As of 16 April cable was on track to complete its longest unbroken round of gains in nearly a year, having risen to seven-month highs. The outlook for rates doesn’t obviously favour either currency, with both the Fed and the Bank of England expected to cut at least twice more this year and possibly three or four times. Recent lower confidence in the dollar amid flip-flopping on tariffs seems unlikely to reverse soon as considerable capital has moved out of the USA and into other markets.
As with other major forex pairs in recent weeks, the medium-term resistance isn’t obvious as a result of the strength of recent movement. September 2024’s $1.34 is a possible candidate but it’s questionable whether the price will continue directly there given the clear overbought signal from Bollinger Bands. The 50 SMA from Bands seems to be a clear dynamic support. It’s also important to monitor the weekly close: if this is below $1.32, consolidation or maybe a retracement lower seem more likely than continuation next week, but that depends on data (PMIs and retail sales) and sentiment too.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
As with other major forex pairs in recent weeks, the medium-term resistance isn’t obvious as a result of the strength of recent movement. September 2024’s $1.34 is a possible candidate but it’s questionable whether the price will continue directly there given the clear overbought signal from Bollinger Bands. The 50 SMA from Bands seems to be a clear dynamic support. It’s also important to monitor the weekly close: if this is below $1.32, consolidation or maybe a retracement lower seem more likely than continuation next week, but that depends on data (PMIs and retail sales) and sentiment too.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.