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Bitcoinprediction

SUMMERTIME SADNESS - SHORT CRYPTO - SHORT BTCI was caught off guard when everything started going up. The old saying sell in May and go away wasn't the perfect play this year in 2024. May served as a trap, the way it was done is kinda crazy. Sometimes it seems as if these algorithms are at the perfect equilibrium all the times. With that being said: After the summer things will start heating up for CRYPTOCAP:BTC , COINBASE:ETHUSD & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS other cryptocurrencies. Big big bull run incoming. Buckle up because it will be fun.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Orgest
Total Crypto Market Cap H&S Invalidation and ForecastWith a quiet week ahead of the CPI and PPI due out this week, it's a good time to look at the Macro chart structure. Sometimes simpler is better, and I've had great success using simple formations like the H&S pattern, which beats Elliot Wave hands down most of the time. In this case, we were looking at a potential inverse Head and Shoulders on the Total Market Cap last week, but that has now been invalidated leaving us with this new wedge formation and a new lower high trendline. I think we have some unclear or negative economic data this week and likely see prices fall across the board and the TOTAL market cap here dip down into the buy range (Green boxes based on aggregate buy limit orders on the order books and using our Order Block Detector). Then we rally into the FOMC and ahead of a possible 50 basis point rate cut surprise, and kicking off a rip-roaring Q4 October to December rally and off to new ATH's on BTC. September is seasonally a down month, so I'd expect more chop until the above plays out. And of course, new information = new decision, so we have to remail open to anything. Some are calling for a re-test of the yearly open around $44k as Bitcion usually does re-test this level at least once during the year, and as of yet hasn't. But I think we'll hold $50k bitcoin on a closing basis and will be buying in the $50k - GETTEX:52K range, as Bitcoin will likely lead the rally, followed by Solana and ETH. Our multi-time frame radar indicator is mixed, so I'm waiting for this to turn Green and our other signals to also turn Bullish, namely our ERI and TSI (Early Reveral Indicator and Trend Strength Indicator - not shown). We'll have to play it week by week and see what opportunities present. Good luck trading, this has been a very difficult area to predict and forecast, and as we can see, there's still heavy sell pressure above. However, on another chart study I shared with M3 members yesterday, there's a massive macro Bull-Flag formation on the TOTAL market cap, with a measured move of $4.8T if and when we can solidly break to new ATH. Our weekly signals show we're oversold and poised to break higher soon, just like we saw in September 2023 and before the big rally we've been enjoying all year! Like and comment below for more like this, and I'll do my best to keep you posted!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by BrettFogle
#BTC/USD ROADMAP to $93000! Stay Strong, Know the Plan!Hello everyone, first off, stay strong—things are going to improve soon! Many people are confused right now and might get liquidated, eventually leaving the market and regretting it later. But not you! You have access to this information. Take your time to read and understand the current situation fully. Special Thanks to my close friend Adison for the valuable insights he shares with the community and me! Please HIT that follow to stay ahead and like this article if it helps! Key Bottom Ranges to Watch For There are two high-confluence zones to look out for that could signal a strong bounce and an upward move: • 50,521 - 50,901 • 46,216 - 46,930 These ranges represent higher timeframe (HTF) bottoms for the overall HTF trend. There’s a good chance that we could see a reversal within one of these zones, leading to a potential upward move. However, if these levels don’t hold, we might see a deeper extension into the 37.7k - 43.5k range, which is an attractive liquidity zone. But this lower range only becomes relevant if the higher ranges fail to hold. That said, both of the above ranges are strong support levels and could propel the price back to all-time highs (ATH) of 70k - 72k or even higher, potentially reaching 89k - 93k. Currently, we’ve already hit 53,400, a key level that’s holding off a potential sharp drop. If we lose this level, we could see a rapid decline to 3k. (Current price: 53,627) Be prepared! We’ve already touched the 52,550 level, which is acting as major support. If it breaks, the ranges mentioned above become the most likely areas for a bounce, although the 52k range could still hold. However, I’m not counting on it, as we’ve previously sliced right through that level. Additional Market Update: • BTC is up 68% in volume. • ETH is also up 68% in volume. Both BTC and ETH have seen significant buying activity during this dip, especially since yesterday, with most of it happening today. On the lower timeframe (LTF), the market is risky as we’re sitting at the final support zone of 52,550. Being the weekend, when mostly private retail traders are active, there’s a risk that they could get dragged down into losses, with many long positions liquidated before we move higher. LTFs are always tricky, and while volume is still low, pumps are easy. I believe that the 52,550 support won’t hold through the weekend. We’re likely to see the above-mentioned levels by the end of the weekend or early next week. Once those levels are reached, the market should stabilize, bringing a healthier, less choppy environment. So it's just about a couple of weeks. Stay strong don't do anything stupid, I'll come up with more information very soon for trade setups on Altcoins. Stay tuned and make sure you follow me. HIt the like if you like it. Thank you #PEACE
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Cryptorphic
26
#BTC/USDT Weekly Update! $58k first!#BTC Weekly: Closed red at $54,881. Holding the GETTEX:54K support is a positive sign in the short term. However, the price action seems incomplete, with substantial liquidity sitting around the GETTEX:48K and $43K levels (as mentioned in my previous article on BTC). The key focus right now is maintaining the GETTEX:54K level. If we lose this level on the daily chart with a confirmation candle, expect lower levels to be swept soon. That said, as long as we hold the current level, we could see a retest of $58K to capture liquidity. BTC Daily:- The daily chart looks promising, as the price has bounced off the support, with a confirmation candle printing today. Stay tuned, and I’ll keep this chart updated. Hit that like button and share if you like it. Thank you #PEACE
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptorphic
What does the future hold for Crypto Mining?I have chosen RIOT as the chart, but I am looking at MARA and also BITF. But as a whole, looking at the WGMI (Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF), BTC mining companies as a whole is taking a hit. Crypto itself is taking a huge hit and of course, this affects Crypto Mining. It did seem that Crypto was going to push higher as the expectations for the BTC ETF release was going to be the first part of pushing BTC to the "moon" and with the BTC halving, money would just start stacking for holders. But that didn't happen. There is a decent amount of geo political turmoil going on. Governments selling BTC. SEC doing what it can to get Crypto labeled as securities in order to bring the coins to its realm of oversight. The Yen carry trade unwinding. The potential of a recession. But there is the other side, where there is good news going on for BTC. The possibility of BTC becoming a reserve asset. The upcoming elections, with a a lot of fingers pointing at former President Donald Trump being very pro Crypto. But even if Kamala Harris (pointed in ALTCOIN daily), says that she is in support of crypto, then that will be a good push for Crypto to move higher. There is also the FED reducing rates towards the end of September; with the recent NFP coming out lower than expected and pushing the chances for a reduction in rates for 50 basis points to 50%. So if the self fulling prophecy for BTC hitting $100k - $150k do come true, then Crypto Miners are going to be cooking. Projects are already underway and the Crypto Market has been very resilent. There are those that thought Crypto was going to collapse during the silk road incident. Then after the cash in 2017 when BTC hit $20k. Then the Terra Luna incident. FTX collapse. Mt. Gox incident. And many others. Yet Crypto is still here. The main issue I think is where all the money is pilling into, and during 2017, crypto was starting to hit the mainstream and a lot of coverage was on it. Institutions finally starting trading BTC and others, as well a lot of retail traders and investors were pilling in. In 2021, people were staying home, receiving check after check of stimulus, wondering were to put it. Then when things started opening up, businesses were offering sign up bonuses. Afterwards, during both these events, once Crypto hit a certain lvl, a ton of people cashed out and instantly became very rich. This money flowed into other products, such as wants and/or other ventures/markets. Now money is flowing into different meme coins, AI, FAANG-M stocks, among other things. If BTC is able to push higher and hit the around $120k, then MARA, holding around 13,677 BTC will be worth around $1.65 billion, RIOT with a holding of around 7,250, will be around $870 million, and BITF, with holdings of around $1,016, would be around $121 million (which RIOT is attempting a takeover of BITF, offering a buyout of BITF, which BITF did not accept. If this does happen, RIOT would become a very strong competitor to MARA, pushing its exahash production from 12.6 to 19.6. MARA has an exahash of 29.9). For the price targets, if things go accordingly, MARA will likely be able to break out of the $20 resistance, avoiding the completion of the inverse cup and handle pattern. If this pattern forms, price will likely keep pushing lower, potentially to around the $8 lvl (at least breaking the $10). For RIOT and BITF, they have the same pattern as MARA, and WGMI price is in a monthly rising channel, so there is a strong possibility that price will drop, but if things go accordingly, then prices on these companies will also avoid the acceptance of the inverse cup and handle pattern. The psychological lvls for these two companies are $10 and $2, which could be hit depending on how things go these next few months. I am in a position on RIOT and a few on BITF, my positions are at a small loss, but I am selling covered calls and cash secured puts to offset the loss, which, when factored in, puts me at a net positive. Additionally, I am participating in the stock lending program, which is further offsetting my losses. I am on the side that price will push higher and I am willing to see it through. Protect your inventory (your capital), and have some great trading out there.
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by DollarSaenz
14
Bitcoin's Price Struggles: A Bearish Short-Term OutlookAfter dipping to 50k in early August, Bitcoin staged a recovery and climbed to 65k. However, the bullish momentum lacked follow-through, as buyers were unable to push past the resistance of a large flag pattern that has kept Bitcoin in a corrective phase for months. In the short term, Bitcoin’s price pulled back down from 65k, initially forming what looked like a falling wedge—a potential bullish reversal pattern. Unfortunately, this formation did not hold, and Bitcoin experienced another breakdown. Currently, the short-term outlook is bearish, with resistance around the 55,500-56k zone. Short-term traders may consider selling in this range, targeting a move back to 50k if a new leg downward materializes. This bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price stabilizes above the 58k level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Bitcoin Bull Run Continues?My expectations from the previous post have materialized, and the price of Bitcoin has dropped again into the price imbalance zone below 53,500. My expectations for Bitcoin's price next week are as follows: due to negative economic news, the stock market will likely continue to decline for several more days starting on Monday. Since Bitcoin's price correlates with key indices like the S&P and Dow Jones, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will continue to decline, potentially reaching as low as 48,900. If we look at the Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio 7D indicator, which unfortunately is not yet available publicly on the TradingView platform, based on this data, Bitcoin is currently in an accumulation phase before a major growth season. Similar patterns occurred during the 2011 and 2021 market seasons.
Long
by GarateTradeCrypto
Bitcoin Approaching Critical Support: Prepare for a Big MoveBitcoin is entering a decisive phase this September, with a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern forming on both the weekly and daily charts. This pattern typically signals potential volatility, and we are now approaching the descending support trendline, which also aligns with the wick from the sharp price dump on August 5th. This region, around 48K, is likely to be tested in the coming days as the market seeks to sweep liquidity. Key Support Zones to Watch: Crucial Support Zone 1: The first line of defense. If Bitcoin holds here, we could start seeing signs of bullish momentum returning. Crucial Support Zone 2: A deeper level of support. Breaking below this zone could lead to a more extended bearish trend. In the event that these levels are broken and confirmation bearish candles start forming, we could see Bitcoin testing 42K, 40K, and even 36K in the weeks ahead. However, if Bitcoin holds these zones and begins to print higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), it would be an early sign that the downtrend might be over. Also an important element in this setup is the 100-day EMA, which aligns perfectly with Crucial Support Zone 2. This adds a layer of confidence that the price may find strong support here. The confluence of the 100-day EMA with this key support level suggests that a touch of this zone could trigger the next major move, potentially kickstarting a rally. Strategy for Traders: Swing Traders/Spot Traders: Pay close attention to the support zones, as these levels could present excellent buying opportunities. A bounce from these areas might indicate the start of a new rally, so it’s time to prepare and fill your bags. Scalpers: Be mindful of the resistance zones. The price may spike slightly before retesting lower levels, providing potential shorting opportunities. Watch closely for a "soft" or "hard" landing around 50K-48K. Caution: Bull Trap Alert If Bitcoin encounters a pump in the near term, be cautious about falling into a bull trap. All signs currently point to a retest of the 50K and 48K zones as highly probable, so don’t get caught up in premature optimism.
by MadeByAK
Remember! Remember! The 5th of November!Thursday... the 5th of November 2020... CRYPTOCAP:BTC pumped nearly 7% in one day. We were 30ish days into the parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle for #Bitcoin. It was trading at $14,911. The holders had no idea that CRYPTOCAP:BTC would continue to climb an additional 335% over another 5 months, reaching a local ATH of $64,895 on April 14th 2021. Here we are on September 6th, 2024. CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped to $52,546 or (-3.8%) for the day. Septembers are a sore subject when it comes to financial markets and Bitcoin in particular. Across the Post-Halving years, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will drop -2% historically. Considering CRYPTOCAP:BTC has tested local lows across the 5th and 6th of the last 3 months; July 5-6th low: $53,499 August 5-6th low: $49,050 September 5-6th low: $52,546 (so far) It is almost like someone is trolling the Holders... The focus of this chart is to consider the above and the following. Have we found our local bottom this early in September? ($52,546) How will Bitcoin react to the upcoming 25 bps Fed Rate cut? ($50,000 vs $60,000) Will our price position entering the parabolic phase affect the overall gains over the next 6 months? (90% vs 480%) Where will our new ATH fall next April/May? ($100,000 vs $305,000) Let me know how bearish or bullish you think the future of Bitcoin is.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RILOBUYLOW
$IBIT Gap Filled As Forecast (New Leading Bitcoin Indicator?)Proof that this works? So far it's 100% accurate. Every single 'Gap' on the NASDAQ:IBIT 4-Hour chart has filled. Refer back to my prior videos showing this, and while this does NOT mean it will continue to work forever... It's certainly a curious anomoly. And likely works based on the same principals as the CME gaps which typically fill 99% of the time (There's still an unfilled gap on the Bitcoin CME at $9750 as I recall). But who's counting. Going forward, I'll be using this as an additional guide to where price may be heading and potentially reversing to, before resuming trent. Like and share this with your other trader friends, as this has been very interesting to monitor!
NASDAQ:IBITShort
by BrettFogle
1
#BTC/USDT Bounce Incoming! Futures Trade Setup!#Bitcoin : 10/10 So far! Bounce seems highly likely at this level. RSI Bullish divergence in the hourly chart. But of course, no one knows for certain in this kind of market! Invalidation:- Daily close below $54018.18! If you're looking for a swing Trade, $54890 to 56150 is a good range to accumulate long on spot! Futures Setup Here:- There's a higher chance of this setup getting invalidated if we lose 55500 again so be careful to try to keep your entry as low as possible to keep your Stop Loss small. Always use leverage below 5x! Entry:- $56150, (50% entry) $55700, (20% Entry) $54890 (30% Entry) Targets:- $57155 $57855 $58200 $59544 Stop Loss:- $53854 This is a risky trade so always do your research this is not financial advice. Do hit the like button if you want me to post more! Thank you PEACE
Long
by Cryptorphic
2
BITCOIN PARABOLIC PHASE INCOMING ‼️ BITCOIN PARABOLIC PHASE INCOMING ‼️ Confirmed $100k CRYPTOCAP:BTC by 2025. If TVC:GOLD walks away from this new ATH... It would confirm there is enough correlation to look further into a 49 month clock in the #GOLD & #Bitcoin Bull-Cycle. Theory is... #GOLD will start it's parabolic phase of its bull cycle, lasting 6 months and reaching a new ATH. There will be a 2 month "break" between both assets, sideways or slightly down. After the 2 month break, #Bitcoin will start it's parabolic phase of its bull cycle, also lasting 6 months. The two assets will go sideways and do their thing for 35 months before the 14 month parabolic dance starts all over. Cycle 1⃣: 02/01/2020 | TVC:GOLD | $1,587 08/01/2020 | TVC:GOLD | $2,049 +29% Change 10/01/2020 | CRYPTOCAP:BTC | $10,555 04/01/2021 | CRYPTOCAP:BTC | $58,732 +456% Change Cycle 2⃣: 03/01/24 | TVC:GOLD | $2,004 09/01/24 | TVC:GOLD | $2,555 +27% Change 11/01/24 | CRYPTOCAP:BTC | TBD 05/01/25 | CRYPTOCAP:BTC | TBD TBD% Change The TVC:GOLD trend lines match during the 6 month parabolic phases. 46 degree trend on the daily, both cycles. -31 degree trend on the daily, 8 months after ATH. ...If History repeats itself... CRYPTOCAP:BTC should stay sideways or down for the next 55 days. Most likely a fake-out pump coming from the pending Fed Rate cut this month. We should stay below FWB:65K based on the price action around the Jackson Hole speech. We would only need an 88% increase this phase for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to reach $100k. This is a small ask, considering the previous post-halving cycles. If it follows the same trend line up this cycle we could see $305k next April. As nice as that sounds, it is not very likely we will see a 456% gain this cycle.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RILOBUYLOW
2
Bitcoin Set to Rally as Fed's Rate Cut Fuels Market OptimismOverview: Fed's Potential Rate Cut and Its Implications for Bitcoin The Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision is creating waves across financial markets, with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the spotlight. According to analysts from Citi, the Fed is expected to announce a 0.5% rate cut in their September meeting, driven by weaker-than-expected job data and signs of a slowing economy. This dovish turn by the Fed has market watchers speculating about a potential rally in Bitcoin and altcoins, as lower interest rates historically ease market concerns and boost investor sentiment. Fundamental Analysis: Fed's Shift to a Dovish Stance Citi analysts highlight a significant shift in the Fed's focus—from battling inflation to supporting the labor market amid signs of economic weakness. The latest job data predicts that 125,000 jobs were added in August, with the unemployment rate expected to tick up to 4.3%. This data suggests a cooling labor market, which may prompt the Fed to cut rates by 50 basis points, marking a sharp pivot from its previous hawkish stance. This potential rate cut represents a broader easing of monetary policy, aimed at stimulating a slowing economy. Historically, such rate cuts have resulted in increased risk appetite among investors, pushing up asset prices across the board, including cryptocurrencies. As lower borrowing costs flow through the economy, investors are more likely to turn towards higher-risk assets like Bitcoin in search of better returns, especially when traditional safe-haven assets like bonds offer less attractive yields. Bitcoin’s Key Levels and Potential Rally On the technical front, Bitcoin's current price action suggests a potential break from its historically bearish September performance. Trading near the flatline at around $58,111, Bitcoin has shown resilience despite broader market volatility. Currently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading above key support levels, with its 50-day moving average acting as a critical line of defense for bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin sits near the neutral 50 level, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, which aligns with a potential buildup towards a breakout. If Bitcoin can maintain its current levels and the Fed’s rate cut materializes, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could target resistance zones near $60,000 and eventually push towards $65,000. Key support remains at $55,000, which, if breached, could see Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) retesting lower levels around $52,000. Market Sentiment: Fed's Policy Pivot Could Drive Investor Interest Sentiment in the broader crypto market appears cautiously optimistic. With the Fed poised to ease monetary policy, investor confidence is gradually returning, as evidenced by the decline in the US 10-year Bond Yield, which fell 1.94% to 3.836%. As traditional markets respond to the Fed’s dovish stance, Bitcoin and altcoins stand to benefit from increased capital flows seeking higher returns in a low-interest-rate environment. Moreover, recent on-chain data indicates an uptick in accumulation by long-term holders, a positive sign suggesting that investors are positioning themselves ahead of a potential market rally. Despite Bitcoin’s historically subdued performance in September, this time, a combination of technical resilience and favorable macroeconomic conditions could help CRYPTOCAP:BTC defy the odds. Conclusion While uncertainties remain, particularly concerning the strength of the broader economy, the anticipated rate cut by the Fed represents a potential catalyst for Bitcoin’s next leg up. The combination of supportive technical indicators and a dovish monetary environment creates a fertile ground for a Bitcoin rally, as investors seek refuge in digital assets amid shifting economic dynamics. As we move into September, all eyes will be on the Fed's policy announcement and its impact on market sentiment. If the expected rate cuts unfold, Bitcoin could see a renewed wave of buying pressure, potentially driving prices to new highs despite the challenging historical trends of the month.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by DEXWireNews