Looking for the low in the 3300 area to long S&P 500Using ES Futures, I am looking at the 3300 level for the long . The Day Bar Chart has text too .
The Directional Trend Index has reverted to the middle and is now turning up. Price is above the moving averages and not extremely deviated from them. Monday offers a great opportunity to enter the bull trend. I'm hoping to see a low in the early part of the day with the support level holding, and there is always the chance the price is not offered and a new plan must be made.
I will update this as it develops!
B3
$DIS - DISNEY - LONG SETUP USING CALLS - #tradingsignalsMETHOD: Long DISNEY {price at entry 147.59} via:
+2 DIS 20 DEC 19 144 CALL @3.80 ; Trading with 0.21 of extrinsic value, well in the money.
STRATEGIES: Using DIS day chart:
The 20/50 Mean green cloud contracts, and we can look for a new expanding cloud to form for a long.
The Fisher Transform bounce signal appearing somewhat near the mean (after the reversion on the earnings bump).
TACTICS: The plan in terms of stock price:
STOP is price < 144
TGT1 153 scale; TGT2 157 to exit
Trail option price to Break Even once stock price > 150; OR consider scaling as green cloud becomes large
We may let the Fisher Transform and 20/50 mean together take us out technically for whatever we get win or lose.
NOTES:
Not always do mean reversions get back to the mean in view.
Depending on figuring, it could have touched some mean perfectly, but it isn't important.
We look for the signals near the mean as we consider the mean elastic or one of many possible means .
Will update in comments,
B3
d^.^b
LONG $FB ~ FACEBOOK~ SETUP USING CALL-SPREAD ~ #OptionsTradingMETHOD: Long FACEBOOK {price at entry 198.39] via:
+2 VERTICAL FB 100 (Weeklys) 27 DEC 19 195/202.5 CALL @3.75 ;
Decay only threatening if losing the trade; 1:1 R:R.
STRATEGIES: Using day chart:
The 20/50 Mean green cloud contracts, and we can look for a new expanding cloud to form for a long from the mean.
The Fisher Transform bounce signal appearing near the mean.
TACTICS: The plan in terms of stock price:
STOP is price < 196
TGT1 202.34 to scale; TGT2 208 to exit
Consider scaling as green cloud becomes large
Consider exiting at 50% max profit
We may let the Fisher Transform and 20/50 mean together take us out technically for whatever we get win or lose.
Will update in comments,
B3
d^.^b
LONG $AMT ~ LONG SETUP via SELLING PUT SPREAD ~ #OptionsTradingMETHOD: Long AMERICAN TOWER {price at entry ~ 215.60} via:
-2 VERTICAL AMT 100 (Weeklys) 27 DEC 19 220/212.5 PUT @4.20 ; !! may be tough to fill !!
Trading @ medium IV so going for a positive R:R play
Decay helps if price > 216 and hurts if below;
STRATEGIES: Using AMT day chart:
The 20/50 Mean looks set to make a green cloud after mean crossed.
The Fisher Transform line signaling an oscillation long.
TACTICS: The plan in terms of stock price:
STOP is price < 212
TGT1 220 to exit (5:3 Reward:Risk)
Consider exiting at 50% max profit ($840/2) or better
We may let the Fisher Transform and 20/50 mean together take us out technically for whatever we get win or lose.
Will update in comments,
B3
d^.^b
$COST ~ COSTCO~ SHORT SETUP USING PUT SPREAD~ #OptionsTradingMETHOD: Short COSTCO {price at entry ~ 292} via:
+2 VERTICAL COST 100 (Weeklys) 27 DEC 19 300/292.5 PUT @5.00 ;
Trading @ low IV after the earnings dump;
Decay helps if price < 294;
Sold high extrinsic put to buy high intrinsic put
STRATEGIES: Using COST day chart:
The 20/50 Mean looks set to make a big pink cloud after a long chart runup.
The Fisher Transform line signaling a continuation short.
The last earnings bailing of stock price turned out to last a few days.
TACTICS: The plan in terms of stock price:
STOP is price > 295 (MUST OBEY, Upside down R:R trade)
TGT1 288 to scale; TGT2 286.25 to exit (NO EARLY EXIT, Upside down R:R trade)
Consider scaling as pink cloud becomes large
We may let the Fisher Transform and 20/50 mean together take us out technically for whatever we get win or lose.
Will update in comments,
B3
d^.^b
$PYPL ~ PAYPAL ~ LONG SETUP USING CALLS ~ #OptionsTradingMETHOD: Long PAYPAL {price at entry 104.93} via:
+2 PYPL 20 DEC 19 102 CALL @3.40 ; Trading with 0.50 of extrinsic value, with decay only threatening if losing the trade.
STRATEGIES: Using DIS day chart:
The 20/50 Mean green cloud contracts, and we can look for a new expanding cloud to form for a long from the mean.
The Fisher Transform bounce signal appearing near the mean.
TACTICS: The plan in terms of stock price:
STOP is price < 102
TGT 108 to exit
Trail option price to Break Even once stock price > 106; OR consider scaling as green cloud becomes large
We may let the Fisher Transform and 20/50 mean together take us out technically for whatever we get win or lose.
Will update in comments,
B3
d^.^b
CRM - SALESFORCE - SHORT SETUP USING PUTSMETHOD: Short SALESFORCE {price at entry 156.40} via :
+2 CRM 20 DEC 19 160 PUT @4.40 ; Trading with 0.75 of extrinsic value, well in the money.
STRATEGIES: Using CRM day chart :
The 20/50 Mean started a crossing downward pattern, and we can look for a new red cloud to form for a short.
The Fisher Transform bounce signal has failed and is now showing a continuation short near a critical support price.
TACTICS: The plan in terms of stock price :
STOP is price > 160
TGT1 153 scale; TGT2 148.75 to exit
Trail option price to Break Even once stock price < 154; OR consider scaling as red cloud becomes large
You may let the Fisher Transform and 20/50 mean together take you out technically for whatever you get win or lose.
Will update in comments,
B3
d^.^b
Indice rompeu!? Muita calma nessa hora!Para quem opera swing trade ou mais precisa ter cuidado com o que estão chamando de rompimento do topo histórico, pois o preço está subindo em formato de flamula e precisamos de alguns fechamos do diários a cima da região de 107.400 para confirmar o rompimento.
Take careful bulls!
VVAR3 - caso perca a LTA - possíveis alvosgap a fechar em 7,03
gap a fechar em 5,93
gap a fechar em 5,45
duas LTAs de prazo maior que podem servir de suporte
VVAR3 - Via Varejo ON - possível queda em direção a média de 200- possível alvo na média de 200 dias (aprox. 6,00 reais)
- gap a ser fechado em 6 reais
- região de extensão de fibonacci 127% (5,68 reais)
- padrão harmônico bearish
- atenção ao suporte em 6,26 reais
- boa relação perda/ganho (stop acima do ponto D)
Will 2940 Break for the ES mimi?Hourly Momentum is suggesting that a break is ready to happen today.
I will be looking for these indicators to turn south to prove me wrong; they are currently lined up well.
Personally, the long was 2924, and at the time of the posting it is too late to enter.
Here is some analysis on my twitter feed , and I am now updating it daily!!! twitter.com
Find out more why I am biased long but cautious in the consolidation that has ensued; and see the 5d pivot is my line in the sand.