XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – July 1 to July 5, 2025

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Gold is will consolidating below broken trendline resistance and trading inside a short-term bearish channel. A critical support zone lies ahead, while bulls may try to reclaim lost ground. Here's the structured outlook:

Key Levels:
🔺 Resistance:
R1: 3297 – 23.6% Fib level + Trendline confluence zone

R2: 3325 – 3337 – Strong structural zone + previous highs

🔻 Support:
S1: 3252 – Recent swing low (Fib 0%)

S2: 3203 – Psychological and structural level

S3: 3125 – 3165 – Weekly support area

🧠 Bias Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If bulls reclaim above 3297 (R1) and sustain:

Potential push toward R2: 3325–3337.

Watch for bullish breakout from the falling channel.

Targets will expand if price holds above the green long-term trendline.

❌ Bearish Scenario:
If gold fails to break and hold above the green trendline and 3297, expect:

Continuation inside the falling channel.

Bearish push toward S1: 3252, and if broken, slide toward S2: 3203 and even S3: 3125–3165.

Technical Signals:
Price respecting Fibonacci retracement zones.

Bearish channel still intact, awaiting breakout confirmation.

Volume shows bearish pressure near resistance zones.

Weekly support could act as a demand base if market sentiment shifts.

Summary for Next Week:

⚠️ Watch how price reacts around 3297 and the trendline.
Rejection will likely open the path to lower supports.
A breakout above resistance with volume can switch momentum bullish again.

Note: Stay cautious with macroeconomic events or USD strength-related catalysts.

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