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Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Sustained bullish momentum on BTCUSDT across all swing timeframes.
➤ Key supports: 116400–117400 (likely rebound), major supports: 105047–114674.
➤ Main resistances: 119000–120000 (short term), major ceiling at 123240 (1D/12H).
➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: "Strong Buy" signal – tech sector leadership confirmed.
➤ Volumes normal to moderately elevated, no excess or behavioral anomaly (ISPD "Neutral").
➤ No euphoria or capitulation flags; general wait-and-see attitude, FOMC event ahead.
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Strategic Summary
➤ Strategic bullish bias remains as long as 116400/117400 supports hold.
➤ Opportunity window: buy pullbacks towards 117400–116400 with tight stops; clear invalidation below 115900.
➤ Risks: FOMC-induced volatility, increased leverage on alts, potential capitulation if key support breaks.
➤ Catalysts: FOMC communication, geopolitical context (no immediate threat), background risk-off climate not yet triggered.
➤ Action plan: Prioritize post-event reaction over anticipation; maintain strict technical protection.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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Strategic decision & macro
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Macro catalysts overview
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Final Decision Summary
Robust technical setup with a clear bullish bias. Optimal entries on 117400-116400 pullbacks, stops below support, active management needed during FOMC. No on-chain excess; constructive background unless exogenous shock or resistance failure (119000–123240). Stay alert for breakout/reject pivot.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Sustained bullish momentum on BTCUSDT across all swing timeframes.
➤ Key supports: 116400–117400 (likely rebound), major supports: 105047–114674.
➤ Main resistances: 119000–120000 (short term), major ceiling at 123240 (1D/12H).
➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: "Strong Buy" signal – tech sector leadership confirmed.
➤ Volumes normal to moderately elevated, no excess or behavioral anomaly (ISPD "Neutral").
➤ No euphoria or capitulation flags; general wait-and-see attitude, FOMC event ahead.
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Strategic Summary
➤ Strategic bullish bias remains as long as 116400/117400 supports hold.
➤ Opportunity window: buy pullbacks towards 117400–116400 with tight stops; clear invalidation below 115900.
➤ Risks: FOMC-induced volatility, increased leverage on alts, potential capitulation if key support breaks.
➤ Catalysts: FOMC communication, geopolitical context (no immediate threat), background risk-off climate not yet triggered.
➤ Action plan: Prioritize post-event reaction over anticipation; maintain strict technical protection.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
- 1D: Uptrend confirmed. Price above all major supports. Strong resistance at 123240, key support at 105047, normal volumes, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator "Strong Buy", ISPD "Neutral".
- 12H: Bullish bias. Resistance cluster 120002–123240. Intermediate supports 114674/111949. Momentum/volume supported, no excesses.
- 6H: Bullish near range top, supports at 114674/111949, ceiling at 120002–123240. Solid Risk On / Risk Off Indicator.
- 4H–2H: Up momentum, resistance 119003–120002–123240, supports 116474/117800. Moderate/normal volumes.
- 1H: Strong uptrend, thick resistance at 119000–120000, immediate supports 117800/116474. Slight volume uptick ahead of FOMC.
- 30min–15min: Resistance 119003–120000 (~H4 pivot). Intraday support 117400–117800/118200. Both Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and ISPD neutral, normal volumes, bullish as long as 116474 holds.
- SYNTHESIS: Broad bullish confluence on MTFTI from 1H to 1D/W.
- Supports at 116474/117400 are key pivots for maintaining bullish swing view.
- No behavioral alerts or extreme volumes.
- Consolidation/waiting likely before FOMC release – monitor reactions at pivot zones.
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Strategic decision & macro
- Opportunities: Swing bullish scenario favored as long as key supports hold, buy strategic pullbacks, reverse on clear break.
- Main risk: FOMC volatility, altcoin excesses, possible post-announcement fake moves. Active monitoring essential.
- Macro/on-chain: No excess, BTC realized cap > $1T; aggressive rotation into alts, high open interest. No capitulation. Major on-chain & technical support aligned at 114500–118000.
- Action plan: Favor reactivity (post-FOMC), tight stops, progressive take profits at 119500–123240 resistance. No aggressive pre-positioning.
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Macro catalysts overview
- FOMC expected: status quo, market sensitive to any Powell tone shift.
- Global macro: latent risk-off, geopolitical drivers closely watched.
- BTC stable, no technical disruptor in the immediate term.
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Final Decision Summary
Robust technical setup with a clear bullish bias. Optimal entries on 117400-116400 pullbacks, stops below support, active management needed during FOMC. No on-chain excess; constructive background unless exogenous shock or resistance failure (119000–123240). Stay alert for breakout/reject pivot.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.