 sec refund in case of failed transaction (not to be confused with exchange),
4) Smart contacts and NFT (2022),
5) "Transaction rollback" (this is an advantage, not a disadvantage for real use, not speculation),
6) Support for multi-currency transactions.
7) Interest in XLM blockchain by states.
And much more...
Roughly speaking, all the best worked out solutions from thousands of temporary “faith cryptocurrencies” over the last 10+ years.
Incidentally, many states will be making “transitional” fiat currencies on this blockchain. For example, the long-suffering Ukraine. But then when there will be “total sadness”. Creating a problem—presenting a ready-made solution.
Here's what this important zone looks like on the 1-day timeframe. Key reversal or trend continuation zone.
Breakout of the local symmetrical triangle +10% to the mirror resistance level of 0.2022.
XLM/USDT Secondary trend. 14 04 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. After a big pump "with a stick" (so that the "waiters" who want "a little cheaper" would not have time to buy) +8.5X from the accumulation zone of 2.4 years, now a descending wedge is forming on the rollback, similar to 2017. Breaking through its resistance (breaking the downward trend) - the second wave of price growth:
1) through consolidation and sideways movement (cutting the zone, dumping "in waves").
2) aggressive pump as in 2017 "with a stick" and entry into the main distribution zone (late autumn 2025)
The previous idea of the secondary trend was published on 14 01 2024 Exactly when the position was being collected in the horizontal channel in the 4 zones shown, as well as the reversal zone and the percentage of this first strong pump (under XRP).
XLM/USDT Secondary trend. 14 01 2024
XLM/USD Main trend. Timeframe 1 week. Channel. Publication in 2022.
Local wedge breakout zone.
Ripple Cycle XRP-XLM"Nothing new Under the sun" from the bible
using the cycle charts wise i do belive we are at the bottom theres not price action to prove or theres not much i can do to prove.. im going off the charts even tho we are bearish i did take a loan out thinking this is the bottom.
Feedback anyone what your thought.
At the beging of the chart we consider candles not wicks.
The Case for $XLMA laggard compared to its sister, XRP.
XLM showing potential for a breakout. XRP & XLM once traded together almost systematically, XRP was able to break out of its wedge repeating its performance of 2017. Although past performance does not indicate future performance its important to reference.
XLM seems ready to sweep sell side liquidity one last time before its next leg up out of its wedge.
Ill continue to add to this thread as the days go on.
XLM - Still Moving With XRP XLM has made a strong move along with XRP and has perched itself on top of the Monthly Gaussian Channel
I have posted the comparable move that occurred in 2017 which puts price above $40, I doubt it will perform as well as previously but its cool to see.
Very bullish on this Monthly
From Crypto Winter to Crypto Depression - Trouble for StellarStellar or XLM is in major trouble as it fights for its life in the crypto world.
If Bitcoin, Ethereum crashes - the alt market does tend to follow similar to major stock indices versus minor.
And there is no exception for this.
Now there are a few other reasons for Stallars downside to come including:
💥 1. Crypto Market Crash
A broader sell-off across crypto markets has dragged Stellar down with it.
📉 2. Lack of Developer Activity
Stellar is facing declining interest from developers compared to rival platforms.
💰 3. Investors Moving to Bigger Coins
Investors are shifting funds to Bitcoin and Ethereum for perceived stability.
🚫 4. Partnerships Falling Through
Several high-profile partnerships have quietly ended or stalled.
🧊 5. Low Community Engagement
Social media buzz and community activity around Stellar have hit new lows.
Here are basic technicals.
M Formation broke downn
Price below 20MA
First target to 200MA
Next to $0.135
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