NZD/USD.bearish flag Chart Pattern

181
bearish flag analysis, and indicator confirmation so you can see the full picture for NZD/USD.


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1. Pattern: Bearish Flag

Pole: From ~0.6040 down to ~0.5920 (~120 pips drop).

Flag: Upward-sloping yellow channel (counter-trend).

Break: Price has exited the channel downward — bearish continuation signal.


Target Calculation (Measured Move):

Pole height ≈ 120 pips.

Breakdown area ≈ 0.5920.

Projected target: 0.5920 − 0.0120 = 0.5800 (roughly).

This matches closely with your second marked target (0.58415) when factoring in support zones.



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2. Targets from Your Chart & Analysis

Short-Term Target (T1) → 0.5900
Reason: Minor support and first pause zone after breakdown.

Medium-Term Target (T2) → 0.5841
Reason: Measured move + strong historical support.

Extended Target (T3) → 0.5800
Reason: Full flagpole projection without rounding for early bounces.



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3. Indicator Confirmation

Ichimoku Cloud

Price is below the cloud → bearish signal.

Future cloud is red & widening → momentum favors downside.

Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen above price → resistance overhead.


Trendlines

Yellow channel = flag structure.

Break below lower trendline confirms bearish bias.


Volume
(Not visible in your screenshot — but ideally, a spike in sell volume confirms the breakout.)

Overall Bias: Strong bearish continuation toward 0.5841–0.5800 unless price re-enters the channel.
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Trade closed: target reached
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