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Audusdanalysis

AUDUSD Price Action Near Descending Trendline – 4H OutlookAUDUSD 4H – Price Testing Key Descending Channel Resistance Symbol: AUDUSD Timeframe: 4H Trend: Sideways to Bearish Indicators: SMA 9 & SMA 20, Descending Channel 📉 Market Structure Analysis AUDUSD has been trading inside a descending channel since September. Price recently bounced from the lower channel support and is now approaching the upper channel resistance zone around 0.6620–0.6650. Despite the recent bullish push, price is failing to break and sustain above the descending resistance, indicating weak buying momentum at higher levels. The 9 & 20 SMA are closely aligned, suggesting indecision and a possible rejection from resistance. 📌 Key Levels Resistance: 0.6620 – 0.6650 (Descending channel top) Support 1: 0.6500 Support 2: 0.6400 Channel Breakdown Target: 0.6300 📊 Trade Scenarios 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred): If price shows rejection near the channel resistance, a short setup is possible with targets back toward 0.6500 and 0.6400. 🟢 Bullish Scenario: A strong 4H close above 0.6650 with volume could invalidate the channel and open upside toward 0.6750 – 0.6800. ⚠️ Conclusion AUDUSD remains technically weak below descending resistance. Traders should wait for clear rejection or confirmed breakout before entering positions. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation. 🔔 Like, comment & follow for more Forex analysis!
Short
by forexinworld
AUDUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisThe price has recently reached a strong resistance zone, noting previous sell-offs in that area. It appears that we may see more sideways movement AUDUSD is near the resistance, where price dropped before. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity AUDUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
3
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Test Support, Break or Bounce Next?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Test Support, Break or Bounce Next? AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from 0.6630. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a minor pullback from 0.6685 against the US Dollar. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6645 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair formed a base above 0.6600. The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above 0.6630 against the US Dollar to enter a short-term positive zone. The pair struggled above 0.6680 and recently corrected some gains. The recent low was formed at 0.6632. The pair is now consolidating and facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6677 swing high to the 0.6632 low at 0.6655 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair could struggle to clear the 76.4% Fib retracement at 0.6665. The first major hurdle for the bulls could be 0.6685. An upside break above 0.6685 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major target is near the 0.6720 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward 0.6750. If there is no close above 0.6665, the pair might start a fresh decline. Immediate bid zone could be near the 0.6645 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6645. The next area of interest is 0.6630. If there is a downside break below 0.6630, the pair could extend its decline toward 0.6600. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6570. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Is the Aussie Dollar Ready for a Strong Upside Push?🎯 AUD/USD: The Great Heist Setup | 200 SMA Breakout in Play! 💰 📊 Market Overview The Aussie Dollar is making moves, ladies and gents! We've got a confirmed bullish breakout above the 200 Simple Moving Average — and you know what that means... it's time to plan our strategic entry! 🚀 🎭 The "Thief Strategy" Breakdown 🔍 Asset Analysis Pair: AUD/USD (Aussie Dollar vs. US Dollar) Market Type: Forex Trade Style: Swing/Day Trade Setup: Capital Flow Blueprint 📈 Technical Outlook ✅ Bullish bias confirmed with price breaking and holding above the 200 SMA ✅ Momentum building as buyers step in ✅ Higher timeframe structure supporting upside potential 🎯 Entry Strategy: "The Layering Heist" The Thief Strategy uses multiple limit orders (layering technique) to scale into positions like a pro! Here's the blueprint: 💎 Multi-Layer Entry Zones: Layer 1: 0.65400 Layer 2: 0.65600 Layer 3: 0.64800 Layer 4: 0.66000 Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk appetite. Scale in smart, scale out smarter! 😎 🛡️ Risk Management ⛔ Stop Loss: 0.65200 Disclaimer: This is the Thief's SL level for reference. However, OG Thieves — set your own stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Your capital, your rules! 🎲 🎯 Take Profit Target: 0.67000 Why 0.67000? This level acts as: 🚧 Strong resistance zone ("Police Barricade") 📊 Potential overbought territory Historical trap zone — secure profits before the reversal! Disclaimer: This is a suggested TP level. Trail your stops, scale out partially, or set your own target. Take money when you make money — it's your game! 💵 🔗 Correlated Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these related markets for confluence: OANDA:NZDUSD — Commodity currency cousin, often moves in tandem with AUD OANDA:AUDJPY — Risk-on sentiment gauge OANDA:AUDCAD — Inter-commodity pair correlation USD Index ( TVC:DXY ) — Inverse correlation with AUD/USD Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) — Aussie correlates with gold due to mining exports 💡 Pro Tip: If USD weakens broadly and gold rallies, AUD/USD typically benefits! 🔑 Key Points Summary ✨ Bullish breakout above 200 SMA = momentum shift ✨ Layering strategy allows better average entry price ✨ Risk-to-reward favors bulls with clear targets ✨ Watch DXY weakness and gold strength for confirmation ✨ Resistance at 0.67000 — bank profits before reversal zones! ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #AUDUSD #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #200SMA #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #AussieDollar #LayeringStrategy #RiskManagement #ForexSetup #TradingIdeas #PriceAction
Long
by The-Thief
#AUDUSD: Accumulated Completed Now Time For DistributionThe AUD/USD currency pair has been quite active lately. It has moved from a period of buying to an early selling phase. This analysis looks at the market, how prices are moving, technical tools and what might happen when trading, keeping an eye on how to manage risk. 1. Market Overview The Australian Dollar (AUD) has become stronger against the US Dollar (USD). After a long period of little change, the price action seems to be changing. The bulls are still in charge, with a target swing at 0.7050, which could be a 400-pip move from where they were accumulating. In terms of the economy, AUD’s strength is supported by stable commodity prices and a positive outlook for Australia. The USD is feeling a bit uncertain because people are speculating about what the Federal Reserve will do next and how much risk people are willing to take around the world. Price Action Structure: Accumulation Phase: The pair stayed around the 0.6650 – 0.6750 range, which showed that big investors were buying. This usually happens before a big move, which we saw on both daily and H4 charts. Breakout and Shift to Distribution: Recently, the price broke above the main resistance near 0.6800, which means it is going up. This confirms that the accumulation phase was right and that the market is set up for buyers. The next step is to move into the distribution phase, where prices are aiming for higher targets and testing the upper resistance zones before any possible reversal. Swing Targets: The main focus is on 0.7050, a spot where the price has reacted quite strongly before. For smaller gains, we have intermediate targets at 0.6920 and 0.6990. This move could be worth about 400 pips, which is a good chance for traders who are careful. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: A Fibonacci projection hints at possible targets around 0.6990 (which is a 1.618 extension) and 0.7050 (which is a 2.0 extension), which helps us stick to our price targets. - First target: 0.6920 (this is where resistance is) - Second target: 0.6990 (this is where Fibonacci levels meet) - Final swing target: 0.7050 (this is a big supply zone) The way people feel about the market can help us decide when to buy or sell. Smart money got in during the time when prices were building up, but they weren’t sure what to do. When the price broke out, it showed that more people were feeling bullish, and retail traders were joining in. The last part of the move towards 0.7050 will probably get more momentum traders before the price goes into a new pattern and might reverse. Things like how well commodities are doing and what people expect the US interest rate to be will affect the pair. If people suddenly change their minds about risk, the price could get really volatile, so it’s important to keep an eye on news. The AUD/USD pair has moved from a time when prices were building up to a bullish breakout, which means we might see a 400-pip move with a main target at 0.7050. The intermediate targets at 0.6920 and 0.6990 are good places to think about taking some profits. Looking at things like moving averages, RSI and Fibonacci levels, we can see that this is a good time to be bullish. Traders should be careful with their risk, avoid using too much leverage and stay alert to important economic events that could change the price. By sticking to a plan and being disciplined, they can make the most of this good situation in the forex market. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
10
AUDUSD Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish move. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
Look for REJECTION with AUDUSDAUD/USD Daily Analysis Pair: Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar (AUD/USD) Timeframe: 1 Day (1D) Data Source: FXCM Key Levels: Open: 0.66406 High: 0.66859 Low: 0.66288 Close: 0.66763 Change: +0.00357 (+0.54%) Analysis: The AUD/USD closed higher today, up 0.54% to 0.66763. The pair demonstrated a bullish momentum, with price action climbing from a low of 0.66288 to a session high of 0.66859. This uptick could signal renewed buying interest in the pair, with the daily close above the opening suggesting a positive sentiment among traders. What to Watch: Resistance may be found near the recent high at 0.66859. A break above this level could push the AUD/USD towards further gains. Support is situated near 0.66288. If the price reverses, this may be a key area to watch for a bounce. Outlook: Traders should look for confirmation of continuation or a reversal near today's high and low. Keep an eye on macroeconomic developments and U.S. dollar trends for further directional clues. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.
Short
by TheMotivationalProfessor
AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | D10 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D10 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDUSD FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Short
by JCFRGNT
2
AUDUSD Forming Bullish ContinuationAUDUSD has been showing a strong bullish continuation recently, and the current structure fits well with a falling wedge breakout that has already shifted momentum upward. Buyers stepped in with strong volume once price reclaimed the major resistance zone, turning it into fresh support where the market is now consolidating. This kind of price behavior usually represents a bullish continuation base before the next impulsive leg higher. Fundamentally, AUD is benefiting from improved sentiment around the Australian economy and a softer outlook on the US Dollar due to shifting Federal Reserve expectations. Inflation trends and labor market stability in Australia continue to provide positive backing for AUD strength. Meanwhile, the USD side is facing cooling economic momentum, giving AUDUSD room to extend upward. These macro drivers are aligning perfectly with what price action is signaling. Right now, the market is forming a tight consolidation phase, creating liquidity hunting behavior around the breakout area. Whether price holds this mini-range or retests the next deeper demand zone below, both scenarios still favor bullish continuation targeting higher highs. Traders are watching this structure closely as the breakout momentum remains strong and trend direction stays cleanly bullish. As long as buyers hold these key demand levels and higher-timeframe structure remains intact, AUDUSD looks positioned for further upside continuation. The trend is clear, fundamentals are supportive, and the breakout setup is already active. With expanding bullish order flow, I expect this pair to continue delivering profitable upward movement from current or slightly discounted pricing zones.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast LTF -Q4 | W49 | D5 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W49 | D5 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast LTF FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY ! 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W49| D3| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W49| D3| Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W49| D2| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W49| D2| Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD Has Potential to Strengthen Amidst Dollar WeakeningThe Australian Dollar/US Dollar (AUD/USD) pair started the week quietly, trading below the mid-0.6500s (near a two-week high). Despite disappointing Chinese economic data, the positive bias on AUD/USD remains strong. ✅ Weak Chinese Data and Its Impact Manufacturing PMI: Remained below 50.0 (contraction territory) for the eighth consecutive month in November. - Non-Manufacturing PMI: Dropped to 49.5, marking the first contraction in nearly three years (lowest since December 2022). - Market Reaction: Despite this poor data, the immediate market reaction was short-lived. Support came from: - Easing US-China trade tensions. Recently announced Chinese government measures to boost consumption. ✅ Support from the Australian Dollar (AUD) RBA Hawkishness: Diminishing odds for further policy easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) acted as a tailwind for the AUD. ✅ US Dollar (USD) Weakening - Dovish Fed Expectations: The USD Index (DXY) languished near a two-week low amid growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (The Fed) will lower borrowing costs again this month. - Risk-On Market Sentiment: Underlying bullish sentiment in financial markets weakened the safe-haven US Dollar, which benefited the riskier AUD/USD pair. ✅ Technical Analysis and Outlook - Bullish Signal: Friday's breakout through the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) supports the case for further near-term appreciation. - Cautionary Stance: Traders are reluctant to place aggressive bets and are opting to await the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI today and other key US macro data this week.
Long
by NouzTrader
1