Advanced Micro Devices Inc
Short
Updated

Short - AMD

3 394
Time period for this play : week to months

Analysis : Elliot wave 12345 ABC. Expect hitting .618 and bounce back up to go higher.
Pattern if wave B completed : Head & Shoulder
Price Target: Wave ABC

ETA Timeline for correction. Please refer to the chart.

Upcoming events:
Tariff active on 8/1/25 - Friday
Earning on 8/5/25 - Tuesday

Top is not in yet, so 2 Possible top-in levels:
Top 1 - $163.45 : Retesting to hit 163.45, rejected, and break $158
Top 2 - $173.94 : Breaking 163.45 and reject at 173.94
=> Overall, It begins trading side way and show some weakness now.

The correction may not pull back to .618, which is the best level. Other scenarios:
- 0.5 fib, where it test wave 3
- 0.328 fib, strong bullish level if it doesn't break & go to the upside faster


Note
***** Please Note that fib .618 is an ideal level, not a guarantee. The most possible retracement is .382

Trade active
Next target for the downside at $147. Perfectly taking profit at 149.5
Note
AMD closed and hold the support nicely today. If it retraces to the upside, meaning top is not in yet.

Levels to watch:

Call : breaking 157.8 to test 164-170 ish area
Put : breaking 149.5 to test 147-140 ish area
Note
AMD nicely goes to the upside. If it keeps the strength, next target is 185
Note
Levels to watch:

A small correction might happen this Friday before testing the big resistance at 187. I strongly believe it can run to 187 due to earning and the hype next week.

Put: Breaking 174 to test 169-162
Call: Breaking 180 to test 182.22-187.5
Note
Levels to watch (08/4/25-08/08/25) - Earning week.

Put: Breaking 167 to test 162.5. Monitor price movement at 162.5 if it rejects strongly when retraces to the upside -> Top is in and expect to play the B-C correction wave.

Call: Breaking 178 -> 182.5 -> 187.7. If 187.7 is not breaking, expecting top in.
Note
Levels to watch (08/11/25-08/15/25) - Sadly top hasn't been in yet as it bounced from the EMA 20 perfectly. However,
It has been battling to pass the resistance at 175.7 for 4 days, and another resistance is 177.7

Put: break down 167 -> PT 162.5. At this level, AMD shows more sign of weakness.

Call: breaking 177.7 -> PT 187.7


Note
AMD run is still resilient, if it breaks 187.7 it will send AMD to 205 to fill the gap.

- Keep an eye on support line 180. If it breaks, it shows weakness and become a false breakout.
- If it breaks out the resistance 185.95 -> 187.7 -> 193 -> 205

Note


Top is in as AMD has been trading sideway for more than 1 week, creating a bear flag in 4hr chart. In daily chart, it can’t close above EMA 20. Looking for a downside continuation

Levels to watch
- if it breaks down 162 => price target is 150-148
- If it closes above 168.8 => showing signs of going back up to retest 187
Note
New levels for AMD since the top is near to the current resistance at $187.7. Pattern is the same as the chart, just different price targets.

PT1: $153.2
PT2: $148
PT3: $134.2 (possible & this level is a very strong demand zone)
Note
PT1 hit

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