Gold Prices—Ahead of Key PCE Report
- Gold remains in a consolidation phase after last week’s sharp pullback, with traders weighing economic data.
Fundamental View:
- A strengthening U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields have pressured prices, but recent dollar weakness—down 3.4% for the month—has helped stabilise gold near the $3,000 level. Safe-haven demand remains elevated amid economic uncertainty, particularly around U.S. tariff policies. Markets are closely watching the potential impact of new tariffs set to take effect on April 2, with a more aggressive stance likely pushing gold toward $3,100, while a softer approach may lead to a temporary dip below $3,000.
- Last week, the Fed held rates steady and projected two cuts for the year, reinforcing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Traders are now turning to Friday’s PCE inflation report— the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A softer reading would likely fuel expectations of rate cuts, supporting gold, while a hotter-than-expected number could strengthen the dollar and pressure prices lower.
Technical View:
- Current price action suggests indecision, with gold trading at $3,027.49. Key support lies at $2,995 – $3,005, with a break below this range potentially triggering a move toward $2,930 – $2,940. The critical longer-term support remains at the 50-day moving average of $2,874.97.
- On the upside, a sustained move above $3,057.59 would signal a continuation of the broader uptrend, with targets at $3,100 and $3,150. As long as gold holds above $2,968.92, the bullish structure remains intact, and any pullbacks are likely to be short-lived.
- Gold remains in a consolidation phase after last week’s sharp pullback, with traders weighing economic data.
Fundamental View:
- A strengthening U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields have pressured prices, but recent dollar weakness—down 3.4% for the month—has helped stabilise gold near the $3,000 level. Safe-haven demand remains elevated amid economic uncertainty, particularly around U.S. tariff policies. Markets are closely watching the potential impact of new tariffs set to take effect on April 2, with a more aggressive stance likely pushing gold toward $3,100, while a softer approach may lead to a temporary dip below $3,000.
- Last week, the Fed held rates steady and projected two cuts for the year, reinforcing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Traders are now turning to Friday’s PCE inflation report— the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A softer reading would likely fuel expectations of rate cuts, supporting gold, while a hotter-than-expected number could strengthen the dollar and pressure prices lower.
Technical View:
- Current price action suggests indecision, with gold trading at $3,027.49. Key support lies at $2,995 – $3,005, with a break below this range potentially triggering a move toward $2,930 – $2,940. The critical longer-term support remains at the 50-day moving average of $2,874.97.
- On the upside, a sustained move above $3,057.59 would signal a continuation of the broader uptrend, with targets at $3,100 and $3,150. As long as gold holds above $2,968.92, the bullish structure remains intact, and any pullbacks are likely to be short-lived.
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Disclaimer
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GOLDFXCC™ Leading Educational platform—whether you're just starting or an experienced trader, access knowledge and insights to refine your skills and achieve more.
➤ Telegram: t.me/+OYfvKDvM0w81MTJk
♛ Website: bio.site/goldfxcc.com
➤ Telegram: t.me/+OYfvKDvM0w81MTJk
♛ Website: bio.site/goldfxcc.com
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.