TAO - Extremely Bullishone of the few coins which are about to go in sub-wave 3 of macro-wave 3
haven't bought this one yet but might rotate a few weak positions to this if the structure holds
no idea what's going to happen to AI tokens (haven't looked into things yet, no time on hand) - sharing this purely based on TA
Altseason
ETHUSDT (Ethereum) Using Elliott Waves: Back to 1K? Plotting waves on Ethereum: The current correction may be a larger degree wave (2) or a wave (4) consolidation. Taking either would depend on the analyst's bias.
In both the cases, what matters is spotting the corrective patterns and participating in the larger impulses.
The June'22 bottom is a relevant one as many coins bottomed out then. But have we made a long term bottom on ETH or not? This upmove on Ethereum does not seem impulsive in the eyes of EW. With the trendline broken and monthly RSI going for a reset, the alt season may not be here anytime soon.
If this move is supported, we can see a sharp decline in the coming months taking the price back to 1K (or slightly below). The political interference on crypto can keep giving random shakeouts so it is important to keep a firm view on either side. Until the price remains below 3K, I would like to keep my bearish view.
ETHUSD (Ethereum)A follow up from this:
Looking at the upmove from the $880 bottom in June'22, it's tough to consider an impulsive count. Since ETH has lagged compared to Bitcoin, the so called Alt season may take much longer than expected. Bitcoin completing it's cycle doesn't necessarily mean the Alt season begins simultaneously.
It will be interesting to watch this in the next few months. If this turns out well, I would expect a very sharp fall in the coming weeks (a noticeable quality in Wave c). However, those levels would give amazing opportunities in Eth and the other few good Altcoins.
Potential Pattern for Altseason 20252020 Altcoin Season Bull Run:
Large Head & Shoulders Bottom ➡︎ Pullback ➡︎ Breakout of Downtrend Line → Massive Pump
Current Situation:
Large Head & Shoulders Bottom ➡︎ Pullback ➡︎ ❓
Do you still believe in the bull market?
Leave a comment!
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Bitcoin Final UpdateEverything on the charts...
Up to you now... Yes... I believe it's just Reaccumulation
Look at the previous posts for more explanation and all perspectives
I'm holding and I'm bullish...We will witness an alt season this year (those saying we won't will be proven wrong...)
BTC.D will fall and strong alts will rise (with massive returns)
Until Next Time...
HBAR - 50% - 250% Bounce IncomingMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on ADA here.
HBAR is looking beautiful , very strong chart for more upside
Very similar to the last time when it bounced 250%
Do not miss out on HBAR as this is a great opportunity and is setting up in the near future
Watch video for more details
ADA - Giant Cup & Handle Pattern Just Like ETH MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on BINANCE:ADAUSDT here.
.
BINANCE:ADAUSDT is looking beautiful , very interesting chart for more upside
and is now added to the USA Strategic Reserve
Do not miss out on BINANCE:ADAUSDT as this is a great opportunity
ADA Strategic Reserve
Watch video for more details
USDT.D Macro Update ( Alt Season ? )everything on the charts
I'm still holding my alts
For traders, this is one of the best charts in town (to find local tops and bottoms for potential swing opportunities)
This tells the whole story
If Invalidation occurs, I'll reconsider all my traders.
(not in the mood of writing much, check out the previous posts for more explanation + everything's on the chart)
BTC.D - Alt Season (Rotation from BTC to ALTS about to begin)only 3 charts you should care about from now = BTC.D , USDT.D and Total 2 (/3/others)
strong utility tokens will win from here
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is weak, (IT WILL DEFINITELY HAS ITS LAST RALLY THOUGH - check out my EW count and the target I've been speaking since 5th Aug)
either it consolidates here and complete its subwave 5 of macrowave 5 later or do it now and distributes later, the time for alts to shine has come...
Few more weeks of pain left. I don't recommend selling here, keep the HODL
but rotation has almost started... whales are taking profits on Bitcoin and time for our shitcoins to outperform from here...
PS. We might see new lows (than 3rd Feb) but the RR is not worth it, never sell in the middle (unless you are invalidated)
Look at the Macro chart for in-detailed analysis on BTC.D I did a few weeks ago
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.)
I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made)
BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation".
Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are):
- A monthly bearish engulfing candle
- A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market
- Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too
However, there are strong counterarguments.
The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise.
Update on the above chart:
The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario.
Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs.
Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least.
ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS?
You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal.
Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
$USDT DOMINANCE ANALYSIS USDT.D is approaching a major downtrend resistance.
A rejection from this level could trigger a pullback, forming a lower high structure before targeting the key support zone at 3.80%.
Bearish Outlook:
Rejection at resistance 5.30% zone, Lower highs formation
Potential drop to strong support
What This Means for Crypto?
A decline in USDT dominance usually signals bullish momentum for #Altcoins & #BTC!
Keep an eye on the reaction at resistance.
USDT.D at 5.76% Key Level to Watch for Crypto Market “BOTTOM”Hey everyone! 👋 Let’s talk about a critical level on the USDT.D chart (Tether Dominance) that could signal a major opportunity for crypto traders. If you’re looking to long Bitcoin, altcoins, or other crypto assets, this is the area you need to watch closely: 5.76%.
Why is 5.76% So Important? 🤔
USDT.D measures the dominance of Tether (USDT) in the crypto market. When USDT dominance drops, it typically means money is flowing out of stablecoins (like USDT) and into riskier assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins. In simpler terms: a drop in USDT.D often signals a pump in the crypto market!
Right now, the 5.76% level on the USDT.D chart (as shown in the image) is a key support zone. You can see it’s been tested before, and it aligns with historical bottoms in the crypto market. When USDT.D hits this level, it often marks a turning point—a bottom for the crypto market—where prices of BTC, alts, and other assets start to rally.
What Does This Mean for Traders? 📈
If USDT.D reaches 5.76% and shows signs of reversing (like a bounce or consolidation), it’s a strong signal that the crypto market is ready to pump. Here’s why:
• Money Flow: A drop to 5.76% suggests investors are moving funds from USDT back into crypto assets, driving up prices.
• Market Bottom: This level has historically acted as a floor for USDT.D, meaning the crypto market could be at its lowest point before a big rally.
• Opportunity to Long: When USDT.D hits this zone, it’s a great area to consider longing Bitcoin, altcoins, or other crypto assets, as they’re likely to start pumping.
How to Play This? ⚡
1. Watch the 5.76% Level: Keep an eye on USDT.D as it approaches this key support. Look for signs of a bounce or reversal (like a strong candlestick pattern or increased volume).
2. Confirm with Other Indicators: Check Bitcoin’s chart, altcoin price action, or other indicators (like RSI or MACD) to confirm the market is turning bullish.
3. Take Action: If USDT.D hits 5.76% and starts to reverse, consider longing your favorite crypto assets. This could be the start of a big pump for BTC, alts, and the entire market!
Why This Matters for the Whole Market 🌍
The 5.76% level isn’t just about USDT.D—it’s a signal for the entire crypto market. When Tether dominance drops to this area, it often means the market has found a bottom, and we’re about to see a wave of bullish momentum. Whether you’re trading BTC, ETH, or smaller altcoins, this could be the best area to jump in for a long position.
Final Thoughts 💡
The 5.76% level on USDT.D is the area to watch right now. It’s historically been a bottom for the crypto market, and if we hit it again, we could see a massive pump across all crypto assets. Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and get ready to take advantage of this opportunity! 🚀
What do you think? Are you watching this level too? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇
Why This Explanation Works:
1. Simple Language: It avoids jargon and explains USDT.D in a way anyone can understand.
2. Actionable Advice: It tells people exactly what to watch (5.76%) and what to do (long crypto assets).
3. Visual Reference: It ties into the chart you shared, pointing out the 5.76% level.
4. Engagement: It invites discussion, encouraging others to share their thoughts.
5. Big Picture: It connects the USDT.D level to the broader crypto market, making it relevant to all traders.
Possible Bearish CypherStronger RSI shows us that USDT.D is stronger than the previous bottom.
Therefore, a rise towards point D would not be surprising.
For those expecting a bull market in altcoins, point D may be the real altcoin buying point.
First target to the D point %7.49
Bearish cypher target %1.59
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
Altseason Might Still Come...? Here's Why:A contrarian take—altcoin season could still be on track, and the script hasn’t been broken.
🔥 Left chart:
Before the past 2 altcoin seasons, the market touched the trendline (light blue) and consolidated at the lows.
🔥 Right chart:
Over the past two days, BINANCE:BTCUSDT saw a sharp drop, yet altcoins ( CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ) gained against BTC for two consecutive days, showing a decoupling from BTC’s price action.
One key characteristic of altcoin season is when altcoins rally with CRYPTOCAP:BTC but don’t drop when BTC falls.
What do you think?
Leave a comment!
🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss.
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A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle.
ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next.
I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin.
FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow.
This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market.
Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins.
There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now.
Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge.
The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off.
If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs:
ETH staking
LTC
ADA
DOGE
XLM
XRP
HBAR
This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices.
Spring can turn positive very quickly.
The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2.
In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation.
Additional Catalysts to Watch For:
There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen:
Introduction of Basic Income
Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected.
Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise.
It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive.
The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith.
Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment.
In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital.
Stay strong and focused.
Best regards EXCAVO