GBP/USD — Potential Bullish Reversal Setup | Long Bias Above Sup
🧠 Thesis:
GBP/USD is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal from a key confluence zone. While price has recently tested short-term descending channel, we’re currently testing a strong ascending trendline support and prior demand zone. This setup offers a favorable long-risk scenario — so long as price remains above 1.3335 (invalid level).
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Descending Channel: Price has been in a corrective downward channel since early July. This pullback appears orderly and corrective rather than impulsive.
Support Zone: We are seeing strong reactions from the 1.3400–1.3440 area, which aligns with:
Previous consolidation zone (mid-May).
200 EMA on the 4H.
Long-term ascending trendline support (from April lows).
Bullish RSI Divergence: RSI is testing oversold territory (~32) with potential for bullish divergence forming — a classic early signal for a bounce.
EMA Cluster: 50 EMA has been breached but price is testing the 200 EMA as last-resort dynamic support. If held, this further adds to the bullish case.
🧭 Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Bias (Preferred)
If price holds above the trendline support and breaks out of the descending channel, we could see a bullish impulse toward:
🎯 TP1: 1.3600 (prior structure)
🎯 TP2: 1.3770 (trendline extension & fib confluence)
Confirmation trigger: Break and close above 1.3500 resistance (channel breakout).
❌ Invalidation:
A decisive break below 1.3335 (marked in red) invalidates this idea and shifts bias back to bearish — potential deeper pullback toward 1.3200s.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Entry zone: 1.3430–1.3450 (near support)
Stop loss: Below 1.3335
Risk-reward: >2.5:1 on a successful breakout
📝 Conclusion:
This is a classic trend-continuation play with clean structure and a logical invalidation point. The market is offering a textbook “buy-the-dip” scenario off strong multi-timeframe support. Patience is key — wait for confirmation before sizing in.
GBP/USD is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal from a key confluence zone. While price has recently tested short-term descending channel, we’re currently testing a strong ascending trendline support and prior demand zone. This setup offers a favorable long-risk scenario — so long as price remains above 1.3335 (invalid level).
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Descending Channel: Price has been in a corrective downward channel since early July. This pullback appears orderly and corrective rather than impulsive.
Support Zone: We are seeing strong reactions from the 1.3400–1.3440 area, which aligns with:
Previous consolidation zone (mid-May).
200 EMA on the 4H.
Long-term ascending trendline support (from April lows).
Bullish RSI Divergence: RSI is testing oversold territory (~32) with potential for bullish divergence forming — a classic early signal for a bounce.
EMA Cluster: 50 EMA has been breached but price is testing the 200 EMA as last-resort dynamic support. If held, this further adds to the bullish case.
🧭 Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Bias (Preferred)
If price holds above the trendline support and breaks out of the descending channel, we could see a bullish impulse toward:
🎯 TP1: 1.3600 (prior structure)
🎯 TP2: 1.3770 (trendline extension & fib confluence)
Confirmation trigger: Break and close above 1.3500 resistance (channel breakout).
❌ Invalidation:
A decisive break below 1.3335 (marked in red) invalidates this idea and shifts bias back to bearish — potential deeper pullback toward 1.3200s.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Entry zone: 1.3430–1.3450 (near support)
Stop loss: Below 1.3335
Risk-reward: >2.5:1 on a successful breakout
📝 Conclusion:
This is a classic trend-continuation play with clean structure and a logical invalidation point. The market is offering a textbook “buy-the-dip” scenario off strong multi-timeframe support. Patience is key — wait for confirmation before sizing in.
Trade active
💎 FREE FOREX and CRYPTO Signals: t.me/WWInvestmentsFree
🌐 Website: taplink.cc/wrightwayinvestments
🌐 Website: taplink.cc/wrightwayinvestments
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
💎 FREE FOREX and CRYPTO Signals: t.me/WWInvestmentsFree
🌐 Website: taplink.cc/wrightwayinvestments
🌐 Website: taplink.cc/wrightwayinvestments
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.