Beyond Technical Analysis
we can long on astral from the cmp 1343 2nd time retest the same level and we got small green candle on the given rangeof buyer area we can go long from here for the target of new high only for ling term view only we can consider
cmp - 1343
sl - 160 points from the the entry level
targe - new high from the swing level
H4 downtrend line, gold price cools down✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 04/28/2025 - 05/02/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices reversed course on Friday, wiping out Thursday’s gains and slipping below the $3,300 threshold, as persistent US Dollar strength weighed heavily on the precious metal despite declining US Treasury yields. The easing of tensions in the US-China trade dispute further pressured bullion, with XAU/USD trading around $3,294, down more than 1.6%.
Market sentiment remains fragile, swinging sharply between risk-on and risk-off modes in response to comments from US President Donald Trump. Earlier, Bloomberg reported that China was considering tariff exemptions on some US goods, sparking optimism. However, the mood soured after Trump asserted that he would not lift tariffs on China without significant concessions.
🔥 Identify:
News about Russia-Ukraine peace talks this weekend will continue to put selling pressure on gold prices next week. Moving along the downtrend line H4
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3357, $3498
Support : $3228, $3155
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Trading mistakes and how to fix them. Part 2Today, I’m sharing something in a slightly different format.
The points below aren’t problems to solve — they are principles to remember.
They aren’t my personal inventions, though I fully agree with them and have made them a part of my trading approach.This is a curated collage of insights, recommendations, and lessons from experienced traders, drawn from books and years of practice.
1. Spreading yourself too thin by entering positions in too many assets at once.
For an investor, this is acceptable and even necessary. But not for a trader or speculator. Investors have different behavior patterns in the market and different reasons for buying certain assets.
Speculating is a much faster type of trading, and it’s simply impossible to keep track of too many assets in a portfolio. It's better to focus on 3–5 positions.
I know one very successful speculator who trades only one asset—and does so quite successfully. For me, he's a great example that if you know how to trade well, you can make decent money even on a single asset.
2. Switching to Other Timeframes.
If you entered a position on the 1-hour timeframe, then the entire trade — including stop-losses and take-profits — should be based on the 1-hour chart.
3. Trying to Predict Market Moves.
Everything you need to know is already on the chart. The chart is the best insider. Don't try to guess or gamble — that's not how money is made in this business. If you want to gamble, go to a casino. Before news or economic data is released, the market usually already shows patterns signaling a potential rise or fall.
The only exception is trading around genuinely major news events, like Trump’s tariffs — but you will usually hear about such events without even following news feeds. These are very powerful moves, and the real danger is not uncertainty about the direction, but extreme volatility. Often the first reaction to the news is false, and you might get stopped out prematurely. It's better to wait for confirmation — for the move to actually start.
For example, if you see all the signals on the chart suggesting a decline, but after the news the market shoots up, don't rush. If that entire upward move gets erased by a downward move and the price starts making new lows, _then_ you can open a short position.
Even better, wait until the next day. If the move is real, it won’t end in just one or two days.
4. A stock trading at a high price doesn’t mean it can’t go higher — and vice versa.
You shouldn't short a rising asset, just as you shouldn't buy a falling one. Just keep that in mind.
Success in trading comes not from winning every trade, but from focusing on high-probability setups.
ETH TO THE MOON TRADEETHUSDT Weekly Analysis | 3M & 12M Supply/Demand Zones
Currently, Ethereum (ETHUSDT) is trading around $1803, sitting close to major higher timeframe zones:
3-Month Supply/Demand Zone: ~$1691
12-Month Supply/Demand Zone: ~$1557
Price has reacted strongly near the 3M S/D zone after a multi-month decline. Holding above this zone could indicate a potential bottom formation.
Reminder:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade with proper risk management.
MAGS SUPER STRUCTURE FORMING CAUTION!We have MEGA superstructures forming everywhere. H&S Eiffel Towers, etc.. None will be more devastating to 401ks and people's portfolios than the MAGS breaking down from this mammoth structure.
Last chance to GTFO forming.
CAUTION is in order!
Click Boost, Follow, Subscribe. Let's get to 5,000 followers ))
Compound 4X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 2428%)This is a very, very easy set of targets that I am setting up here for Compound (COMPUSDT). And this trade setup with 4X leverage is low risk, very low risk. High potential for reward (more than 2,000%).
After June 2023, the dynamics changed from lower highs and lower lows, to higher highs and higher lows.
Late March produced the highest (buy)volume ever for this pair on this exchange. Someone in the background knows what is about to happen. Someone big. Now you know too thanks to this chart and trade-numbers.
The stop-loss is not meant for your liquidation nor for any trading, it is meant to indicate when the chart setup goes bad. Leveraged trading is for advanced traders.
If the stop-loss conditions are met, maybe monthly rather than weekly, the chart setup and market conditions are lost. Obviously, the stop-loss conditions can be activated and yet, growth still happens within weeks or months. Stop-losses should be ignored. Only advanced traders should use those.
This is a high probability trade setup. High risk vs a high potential for reward.
The numbers are meant for illustration only. Some people can use them to make predictions, others to decide where to buy as simply Cryptocurrency investors, while still others can use them to trade.
How you use these numbers is to you. I am not responsible for any loses, for how the market behaves nor any of your mistakes. Trading is a game for adults. A game, truly. This game can produce money as well as losses.
Trade at your own risk. I am wishing you success and great profits. You can do this. Just keep trying, work hard, study... Focus.
Full trade-numbers below:
_____
LONG COMPUSDT
Leverage: 4X
Entry levels:
1) $46
2) $43
3) $41
4) $36
Targets:
1) $50
2) $55
3) $60
4) $75
5) $88
6) $100
7) $122
8) $140
9) $165
10) $180
11) $205
12) $245
13) $274
14) $311
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below $35
Potential profits: 2428%
Capital allocation: 3%
_____
Don't mind my disclaimer on these trades. Some people can't face the fact of a losing trade. It is for those.
Responsible people like you and me know how the game works. We are happy to accept our winnings as well as any loss. We do not blame others for our mistakes. Life is full of challenges, we use these challenges as learning experiences. Trying circumstances are what made us into who we are today.
When you are going through something hard, it can be tough to face this reality with a smile in your face. When you look back to the past, in retrospect after all is great, you might even laugh and wear a badge of honor for the hard times you were able to overcome.
Think about it, a challenge that was once a nightmare, is now only a story that you can share and enjoy while you continue to grow.
Trading can help you improve your life, if you are honest with yourself and accept the fact that the market cannot be controlled. Yes, there is some manipulation, but nothing can control how nature works.
Nature works in cycles... After going down, everything grows.
Cryptocurrency is going up. Get used to it, because we are about to be showered with tons of profits, lots of money for all those who take the risk to buy and hold. Buy and hold now that prices are low.
Namaste.
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025
📈 5530 5560
📉 5475 5445
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Support around 148.18 is important
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(SOLUSDT 1D chart)
The OBV Line indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 148.18 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported around 148.18 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If not, and it falls, you should check whether it is supported near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
-
Since the M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are converging, I think the current location is an important support and resistance zone.
-
If it continues to rise, there is a possibility that it will touch the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart, which is around 225.0.
However, since the HA-High indicator of the 1M chart is formed at the 179.74 point, we need to see if it can break through this area upward.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone, even if it rises further, it will eventually show a downward trend.
We need to create a response strategy by keeping this in mind.
In other words, we need to check whether the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart or above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and create a response strategy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Important section: 12.560-18.301
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(TRUMPUSDT.P 1D chart)
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is showing an upward trend after being created.
The HA-Low indicator is currently formed at 7.933.
-
The 12.560-18.301 section corresponds to the Close value of Heikin-Ashi on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, in order to continue the upward trend, it is expected that the price will have to rise above 12.560-18.301 to maintain the price.
-
If it falls below 11.796-12.560, it is likely to meet the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart again, so a response strategy is needed.
-
If it rises above 18.301 and maintains the price, it is expected to determine the trend again by touching around 27.329.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Wajani Investments: USDCHF AnalysisThis pair fell below its previous demand zone if you zoom the chart to the left. This confirms price to be at a demand zone. The second important factor here is seen from the two strong bullish candles insinuating the bulls have entered the market strongly. These two factors qualify for my analysis to say the market is moving upward.
Let me know your thoughts.
Thank you.
ETHBTC will supercede BTCs price growth % metrics. Time to SEED!ETH has been met with so much price gravity lately that it went to correct unbelievably from 4k+ to 1.5k.
Thats more than -3x of its peak price - an overextended trim compare to its peers like BTC which did a muted hibernation but still price remained afloat up there.
But hope is starting to arise from the latest price behavior. We are seeing some significant shift in trend. Net longs are starting to pile up from the current bargain price area -- conveying positioning of long term growth seekers. BTC is showing some massive break in structure as well showing some obvious signs of market recovery as a whole.
With this in mind, ETH metrics is becoming more and more attractive -- if we compare its possible price growth in terms of percentage and proportionality growth ratio.
ETHBTC will definitely benefit with this forthcoming growth ratio change.
Based on our diagram, we are already seeing some gradual shift -- a first sign of reversal to the upside. This can roll up soon and pace up its numbers.
Price is currently bouncing perfectly from its 6 year solid support. This is a massive hint already of things to come. GOOD THINGS.
Spotted at 0.0190
Target X10.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
Ye Chart Kuch Kehta Hai : Cholamandalam Financial HoldingCholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CFHL), a marquee name among India’s top 5 NBFCs by market capitalization and a key entity within the Murugappa Group, continues to demonstrate robust financial health and growth momentum. As a Core Investment Company registered with the RBI, CFHL offers a diversified portfolio of financial products and risk management solutions through its group companies, catering effectively to both individual and corporate clients.
Recent Performance Highlights:
The company has delivered a commendable profit CAGR of 20.5% over the past five years, underscoring consistent earnings growth.
Stock price performance has been exceptional, with a CAGR of 23% over 10 years, accelerating to 48% over 5 years, 45% over 3 years, and an impressive 83% in the last year alone.
Compounded profit growth remains strong, with 19% over 10 years, 21% over 5 years, 29% over 3 years, and 24% trailing twelve months (TTM).
Latest Quarterly and Annual Results:
Q4 FY25 disbursements rose 7% year-on-year to ₹26,417 crore, while annual disbursements crossed the ₹1 trillion mark at ₹1,00,869 crore, a 14% increase.
Assets Under Management (AUM) surged 30% year-on-year to ₹1,99,876 crore.
Net income for Q4 FY25 increased by 29% to ₹3,758 crore; Profit After Tax (PAT) grew 20% to ₹1,267 crore for the quarter and 24% to ₹4,259 crore for the full year.
The company maintains strong capital adequacy with a CAR of 19.75%, well above regulatory norms, and a comfortable liquidity position.
Asset quality remains robust with Gross NPA stable at 3.97% and NNPA at 2.63%, below RBI’s PCA threshold.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, the stock is poised for a breakout, perfectly positioned at the golden ratio level on the Fibonacci retracement, forming a classic cup pattern-an ideal setup signaling strong upside potential. The financial sector, particularly NBFCs, is currently in favor, and Cholamandalam stands out as one of the hottest picks in this space.
Investment Strategy:
Given the strong fundamentals and technical setup, this is an opportune moment to consider a position in CFHL. Investors should calibrate their stop-loss levels according to individual risk tolerance to safeguard capital while participating in the anticipated upward momentum.
This synthesis combines strong fundamentals with favorable technical signals, making Cholamandalam Financial Holdings a compelling investment candidate in the current market environment.
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY 4HR TIMFRAME BIASOn the 4hr timeframe, price created divergence right at the major zone indicating reversal and price went further to break the 4hr trendline signaling bullish and rhyming with the monthly/weekly/daily established bullish bias hence we established a possible entry long on the USDJPY pair.
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY DAILY BIASOn the Daily timeframe, price reacted to the major zone and reversed upwards, rhyming with the established bullish bias on the monthly/weekly timeframe, price is currently sitting on the daily trend line almost broken but we will head to the 4hr timeframe for further confirmation.
AAVE, aims for X10 this bull season. Massive loans demand ahead!Aave is an Open Source Protocol to create Non-Custodial Liquidity Markets to earn interest on supplying and borrowing assets with a variable interest rate.
The apparent market shift in trend this past few days in the whole market after the extended correction is a good season to seed on this very valuable COIN.
Demands in LOANS will skyrocket fueling funding frenzy on position takers on their crypto holdings as we enter BULL SEASON. And the focus will be on AAVE the largest liquidity pool provider.
Ideal seeding zone is at the current bargain range of (170) which started on the 130 bottom price area.
Get positioned now on this one while its still at early stage. An easy x10 would the long term target on this. Fundamental and Technical growth on this is inevitable.
Spotted at 170.
Mid target 500
Long term 1000.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
NQ SHORTNo one reads this anyway. But major behind the scenes problems not arising, becoming worse. We've been on the trajectory downward since last summer. Not looking great overall, need to push over 20,900 and hold the retest to be anywhere near bullish again. Think we have a long hard fall ahead. Don't get fooled by the media, people "buying these dips" will hurt in the end.