AUDJPY BUY | Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity AUDJPY
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AUDJPY Solid short signal.AUDJPY is on a 1-2-3 pattern like the one in July, currently on the 3rd led down.
This is basically resembling Descending Triangle pattern. One last bearish leg to give before it breaks upwards.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 94.000 (Support A).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) patterns between the two sequences are also similar both inside Channel Down formations. This also points to a bearish leg next.
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AUDJPY to see a stem dip?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
A lower correction is expected.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 94.75 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 95.50.
We look to Buy at 94.00 (stop at 93.60)
Our profit targets will be 95.00 and 95.50
Resistance: 94.75 / 95.00 / 95.50
Support: 94.25 / 94.00 / 93.75
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDJPY Sell pattern after Lower High rejection.The AUDJPY pair is testing the 1day MA50 today having formed Lower Highs since the June 19th peak.
If the 1day MA50 breaks, the MA200 should be put up for testing but it is more likely to test the July 28th Low as the same weak pattern did in 2022.
Sell and target 92.000 (over the 0.5 Fibonacci level).
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AUDJPY: Is this the start of the reversal?We saw some JPY strength last week and I think we could be starting to see reversal, however my confirmation of this will be below 93 support.
Even though BoJ hasn't intervened yet, there was a lot of buying in the week which we saw against the USD, I still expect BoJ intervention soon.
Nice pinbar rejection on the 4HR from my resistance block.
Looking for a short here on LTF's, but with tight SL and will keep it following any move down.
Dead cat bounce on AUD/JPY?Once again we saw AUD/JPY rally above 96 before reversing lower, which is a pattern we have seen occur four times since January 2022. A shooting start reversal formed on Friday and the cross fell around -4% Tuesday’s low, breaking a bullish trendline before finding support at the 200-day EMA, February high and 96 handle.
We’ve seen two modest up days since, but now we’re looking for evidence of a swing high around 95 – as this houses the weekly S1 pivot, 50% retracement level and cycle highs.
The initial target is 94, a break of which brings 93 in focus. But if risk off returns, then a break of 93 seems plausible.
AUD/JPY: Bullish Trend Pauses for a Pullback-- 30-Minute Chart
The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a narrow range on the 30-minute chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.20 level and support at the 94.00 level.
The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals.
-- 4-Hour Chart
The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.50 level and support at the 94.00 level.
The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals.
-- Daily Chart
The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the daily chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 95.00 level and support at the 94.00 level.
The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals.
Elliott Wave Analysis
Based on Elliott Wave Theory, as marked on my chart, the AUD/JPY pair may be in the process of completing a five-wave upward Elliott wave pattern. If this is the case, the pair could experience a significant pullback in the near future.
AUD/JPY Fundamental and Technical Analysis for 4 October 2023 (30-min, 4-h, and Daily Charts)
Fundamental Analysis
The Australian dollar (AUD) is a commodity currency, meaning that its value is closely linked to the prices of commodities such as iron ore and coal. The Japanese yen (JPY) is a safe-haven currency, meaning that it tends to appreciate in value during times of market turmoil.
The AUD/JPY currency pair is often seen as a proxy for risk appetite. When investors are feeling optimistic about the global economy, they tend to buy the AUD/JPY pair. When investors are feeling cautious, they tend to sell the AUD/JPY pair.
Technical Analysis
30-Minute Chart
The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a narrow range on the 30-minute chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.20 level and support at the 94.00 level.
The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals.
4-Hour Chart
The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.50 level and support at the 94.00 level.
The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals.
Daily Chart
The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the daily chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 95.00 level and support at the 94.00 level.
The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals.
Elliott Wave Analysis
Based on Elliott Wave Theory, the AUD/JPY pair may be in the process of completing a five-wave upward Elliott wave pattern. If this is the case, the pair could experience a significant pullback in the near future.
Conclusion
Overall, the AUD/JPY pair is in a bullish trend on all three timeframes. However, the RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory on all three timeframes, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback.
Traders should watch the key support and resistance levels mentioned above carefully. A break above the 94.50 level on the 4-hour chart would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. A break below the 94.00 level on the 4-hour chart would suggest a pullback is underway.
AUDJPY to see a lower correction?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
The RSI is trending higher.
A move through 95.75 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 95.00 (stop at 94.68)
Our profit targets will be 95.80 and 96.10
Resistance: 95.75 / 96.00 / 96.25
Support: 95.25 / 95.00 / 94.50
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDJPY Strong Lower Highs bullish break-out.The AUDJPY pair has turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support since last week's bullish break-out signal above the Lower Highs trend-line. That is a major bullish continuation call following the bottom on the 3-month Higher Lows Zone on March 27. The dashed Higher Lows has been supporting this uptrend and this seems to be the new bullish leg. The previous two such rises during these 3 years have reached at least +17.40%. As a result our buy target is 101.000.
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AUDJPY: Expecting a strong start to the week before BoJI'm expecting continued Aussie strength as the market expects China recovery is in progress.
BoJ interest rate and minutes will be big news on Friday, but before then I expect to see a continuation up within the current rising channel, breaking and retest initial support around 95.6 to rise to test the 96.6 support.
We're heading into very choppy waters now, and I expect BoJ to start defending their currency so I'm mindful to have very tight SL's up here, moving to BE as soon as possible and ultimately preparing for a reversal, but I think there's a little way to go yet.
With Aussie building momentum I feel confident in still being long here, but being uber-careful as you never know what will happen!
AUDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDJPY for a buying opportunity around 93.600 zone, AUDJPY is trading is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 93.600 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDJPY for a buying opportunity around 92.400 zone, AUDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 92.400 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDJPY Sell opportunity within the Channel Down.The AUDJPY pair is on the 3rd day after a Double Top rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That was a Lower High at the top of 2-month Channel Down. This is a sell opportunity, as long as the price is closing 1D candles below the 1D MA50. Our target is a -3.68% decline (as the previous legs) at 91.450. You can more safely settle for the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which supported the price on July 28 and caused a strong rebound. That is also exactly on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. The only indicator in favor of a break-out above the 1D MA50 is the Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD.
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AUDJPY: Bearish on AUD, Bullish on JPYI believe we're going to start seeing a shift in sentiment for the JPY, there were indications last week, we broke a rising trendline, we've retraced and retesting now.
Fundamentally the Japanese economy looks stronger, despite the loose monetary policy. We saw in June 2022 that BoJ can chuck curve balls in too, I'm not necessarily expecting that but if it happens I want to be on the right side.
I'm bearish on AUD with high inflation and a dovish central bank, there is big news this week, we may see another pause, if that happens then we'll be down to around 90.0 I think before a retracement.
I'm looking to get in anywhere from now up to 95.5, and a sell down to just above last week's low (92.0) ahead of the news this week, which could send this one further down, but best to be cautious!
AUD/JPY set to break to new highs?Last week we saw AUD/JPY roll over nicely from a key resistance zone, yet its fast turnaround from the 200-day EMA now has a potential bullish breakout on our radar.
A bullish pinbar formed on Friday after prices fell through our bearish target before closing above the 100-day EMA, then breaking above the 50 and 20-day EMAs on Monday. Prices are holding around trend resistance ahead of today's RBA meeting, where economists favour a 25bp hike yet money markets have priced in a pause.
A hawkish meeting could send prices above 96, whilst a pause could see an initial pullback. IN which case, we'd like to see evidence of a swing low above or around Friday's high or the 20-day EMA, in anticipation of an eventual break above 96.
AUD/JPY: Swing trade short below historical resistance zoneA 2-bar bearish reversal pattern has formed at a historical resistance zone just below 96. Prior breaks above it in June and September failed last year. On both occasions the market fell near the 91 area before retesting the resistance zone, and in October we saw prices accelerate lower.
What could trigger such a move this time around? Whilst nobody is expecting the BOJ to change policy tomorrow, that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t disregard its potential. And that would likely be a very strong reaction for the yen to send AUD/JPY lower. However, a more likely scenario is that the BOJ upgrade their inflation forecasts, and that could prompt some speculation that the BOJ are closer to widening their YCC (yield curve control) band or removing it al together. Of course, a bout of risk off is usually always bearish for AUD/USD.
Either way, the bias remains bearish beneath Tuesday’s high, and the initial target is the lows just above 93.27.