XTZ Secondary Trend. Channel. Wedge. Capitulation Zone. 07 05 20Logarithm. Time frame 1 week (less is not necessary).
The secondary trend has formed a horizontal channel for several years, with repeating wedge-shaped formations, the third time we entered under the support of this channel not by squeezes to collect long stop-loss, but by full candles and the structure of a descending wedge. It looks more vertical. The corrective movement to this semi-vertical wedge, quite possibly, will similarly have an aggressive character. The wedge is almost in the final phase of its formation. I showed percentages for clarity to the key reversal zones, for orientation for your money management and setting the first medium-term, and possibly local targets.
The main trend of this previously hyped cryptocurrency since 2017
XTZ/USD Main Trend. Descending Channel 01 2023
ALT
KASPY COULD BE THE NEXT BIG THING (TA+TRADE PLAN)Technical Analysis of KASPY (KASPY/USD) BY BLAŽ FABJAN
1. Price Action & Trend Structure:
Falling Wedge (Red Zone): The chart shows a classic falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation. This indicates that the downtrend has slowed down, and a breakout could be imminent.
Descending Triangle (Top Right Zone): This descending triangle formation suggests consolidation near resistance. If KASPY breaks out above the horizontal line of the triangle, a move towards higher targets can be expected.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Bottom 1 (Green Box): A significant support zone that previously bounced the price upwards. This zone should hold if the price tests it again.
Bottom 2 (Green Box): Another crucial support level showing a potential buying area. This could act as a safety net in case the market dips.
Resistance Levels (Red and Blue Targets): The upper red zone represents significant resistance, where the price might face selling pressure. The chart shows targets aligned with these resistance zones.
3. Technical Indicators:
VMC Clipser (B Divergences): The indicator shows mixed signals with a divergence in the upward movement, suggesting potential reversal or continuation. The positive divergence is noted with green arrows indicating buying opportunities.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is at 50.97, indicating neutral market conditions. It is not overbought or oversold, which suggests that there is room for price action in either direction.
Money Flow Index (MFI): The MFI value is 54.13, which confirms that there is moderate buying interest. MFI values above 50 suggest positive money flow, supporting potential upside movement.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic oscillator shows a level of 21.93, indicating an oversold condition. This could signal an upward bounce as the market may be ready to reverse.
4. Market Sentiment & Time to Bounce:
The chart annotation “Time to Bounce” suggests a potential upward price movement after consolidating within the rectangle and descending triangle formation. The market sentiment appears to favor a bullish breakout.
Trading Plan
Entry Points:
Primary Entry: If KASPY breaks above the upper boundary of the descending triangle, targeting the breakout point at around 0.0000020 (upper resistance zone), this could be the ideal entry point for a bullish trade.
Secondary Entry (Bounce Play): If the price approaches the support areas (Bottom 1 or Bottom 2), consider entering long positions as the price bounces upward off these zones. The oversold conditions in the stochastic oscillator provide confidence for a potential bounce.
Target Levels:
Target 1: Around the upper red zone resistance (0.0000020), which has already been marked as a target in the chart.
Target 2: The second resistance zone at 0.0000025, aligning with the overall market conditions.
Long-term Target: A breakout could send the price higher to 0.0000035 (or higher), depending on the strength of the breakout.
Stop Loss & Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Place stop loss orders below the support level (around 0.0000015) to minimize losses if the price fails to hold at support. A tighter stop loss could be placed just below the bottom of the falling wedge.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Aim for at least a 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio for this trade, ensuring that the potential profit justifies the risk taken.
The KASPY chart shows a favorable setup for a potential bullish move, with a falling wedge pattern and a descending triangle indicating a possible breakout. Key indicators support this outlook, with neutral RSI and a favorable stochastic reading. The trading plan includes strategic entry points, realistic target levels, and prudent risk management.
APE Main trend. Channel. Wedge. Reversal zones 05 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week.
1️⃣ Decline from the maximum by -98% , which is acceptable for assets of such liquidity and capitalization, after that either a trend reversal (main), or a complete scam.
2️⃣X (twitter) of this crypto project has 473 thousand subscribers . This army will be sent to pump this cryptocurrency at the right time in the so-called 3rd alt season of this cycle.
🟣And now work with a breakout of the descending wedge, and the price movement to the resistance of the descending channel. The percentage locally - medium-term showed for clarity from two zones - scenarios.
3️⃣The third plus is that this cryptocurrency is traded on 4 liquid exchanges: binance, bybit, okx, and most importantly Coinbase.
Line chart (trend direction and liquidity).
Ethereum’s Last Chance: Let Jesus Take The WheelEthereum’s price action over the course of this crypto bull run, and especially since the beginning of this year, 2025, has been nothing short of horrendous. It’s failed to hold almost every single important level that it needed to, to be able to keep pushing higher. This has caused almost all crypto investors and altcoin traders to pull their investments out, and drive the price even lower. At its current point, altcoin traders have lost all but 100% of the confidence they once had in it, and to retail investors, this is basically toxic waste once they see the losses that have been taken, it’s driving them away en masse.
With that being said, this is ETH’s final stand, it’s time to either show out, or go home with nothing to show for itself. It’s at a very critical support level right now, and if it breaks down below this, the trade will be cancelled. It’s just finished completing the ‘Jesus Take The Wheel’ pattern on the weekly & MONTHLY. This is an extremely high probability pattern, and could cause a blow-off top for Ethereum.
We also see that we got a Wykoff Pattern here, with the last one that we got around the $2k level being a fake out. The only other times it has printed aside from the last fake out, it has been the start of a bull run. ETH now has 6 weeks in total, or about 4 more weeks from now to start recovering old levels, and taking off to the moon.
I drew a bar pattern on the chart that I took from its original bullish pattern from the start of the 2013 bull run. I believe we’ll have a shortened cycle, and due to not having much time left to complete the bull run during this 4-year cycle, that’s all we will get. Thankfully, the price has been beaten down so much, that getting in now, will offer 1000% gains, in just about 6 months. This will be one of the most incredible feats in all of crypto.
Fear is at an all time high, and ETH has been teasing everyone with a bull run for months and even years now. We haven’t seen an all time high since 2021. Most investors will suffer from boredom exhaustion as well, and with the stock market also sinking, we could see a huge push once we recover some levels, for the masses to finally come into the market via Ethereum ETF’s, so they don’t have to actually risk any money moving crypto around. The boomers and traditional investors with stock accounts will be free to throw cash at these ETF’s and that’s what will give us our final pumps past all time highs, once the crypto traders all get back into the market, and get us to new ATH’s in the first place, and help us recover key levels.
One thing is clear: ETH needs to stop trying so hard to control its environment, it’s time to just let Jesus Take The Wheel 🚀
ALTSEASON | ALTS | BUY Zones SummaryOver the past few weeks I've been gradually analyzing the alts that I believe have great potential for the next cycle.
These include:
✅ ATOM
✅ Litecoin
✅ Fantom
✅ Doge
✅ SUI
✅ SHIB
✅ DOT
✅ PEPE
✅ BNB
✅ Tron
✅ The Graph
✅ Render
✅ Maker
✅ AAVE
Here's your quick video summary on ideal buying zones for the above altcoins. Enjoy!
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Bitcoin Dominance Ascending Channel and Altseason (1W Log)CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been in a clean uptrend inside an ascending channel for over 2 years.
• The midline has consistently acted as a magnet, but BTC.D has recently detached from it and might be headed for another retest of the upper boundary.
• Unless major macro catalysts intervene, I expect no notable changes until the 72-73% key area, the same zone that triggered 2021's altseason.
Regarding altseason, this cycle isn't like previous ones. With millions of tokens today, dilution is real, and a full-blown altseason where everything pumps seems unlikely.
Instead, I expect selective rotation into quality projects, and that might actually make it easier to find real outperformance.
Big Fish said to the swarm of tiny little fish: ......"You little filthy retail, take my ETH now. Since it is unlocked and in a profit. and choke on it ! "
You can already see how they 'talk' via all the twitter and YouTube influencer b.s. feed.
BTC Dominance without stable coins tells the real story.
BTD Dominance is in uptrend.
It did not finish yet.
This is the 'buy local top on ETH' moment for retail.
and they will shove it up your throat if you let them.
ETH is between 100-144% in profit since major bottom.
***there will be upticks on ETH usd valuation to keep 'little fish' excited and interested.
ALT looks bearish for mid-term (1D)ALT appears to be in a large-degree bearish wave C. If it reaches the red zone, we can look for a sell/short position targeting lower levels.
The minimum time required for wave C to complete is marked by the vertical line on the chart. Keep in mind that this is the minimum duration—if the wave extends, it may take longer.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
DOT - Strong bounce from the ultimate low ?Bounced each time for consequent gains around 3.75, so I expect the same now
placed a SL a bit wide, a good fuel could be the 2.0 update of Polkadot but didn hear any news about it to be honest
In the other hand, lower would means I'll quit this asset for a mid/long term hehe,
Cheers
TIA | Next Altcoin to MOON ??In the macro, it's clear that TIA has been in a downward trend for an extended period of time. This means, it's a great place to buy - because the bullish cycle is up next.
In an earlier publication, I made an update about the ideal entry point for TIA:
A key indicator to watch is the daily timeframe, when the price begins to trade ABOVE the moving averages - that's when you'll have the first confirmation of a bullish turn around. It is a bullish sign to see the gradual higher lows.
Moving Averages:
ALT Market cap - Dip before 3TThe Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC (CRYPTOCAP) is currently testing a critical support zone at the 21-month Simple Moving Average (SMA). Historically, this moving average has acted as a strong dynamic support, marking significant market reversals and uptrends.
✅ Price is bouncing off the 21 SMA, similar to previous bull market cycles.
✅ The recent correction appears to be a healthy retest of support rather than a trend reversal.
✅ The formation of higher lows suggests bullish momentum building up.
✅ If price holds above this level, we could see a strong rally in altcoins, pushing the total market cap higher.
A successful bounce from the 21 SMA could trigger a bullish continuation, leading to a market expansion toward 1.6T - 2.3T levels in the coming months.
🔸 A monthly close below the 21 SMA could invalidate this setup, leading to a deeper correction.
🔸 Key support zone to watch: $900B - $950B
🔸 Breakout confirmation: Monthly close above $1.1T
If history repeats, this could be the perfect accumulation zone before the next major altcoin season! Keep an eye on the monthly close and volume confirmation for the next big move.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
When Will Altseason Start? When BTC reached 120k📈 One of the most common questions I get:
WHEN WILL ALTSEASON START?
Here’s the answer 👇
🔻 The real problem: memes drained all the liquidity.
The money that was supposed to go into fundamental projects in the summer of 2024.....got redirected into memes.
Yes, some people made money on that. But most retail traders?
They didn’t.
Of course, you can show profitable wallets. I also made money, but it was on insider information.
I think it would be perfect if Trump launched his token —
just like Argentina’s Libra — to show people one clear thing:
- Memes are dangerous.
-They suck liquidity and leave you with nothing but losses.
It’s a necessary wake-up call.
I didn’t want to say this, but maybe we need people to get burned by memes so they stop blindly throwing money at hype.
Some memes might still pump.
Yes, even some “fundamental memes” might outperform serious altcoins.
But in general?
The meme market is a trap. It's a money pit.
People think they’re great investors, but in reality — it’s a casino.
There’s no tech. No fundamentals.
I don't deny the “fundamental” memes may show growth more than other altcoins. I don't rule that out. But if we are talking about the general pool of memes, there is such a problem going on here that most people will lose money.
5% make money on memes, 95% lose.
I'm self-aware, and I'm in that 95%.
That's why I didn't invest in altcoins.
Development is dead ... for now. Nobody cares about building.
You can spend two years developing a serious product, burn through money, and try to improve the crypto space…
But most people don’t want that.
They want:
To buy pictures they like
As long as they look well-packaged.
That’s why we see so few good projects today —
everyone ran off to create memes.
But finally, we’ve reached a new stage:
People are starting to realize...
We need real, fundamental projects again.
Memes might still spike — especially near the end of the bull run.
But the market has finally started waking up.
⚠️ Yes, the market is broken.
But that’s exactly what we need — A bottom to bounce from.
Crypto’s future is bright.
The next 10 years — and even the end of this year — could look very strong.
But right now?
We’re not at the bottom in price.
We’re at the bottom in sentiment.
In faith. In energy.
This is a real turnaround.
From here, real projects will emerge with real audiences and real goals. That’s what will grow this industry—and this industry will shape the world.
Crypto moves fast.
All it takes is two green daily candles,and suddenly everyone screams:
“It’s back! New bull market!” Funny… but predictable.
Back to reality.
We’re at a point where liquidity is gone. People are out of funds.
Panic is setting in. “Cycles don’t work anymore,” they say.
People start selling to survive — for business, travel, life.
Even long-time holders are taking losses.
But when all the weak hands are gone, only the true holders will remain.
And who will move the market next?
Institutional investors
When the U.S. adopts Bitcoin as a reserve (which might already happen this May)... Other countries will follow.
Bitcoin will rally — and drag the market upward.
That’s when we’ll see:
The alt season will start only when Bitcoin is 120-130k.
Then profit taking and overflow into alts will start.
That’s when we’ll see:
-Institutional investors
-The Web2 audience
-Capital flowing into fundamentals, not memes
Because eventually, people will realize:
You don’t invest in memes.
You invest in utility. In value. In tech.
💥 Retail is the key.
The market needs mass participation.
Retail brings volume, and for that, we need:
Real news, Clear regulation, Trust and confidence
When that happens —people will believe again. And they’ll come running.
But then, like always...
Everyone will be convinced:
“Crypto is in permanent bull mode!”
Money will pour in. FOMO will take over…
...and then it ends.
The new bear market begins.
And I’ll be screaming about it — loud.
I do my best for you, EXCAVO.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ALT ( SPOT - INVEST )BINANCE:ALTUSDT
ALT / USDT
1D time frame
analysis tools
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SMC
FVG
Trend lines
Fibonacci
Support & resistance
MACD Cross
EMA Cross
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Golden Advices.
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* Please calculate your losses before any entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
Useful Tags.
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My total posts
www.tradingview.com
Alt season Can start from this zone finally altcoins market cap reached at crucial support area, expecting successful retest from trendline, and this blue area, the question is why im expecting alt season from here, b,coz multi year symmetrical triangle got cleared, and market came for retest, healthy correction happens in markets often the time, and currently market testing crucial support area, successful retest with strong momentum can lead massive alt season from here
TIA | PERFECT Bottom??In the macro, it's clear that TIA has been in a downward trend for an extended period of time. This means, it's a great place to buy - because the bullish cycle is up next.
Trend based indicators are great to identify the immediate predominant pressure on the chart, in this case, bearish. A "Buy" signal in the weekly timeframe would be the first step in the right direction (reversal).
Trend Based Indicator:
Another key indicator to watch is the daily timeframe, when the price begins to trade ABOVE the moving averages - that's when you'll have the first confirmation of a bullish turn around.
Moving Averages:
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BINANCE:TIAUSDT
NEAR - Bullish Movement Soon!NEAR has been overall bearish from both long-term and short-term perspectives, trading within the falling channel marked in red.
However, it is currently hovering around a support level, the lower trendline, and the key $3 round number, so we will be looking for longs on lower timeframes.
For the bulls to take over in the short term, a break above the last minor high at $3.025 is needed.
For the bulls to remain in control in the medium term, a break above the $3.65 major resistance is required.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
SOL | Solana Drops 54% | WHERE TO NEXT?The recent ByBit hack seems to have sent the market into a downward spiral. But, if you look at it from a few weeks back, prices were already beginning to drop even before the news of the hack.
Solana follows Ethereum pretty closely, and considering the hard sell-off on ETH, SOL followed suit with a -26% drop over the past week.
This is quite a substantial correction, and considering the past 6 candles were red - it's likely that we can expect a bounce from next week, or at least a green candle. If we fail to bounce here, the short term is looking bleak for SOL:
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KUCOIN:SOLUSDT
GBPAUD (240) Bearish Alt-Bat Pattern Signals Potential ReversalPEPPERSTONE:GBPAUD
Setup Breakdown:
The recent completion of a bearish Alt-Bat pattern suggests a potential shift in market dynamics, signaling a possible downside move. While buyers previously maintained control, the emergence of this harmonic pattern indicates exhaustion. If selling pressure intensifies, the price could retrace towards key Fibonacci levels. A structured risk management approach involves maintaining a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, with stops placement above 2.0299 to accommodate potential retests of the monthly fractal resistance while minimizing exposure. Monitoring price action confirmation remains essential, as a failure to reject resistance could invalidate the setup.
🔹 Key Levels:
Pattern Completed at 2.0212
Target 1: 38.2% Fibonacci retracement @ 2.0000
Target 2: 61.8% Fibonacci retracement @ 1.9862
Stops: Above monthly fractal @ 2.0299
📊 Risk Management Play:
Apply a 1:2 R/R ratio (maximum 1:1)
Stops above 2.0299
[Upon reaching the first target, close half of the initial position size and adjust stops to breakeven .]
[At the second target, continue scaling out by closing another portion of the remaining position & activate a trailing stop or manually adjust stops to secure profits as the trade progresses.]
Safe Trades,
André Cardoso
💡 Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle.
ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next.
I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin.
FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow.
This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market.
Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins.
There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now.
Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge.
The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off.
If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs:
ETH staking
LTC
ADA
DOGE
XLM
XRP
HBAR
This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices.
Spring can turn positive very quickly.
The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2.
In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation.
Additional Catalysts to Watch For:
There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen:
Introduction of Basic Income
Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected.
Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise.
It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive.
The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith.
Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment.
In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital.
Stay strong and focused.
Best regards EXCAVO