🔥 XAUUSD TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 Date: July 24, 2025
📋 Trade Plan Overview
Plan ID Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
XAUUSD2407-ID Intra-Day Buy ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 85% 3.8:1 Awaiting Trigger
Guidance:
Prioritize Primary Buy Plan (D1/D4 zone, impulse-correction phase) with strong structural confluence and short-term exhaustion. Total risk: 1%.
🆔 Primary Trade Plan: Intra-Day BUY
📈 Market Bias & Trade Type
Bias: Bullish
Trade Type: Reversal from Demand Zone
🔰 Confidence Level
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%)
H4 Bullish OB Retest: 30%
Fib 61.8 + Demand Cluster: 25%
Volume Spike Exhaustion (H1): 15%
DXY Short-Term Weakness / Cross-Market Correlation: 15%
📌 Status
Awaiting Confirmation — Market at zone but no bullish pattern locked yet.
📍 Entry Zones
🟩 Primary Buy Zone:
📍 3370 – 3360
(H4 OB + Demand, 61.8% retracement of last impulse, early liquidity sweep)
🟧 Secondary Buy Zone:
📍 3344 – 3332
(M30 imbalance + D1 mid-range EQ liquidity trap)
❗ Stop Loss
📍 SL: 3325.00
(10 pips below deeper H1 structure + wick protection, ~35 USD risk window)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
🥇 TP1: 3408.00 – H1 Fair Value Gap Fill (~35 USD move, 1:1)
🥈 TP2: 3435.00 – H4 recent supply block retest (~65 USD move, 2:1+)
🥉 TP3: 3454.00 – D1 supply zone peak, swing high (~90 USD move, 3.8:1)
📏 Risk:Reward
TP1: 1:1
TP2: 2.2:1
TP3: 3.8:1
🧠 Management Strategy
Risk: 1% of $[Account] → $[Risk Amt], ~0.50 lot
SL to breakeven on TP1
Partial: 40% TP1, 40% TP2, 20% trail TP3
Monitor gold’s volatility vs. VIX, avoid extended NY session reversals
Exit full if H1 BOS to downside or USD surge spike
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria
Bullish engulfing / hammer on H1/M30
Volume surge on bid absorption (tick charts)
Entry only during London Open or NY Session (preferably 9:30 AM NY)
No major USD red news within 2hr window post-entry
⏳ Validity
H1 Plan: Valid for 12–16 hours
Expires: End of NY session July 24th (or on H4 candle close below 3325)
❌ Invalidation
Full-bodied H1 candle close below 3325.00
Sharp continuation drop without bullish absorption near 3360
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
COT: Net Longs still in favor, bullish undertone
DXY: Pullback expected after recent spike
Retail: 68% short XAU (supportive of buy)
Macro: Awaiting Fed speakers; no major risk event for today
Sentiment Score: +7.5/10
Historical: 72% win rate on this structure re-entry in 30-day data
📋 Final Trade Summary
Gold is reaching a prime confluence buy zone following a clean impulse drop and entering demand cluster between 3370–3360. Bias remains bullish as DXY shows rejection at local supply and gold reacts at fib/demand structure. Look for clean H1 confirmation before executing. Stop is beyond OB and liquidity. Excellent R:R potential toward prior supply.
📅 Date: July 24, 2025
📋 Trade Plan Overview
Plan ID Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
XAUUSD2407-ID Intra-Day Buy ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 85% 3.8:1 Awaiting Trigger
Guidance:
Prioritize Primary Buy Plan (D1/D4 zone, impulse-correction phase) with strong structural confluence and short-term exhaustion. Total risk: 1%.
🆔 Primary Trade Plan: Intra-Day BUY
📈 Market Bias & Trade Type
Bias: Bullish
Trade Type: Reversal from Demand Zone
🔰 Confidence Level
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%)
H4 Bullish OB Retest: 30%
Fib 61.8 + Demand Cluster: 25%
Volume Spike Exhaustion (H1): 15%
DXY Short-Term Weakness / Cross-Market Correlation: 15%
📌 Status
Awaiting Confirmation — Market at zone but no bullish pattern locked yet.
📍 Entry Zones
🟩 Primary Buy Zone:
📍 3370 – 3360
(H4 OB + Demand, 61.8% retracement of last impulse, early liquidity sweep)
🟧 Secondary Buy Zone:
📍 3344 – 3332
(M30 imbalance + D1 mid-range EQ liquidity trap)
❗ Stop Loss
📍 SL: 3325.00
(10 pips below deeper H1 structure + wick protection, ~35 USD risk window)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
🥇 TP1: 3408.00 – H1 Fair Value Gap Fill (~35 USD move, 1:1)
🥈 TP2: 3435.00 – H4 recent supply block retest (~65 USD move, 2:1+)
🥉 TP3: 3454.00 – D1 supply zone peak, swing high (~90 USD move, 3.8:1)
📏 Risk:Reward
TP1: 1:1
TP2: 2.2:1
TP3: 3.8:1
🧠 Management Strategy
Risk: 1% of $[Account] → $[Risk Amt], ~0.50 lot
SL to breakeven on TP1
Partial: 40% TP1, 40% TP2, 20% trail TP3
Monitor gold’s volatility vs. VIX, avoid extended NY session reversals
Exit full if H1 BOS to downside or USD surge spike
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria
Bullish engulfing / hammer on H1/M30
Volume surge on bid absorption (tick charts)
Entry only during London Open or NY Session (preferably 9:30 AM NY)
No major USD red news within 2hr window post-entry
⏳ Validity
H1 Plan: Valid for 12–16 hours
Expires: End of NY session July 24th (or on H4 candle close below 3325)
❌ Invalidation
Full-bodied H1 candle close below 3325.00
Sharp continuation drop without bullish absorption near 3360
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
COT: Net Longs still in favor, bullish undertone
DXY: Pullback expected after recent spike
Retail: 68% short XAU (supportive of buy)
Macro: Awaiting Fed speakers; no major risk event for today
Sentiment Score: +7.5/10
Historical: 72% win rate on this structure re-entry in 30-day data
📋 Final Trade Summary
Gold is reaching a prime confluence buy zone following a clean impulse drop and entering demand cluster between 3370–3360. Bias remains bullish as DXY shows rejection at local supply and gold reacts at fib/demand structure. Look for clean H1 confirmation before executing. Stop is beyond OB and liquidity. Excellent R:R potential toward prior supply.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.