Sugar | Long | Downward Channel (April 2025)Sugar | Long | Downward Channel Potential | (April 29, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Sugar has been moving inside a downward channel since 2023, but now signs are showing that we might be ready for a bullish breakout. A W-formation has appeared on the weekly timeframe, suggesting potential for higher prices ahead!
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $18.00
Stop Loss: Below $17.00 after a retest of the parallel channel (monitor price action carefully)
TP1: $18.95
TP2: $20.00
TP3: $21.50
Partial Exits: Taking profits gradually at each target level.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ The weekly chart shows a large W-formation that could trigger a reversal to the upside.
✅ Open Interest has been decreasing with prices, suggesting caution but also possible bottoming.
✅ CFTC Commitment of Traders data is currently unclear, so we have limited confirmation from positioning.
❌ A strong breakdown below $17.00 without a retest could invalidate this setup.
✅ Waiting for a clean breakout and retest of the parallel channel gives better confirmation before fully committing.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll continue to monitor this idea and update if there are big changes in the market sentiment or structure.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Beyond Technical Analysis
AVAX | Long | W Pattern Potential | (April 2025)AVAX | Long | Bottom Formation + W Pattern Potential | (April 29, 2025)
Inspired by @KlejdiCuni
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
AVAX has been in a steady downtrend, but now we seem to be approaching a strong bottom area. A potential W-pattern is forming, which could kickstart a bullish move from here!
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $20.00 – $21.80
Stop Loss: Around $14.60 (monitoring volume carefully)
TP1: $25.00
TP2: $36.00
TP3: $44.00
TP4: $52.00
Partial Exits: Gradually locking in profits at each target.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ W-pattern formation suggests a bullish reversal could be underway.
✅ Strong volume near the bottom would add extra confirmation.
✅ There’s a liquidity cluster around $23.00, meaning we might see a fast move up as stops get triggered.
❌ A breakdown with high volume below $14.60 would invalidate this setup.
✅ I’ll also consider compounding the position if we dip a little further before reversing.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I'll continue tracking this setup and post updates if anything major changes.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
4/29 Gold Trading SignalsThe buy orders initiated around 3273 yesterday have already delivered solid profits.
After a slight rally at today’s opening, gold prices have pulled back.
Currently, the candlestick formation shows no clear directional trend, while some short-term technical indicators are pointing downward.
Before any corrective signals appear, we need to closely watch the support near 3306.
As long as this level holds, the short-term bullish momentum still has a chance to continue.
On the news side, today's scheduled data releases are of minor impact.
Focus instead on developments regarding the India-Pakistan situation and US Treasury Secretary Bessent’s press conference.
If geopolitical tensions escalate, gold may break out to new highs.
🔹 Today's Trading Strategy:
Sell within 3407-3428 zone
Buy within 3258-3223 zone
Flexibly trade between 3346-3313 / 3378-3336 / 3273-3316 zones
Please manage your positions carefully and stay alert for unexpected market moves.
Gold Ideas - XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | April 28, 2025🧠 Quick Outlook:
Gold remains locked in a corrective range after its aggressive rally to new all-time highs.
Price is currently consolidating between major liquidity zones, preparing for its next big move.
However, growing geopolitical risks — including rising Middle East tensions and potential currency interventions out of Japan — could trigger safe-haven flows, especially during Asia session volatility.
While the high timeframe structure remains bullish above the 3220–3235 pivot,
the immediate tactical focus is on the 3340–3365 zone, where key liquidity battles are unfolding.
🔥 Major Zones to Watch:
Resistance 3380–3395 Major supply and flip zone — strong liquidity cluster
Resistance 3350–3360 Minor local resistance — potential bull trap area
Support 3260–3280 Critical intraday support and liquidity pocket
Support 3220–3235 Last pivot standing to maintain bullish structure
⭐Tactical Focus This Week:
🎯 Will Gold reject or conquer the 3380–3395 stronghold?
🎯 Will 3350–3360 act as a stepping stone or a snare for early buyers?
🎯 Are buyers prepared to defend the 3260–3280 liquidity pocket with real force?
🎯 What happens if 3220 collapses?
Patience and sniper discipline will make the difference this week, as Gold approaches critical decision points and major news.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together! 🛡️
eurusd 2025-4 29this day we have some level for trade but we can trade on area
on top we have pdh , bsl that price go up and reach to that level when sell setup create we can trade , but today rang of trade is so big that means we can trade on top of 50% pervous leg.
on pdl that price go down and reach to that level when buy setup create we can trade , but today rang of trade is so big that means we can trade on bottom of 50% pervous leg
Ethereum Nears Breakout: Strong Support, $1950 Targeted NextHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Ethereum 🔍📈.
Ethereum has been trading within a downward cycle, but a short-term breakout above the descending channel appears likely. The price is approaching the key psychological level of $2,000, with a primary target of $1,950. This suggests a potential upside of at least 25% from a strong support zone.📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Ethereum looks set to break out of its downtrend, eyeing the $2,000 mark with a main target of $1,950—about a 25% move up from strong support.📚🎇
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
NAS100USD: Institutional Selling Initiated at Premium LevelsGreetings Traders,
Today on NAS100USD, the market is currently operating within a clear bearish institutional order flow. In alignment with this directional bias, we are seeking selling opportunities supported by several key confluences.
Key Observations:
1. Liquidity Sweep at Premium Pricing:
Price has retraced deeply into a premium zone, sweeping the buy stops above a recent swing high. This suggests smart money is executing sell-side order pairing at extreme premium levels, utilizing retail liquidity for institutional distribution. When this occurs, price typically seeks rebalancing at fair value zones and continues toward discount levels.
2. Resistance at Fair Value Gap:
Following the liquidity sweep, price encountered resistance at a previously identified fair value gap (FVG). This FVG has held effectively, reinforcing the bearish outlook and acting as a high-probability rejection zone.
3. Market Structure Shift (MSS):
The market has now confirmed a bearish market structure shift, further validating the downside bias. This shift positions us to anticipate a continuation move.
4. Mitigation Block as Entry Zone:
We are currently watching a mitigation block for potential re-entries. These blocks represent zones where smart money mitigates previous long positions and introduces new short positions in alignment with the prevailing trend. If confirmed, they offer a strategic point to enter short trades.
Trading Plan:
Monitor the mitigation block for confirmation and look to enter with the broader institutional trend. Targets will include fair value regions and deeper liquidity pools at discount prices.
Remain patient and disciplined, and always ensure your analysis aligns with your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
EURJPY Long 4/29/2025EUR/JPY Long – Weekly Bullish Engulfing + Double Bottom Off Demand Zone
Looking to go long EUR/JPY after a clean correction into demand and signs of higher timeframe bullish continuation.
Weekly Chart:
Last week printed a bullish engulfing candle that slightly broke out of the previous supply zone, suggesting early-stage trend continuation.
While we opened this week with a sharp sell-off (around 170 pips from the highs), price action shows it was corrective, not impulsive.
4H Chart:
Price is setting up a Morning Star formation — two hours away from confirmation.
If completed, it would signal a bullish reversal right off a critical structure zone.
1H Chart:
A double bottom is forming off a predetermined 1H demand zone — a key liquidity pocket I’ve been tracking.
Recent hourly candle gapped up, further suggesting buyers are starting to step in after soaking up sell-side pressure.
Trade Thesis:
Expecting a bullish reaction from demand and a retest of the previous highs.
This correction appears technical rather than fundamental — no steamy downside momentum despite the initial slide.
Risk-Reward Profile:
Target: Retest of the highs
R:R: 1:3.5
Stop: Below the double bottom structure
This setup blends clean structure with a higher timeframe bullish bias — looking for a continuation leg if momentum holds.
EURUSD Short 4/29/2025EUR/USD Short – Weekly Supply Rejection + Bearish Structure Developing
Looking to short EUR/USD based on a clean multi-timeframe confluence of supply rejection, bearish price action, and lack of immediate bullish catalysts.
Weekly Chart:
Last week printed a bearish hammer right off a major weekly supply zone — signaling higher timeframe selling pressure coming into play.
4H Chart:
We've got developing structure that could complete into a valid head and shoulders pattern.
Last two 4H candles printed a bearish engulfing followed by a bearish hammer, both rejecting supply strongly.
Current 4H candle (still forming) is holding bearish intent, keeping momentum tilted to the downside.
1H Chart:
1-hour candles are following suit — we’re about to close a doji, showing hesitation from buyers and potential follow-through lower.
Trade Thesis:
Taking the short now with anticipation that the 4H head and shoulders confirms and breaks lower.
First milestone is clearing the neckline, then continuation down toward the weekly structural target at 1.2000.
Fundamental Context:
No major eurozone news releases today.
German Prelim CPI hits tomorrow, but until then, EUR is exposed to drifting lower without fresh catalysts.
Risk-Reward Profile:
Initial Target: Break below the neckline
Main Target: Weekly level around 1.2000
R:R: Targeting 1:4
Stop: Placed above the right shoulder structure on the 4H
This setup combines clean technical exhaustion at supply with room for a strong trend leg if momentum accelerates.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has reclaimed the $90K– GETTEX:92K zone after a sharp 32% correction from its all-time high, closing the week strongly above this critical area.
As long as price holds above $90,000, the primary bias remains bullish. The $90K– GETTEX:92K area now acts as a key support zone, ideal for pullback buying opportunities.
A breakout above $101,000 could trigger a strong acceleration toward the next major targets at $115K–$125K.
A weekly close below the green support zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and suggest caution.
What’s your outlook? Will Bitcoin maintain momentum and break $101K? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD Gold analysis from a medium- to long-term perspectiveHello everyone. Today, we are here to determine the long-term direction of the XAUUSD pair. Regardless of any revisions, even if there are rollbacks in Trump-era policies or unexpected developments that are currently not even on the agenda, the ultimate objective remains unchanged: to strategically counterbalance China. The core target is clearly China, and the strategy is to shift both production and the trade balance in favor of the United States.
The factors driving gold prices upward are still strongly tied to global uncertainties, supported by ongoing diplomatic and geopolitical tensions. In a period where the U.S. dollar's role as the world’s reserve currency is being questioned, gold diversification has accelerated—particularly through central bank purchases.
From a psychological perspective, especially when viewed through the eyes of retail investors, I always emphasize this: when gold reaches historical highs, the underlying momentum seen in technical analysis continues to support a bullish direction. Therefore, I believe the upward trend is likely to persist.
EURUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - OB, Model 1 target - 50% AMD in playHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Is Europe's Decline Grounding Airbus's Ascent?Europe's economic situation presents a complex picture of modest growth juxtaposed with significant challenges, creating uncertainty for major players like Airbus. In 2024, the European Union's GDP growth was projected to be below 1%, with only a slight acceleration anticipated for 2025. This sluggish economic expansion, when coupled with persistent inflation and ongoing geopolitical tensions, lays an unstable foundation for sustained economic prosperity.
The cohesion of the European Union itself is increasingly in question, influenced by the rise of nationalist sentiments and the potential for increased trade protectionism. The EU faces structural challenges, including economic disparities, political divisions, and growing Euroscepticism, which could precipitate its disintegration. Should this occur, individual countries would be forced to navigate complex economic and geopolitical landscapes independently, generating significant implications for multinational corporations like Airbus.
Concurrently, Airbus is navigating a highly competitive environment, most notably with its enduring rivalry with Boeing, which is actively seeking to overcome its recent operational and reputational hurdles. While Airbus has recently secured a larger market share, Boeing's inherent resilience, combined with the potential entry of new competitors, may challenge Airbus's current market dominance.
To sustain its competitive edge, Airbus must not only effectively manage the economic uncertainties and potential fragmentation within Europe but also maintain its commitment to technological innovation and efficient production. The company's ability to nimbly adapt to these multifaceted challenges will be crucial in determining its long-term success and continued leadership in the global aerospace industry.
"GBPUSD Ready for the Kill After Premium Zone Reaction!"⚡ GBPUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 28, 2025
📈 What's Happening:
GBPUSD just tapped deep into the Premium Zone while simultaneously reacting off a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Signs of bearish rejection are stacking up — Smart Money might be preparing for the kill shot! 🎯
🚨 Key Levels Highlighted:
Strong High = Major invalidation (~1.34317).
Premium Zone = Where sellers ideally step in.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) = Where price imbalance triggered a reaction.
Weak Low = Major liquidity target (~1.32036).
🧠 Key Observations:
Price filled the FVG and immediately showed a reaction = sign of Smart Money stepping in.
Strong High untouched = still valid for bearish play.
Weak Low + Sell Side Liquidity = magnets below.
🎯 2-SCENARIO PLAN:
Plan A — Short Setup (Primary Bias):
✅ Look for bearish confirmation via M15 or M5 structure shift.
✅ Ideal entry around Premium/FVG zone.
✅ TP1 = Minor structure lows around 1.33000. TP2 = Full Weak Low sweep (~1.32036).
✅ SL = Above Strong High (~1.34317).
Plan B — Invalidated if:
✅ Strong High is broken impulsively = setup failed. No chasing!
📊 Risk Management Tip:
"Fair Value Gap reactions inside Premium = sniper-level setups. Focus on confirmations, not assumptions."
🧘♂️ Summary:
✅ Premium Tap ✅ FVG Fill ✅ Bearish Reaction ✅ Weak Low Target
Patience = Power.
This could be the sniper setup you've been waiting for! 🔥
➡️ Save this playbook.
➡️ Comment "SNIPE THE GAP" if you're setting the trap! 🎯
VIX Set Up for a Big Move: Aggressive Institutional Call BuyingSummary:
The VIX has officially broken major resistance, and institutional players are making large bets on rising volatility over the next 1–2 months. The combination of the technical breakout and heavy call buying strongly suggests a potential VIX surge toward 30–35.
🔥 Technical Analysis:
Key Resistance at 23.50 (red line) was cleanly broken and is now acting as support.
VIX currently at 25.16, maintaining position above all key short-term moving averages.
Price is sandwiched between the 50 EMA (26.22) and 23.50 support, suggesting coiled energy ready to break either direction — currently favoring the upside.
RSI remains neutral at ~45, meaning plenty of room for volatility expansion without technical exhaustion.
Past behavior shows that after VIX clears major resistance and holds, sharp expansions typically follow.
📊 Institutional Option Flow:
Today's VIX option flow highlights aggressive accumulation of May calls:
12,000 contracts bought on 21 Strike Calls (May 21 expiration) — $4.08M bet.
8,000 contracts bought on 22 Strike Calls (May 21 expiration) — $2.28M bet.
Significant accumulation at the 30 Strike Calls across multiple timestamps — over $3M total premium.
Additional layering into higher strikes for June and July expirations (34C, 40C, 60C, 70C), indicating expectations for extreme moves.
💬 Key Insight:
These are large block trades, aggressively executed at the ask, suggesting real conviction rather than passive hedging.
🚀 Projected Outlook:
Level Importance
23.50 Confirmed support after breakout
26.22 (50 EMA) Minor resistance — currently being tested
29.41 (20 EMA) Short-term breakout target
30–35 zone Primary upside target if VIX momentum continues
If VIX sustains above 23.50 and breaks the 50 EMA cleanly, we can expect a fast push to the 30–35 range, especially if external catalysts (economic data, geopolitical risk) align.
📣 Final Thoughts:
The technical setup and the institutional option flow are both aligned — something that doesn't happen often.
Volatility is coiling above support, and big money is positioning for an explosive move.
Whether you're managing risk or looking for opportunity, it's time to pay attention to volatility.
✍️ Chart and flow analysis by @brownian. Thank goodness I am not your financial advisor, else you would be living in your car.
📅 April 28, 2025
#Volatility #VIX #OptionsFlow #TechnicalAnalysis #EMAAnalysis #TradingView #QQQ #SPY #SPX #NASDAQ
NASDAQ:QQQ
AMEX:SPY
we can go long on tatamotors cmp 670-650we cango long on tatmotors its holding orderblocks level
expected upside range 980 to 1180++
go long cmp 670-650
stoploss - 580 ( almost 100 points)
1st target - 990 (320 points)
2nd targte - 1180 (510 points)
Risk to rewards - 1:3 and 1:5+
always follow the given stoplos level view are only long term holdings