BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a well-defined range between $88,000 and $95,000, while continuing to trade inside an ascending channel.
The lower boundary of this ascending channel aligns closely with the $88,000 support zone, adding confluence and strengthening this area as a key demand region. At the moment, price action is hovering near the channel support, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening.
As long as the price holds above the $88,000 support, we expect some short-term consolidation followed by a bullish push toward the upper range at $95,000.
A clean breakout above $95,000 could open the door for a continuation move toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which would act as the next upside target.
A sustained break below the channel support would invalidate this scenario.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoinlong
Breaking: Bitcoin Might Dip to $70k Support Point The price of Bitcoin is poised to dip to the $70k support to shake off weak hands before picking liquidity up albeit the market is generally bearish.
The $70k support is feasible or nearest support zone for bitcoin to consolidate before going back up. In similar context, as per data from crypto quant the open interest of Bitcoin on all exchanges is down 0.45% losing roughly $29 billion.
This data further solidifies our bearish thesis on $BTC.
BTC/USD Liquidity Blueprint – Are You Reading the Flow Right?🎯 BTC/USD: The Great Heist Setup | Swing Trade Blueprint 💰
📊 Market Overview
Asset: BTC/USD (BITCOIN/US DOLLAR)
Market: Cryptocurrency
Trade Type: Swing Trade
Strategy Style: The Thief Method™ (Layered Entry System)
🎨 Technical Setup
📈 Market Structure: BULLISH CONFIRMED
The Simple Moving Average is showing strong accumulation patterns with a healthy pullback structure. Bulls are loading up their bags like thieves preparing for the ultimate vault heist! 🏃♂️💨
Key Technical Indicators:
✅ SMA showing strong bullish accumulation
✅ Pullback phase completed
✅ Higher lows formation intact
✅ Volume supporting upside momentum
🎯 The Heist Plan: Entry Strategy
💎 The Thief Layered Entry System
Instead of going all-in at one price (that's how amateurs get caught! 👮), we're using a professional layered approach with multiple buy limit orders:
Entry Layers:
🔹 Layer 1: $108,000
🔹 Layer 2: $109,000
🔹 Layer 3: $110,000
🔹 Layer 4: $111,000
🔹 Layer 5: $112,000
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your bag size and risk appetite. The beauty of this strategy? You average into position like a pro! 🎭
🛡️ Risk Management
⛔ Stop Loss: $106,000
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen),
This is MY stop loss based on MY risk tolerance. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Set your SL according to YOUR risk management rules. Remember: Take profits at your own risk, protect capital like it's your treasure!
🎯 Target Zone: The Great Escape
🚨 Target: $124,000
Why this target?
The "Police Barricade" (strong resistance zone) sits right here with multiple confluence factors:
🔴 Major resistance level
🔴 Overbought conditions expected
🔴 Bull trap zone activated
🔴 Historical rejection area
🏃♂️ Exit Strategy: When we hit this zone, it's time to take your loot and run! Don't get greedy and caught in the trap!
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen),
This is MY take profit target. You're free to take profits whenever YOU feel comfortable. Your money, your rules, your timeline! 💰
🔗 Correlated Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these related assets for confirmation:
💱 Major Correlations:
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD - Typically follows BTC momentum; watch for similar accumulation
BINANCE:BTCUSDT - Alternative pairing for liquidity confirmation
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weakness in DXY = strength in BTC
$SPX/SPY (S&P 500) - Risk-on sentiment indicator
GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) - Alternative store of value; competitive correlation
📍 Key Correlation Points:
When DXY weakens, crypto typically strengthens
Traditional market risk-on flows support Bitcoin upside
ETH/BTC ratio helps confirm alt-season vs BTC dominance
Gold movements indicate macro hedging flows
⚙️ Why The Thief Strategy Works
✨ Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) on steroids
✨ Reduces emotional decision-making
✨ Better average entry price
✨ Lower risk per order
✨ Professional money management
Think like a thief planning the perfect heist: multiple entry points, calculated risks, clear escape route! 🎭
🎬 Final Thoughts
This isn't financial advice—it's a strategic blueprint for those who trade with discipline and style! The market is our playground, but only the smart thieves get to keep their loot. 🏆
Remember:
📊 Stick to your plan
🎯 Manage your risk
💰 Take profits systematically
🧠 Trade with logic, not emotion
🎭 Execute like a professional
📣 Support This Analysis
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #ThiefStrategy #CryptoSignals #BitcoinAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingSetup #CryptoTA #BTCSetup #SwingTrading
🎯 Stay sharp, trade smart, and may the profits be with you! 🚀
BITCOIN - Buy BTCUSD nowBITCOIN (BTC/USD) has recently been stuck inside a triangle channel pattern and has struggled to break out for a few weeks. However, the price has recently broken a strong resistance level (the white trend line shown on the chart) - The price is currently above the trend line which acted as a strong resistance level and is now very likely to hit the next resistance zone which is labeled as the take profit level. buy BTCUSD now!
Elise | BTCUSD 30m - Range Reaction, Breakout RequiredBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Following a liquidity sweep below range support, BTC bounced strongly but is now approaching a key decision zone between 92,800–93,444. This region previously acted as resistance and aligns with descending channel pressure.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Acceptance above 93,444
🎯 94,600 → 🎯 95,200 → 🎯 96,000
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Rejection below 93,444
🎯 91,200 → 🎯 90,400 → 🎯 89,300
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 93,444 – 94,000
Support 🟢: 91,200 / 89,300
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice
BTC After the Flush: Building a Base Into 2026Bitcoin printed a clear correction from the 126,333 spot top into 80,625, a 36% retrace that finally reset an overheated trend. After that impulse down, price stopped bleeding and started building a base. That is the context for my long, not a breakout chase.
My first entry triggered at 85,000. If price sweeps lower, I will add, with my final planned entry sitting in the 72,000 to 70,000 region. The whole idea is simple: scale into higher time frame demand after a deep reset, then let the market do the work if it wants to rotate back into risk.
Technicals: on the daily, the selloff created an obvious “damage candle” sequence, followed by compression and range behavior. I am treating the 80K to 85K band as the core demand zone. The level that matters for confirmation is the recovery of the mid range resistance around 94,652, because a clean reclaim would shift the structure from “bounce” to “reversal attempt” and opens the door for a move back into the 100K area and, eventually, a retest of the prior ATH zone near 126K if momentum returns.
Fundamentals : the macro backdrop is supportive for risk if financial conditions keep easing. The Fed has already moved policy lower and continues to guide the market with forward projections, which is the type of environment that can reprice duration and high beta assets.  At the same time, institutional crypto flows have been rebuilding. CoinShares reported a rebound in digital asset ETP inflows with Bitcoin leading, and daily US spot Bitcoin ETF flow data has also shown positive net flows on recent sessions.  On derivatives, CME positioning and open interest remain a key dashboard for whether this base is being built with size behind it. 
Execution note: I am not trying to “be right” on the exact bottom. I am trying to be positioned where the risk is definable and the upside is asymmetric. If the narrative changes, I will adjust. If the market gives the move, I will pay myself and protect capital.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BITCOIN - Buy nowBITCOIN (BTC/USD) has recently been stuck inside a triangle channel pattern and has struggled to break out for a few weeks. However, the price has recently broken a strong resistance level (the white trend line shown on the chart) - The price is currently above the trend line which acted as a strong resistance level and is now very likely to hit the next resistance zone which is labeled as the take profit level. buy bitcoin!
BTC — My Plan: I am in the same position as in the previous reviBased on my previous idea, I am in a position with lower entry points. You can check my profile. I have already addressed part of it.
I expect something similar from BTC going forward. However, I do not rule out swings in different directions before the Fed. This is not financial advice, just my vision. Especially since I am in a position with lower entry points!
Selena | BTCUSD – Bullish Structure Holding Above TrendlineBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Price continues to respect the ascending trend structure formed after the breakout from the descending channel.
The current pullback into 91,400–91,850 support aligns with rising trendline confluence, making this the critical continuation zone for the next bullish leg.
🔹 Bullish Setup
A confirmed rejection from support + breakout above 93,600–94,000 will open the next expansion leg.
🎯 TP1 → 94,800
🎯 TP2 → 95,600
🎯 Final Target → 96,300–96,800 liquidity zone
🔸 Invalidation
❌ Break & close below 91,300 weakens continuation potential.
Next demand is far lower — deeper retracement may unfold.
⚠️ Educational-analysis only — not financial advice.
Selena | BTC/USD – Trend Channel + Strong Demand ReactionBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin is trading inside a rising parallel channel, with price recently reacting cleanly from the strong demand zone at 90,200–90,700, aligning with channel support. Liquidity was taken below the lows, signalling possible continuation to the upside.
🔼 Bullish Scenario
If BTC holds above 90,200, we may see upside continuation:
🎯 Target 1 → 94,200 – BSL zone
🎯 Target 2 → 96,800 – 97,900 top resistance zone
🎯 Target 3 (Breakout case) → 98,500+
A sweep of intra-day liquidity followed by bullish BOS can provide confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Risk / Invalidation
Break & close below 89,900 could open deeper flow into liquidity below:
⚠️ Downside levels → 88,000 → 86,500 → 81,000 support base
⚠️ This chart is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Recovery To $100,000 Could Be Tainted Bitcoin’s price is at $90,399 at the time of writing, sitting just below a downtrend that has persisted for one and a half months. BTC is attempting to flip $90,400 into a support level, which would mark the first step toward reversing the trend.
If macro conditions align and rate cuts revive broader market optimism, BTC could rebound sharply. A clean bounce from $90,400 may drive a retest of $95,000, and breaking that resistance would open a clear path toward the long-anticipated $100,000 level.
However, if short-term holders sell into strength, Bitcoin may struggle to maintain upward pressure. A rejection from $95,000 or failure to break the downtrend could send BTC back toward $86,822, invalidating the bullish scenario.
BITCOIN - Time to buyBITCOIN (BTC/USD) has recently been stuck inside a triangle channel pattern and has struggled to break out for a few weeks. However, the price has recently broken a strong resistance level (the white trend line shown on the chart) - The price is currently above the trend line which acted as a strong resistance level and is now very likely to hit the next resistance zone which is labeled as the take profit level. Time to buy bitcoin!
Analytics: market overview and forecasts
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, for bitcoin, we reached the upper limit of a significant support zone and almost immediately received a powerful boost. This led to a change in the local trend to an upward one.
As part of the growth, the resistance of $94,000-$97,500 (volume zone) was reached, from which the correction began. Now we've pushed off from the support of $87,800-$86,400 (volume zone) and maintain the upward context.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The movement potential is aimed at updating the local maximum. To fully reverse the trend, the buyer needs to demonstrate more strength.
The $94,000-$97,500 zone remains relevant, as a significant part of it hasn't been tested. The implementation of a positive scenario is possible both through a confident breakdown of this range, and through the formation of a weak correction in terms of volume and price action.
A negative factor for the development of the long rally this week is the selling pressure on the spot market, as seen by the cumulative delta. The situation is better in futures, but the market needs more "fuel" for a final turnaround.
Alternative scenario: with a strong defense of the nearest resistance, a sideways trend may form in the range of $84,000-$94,000.
Buy Zones
$87,800–$86,400 (volume zone)
$84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies)
Sell Zones
$94,000–$97,500 (volume zone)
$101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes)
$105,800–$106,600 (local resistance)
IMPORTANT DATES
We're following these macroeconomic developments this week:
• Tuesday, December 9, 15:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for October;
• Wednesday, December 10, 2:45 (UTC) — announcement of Canada's interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, December 10, 19:00 (UTC) — US FOMC statement and economic forecasts, as well as the announcement of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, December 10, 19:30 (UTC) — US FOMC press Conference;
• Thursday, December 11, 9:00 (UTC) — press conference of the National Bank of Switzerland;
• Thursday, December 11, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States for the week;
Friday, December 12, 7:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK GDP for October, as well as the German consumer price index for November.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin Roadmap | Short-termBitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) began to decline from the resistance zone($95,020-$94,840) exactly as expected in my previous idea , successfully reaching all targets.
At the moment, Bitcoin was able to break the support zone($90,650-$90,000). It seems that the pullback to the broken support zone($90,650-$90,000) could be completed with a symmetrical triangle pattern, although given the low trading volume on Saturday and Sunday, this triangle may not function properly.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin appears to be completing the microwave C of the main wave B, and I expect at least one more impulsive 5-wave move to the upside.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the support zone($89,230-$88,000) or the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) maximum. A break of the resistance lines could be a good sign for Bitcoin to rise again.
What do you think? Do you believe Bitcoin will dip below $75,000, or will it bounce back?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,260-$96,690
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $90,560-$89,990
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $87,820-$87,290
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $83,900-$82,400
First Target: $89,911
Second Target: $92,119
Stop Loss(SL): $86,120(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Bitcoin Momentum Building — Bullish Plan Activated!BTC/USDT — “BITCOIN VS TETHER”
Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (DAY / SWING Trade) 💹✨
🔥 Plan: Bullish plan confirmed
The structure is supported by a Hull Moving Average (HMA) pullback, behaving like a clean re-accumulation phase — showing buyers quietly loading before the next expansion wave.
This pattern typically appears before trend continuation legs, especially when volatility compresses after a strong impulse.
🎯 Entry
📌 YOU CAN ENTRY AT ANY PRICE LEVEL
(Structure shows strength across multiple levels with buyers defending dips.)
🛡️ Stop Loss
⚠️ This is thief SL @ 86000
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your own strategy & personal risk tolerance.
🔍 Important:
I am not recommending to use only my SL.
It's your own choice — you can make money then take money based on your own risk.
🎯 Target
Price is moving into a zone where the moving averages act as a strong resistance, combined with overbought conditions and potential trap formation, so escaping with profits is wise.
📌 Our target @ 98000
Again — Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's):
I am not recommending to set only my TP.
You can make money then take money at your own risk.
📡 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlations & Key Behaviors)
Below are correlated assets that help confirm BTC/USDT’s flow, momentum, and broader crypto market direction. These are presented in $ format for TradingView tagging.
1️⃣ BINANCE:ETHUSDT (Ethereum)
Strongest beta-pair to Bitcoin.
When BTC shows re-accumulation, ETH often leads the breakout earlier.
If ETH breaks major resistance first → increases confidence in BTC continuation.
2️⃣ BINANCE:SOLUSDT (Solana)
High-momentum asset; reacts faster than BTC.
If SOL pumps aggressively while BTC consolidates → indicates risk-on sentiment across crypto.
Good for measuring market confidence.
3️⃣ BINANCE:BNBUSDT (BNB)
Acts as a market stability indicator.
If BNB stays firm above key moving averages, liquidity remains strong across the crypto market.
Helps confirm medium-term bullish structure.
4️⃣ BINANCE:ETHBTC (Ethereum / Bitcoin Ratio)
A critical relative-strength indicator.
If ETHBTC drops → capital rotates into BTC dominance, supporting your Bitcoin bullish plan.
If ETHBTC rises → broad alts strength, but BTC may not accelerate instantly.
5️⃣ CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap)
When TOTAL2 rises with BTC → marketwide confidence.
When TOTAL2 stagnates but BTC rises → BTC-only rally (typical before big breakouts).
Useful to detect inflow distribution.
6️⃣ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Inverse correlation with Bitcoin.
If DXY weakens → supports BTC bullish continuation.
Important for swing traders taking multi-day positions.
7️⃣ CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D (Tether Dominance)
When USDT.D drops → money flowing from stablecoins into crypto.
When USDT.D rises → risk aversion.
Perfect tool for confirming if BTC demand is real.
📈 Summary Insight
Together, BTC’s HMA pullback + re-accumulation structure, rising momentum across correlated pairs, and declining defensive indicators build a high-probability bullish continuation environment for the next expansion wave.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis (30m)This post provides an analytical breakdown of BTCUSD using the 30-minute timeframe (30m), leveraging our proprietary technical indicator: the Trend Break Target (TBT) Indicator.
Market Structure Shift and Indicator Activation
The current analysis focuses on a significant change in the market structure observed on the 30m chart. The TBT indicator was programmed to detect and react to specific conditions that signify a high-probability continuation or reversal.
Activation Signal: The indicator was activated and the price targets were subsequently generated following the closing of the specific candle indicated by the arrow on the chart. This close confirmed the necessary structural change (e.g., a break of resistance/support, or a specific pattern completion) required by the TBT's underlying logic. This market structure shift (MSS) provides the foundation for the calculated price objectives.
Calculated Price Targets (TBT Forecast)
Based on the activation of the Trend Break Target Indicator, the following potential price objectives have been calculated. These targets represent areas where price action is statistically likely to find resistance, profit-taking activity, or a high-probability exhaustion point for the current move.
🎯 Target 1 (T1): $90,400
Significance: This is the immediate and most probable objective, often representing a minimum measured move following the structure break.
🎯 Target 2 (T2): $91,450
Significance: A secondary, extended target that comes into play if bullish momentum persists and T1 is cleanly surpassed and held.
🎯 Target 3 (T3): $92,709
Significance: The final, ambitious target representing the full potential move calculated by the TBT model based on the initial structure shift. It acts as the high-end projection for the current impulsive wave.
Disclaimer
Note: This analysis is based on a proprietary indicator and should be used for informational and educational purposes only. Always manage your risk effectively, use appropriate stop-loss orders, and conduct your own due diligence before making any trading decisions. The crypto market is highly volatile, and actual price action may deviate from projected targets.
BTC/USD – Band Rejection + Gap Squeeze Play (Textbook Execution)Caught a clean 30m bullish band rejection on BTC/USD, aligned with a textbook gap-up squeeze setup. Price gapped above the lower Bollinger Band after a clear downtrend, forming a strong engulfing candle. Entry triggered on break of the rejection candle high at 89,276.
Trade Highlights:
- Entry: 89,276 (2 lots)
- Target 1: Midline (9 EMA) hit at 89,372 (+0.11%)
- Target 2: Upper Band hit at 89,672 (+0.44%)
- Stop: 89,044 (below rejection low)
- Result: Full 1:1 RR achieved on both lots
Setup Confluence:
- Lower band rejection with hammer
- Gap-up ≥ 1% with strong close
- X/Y band stretch> 1.6 confirms squeeze
- No opposite rejection before midline
Takeaway: A+ setup with high-probability structure and mechanical execution. Kill fast, ride smart.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Technical Analysis – December 5, 2025Strong downside momentum is currently dominating on the lower timeframes. Bitcoin has once again dropped below the $90k mark.
This entire drop from the ATH (~125,769) fits beautifully into the classic Fibonacci retracement structure — price got rejected right at the 0.618 level (94,657), and despite a temporary bounce off the 0.5 retracement (99,980), bulls lacked the strength to push further. Currently, we’re trading below the 0.382 level (88,799), which is now acting as resistance — and it’s no coincidence that price today has been struggling exactly at that zone.
In addition, today’s move has perfectly filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from April 22, which is now completely closed. That gap also lines up with the 0.382 level of the local (smaller) Fibonacci retracement.
At the local bottom (around 83,500), we saw a classic swing low with a long lower wick, followed by a bullish candle — this is forming the early signs of a bullish engulfing pattern. Volume-wise, that candle printed a significant spike, showing strong buyer interest. Looking at cumulative volume, it’s clear that there was a notable absorption of sell pressure by larger players in that zone.
If bulls fail to reclaim the 88,800 level, a retest of the 0.886 Fibo (82,929) is likely, or even a deeper drop toward the 1.272 and 1.414 Fibonacci extensions (77,012 and 74,058). Just below that, we have a strong demand zone around 72,000–74,000, which overlaps with previous consolidations and historical FVGs.
What’s Next? 🙄😎
The current move looks like a potential end to the corrective wave, with a local bottom near 83,500, key support at 82,900, and resistance at 88,800. If price can break above that and close a daily candle higher, then 94–96k is back on the table. On the flip side, if the red descending channel holds, we could see further liquidation sweeps down toward 74–77k.
Volume signals and oscillator momentum are starting to flash a bullish bias, but bears still have the upper hand until the 0.5 Fibonacci level (99,980) is broken and the descending channel is invalidated with a proper close above it.
For now, all eyes on how price reacts around 88,800 and 92,000 — those are the key breakout levels that could confirm a larger trend reversal.
BITCOIN — THE MARKET IS APPROACHING ITS REAL DECISION POINTTraders,
We dumped. Now Bitcoin is grinding through a controlled recovery. The important question is not simply if we move higher. The real question is where the market will reveal its true intention. The chart is giving us a very clean map and the next major decision point is already forming.
1. The structure so far
Bitcoin sold off aggressively, found real buyers, and reclaimed the breakdown wick. That reclaim shows that the low was bought by spot demand rather than mechanical short covering.
Price is now pushing into a zone where the next expansion will be decided. The recovery itself is not the interesting part. The levels above and below are.
2. The major checkpoint above: 104k to 105k
This zone is extremely important. Two strong pieces of confluence meet here:
The 0.886 of the A to B retracement
The 1.618 extension of the impulse move you marked with the arrows
This creates a clean Potential Reversal Zone.
What this means:
If the market rejects 104k to 105k structurally, the next major destination becomes the lower imbalance cluster around 64k. That would be a true higher timeframe unwind because the entire path down is filled with thin volume and inefficient price action.
If Bitcoin breaks above 105k with flow support, then the next magnets open up immediately.
3. Targets above
If price accepts above the 104k to 105k PRZ:
First target area
Around 116k to 118k where we have a liquidity pocket and HTF inefficiencies.
Second target area
123k to 125k where a swing failure pattern is very likely. This is a weak high with resting liquidity and a natural magnet for price during bullish expansions.
At target two I expect the first serious reaction because of the liquidity sitting above the weak high.
4. Order flow confirms accumulation not distribution
Looking at the CVD grids:
Spot CVD is trending lower while price holds steady. This is a sign of absorption because someone is taking the other side of the selling.
Stablecoin margined CVD continues lower but without price following.
Coin margined CVD is sweeping lows with no breakdown in price.
This creates a hidden bullish divergence across the board.
Open interest also supports this view:
Stablecoin margined OI remains high which means traders did not exit during the dump.
Coin margined OI is slowly building which often appears before directional expansion.
This is not the profile of a market preparing for distribution. It is the profile of a market preparing for a move.
5. CME chart: AVWAP support from the last major swing
On CME, the AVWAP anchored from the previous major swing low to swing high is still holding as support. CME often leads during inflection zones. As long as this AVWAP holds, the market is positioned in a continuation PRZ rather than a breakdown PRZ.
If CME loses this AVWAP, the cascade scenario strengthens. As long as it holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
6. What happens if we break down instead
if Bitcoin fails to reclaim structure and breaks back down, the following levels become active:
83k to 84k
This is the shallow retrace zone and the first structural catch.
81k to 82k
This area contains the 1.113 extension and a previously unfilled FVG.
79k to 80k
This is the 1.272 level and a strong imbalance pocket.
72k to 73k
This contains the 1.414 extension and the next clean liquidity cluster.
64k
This is the 1.618 extension and the final major downside target. It aligns with the strong HTF imbalance that has never been fully tested.
A rejection from 104k to 105k can eventually lead price through these levels in sequence because the entire zone from 90k down to 70k contains thin volume. There is not much structural support built on the way up.
7. Real time confirmation tools
Watch these signals when we approach the 104k to 105k decision zone:
Spot CVD rising means continuation likelihood increases
Funding staying negative means shorts are still stuck
OI rising with price means momentum is building
CVD stalling or rolling over at 104k to 105k means rejection risk is high
CME AVWAP reclaim or failure will guide direction
If buyers hold flow above 105k, the path to 117k and then 124k is clean.
If buyers fail and we reject 105k with aggressive selling, the path down becomes active.
Final view
Bitcoin is approaching one of the most important technical levels on the chart.
We dumped on real flow.
We recovered on spot demand.
Now the market is converging toward the 104k to 105k PRZ where a true decision will be made.
Break above and the next magnets are 117k and 124k with a likely swing failure at the second target.
Reject and the lower zones activate with 64k as the eventual HTF destination.
This is the map. The levels are clear.
TLDR
BTC is recovering with spot support
104k to 105k is the major PRZ
Break above: targets at 116k to 118k and 123k to 125k
Reject here: downside levels at 83k, 82k, 80k, 73k and 64k
Order flow is showing hidden bullish divergence
CME AVWAP is holding which keeps the bullish narrative alive
The market leaves its footprints long before it shows its direction. Read the sands, follow the flow and stay prepared.
- ThetaNomad
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If you enjoy this style of analysis feel free to leave a like or comment. It lets me know you find value in these deeper structural and flow based breakdowns.
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BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving Within the Expected Scenario
Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is your daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its correction after reaching the key resistance zone.
The price has now approached $91,000–$89,800 (mirror volume zone). Volume has slightly increased at this level, but we still do not see a confident reaction from buyers.
We expect a local bounce and a potential break of the recent high once a reversal structure forms on lower timeframes — volume anomalies, buyer clusters, and a local trend shift.
If no reaction appears in this area, the decline may extend toward the next support at $87,800–$86,400 (volume zone).
At the moment, the priority remains on long setups — the upside potential is stronger, and the probability of bullish continuation remains elevated.
Buy Zones
$91,000–$89,800 (mirror volume zone)
$87,800–$86,400 (volume zone)
$84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies)
Sell Zones
$94,000–$97,500 (volume zone)
$101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes)
$105,800–$106,600 (local resistance)
This publication is not financial advice.






















