Roku, Inc.
Long
Updated

$ROKU near heavy entry (3/5)

212
Conviction: 3/5
Should probably wait for better entry around bottom support (4/5)


General Thesis
  • Weekly RSI good entry level
  • Daily RSI bounced off oversold, could still become bullish divergence with a lower low
  • bounced off near-term (2017) support trend line since inception


Growth
  • Gross margins (45%) is pretty steady the last few years, at all time highs
  • Revenue growth (50%) around historical average, down from 2020 pandemic highs


Value
  • P/S below average, looks like about historical median
  • P/FCF is very high (156), but about around mid-range of history


Fundamentals & Balance Sheet
  • quick ratio very attractive


Potential Risks
  • history is quite short, unclear how it will behave during recession
  • Daily RSI could spike down to oversold area some more
  • Historically no bullish divergence on weekly RSI before bounce
Note
Struggling along the support... looks more promising though!
Note
RSI-D showed bullish divergence

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