AUDCHF I It will rise from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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XRP | Unlocking the Secret Bonus LevelWelcome XRP friends! Wondering where we're going? Here are some things to consider :
As we come out of our US Thanksgiving Day food comas, we're looking at some decent gains on the most recent run BUT, you're asking if this is it? Honestly, I think it still has legs for the 0.45 area where we find resistance at the 200 EMA
Look at the fork and see if it makes sense to go there, I think the Fibonacci's all suggest it's possible.
Remember, XRP ALWAYS pumps before mad dumps and there's still a ton of overhead selling pressure if you look at the VPFR, Look at all the volume that went into the 0.50+ range before the most recent selloff.
Check out recent statements by Ripple CTO regarding ETH looking more and more centralized as a result of much of the network relying on AWS servers. What a comedy show and Vitalik looks more tarded with each passing day.
Bitty is also having plenty of negative light being cast, I can't see us NOT having more down.
Anyway, see you at the bottom . . eventually
BTC/USD - is BTC still in a downtrend?Let’s have a look at the BTC/USD 1 week chart and see what this chart and indicators are telling us.
BTC is still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern.
BTC is also still in a massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern.
Note that the 50MA is still traveling DOWNWARDS towards the 200MA so we still might see a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe.
At the moment of typing this, BTC has crossed back under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 week timeframe. A successful close below the LSMA and successful re-test as resistance will indicate that the direction of travel will most likely continue downwards.
BTC is still way under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the Descending Pitchfork Pattern, we can see the Support and Resistance levels that BTC has been hitting on this indicator.
Here is a closer look at this 1 week chart:
BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of all 3 of its major Ichimoku Clouds.
Looking at BTC’s most important Ichimoku Cloud:
The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that mid-point the short-term momentum is downwards at the moment.
The Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum, at the moment is starting to slope downwards.
Using the Negative V Calculation from the 1 Month Chart, and using the Ichimoku Timespan Numbers of 65-Bars and 76-Bars starting from the ATH at $68,789.63 back in Nov 2021, we have 2 potential timeframes for the price target $9,916.
V Calculation Negative (from 1 month chart)
V = B - (C-B) = D
C $25,160 - B $17,538 = $7,622
B $17,538 - (C-B) $7,1622 = $9,916
D1 = $9,916 The week of 6th Feb 2023
D2 = $9,916 The week 24th April 2023
Note that this is NOT a bottom for BTC but is a PRICE TARGET using the Ichimoku V Calculation (Negative).
Looking at the Up/Down Volume, we can see that the Volume Traded since around June 2021 has been nothing when compared to what has been previously traded in the past.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI is pointing downwards and still has plenty of room to move downwards before becoming Oversold on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI is getting very close to crossing under is 9 Period EMA.
From my opinion, before anyone can start talking or preaching about bottoms, reversals and bull-runs, we need to talk about fundamentals and what is happening to the world economy. We also now know that the Crypto world isn’t yet a hedge against inflation and we also need to accept the fact that the world is already in a recession and possibly heading into a depression in 2023.
From my opinion BTC is still in a mid to longterm downtrend. That is NOT going to change unless BTC crosses back ABOVE and more importantly CLOSES ABOVE its 200MA on the 1 Day Chart for Mid-Term and 1 Week Chart for Long-Term. If/when this happens, be on the lookout for any successful re-test as support on these timeframes.
Once this world wide recession fully bottoms out be it in 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 5 years or 10 years and when the powers that be have had their fill of transferring wealth from the Middle Class and the Poor to the elites, then true opportunities WILL ARISE for those who are ready.
Again this is all my opinion so I hope this post is helpful.
Santa Does Not Come to Bear MarketsA fierce face-ripping rally characteristic of bear markets caught shorts out on Winter Solstice, but should not be mistaken for anything than another bear rally.
We have had a number of these all year long. This is no different. The .382 fibo aligns with 50 MA at the higher structure neckline, an ominous triple coincidence. IMO this move is consistent with an Elliot Fourth Wave, with a Fifth Wave final plunge yet to follow.
Highlighted RSI graph, notice the Twin Peak Things in prior cascade. We are lining up with Thing Two. After the Things visit there will be quite a mess to clean up imo.
IMO it is very unlikely that a real rally begins here, although Santa could bring a few days of holiday cheer, Mr Grinch will be just around the corner to spoil the holiday party. Historically a Santa rally does not visit bear markets. Signpost marker on Weds 28 Dec is purely notional based on overlay.
In fact, another decline could begin at any time. Lot of resistance present at highs near 3890 on 12/21. Futures at time of this writing suggest a notch higher still.
Projections are notional based on repeating pattern from Aug-October decline. So far has followed along pretty closely. IF the pattern repeats, we could be looking at 3640 on the Left Inverted Shoulder low by Monday 9 Jan 2023. This projection suggests a Right Inverted Shoulder may form; in fact an even lower low could emerge in January!
Either way, an even weaker rally might ensue thereafter in the weeks leading up to FOMC on 1 Feb, likely to be another trigger event.
IF the pattern mimics 2009, a waterfall cascade in Feb/Mar 2023 will see capitulation and real panic to conclude the Great Bear of 2022.
AUDJPY I Intraday short opportunity Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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EURGBP I Long from weekly supportWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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BTC/USD - Will we see a Death Cross on the Bitcoin 1 week chart?Looking at the BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA (Yellow Line) is now getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). A crossover would signal a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the entire history and available data on this BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA has never crossed under the 200MA on this 1w timeframe. Note that the 50MA did come very close to crossing under the 200MA around the week of the 30th Nov 2015 but in the end, it didn’t happen.
Other notes:
BTC is still in a Massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern.
BTC is also still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern.
BTC is still under all 3 of its major unique Ichimoku Kumo (Cloud) patterns.
BTC is still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow, we can see that we are still in the Distribution Zone traveling slightly upwards but would say more like 'sideways within a range' on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is still under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is a sign of continued weakness on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but has starting to slope downwards. Note that both the MACD Line and Signal Line are still deep in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the last green histogram had also decreased in size and this weekly one looks like it will also close smaller than the last indicating upwards momentum is weakening on this 1w timeframe.
Interesting times and potential opportunities ahead once this World Recession bottoms.
I hope this quick chart is helpful.
VET/USD - 1w chart Update and my opinionLet’s have another quick look at the VET/USD 1w chart.
Here is a closer look at this 1w chart.
VeChain is still in its Descending Wedge Pattern on this 1w chart. Note that VET failed to close a weekly candle above its upper descending trend line of its Descending Wedge Pattern at around $0.0286. $0.0286 was also the previous high from Mon 23rd Jul 2018.
VeChain is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1w chart.
VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1w chart. Note that the Lower Band has started to curve downwards indicating volatility for the downside on this 1w chart.
Note that the 50MA (Orange Line) is getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). If the 50MA crosses under the 200MA on this 1w chart that will create a death cross on this 1 week timeframe.
VET is now fighting to stay above its support area located at $0.01978 and $0.0181. If VET closes a weekly candle below $0.0181 then we should drop to around $0.0120.
VET is below its 1 ($0.01845) Trend Based Fib Extension Level. Failure to close a weekly candle above this level will lead to further drops.
Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) we can see the area i which the most Volume was traded on VET/USD.
Note that VET is close to dropping under its 78.60% Fib Retracement Level at $0.01811.
I have added a Modified Schiff Pitchfork pattern and you can clearly see that VET has a long way togo before crossing back above its Median Line.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 16.34 and still under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.39. Negative Momentum has Increased with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 24.32.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that there is still plenty of room for VET to drop before becoming Oversold on this 1w chart. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is still under its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of downwards strength on this 1w timeframe.
So what does all this tell me:
This is all just my opinion but this tells me that there is plenty of room for VET to drop further on this 1w timeframe especially if it closes a weekly candle below its 78.60% Fib Retracement level.
Once this world wide recession fully bottoms be it in a 1 year, 2 years, 5 years or 10 years and the powers that be have had their fill of transferring wealth from the Middle Class and the Poor to the elites, then opportunities will arise for those who are ready. My crypto of choice is obviously VET and a few others that have use cases but this goes for all Crypto’s so soon your crypto of choice will be available at an even lower bargain price. Especially if/when BTC drops to the $12k-$9k range. Please see the chart below.
I hope this is helpful with your trading or hodl-ing.
EURUSD I 30 min breakout I SHORT!
Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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GBPAUD I Potential short from reversal zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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GBPJPY I Local Intraday SHORT!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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FED DAY!!!Good morning! Well.....yesterday's down day I'm assuming was because of the JOLTS Report. Employment openings for the month totaled 10.72 million. Estimated 9.85 million. So, well above. This is something the FED does not want to see. It doesn't help inflation. But again, everyone wants to hear what J Powell has to say today. What could happen after he speaks and in the coming days?
Although we are above the 50 day, I feel that there are more elements of a bear market. We could be in the finishing days of the ABC correction of this bear rally before rolling over. And, I'd still be ok with seeing the market heading to 3970ish, 4010ish. The price action at those levels will really tell me if this is a bear rally or not. So when will we get our pivot from the Fed? I really don't think we'll see a change in an upward direction until early 2023. Maybe February or March we could see a final low. Especially if we get another .75 in December.
Plan for today: If we get a 2%, 3% up day, I'm not going to go chase it. We could trade sideways the next couple days before we make the next move. If we push to 3970ish, 4010ish, I will monitor the price action and volume to pre-determine next week's possible outlook. And if the market doesn't like what J Powell has to say today and we sell off....well, I'll start to manage my short positions I'm currently holding and follow my levels down. Stay disciplined, be patient, trade the market in front of you. Happy Trading!
EURUSD I Intraday Buy from Support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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AUDCAD Short term buy from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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NZDUSD I Local short from resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Will Resistance Hold? We got to 3800 yesterday and it's really testing resistances at this level. So do we move higher from here? If you look at the DOW, it's actually above it's 50 MA and at resistance as well. And yet, 74% of stock are still trading below their 50 MA. We are still in a Bear Market, so we have to remain Bearish. Did you look at the volume we had yesterday compared to Friday? The amount of volume we had yesterday was about half of Friday's. Also a cautious sign.
Still sitting on my hands and waiting for a clearer picture. Remember, 90% of trading is patience. Overall, I think Markets still expect the Fed to stay on track or even slow. Google is to announce earnings today, and Microsoft after market close. We could just hang out in this area today, push higher (because the market still has room to go higher) or volatility can start to kick in. Be patient and trade the market in front of you. Happy trading everyone!
USDJPY Bearish Flag Breakout SHORT!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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WIPRO ANALYSIS!!, 50 MOVING AVERAGE!!WPRO has given a bas returns this year, its quartly results also gave a negative affect on its stock prices. but this are all short term, things.
this stock has pastly given great returns(look at the past trend i have drawn, the returns are approx.. 45% in a year).
long term things are the moving averages, stock is in tis 50 moving average, as shown in its chart. good stock to buy now.
EURCHF Local buy opportunity! Step by step breakdownWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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50 MA Bears Market Weekly - MT4 ViewMetaTrader on mobile device is 1000% better view than Tradingview when it comes to getting that CORRECT PRECISE view of the markets when using your indicatar tools. Tradingview is lagging because of its WIDE VIEW sometimes that can cause anyone to take improper trades. Market makers are more than likely holding the market to create fake bull but they cannot AFFORD to reverse the bears momentum.
EURCAD Potential Long Breakout then Short from ResistanceWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Possible 100% ? AKRO/USDT #AKRO #AKROUSDT Here we see our Akro/usdt 1 day chart . Look at the MACD ! It's pointed up beautifully and does appear like it will cross up through that green area where the green arrow is . If that happens I think this could possibly do a 100% up - probably to 0.010 or 0.011 which would bring you right under the 3 day Ichimoku and the 3 day 99 MA line ( though this is the 1 day chart I'm showing . ) Please keep in mind that the market is EXTREMELY volatile right now . The Fed is having their important FOMC meeting next week - and if it's bad news that's announced it could dump the market . Also the DXY dollar index is still Bullish and that could hurt Crypto markets . Also the market is still in a Bear market in general and can be dumpy out of nowhere. Although that hasn't stopped certain coins from running such as Chz/usdt . Also , another TA guy I like a lot called Payne Residence doesn't like that this chart is so 'wicky' . So it's definitely risky but just looking at the chart alone it does look Bullish with a candle almost closing above that light blue 50MA line and possibly also breaking up from the Bollinger Squeeze ....but be aware of these other market conditions . Thank you.