Long
Updated

$VMW potential bottom (3/5)

83
Conviction: 3/5
likely (40%) to go down more to touch lower trend line support (2008)


General Thesis
  • potential bullish div on weekly RSI @ oversold levels
  • could go down more to touch lower channel support (2008)
  • hovering long-time resistance / support line from peak of 2007, which was broken by covid panic


Growth
  • Gross margins high (82%), but decreasing since 2017
  • Revenue growth about historical average (11%)


Value
  • P/FCF below average
  • P/S below average


Fundamentals & Balance Sheet
  • low debt to asset (<1)
  • quick ratio good (>1)


Potential Risks
  • RSI-W not oversold yet
  • expensive P/FCF
  • another leg down for bullish divergence
  • another leg down to touch lower trend line support
Note
seems to have put in 5 waves up... looks more promising

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