Hello Traders 🐺
Today will be one of the most important events for the crypto market in the last two months.
We have two major events happening today, and I want to dive into both of them in detail.
Also, I’ll share my personal prediction about BTC.D because it looks juicy for ETH and other alts.
So stick with me until the very end!
Let’s start with the fundamentals:
📍FOMC decision drops today
✅ How today's Fed decision could impact the crypto market (if rates stay unchanged):
1. 🔸 Signal of no further tightening
When the Fed keeps rates steady, it’s a sign they’re not looking to tighten policy further — at least for now.
That boosts risk appetite across markets, which tends to benefit risk-on assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, and growth stocks.
📈 The result?
We could see a short-term pump in crypto prices — especially if Powell strikes a dovish tone in the press conference.
2. 🔸 Indirect effect via the dollar and bond yields
If markets interpret the Fed’s pause as a step toward future rate cuts, the dollar may weaken —
And since BTC/USD tends to move inversely to the dollar, that’s another tailwind for crypto.
3. 🔸 Muted effect if tone is neutral or hawkish
If the Fed simply pauses rates without signaling cuts ahead, crypto may react flat or even negatively —
Because it pushes back expectations for easing.
📍White House crypto report drops today too
On top of the Fed, the White House is also set to release a major crypto policy report.
If it includes positive signals — like support for stablecoins, clearer regulation, or talk of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve —
combined with a neutral or dovish Fed, it could be a powerful bullish trigger for the crypto space.
By considering these facts, we can now go to the chart and see what it's telling us.
Let’s start with the BTC.D chart — then I’ll also take a look at the ETH/BTC chart, since it’s another well-known indicator for the altcoin market alongside BTC.D.
As you can see on the chart, price is currently below one of the key weekly resistance levels from recent months.
In my opinion, if we get positive news from the Fed and the White House, we’ll likely see another leg down in BTC.D — toward the first take-profit area around 56.3%, which I’ve highlighted on the chart.
This could mark the beginning of an altcoin season, and we can expect further downside movement on BTC dominance.
Now let’s look at the ETH/BTC chart:
The interesting thing about ETH/BTC is that it's moving almost identically to BTC.D — but in the opposite direction.
That means we might be about to see two major rallies, pushing price toward the key resistance zone at the monthly level.
Hope you enjoyed the idea — and make sure to always remember our rules 😎
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Today will be one of the most important events for the crypto market in the last two months.
We have two major events happening today, and I want to dive into both of them in detail.
Also, I’ll share my personal prediction about BTC.D because it looks juicy for ETH and other alts.
So stick with me until the very end!
Let’s start with the fundamentals:
📍FOMC decision drops today
✅ How today's Fed decision could impact the crypto market (if rates stay unchanged):
1. 🔸 Signal of no further tightening
When the Fed keeps rates steady, it’s a sign they’re not looking to tighten policy further — at least for now.
That boosts risk appetite across markets, which tends to benefit risk-on assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, and growth stocks.
📈 The result?
We could see a short-term pump in crypto prices — especially if Powell strikes a dovish tone in the press conference.
2. 🔸 Indirect effect via the dollar and bond yields
If markets interpret the Fed’s pause as a step toward future rate cuts, the dollar may weaken —
And since BTC/USD tends to move inversely to the dollar, that’s another tailwind for crypto.
3. 🔸 Muted effect if tone is neutral or hawkish
If the Fed simply pauses rates without signaling cuts ahead, crypto may react flat or even negatively —
Because it pushes back expectations for easing.
📍White House crypto report drops today too
On top of the Fed, the White House is also set to release a major crypto policy report.
If it includes positive signals — like support for stablecoins, clearer regulation, or talk of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve —
combined with a neutral or dovish Fed, it could be a powerful bullish trigger for the crypto space.
By considering these facts, we can now go to the chart and see what it's telling us.
Let’s start with the BTC.D chart — then I’ll also take a look at the ETH/BTC chart, since it’s another well-known indicator for the altcoin market alongside BTC.D.
As you can see on the chart, price is currently below one of the key weekly resistance levels from recent months.
In my opinion, if we get positive news from the Fed and the White House, we’ll likely see another leg down in BTC.D — toward the first take-profit area around 56.3%, which I’ve highlighted on the chart.
This could mark the beginning of an altcoin season, and we can expect further downside movement on BTC dominance.
Now let’s look at the ETH/BTC chart:
The interesting thing about ETH/BTC is that it's moving almost identically to BTC.D — but in the opposite direction.
That means we might be about to see two major rallies, pushing price toward the key resistance zone at the monthly level.
Hope you enjoyed the idea — and make sure to always remember our rules 😎
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
_____________________________________
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable ,
But almost always profitable 🐺
TElEGRAM CHANNEL : t.me/KIU_COIN
_____________________________________
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable ,
But almost always profitable 🐺
TElEGRAM CHANNEL : t.me/KIU_COIN
_____________________________________
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
_____________________________________
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable ,
But almost always profitable 🐺
TElEGRAM CHANNEL : t.me/KIU_COIN
_____________________________________
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable ,
But almost always profitable 🐺
TElEGRAM CHANNEL : t.me/KIU_COIN
_____________________________________
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.