Tariffs. Turbulence. OpportunityMarkets Rattle as Global Currencies Slide: Central Banks Prepare to Act
Global financial markets plunged on Monday as U.S. tariffs under the Trump administration, alongside retaliatory measures from key trading partners, officially took effect. The result: a wave of uncertainty and volatility that sent the Australian, Canadian, and New Zealand dollars spiraling to steeply discounted levels.
As this new economic reality unfolds, institutional investors and households alike are scrambling to adjust. In response, central banks across the globe face mounting pressure to stabilize their economies. The most immediate solution? Accelerated interest rate cuts.
Beyond the headline noise of trade wars, the deeper concern lies in domestic economic resilience. Economists and central bankers are increasingly turning inward, looking to bolster aggregate demand through aggressive monetary easing. The U.S. Federal Reserve, nudged persistently by President Trump, has already signaled its willingness to comply. Other central banks are expected to follow suit as nations seek to shield local industries from the impact of trade disruption.
The era of lower global interest rates appears to be more than a passing phase—it is becoming the new norm. In volatile times, disciplined strategies and a long-term lens are more essential than ever. We remain focused on seizing value where others see only risk.
AUDUSD
Bearish reversal for the Aussie?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6464
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6499
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6397
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25👀 AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation & breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔥
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bullish bounce?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6397
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6365
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6463
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Australian inflation higher than expected, Aussie extends lossesThe Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6415 in the North American session, down 0.44% on the day.
Australia's inflation rate remained unchanged in April at 2.4% y/y for a third straight month, matching the lowest rate since Nov. 2024. The reading was slightly higher than the market estimate of 2.3% but remained within the central bank's inflation target of 2%-3%. Trimmed mean inflation, the central bank's preferred indicator for underlying inflation, edged up to 2.8% from 2.7% in March.
The inflation report was mildly disappointing in that inflation was hotter than expected. Underlying inflation has proven to be persistent which could see the Reserve Bank of Australia delay any rate cuts.
The markets have responded by lowering the probability of a rate cut in July to 62%, compared to 78% a day ago, according to the ASX RBA rate tracker. A key factor in the July decision will be the second-quarter inflation report in late July, ahead of the August meeting.
The Reserve Bank lowered rates last week by a quarter-point to 3.85%, a two-year low. The central bank left the door open to further cuts, as global trade uncertainties are expected to lower domestic growth and inflation.
The Federal Reserve releases the minutes of its May 7 meeting later today. At the meeting, the Fed stressed that it wasn't planning to lower rates anytime soon and the minutes are expected to confirm the Fed's wait-and-see stance.
US President Trump has been zig-zagging on trade policy, imposing and then cancelling tariffs on China and the European Union. Fed Chair Powell said at the May meeting that the economic uncertainty due to tariffs means that the appropriate rate path is unclear and that message could be reiterated in the Fed minutes.
AUDUSD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom Algo Smart Trend Signal | Technical Analysis + Custom Algorithm
This signal is the result of a combination of classic technical trend analysis and a proprietary software I personally developed.
The system first identifies market trends purely based on technical indicators — no emotions, no subjective analysis.
Then, a custom-built intelligent algorithm evaluates potential entry and exit points and issues the signal.
This means: a fully data-driven signal, with no guesswork or bias.
📌 Note: This signal is for educational and analytical purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
AUD/USD: Bullish Reversal Expected From 0.6430 Support The AUD/USD 15-minute chart reveals a potential bullish reversal setup forming near the 0.6430 support zone. Following a clean Break of Structure and prior Inducement, price action is now testing a minor demand zone marked by a blue box. This level coincides with a sweep of short-term lows and rejection from the lower boundary, indicating a possible accumulation phase. The descending trendline has already been breached, suggesting weakening bearish momentum.
Traders may look for a long entry around 0.6430–0.6435, targeting the key resistance level at 0.6466, which aligns with a previous supply area and structural high. This level also represents the most immediate liquidity zone and offers a favorable risk-reward ratio. Confirmation may come through bullish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe breakouts above minor internal highs.
The overall setup reflects smart money concepts, where price typically returns to a mitigation block before continuing in the direction of the dominant trend. As long as the 0.6415 valid low holds, bullish continuation remains the preferred scenario. A break below that level would invalidate the setup and shift bias bearish.
This analysis is ideal for intraday traders looking to capitalize on a high-probability reversal with defined entry and target levels.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips AgainMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips Again
AUD/USD declined below the 0.6500 and 0.6460 support levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6500 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6460 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6520 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6500 support against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled below 0.6460 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6450. A low was formed at 0.6435 and the pair is now consolidating.
On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6460 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6537 swing high to the 0.6435 low.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6485 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6537 swing high to the 0.6435 low, above which the price could rise toward 0.6515.
Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6535 resistance. A close above the 0.6535 level could trigger another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6600.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6435 zone. The next support sits at 0.6410. If there is a downside break below 0.6410, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6350. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6320 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6451
1st Support: 0.6392
1st Resistance: 0.6481
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RBA Could Still Cut Despite Higher AU CPI: AU paid in focusToday I take a quick look at Australia's inflation figures and outline why I think the RBA could still cut in July, before moving on to charts for AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, EUR/AUD and AUD/JPY.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUDUSD Daily Squeeze – Breakout LoadingAUDUSD is pressing against descending trendline resistance, forming a bullish continuation wedge just above the 0.6420–0.6450 support zone (50% Fib level). Price has been consolidating tightly, suggesting a potential breakout setup is developing.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.6500 – 0.6547 (wedge top and 61.8% Fib)
Support: 0.6420 (local structure), 0.6300 (deeper demand zone)
Bullish Target: 0.6718 → 0.6900 → 0.6950
Invalidation: Daily close below 0.6410
Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Breakout
Clean break above wedge resistance
Momentum push toward 0.6700–0.6900 zone
Confirmation = daily close above 0.6547 (Fib confluence)
🔹 Fakeout + Pullback
Temporary rejection leads to retest of 0.6420–0.6400
Holds support = high-probability long setup for second wave up
Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
AUDUSD is building bullish pressure after defending key support. Wedge structure favors breakout continuation, especially if global risk sentiment remains firm and USD softens.
AUD_USD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅AUD_USD is trading along
The rising support line
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above 0.6460
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AudCad..PWL taken!!Good day traders, I’m back with another setup on AudCad and I like that previous week low was taken. We can now look at the power of 3 with higher TF in mind.
On the 4H TF price has been bearish but we can see that price left very “smooth” highs(relative equal highs) but ICT teaches us that price will always go back to make the smooth highs, smooth cries(liquidity sweep).
Before price took our low it left a FVG that’s we wanna see turn into an inverse.
The first target has to be our internal liquidity than the external liquidity that also has relatively equal highs too.
Aussie H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6464 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.6377 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6556 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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GBPAUD…being the best is a mindset!!Good day traders, I am back again with another great setup and again another opportunity to learn something new.
On the daily TF on GBpAUD we still in a bearish structure and if we use the 2022 model, we had a structure shift lower and now that price is retesting the OTE entry levels we can now expect price to shoot lower, before you asked about the recent FVG on 4H TF. That newly formed BISI is that candle that created the BPR and from what I’ve learned is that price normally shoots past BPR’s.
My poll of liquidity is resting below(weekly), that Ray line makes weekly represents previous week’s low which we want to see the market get to. Just on top of that ray line we have a FVG that price left open, we also wanna see price fill that FVG fully.
Looking forward to entry confirmation on this setup 📉 AUD/USD Short Setup in Focus
Currently watching AUD/USD as price approaches a key resistance zone. Momentum looks stretched, and I’m looking for confirmation to enter a short position. Waiting for a clear signal before jumping in — patience is part of the plan. 👀✍️ #AUDUSD #ForexSetup #ShortTrade #PriceAction
AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.650.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.653.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Is it time to buy the AUD?Most economies are facing stagflation—Japan, the US, and Europe, to name a few. Stagflation is high inflation with low to no GDP growth.
However, Australia and New Zealand currently have steady inflation and GDP growth within reasonable targets.
My bias has changed to buying the AUD and NZD.
Thoughts?
OANDA:AUDUSD OANDA:AUDJPY OANDA:AUDCHF OANDA:EURAUD OANDA:GBPAUD
AU Bulls Make A Break For Higher Prices! Time To Long??OANDA:AUDUSD has practically been caught in an Ascending Channel for most of this year but that might not be for "Long"!
A few key things to point out:
- Early April delivered a False Breakout where Price reached the Previous 5 Year Low @ .5980 and was immediately sent back up into the Channel! (Liquidity Sweep??)
- Most of the Price Action that's occurred in this range has been contained to the Upper Chamber of the Channel between the Rising Resistance and Linear Regression.
- Price Consolidated tightly into a Pennant Pattern underneath the Rising Resistance for the past few weeks before delivering a Bullish Break just earlier this evening.
If Bulls are able to sustain Price outside the Channel, this could generate potential Long Opportunities on the Retest of the Break of the Ascending Channel!
Once a Breakout is validated and Retest is successful, the Price Target would be the Next Swing High @ .66875 where Bears were able to push Price down last.
Fundamentally, RBA will be releasing CPI y/y numbers on Tuesday, May 27th with analysts forecasting a .1% Decrease in Inflation from 2.4% to 2.3% after last week having made a 25 basis point rate cut from 4.1% to 3.85%.
done and dusted, EUR/USD goes, “Hold my beer , lets cheersEUR/USD: Smart Money Just Played a Masterclass
Price dipped below support — looked like a breakdown, right? Wrong.
Here’s the playbook they used:
Liquidity Grab: Took out sell stops sitting below key levels.
Bear Trap: Price snapped back up, leaving bears trapped and confused.
Order Block: Zoom in on the candles before the spike — Smart Money bought heavy there.
Bullish Continuation: With bears trapped and bags full, price is now free to climb.
The fake fall fuels the real rise. Classic Smart Money setup — watch this ride up.