


When analyzing BTC, we identified that the monthly candle closed with a probable bullish swing. On the weekly chart, we observed the presence of an SMT in relation to ETH, which may indicate a possible correction towards the discounted region of the weekly range, targeting sell-side liquidity.
In the weekly chart of gold, we can observe the formation of a breakaway gap, indicating that the price is likely to continue its bullish movement. However, it is necessary to confirm this analysis on a smaller timeframe, such as the daily.
In the 4H timeframe, we can clearly see the MMSM holding. We moved from the buying side of the curve to the selling side, where we can identify liquidity purges and the continuation of the movement.
Reinforcing our weekly view, the daily chart showed the formation of an SMT relative to the DXY within the weekly key level, which strengthens the signs of a bearish move seeking low-resistance liquidity at the bottoms.
The price respected the Mean Threshold of the weekly Order Block, forming a swing at a key level. We anticipate the third candle distribution and expect next week to be a classic sell week.
My idea for XAU/USD in the next killzone. I have an idea that the price is seeking liquidity in the discounted region.
As anticipated in our weekly analysis, the price is moving as expected. We executed our first trade of the week, achieving a 5% gain.
Initially, we have a bearish outlook for the NQ, given that it has experienced several consecutive weeks of upward movement. Our analysis is based on the change in price action in lower time frames, where recent movements suggest a potential pullback. This correction, if it occurs, could serve as a pause before the continuation of the prevailing bullish trend.
Analyzing the NASDAQ and S&P500 from a top-down perspective, we observe that the price has returned to its macro movement, positioning itself in an MMBM scenario. Based on this, we have outlined the following DOL levels for the upcoming weeks.
Top-down analysis: when evaluating the DXY monthly chart, we identify a bullish movement forming, targeting external liquidity. Based on this, in the lower timeframes, we are aligning our bullish flow to set up the DOL and define the biases for the week and the upcoming days.