Bitcooin Major invalidation: breaks below 107793 then 105054k$

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Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum: Strong bullish bias across all timeframes, confirmed by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator.
Key Support/Resistance: HTF daily pivot zone 105054–102019. Major resistances: 109179 then 110483–111949. Key supports: 107793–105054.
Volume: Normal and healthy on all TFs, no euphoria; uptick on 30min, watch for breakout confirmation.
Multi-TF Behavior: Bullish consolidation, no behavioral excesses detected. ISPD DIV strictly neutral, no panic or euphoria visible.

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Strategic Summary
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Global Bias: Dominant bullish structure. Trend remains steady as long as the HTF daily support 105054–102019 holds.
Opportunities: Buy on dips, target the confirmed breakout of 109179 to extend towards 110483–111949. “Buy-the-dip” remains relevant on 107793–105054.
Risk zones: Volatility expected around the FOMC minutes (07/09) & risks linked to the end of the US tariffs suspension. Neutral/bearish scenario below 105054.
Macro catalysts: FOMC, US tariff decision, bullish institutional news; exercise caution ahead of major 07/09 events.
Action Plan: Active management on macro catalysts; stops below 107793 (ST) or 105054 (swing). Act post-news for signal confirmation.

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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D: Bullish structure, consolidating below key resistance at 110483/111949. Buyers control above 105054–102019.
12H/6H/4H: Upper-range under control, no signs of distribution or exhaustion. 109179 is immediate resistance to watch for breakout.
2H/1H: Active micro-range between 107793–109179. “Buy the dip” on support, execute on confirmed breakout.
30min/15min: No extreme signals, moderate volatility, volumes contained; breakout needs to be confirmed above 109179.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong BUY signal from daily to 30min, still positive on 15min.
Summary: Homogeneous context, robust bullish trend. Major resistances ahead, no case for counter-trend shorting while key supports hold.

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Cross-Analysis & Fundamentals
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On-chain trend: Massive HODLing, no selling pressure, stable liquidity, institutions buying.
Macro & calendar: High uncertainty for 07/09. Watch FOMC minutes, end of US tariffs, US auctions, oil inventories. Extreme volatility possible—caution.
Risk Management Synthesis: Buy on support/lower range, active management pre-catalysts, technical stop below 107793/105054, targets at resistance 110483–111949.

Ox_kali

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Ox_kali

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