📉 USD/JPY 4H Analysis – Demand Zone Revisit Expected
The pair is currently in a retracement phase after tapping into a higher-timeframe supply zone. Let's break down the structure and reasoning behind this setup:
1. Market Structure & Smart Money Footprints
• The chart begins with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside from a prior low, confirming a bullish shift.
• This upward move was supported by multiple Short-Term Supports (SS) that were respected throughout the bullish trend.
• Price has maintained a general uptrend structure, making higher lows and higher highs, but is now showing signs of a correction.
2. Supply and Demand Zones
• Supply Zone (147.288 – 148.000):
This is the last bearish zone before a sharp sell-off, indicating institutional selling pressure. Price tapped into this zone and has since reacted bearishly — a likely area where smart money took profits or initiated shorts.
• Demand Zone (139.740 – 140.728):
Marked from the origin of the bullish impulse and supported by a previous BOS, this is a critical area where institutional buying may resume. It also aligns with a liquidity sweep and previously unmitigated demand — a key confluence zone for potential longs.
3. Current Market Behavior
• Price is currently declining toward the demand zone, and based on structure, this is likely a healthy retracement.
• The chart suggests a buy limit setup at demand, with a tight stop just below 139.740 and a target near the previous supply reaction.
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✅ Trade Idea
• Bias: Bullish from demand
• Entry: Around 140.728
• Stop Loss: Below 139.740
• Take Profit: 147.288 (just before the supply zone)
• Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:4
This setup assumes price will respect demand and continue the bullish structure, especially after multiple SS validations and a strong institutional reaction in the past.
🧠 Final Thoughts
This setup reflects classic Smart Money Concept principles:
• Structure shift via BOS
• Entry at unmitigated demand
• Exit just before major supply
• Strong confluence from price history and liquidity sweep zones
Wait for confirmation in the demand zone — a bullish engulfing, internal BOS, or FVG fill could give additional confidence to enter long.
NB: x represents previous liquidity sweep
$$ represents liquidity
bos represents break of structure
CHEERS TO WEALTH!!!
The pair is currently in a retracement phase after tapping into a higher-timeframe supply zone. Let's break down the structure and reasoning behind this setup:
1. Market Structure & Smart Money Footprints
• The chart begins with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside from a prior low, confirming a bullish shift.
• This upward move was supported by multiple Short-Term Supports (SS) that were respected throughout the bullish trend.
• Price has maintained a general uptrend structure, making higher lows and higher highs, but is now showing signs of a correction.
2. Supply and Demand Zones
• Supply Zone (147.288 – 148.000):
This is the last bearish zone before a sharp sell-off, indicating institutional selling pressure. Price tapped into this zone and has since reacted bearishly — a likely area where smart money took profits or initiated shorts.
• Demand Zone (139.740 – 140.728):
Marked from the origin of the bullish impulse and supported by a previous BOS, this is a critical area where institutional buying may resume. It also aligns with a liquidity sweep and previously unmitigated demand — a key confluence zone for potential longs.
3. Current Market Behavior
• Price is currently declining toward the demand zone, and based on structure, this is likely a healthy retracement.
• The chart suggests a buy limit setup at demand, with a tight stop just below 139.740 and a target near the previous supply reaction.
________________________________________
✅ Trade Idea
• Bias: Bullish from demand
• Entry: Around 140.728
• Stop Loss: Below 139.740
• Take Profit: 147.288 (just before the supply zone)
• Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:4
This setup assumes price will respect demand and continue the bullish structure, especially after multiple SS validations and a strong institutional reaction in the past.
🧠 Final Thoughts
This setup reflects classic Smart Money Concept principles:
• Structure shift via BOS
• Entry at unmitigated demand
• Exit just before major supply
• Strong confluence from price history and liquidity sweep zones
Wait for confirmation in the demand zone — a bullish engulfing, internal BOS, or FVG fill could give additional confidence to enter long.
NB: x represents previous liquidity sweep
$$ represents liquidity
bos represents break of structure
CHEERS TO WEALTH!!!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.