SPY just broke the 100 weekly moving average and has broken below a previous support level as shown by the white line around 254-255 that had held the price back in February and April. I suspect it will retest the 200 weekly MA around 234-235 which is approximately a 6-7% drop. If the 200 weekly MA does not hold, we could be setting up for a longer-term recession as we enter into 2019.
Moving average guide (all weekly for this chart):
10 MA in orange
20 MA in pink
50 MA in green
100 MA in yellow
200 MA in red.
Moving average guide (all weekly for this chart):
10 MA in orange
20 MA in pink
50 MA in green
100 MA in yellow
200 MA in red.
Note
Coming down as expected: Note
Getting closer: Trade closed: target reached
Target hit around 234-235: 
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.