GOLD (XAUUSD) Forming Bullish Continuation

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Gold (XAUUSD) is currently presenting a strong bullish continuation setup after breaking out of a falling channel on the 4H timeframe. Price action confirmed bullish momentum with impulsive candles following the breakout, and we’re now seeing a textbook retest of the breakout zone around 3,370–3,360, which previously acted as resistance and is now expected to hold as support. The risk-to-reward ratio remains highly favorable, targeting the 3,450–3,460 zone in the upcoming sessions.

From a macro perspective, gold is gaining upside traction as the US dollar weakens amid growing speculation around an upcoming Fed rate cut. Investors are rotating into safe-haven assets as recession concerns resurface, with the market pricing in increased geopolitical tension and slower economic growth forecasts. Real yields are cooling, which typically boosts non-yielding assets like gold. With central bank demand for gold also staying strong, the bullish narrative continues to build.

Technically, momentum remains in the bulls’ favor. RSI is still holding above midline levels, suggesting there’s room for further upside. The current pullback offers a healthy correction within a larger bullish trend. Holding above the 3,360–3,340 support range is key for continuation; a daily close above 3,390 would confirm the next wave toward 3,450 and possibly 3,500 in the medium term.

This is a clear case of momentum following structure. As long as the lower boundary holds firm, I remain bullish on gold with strong conviction. Watch for volume confirmation on the bounce, and trade the trend—momentum is with the buyers.



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