Netflix extended higher through April on the back of strong Q1 earnings, resilient pricing power, and traction in the ad-supported tier. That rally ran into valuation concerns by June, with analyst downgrades and questions over subscriber momentum, margin durability, and execution on the ad strategy.
Technically, the stock has since carved out a descending...
Macro Hook:
Sterling turned higher after the BoE’s hawkish lean in early August. Since then, Cable has been driven by two forces: UK’s sticky inflation (slowing the BoE’s path to cutting rates) and softer US data (feeding expectations of Fed cuts and a weaker dollar). Yesterday’s softer US PPI hinted at easing price pressures upstream, and today’s Core CPI will...
Fundamental Backdrop
Hyatt’s stock has seen significant volatility recently, driven by a mix of macroeconomic factors and company-specific challenges. In February 2025, the stock dropped due to a Q4 earnings miss, a cautious 2025 outlook, and concerns around the Playa acquisition. However, it rebounded in April 2025, driven by strong Q1 earnings, a successful...
EUR/USD has staged a clean rebound since August as soft U.S. data and dovish Fed expectations weighed on the dollar, while Eurozone resilience added support. July’s pullback was tied to U.S.–EU tariff developments, but momentum has since shifted, with RSI showing further room to the upside.
Key resistance at 1.1800 is now under pressure—holding above here opens...
USDJPY has been driven by shifting rate expectations through 2025. The pair sold off early in the year as markets priced Fed cuts, then recovered into summer on firm U.S. yields and a still-dovish BOJ. By August, momentum stalled again as yields dipped and the Fed hinted at easing.
Alongside the price chart, the U.S.–Japan 10Y yield spread offers important...
The S&P 500 has been climbing inside a rising wedge pattern, often seen as a sign that momentum is slowing down. At the same time, the RSI is showing lower highs, which hints at weakening strength behind the move.
Right now, the market feels like it’s waiting for a spark. That spark could come from the macro side — whether it’s rising bond yields making stocks...
