GBPUSD at make or break level ahead of a split BOEThe BOE faces a pivotal moment as it prepares to announce its latest interest rate decision.
With MPC members split between hawkish concerns about stubborn inflation and dovish worries over a weakening job market, expectations are swirling about the path forward.
Will the BOE signal a pause after this cut, or will inflation surprises force a more cautious, hawkish stance going into the end of the year?
Traders are watching for clues in the updated forecasts, as even a minor shift could spark major volatility in GBP/USD.
If the BOE sounds hawkish—maybe they raise their inflation forecasts, or the vote split shows strong resistance to further cuts, or they signal a pause in easing—then GBPUSD might have found a bottom for now.
On the flip side, if the BOE puts more emphasis on economic risks, reduces its GDP outlook, or if the vote split shows a strong push for even bigger cuts, then the pound could come under pressure.
On the charts, Cable is clinging to 1.3375, with a potential developing head and shoulders pattern threatening a deeper move lower if the neckline breaks.
Will the upcoming BOE decision be the make-or-break catalyst for the pound?
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BTC In-Depth Technical Analysis: BTC/USD (30-Min Chart)🔍 In-Depth Technical Analysis: BTC/USD (30-Min Chart)
🟩 1. Demand Zone Reaction
Location: ~$114,500 – $115,500
Significance:
Price sharply reversed after a strong move into this demand zone.
This zone coincides with a liquidity grab below previous lows — textbook Smart Money trap.
Volume (if checked) would likely spike here, indicating institutional interest.
✅ Interpretation: Institutional demand stepped in, absorbing sell orders and triggering a reversal.
📉 2. Break of Structure (BOS)
Zone: Around July 24–25
Price broke below a key higher low, signaling temporary bearish structure.
However, this was quickly reclaimed after demand zone reaction — suggesting a fakeout BOS or a liquidity sweep.
✅ Interpretation: BOS caused shorts to enter, but reversal suggests a bear trap and continuation higher. The BOS served to fuel a more aggressive bullish rally.
🎯 3. Target Zone
Marked Target: ~$118,900–$119,200
Why This Area?
It aligns with a previous consolidation zone / supply before the sharp drop.
Also overlaps with Ichimoku cloud resistance and previous highs — strong confluence.
✅ Interpretation: Price is likely to face resistance here. If broken with strong momentum, bullish continuation to the next supply zone (~$121K) is possible.
⛓️ 4. Market Structure Analysis
Higher Lows Forming after demand reaction.
Price is forming a bullish market structure with an ascending wave pattern.
A break and retest of the $119K zone could lead to a mid-term rally.
Failure to break could result in:
A pullback to the $117,000 area
Or a deeper retest of the demand zone
✅ Trading Plan Options:
Bullish Bias: Buy pullbacks above $117,000 with $119,000 as target
Bearish Bias: Wait for strong rejection at $119,000 to short back to $115K
☁️ 5. Ichimoku Cloud Insight
Price has moved above the cloud, suggesting momentum shift to the upside.
The cloud is twisting bullish, supporting short-term bullish trend.
However, flat Kumo tops around $119K = likely rejection zone.
✅ Interpretation: Ichimoku confirms bullish potential, but price must close above the cloud + $119K zone to sustain trend.
📌 Key Takeaways for Publishing
Chart Idea Title:
“BTC/USD Demand Zone Reversal | Break of Structure & $119K Target in Sight”
Summary Description:
Bitcoin has reclaimed bullish momentum after a sweep into the $115K demand zone. A break of structure triggered shorts, but demand absorption led to a sharp reversal. Now, price is approaching the key $119K supply zone — a critical level that could determine if this is a short-term rally or the beginning of a new trend. Watch for either a clean breakout or a rejection for a possible retest of $117K or lower. Confluence from Ichimoku, BOS, and market structure support the analysis.
Getting ready to blow! Cup and handle after positive surprisesSiyata makes 2-way telecoms for things like first responders, miltary, construction crews.
Had big earnings and revenue surprises a few weeks ago, and now looks to be forming a cup and handle. Low volume yesterday shows a squeeze pattern like it's getting ready to go.
GBPUSD Week 30 Swing Zone/LevelsPEPPERSTONE:GBPUSD is expected to trend upward from the 1.34032 level towards the resistance zone. Whether it breaks through or reverses downward will ultimately depend on market players.
This projection is based on a forward-looking metric analysis, which explains why the zones are not derived from historical price action on the left side of the chart, as is common in traditional technical analysis. However, the daily candles from previous weeks still contribute meaningfully to this outlook.
Taking profit on GE Aerospace stock to buy in lower after summerIt's clear NYSE:GE has hit overbought, it's the perfect time to take profits now. Less stress managing stocks over the summer too lol...
$196 is the 0.618 level I'm aiming to re-enter, there's also decent support near that level $190 to $200
Platinum's Quiet Ascent: What Drives Its New Value?Platinum, often operating in the shadow of gold, has recently experienced a significant surge in value, reaching multi-year highs and capturing considerable investor attention. This resurgence is not arbitrary; it stems from a complex interplay of industrial demand, tightening supply, evolving geopolitical dynamics, and a notable shift in investment sentiment. Understanding these underlying forces becomes crucial for investors seeking to decipher the trajectory of this vital industrial precious metal.
A primary catalyst for platinum's price rally is its strong industrial utility, particularly within the automotive sector, where it remains indispensable for catalytic converters. While the rise of battery electric vehicles presents a long-term shift, the robust growth in hybrid vehicle production continues to sustain demand. Critically, the market faces persistent physical deficits, with supply consistently falling short of demand for the past two years, a trend projected to continue into 2025. Mine output struggles due to disruptions in key producing regions, such as South Africa and Zimbabwe, and secondary supply from recycling has proven insufficient to bridge the growing gap.
Geopolitics and strategic investment further amplify platinum's upward trajectory. China has emerged as a pivotal market, with a sharp rebound in demand as consumers increasingly favor platinum for both jewelry and investment amidst record gold prices. This strategic pivot by the world's largest consumer market is reshaping global platinum price discovery, supported by China's initiatives to develop new trading ecosystems and futures contracts. Concurrently, renewed investor confidence is evident in growing inflows into platinum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and robust physical buying, with anticipated lower borrowing costs also enhancing its appeal.
In essence, platinum's current rally reflects a powerful combination of tightening supply and resilient industrial demand, underscored by strategic shifts in major consumer markets and renewed investor interest. As above-ground stocks gradually deplete and the market anticipates continued deficits, platinum is poised for a sustained period of relevance, offering compelling prospects for those who recognize its multifaceted value proposition.
Nifty Might Range-Bound until it doesn't break 24950 levelToday 21/05/2025 around 11 O clock Nifty Tested 24950 the push was not above average volume driven that's why market was going to pullback although something absence of sellers comparatively had seen on 13 may u can see on chart but still it required to break 24950 level with good volume for being upward journey, until we expect market may range between 24500-25000.
strong Resistance- 24950-25000
Strong Support -24500
XAUUSD Gold Bearish Setup for upcoming week.XAUUSD Sell Setup – Short from Resistance at 3350
Gold (XAUUSD) has approached a key resistance level around 3350, where previous price action suggests potential for bearish reversal. With the current momentum showing signs of exhaustion, we’re looking for a short opportunity from this zone.
Trade Idea:
Sell Entry: 3350 (resistance level)
Target 1: 3310 – Minor support / first reaction zone
Target 2: 3290 – Key support area
Target 3: 3250 – Major support & potential full TP zone
Stop Loss: Above recent swing high (suggested: 3360–3370)
Analysis:
Price has formed a potential double top / rejection wicks near 3350, signaling possible downside. A break below 3310 will likely accelerate bearish momentum.
Risk Management:
Use proper lot sizing and move SL to breakeven after TP1 for a safe ride to lower targets.
Who knows ?SUZB3 is in an uptrend channel on the monthly chart, specifically at the lower edge of this channel, in a region that would indicate a buy, however, at this position on the 2-hour chart it presents a head and shoulders pattern at the end of a downtrend line. Meanwhile, the RSI shows divergence indicating a reversal to an uptrend.
Bitcoin Breakdown Head & Shoulders Pattern Death Cross in Play?This daily BTC/USD chart is showing a potential Head & Shoulders pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal structure. But that’s not all Bitcoin is also at risk of forming a Death Cross, signaling deeper downside potential. Here’s what stands out:
🛑 Key Bearish Signals:
🔻 Head & Shoulders Formation: The pattern consists of a peak (head) with two lower peaks (shoulders) on either side, indicating a loss of bullish momentum.
🔻 Neckline Breakdown: BTC is testing the neckline support around $76,000—a break below this level could trigger further downside.
🔻 Death Cross Forming: The 50 SMA (yellow) is sloping downward, getting dangerously close to crossing below the 200 SMA (blue)—a well-known bearish signal that could accelerate selling pressure.
📉 Bearish Targets if Breakdown Confirmed:
If BTC breaks below $76,000, the measured move projection suggests a possible drop toward $50,000-$52,000, aligning with previous structure support.
🚀 Bullish Case – Can BTC Recover?
For bulls to regain control, Bitcoin must reclaim $88,000+, invalidate the breakdown, and push above key moving averages. Otherwise, downside pressure remains strong.
⚠️ Final Thought: Death Cross + Head & Shoulders = Bearish Storm?
A Death Cross happening alongside a Head & Shoulders breakdown is a dangerous combination for bulls:
- A Death Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, signaling a long-term trend shift to the downside.
- Historically, BTC has seen major sell-offs after this formation, especially when combined with bearish structures like we see now.
- If BTC loses $76,000, the next stop could be $50,000-$52,000—but if bulls defend this level and reclaim FWB:88K +, they can avoid disaster.
Verdict : Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—either bulls step in now, or we could see a steep drop ahead. Will you short, or do you think this is a bear trap? Let’s discuss! 🧐🔥
GBP/USD Breakdown – Bearish Momentum Ahead?This 4-hour chart of GBP/USD shows a clear bearish setup:
🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown – The pair has broken below a rising wedge pattern, signaling potential downside pressure.
🔹 Support and Resistance Levels –
Resistance at 1.29206 - 1.30275
Support at 1.28000 - 1.28437
Strong support at 1.27539
🔹 Sell Confirmation – A sell signal is indicated, suggesting further downside movement towards the target zone.
📉 Trading Plan:
✅ Possible short entries below the 1.28956 level.
✅ Target price: 1.27539
✅ Stop-loss above 1.29206 for risk management.
⚠️ Risk Note: Always manage risk properly and watch for any trend reversals before entering trades.
What are your thoughts? Are you bearish or bullish on GBP/USD? 🤔💬
Will Oil Prices Ignite Amid a Middle East War?The global oil market is critical, with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East potentially leading to significant price fluctuations. Recent military actions by the U.S. against Yemen's Houthi group have contributed to rising oil prices, as Brent crude futures reached $71.21 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures hit $67.80 per barrel. Positive economic indicators from China, including increased retail sales, have supported oil prices despite global economic slowdown concerns.
The Middle East remains a focal point for oil price volatility due to its strategic importance in global oil supply. Iran, a major oil producer, could face disruptions if tensions escalate, potentially driving prices higher. However, global spare capacity and demand resilience might cap long-term increases. Historical events like the 2019 Saudi oil facility attacks demonstrate the market's sensitivity to regional instability, with prices spiking by $10 following the incident.
Analysts predict that if the conflict escalates to close the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices could exceed $100 per barrel. Nevertheless, historical data suggests that prices may stabilize within a few months if disruptions prove temporary. The delicate balance between supply shocks and market adjustments underscores the need to closely monitor geopolitical developments and their economic ripple effects.
As global economic uncertainties overshadow geopolitical risks, maintaining market confidence will depend on sustained positive economic data from countries like China. The potential for peace negotiations in Ukraine and changes in U.S. sanctions could also impact oil prices, making this a pivotal moment for global energy markets.
GBPZAR - Potential Long to enterOANDA:GBPZAR is approaching a robust support zone, marked by historical bullish reversals and strong buyer interest. The recent bearish pressure has brought the price into this critical area, creating a potential buying opportunity.
I anticipate a move toward 23.1840. However, a breach of this support could invalidate the bullish outlook and lead to further declines.
Make sure to carefully assess price action at this level and ensure proper risk management before taking positions. Agree with this analysis? Let’s discuss further in the comments section!
USOIL Short Setup: Key Zone to WatchUSOIL is testing a significant resistance zone around the 78.00 level, an area where price previously faced strong selling pressure. Current price action suggests potential exhaustion, with signs of rejection visible.
If sellers take control, a pullback toward the 76.01 level, acting as the first key support, could be in play. Traders should look for bearish confirmation, such as reversal candlestick patterns or breakdowns below recent lows, to position for a potential short move.
BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription:
This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan:
Analysis:
Market Structure:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows.
Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Zones and Liquidity:
Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance.
Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity.
Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower.
Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend.
Confluences for Short Entry:
Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point.
The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control.
Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias.
Trade Plan:
Short Entry Setup:
Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone).
Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level.
TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity.
TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling.
Additional Notes:
Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character).
Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision.
Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
Why is BTC down today?Stocks and crypto both down the last couple of days. BTC often levers the remainder of the cryptosphere up and down based on it's own direction. Very much like a teacher and a group of students. Most will do what they're told, but there will also sometimes be a couple of rogues that don't follow the pack. With regards to BTC, we could be looking at a head and shoulders top. We've seen a piercing of the neckline today, only to rebound back above it. I'd say that if we see a decisive open and close below the neckline on a 4HR timeframe (minimum) H&S will be confirmed and we'll be down to the long purple box where there lies good resistance. Fear not! This is normal, natural and if you're an investor don't go chopping and changing. Just enjoy your weel and look out for the next few posts where we could leverage a great buy back with some extra cash. So, if you're going to do anything - raise some capital to add in! Follow and share for more.
Alikze »» OP | Ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel
- In continuation of the analysis presented in the previous post, after dealing with the descending channel, it was corrected for a while. which led to the completion of correction leg C. Finally, the modification leg in the range of PRZ-1 met with demand.
- Currently, it is moving in a short-term ascending channel.
- Due to the exit from the medium-term downward channel and pullback to it, an upward trend has been formed.
- Therefore, I expect it to move upward in this channel and continue its growth until the supply range.
💎 Alternative scenario: If it does not have the ability to exit the golden zone and faces the weakness of the trend, the correction can continue until the origin of the movement.
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BINANCE:OPUSDT
Alikze »» TRX | Wave 3 or C bullish scenarioIn time 2W, after an ascending wave and a double correction at the bottom of the channel, after successfully exiting the concentration, it is moving towards the specified targets. This upward wave is due to the structure in wave 3, whose micro waves will be presented in the next updates. But this upward move will have the ability to reach at least $0.58 and $1.2 in the long term. If no candlestick penetrates below 0.5177, this analysis will be valid for the specified purposes.
🟩Sup:0.097
⛳️Tp 1:0.177
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.58413
⛳️ Tp3 :1.23008
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