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📝 Bitcoin is currently testing the baseline of the Bollinger Bands, which historically indicates that the sideways phase is nearing its end. 📉 Volatility is stabilizing, and the market structure is tightening—this often precedes a significant new move. 💡 The next big trend is on the horizon. Will it be an explosive breakout or a controlled rally like in 2021?...

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📉 In the short term, Trump's proposed tariffs add to the current risk-off sentiment—ETF flows, correlations with stocks, and macro uncertainty are already weighing on Bitcoin. 🗣 While debates rage on about whether tariffs will hurt importers or exporters or whether Trump will roll back some after negotiations, one thing is certain: inflation. And inflation is...

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⚡️ I’ve been saying since December and January that selling around $108K was a smart move. Meanwhile, mainstream analysts were predicting $150K in winter and $200K by spring—now you can ask them, where are those predictions? 📝 This correction might feel painful, but let’s be real—it was expected for those who were paying attention. We had a parabolic move, and...

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🚀 Did we see true altcoin euphoria that triggered the bear market this cycle? I don’t think so. 📉 Historically, bull markets end when confidence reaches irrational levels—when the market completely shifts from BTC into alts, believing it’s a "new paradigm." That’s when euphoria peaks, and the bear market begins. 📊 Right now, BTC dominance is approaching 65%, and...

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CRYPTOCAP:ETH vs BTC: Sentiment Shift & Reality Check 👥 Not long ago, everyone was convinced that ETH would surpass BTC. Now, the narrative has changed—ETH is "going to zero." 👀 But what are we actually observing? This is the most significant deviation from the multi-year trendline, and historically, these moments have presented some of the best opportunities...

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#Bitcoin Gaussian Channel 🐍 🗣In my last post, I pointed out that we had moved up too quickly and noted the possibility of consolidation or even a correction—which played out. On the oscillator, it was also indicated how this would unfold. 📉 Right now, we are testing the lower band of the channel. We could remain around these levels for a while, consolidating. 💡...

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#Bitcoin Gaussian Channel 🐍 👥Many referred to yesterday’s minor market pullback as "historic." Observing the Gaussian Channel, which remains in the green phase, and noting the price consolidating above the baseline, I honestly can’t identify this "historic correction." 📝True historic corrections occurred during the previous bull market. Now that was volatility....

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👥Of course, the sentiment around CRYPTOCAP:ETH has changed lately. If you go to any social network and conduct a social analysis of sentiment around ETH, you can see complete disappointment in the project. And just recently, every other person was sitting and talking about how ETH would overtake Bitcoin. Now I see messages that "Ethereum is cooked." Such a...

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Now the market again is showing dynamics, I think it is necessary to comment🗣 📝In the quoted post, I said that only a change in the probability of acceptance can trigger short-term positive dynamics, which happened. The probability of acceptance jumped again to 40%, as it was on December 16, when we were also at the same level. 📍Well, I do not have insider...

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📝Ethereum dropped to minimum values ​​on the RSI indicator. Below is only when the bottom of the cycle. 📝Also, the price is testing the baseline of the Keltner channel, which is also strong support. 📝Of course, one cannot fail to mention that in the cycle where ether was accepted as a commodity on the market in the form of an ETF, it has not yet broken the fiat...

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🗣In the last month, I have seen a hyper-fixation on the correlation of M2 with Bitcoin, as in red analysis with predictions such as a failure under 60K in February. I don't entirely agree with this analysis. 📍First, most of the analyses I have seen show such a correlation only for the last year (black frame). Do you know why? Because in previous years, the...

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#Bitcoin Dominance or When Will Altcoins Grow?📈 As I said before, the 65% mark is very likely the peak of Bitcoin dominance. 📝If we look at where we can expect the bottom of dominance, I would say something around 45%, a little higher than in the last cycle. 💡This is a good time to pour some liquidity into fundamentally strong alts. If you lack quality tools,...

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I've previously described the correlation, and it's clear to everyone: a weaker DXY is positive for BTC. 📝Recently, the dollar has grown significantly and seems close to a local maximum (the chart is inverted). This demonstrates the strength of Bitcoin, as it was able to rise even against a strengthening dollar. 💡Imagine its movement when the new administration...

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CRYPTOCAP:BTC Now everyone is drawing a cup and handle and saying that ATH is coming soon, why is it not quite so? 📝Let's talk about the pattern first, the cup handle pattern when the asset has a deep drop, after which it recovers and tries to break past highs. Of course, when the price consolidates near resistance and forms a so-called handle, this is a...

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CRYPTOCAP:BTC I haven't done a short-term analysis for a long time. 👀I decided to show the key levels to watch, because the moment when it will be necessary to enter the market is coming soon. 💡If there are no new geopolitical upheavals, and I expect that there probably won't be any. I think we will go back over BMS and test the important 70k level this month.

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#Bitcoin Bollinger Band 👀 📝The price of BTC has broken out the Bollinger Band, as we predicted in the last post. 🌊Now, we see a strong increase in volatility and a rise in the BBW oscillator. This is exactly the period that all market participants have been waiting for. 💡I recommend that investors start to partially fix profits and traders be careful with high...

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#Bitcoin Log Regression 👀 The orange line, as in the previous cycle, offers strong resistance. 💡I think CRYPTOCAP:BTC will stay at the current mark for another month. After that, we go to the correction, most likely it will not be a deep correction, but rather a consolidation. This is indicated by overbought and seasonality. ⛏️ And also the capitulation of...

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#Bitcoin Keltner Channels 📈 No one doubts that this cycle will be similar to a 3-wave one. In the last post, I said that I do not expect a fall in February and March, and even closer to the halving, the 2nd wave will begin to fade. 💡That's what happened. Now we can see how the correction begins, I do not expect strong drops below 50k now, but rather a transition...