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Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Strategic Summary
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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Conclusion & risk management
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Technical Overview – Summary Points
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- Bullish momentum confirmed across all timeframes: Structure remains healthy, no behavioral anomalies detected.
- Key supports: Main HTF pivot around $98,000–$100,000; first intermediate support zone at $105,000.
- Major resistances: Critical area between $109,000 and $112,000, dense pivot and volume profile confluence.
- Volumes: Normal to very high depending on TF, no speculative excess; gradual rise hints at possible expansion phase.
- Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy from daily to 1H, shifting to neutral on shorter timeframes (30min–15min).
- ISPD DIV/Mason's line: Predominantly neutral histogram, no overheat or capitulation detected.
- Multi-timeframe behavior: Robust underlying structure, increased volatility but no massive selling stress.
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Strategic Summary
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- Global bias: Bullish dominance as long as $98k–$100k holds.
- Opportunity zones: Buy on pullback to $105k, swing confirm above $111k with volume/ISPD validation.
- Risk / Invalidation: Stop loss below $98k; extra caution on macro/Fed events.
- Macro catalysts: Fed/NFP-US (July 2–4), monitor behavior via ISPD DIV (blue to red).
- Action plan: Structured and tactical long bias, “no trade” zone before major US releases, immediate stop on support break.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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- 1D: Bullish momentum, no overheat. Pivot 98–100k = strategic fallback.
- 12H–6H: Signs remain bullish, no anomalies, intermediate supports at 105–107k.
- 4H–2H: Positive consolidation, rising volumes; possible accumulation on 105k dips.
- 1H–30min: Multiple resistances under 110–112k, very high volumes, maintain vigilance for sudden spikes.
- 15min: Extreme volatility, but no clear seller excess; watch for “trap” formation.
- Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy on main timeframes, shifting to neutral/buy on 30min/15min (breather zone).
- ISPD DIV/Mason's line: No buyer capitulation, overall neutral histogram.
- Summary: Bullish cross-timeframe alignment, only macro events may trigger a break.
Key economic calendar
- 07/02: Powell speech – Potential added risk-on boost.
- 07/02: US tariff updates – Possible volatility.
- 07/04: NFP, ISM... High expected volatility.
Action: Heightened caution pre-announcements, validate through volume/ISPD.
- On-chain: Dominant HODLing, no dumping, stable institutional volume.
- Macro: Fed, inflation, geopolitics under watch.
- Tactical: Spot any warning via ISPD or volume cluster.
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Conclusion & risk management
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- Strong bullish bias as long as $98k–$100k holds.
- Optimal buy on $105k/$100k dips, swing confirm on $111k break.
- Outside of US events: strict tactical discipline required.
- Absolute invalidation zone: break below $98k (HTF + STH cost-basis).
- Remain vigilant for ISPD red + volume spike / macro headlines.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.