Get started

Bitcoinprediction

Bitcoin's Rocky Quarter: Tariffs, Whales, and Volatility Loom Bitcoin's first quarter of 2025 has concluded with a whimper, marking its worst Q1 performance since the tumultuous bear market of 2018.1 While gold has surged to record highs, fueled by geopolitical tensions and US trade tariffs, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum, leaving traders bracing for potential further volatility. This week’s preview reveals a confluence of factors that could significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory. A Disappointing First Quarter The initial months of 2025 were anticipated to be a period of growth for Bitcoin, particularly with the anticipation surrounding the halving event. However, the cryptocurrency failed to deliver on these expectations. Instead, it experienced a period of stagnation and even decline, contrasting sharply with the robust performance of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Several factors contributed to this underwhelming performance. The escalating trade tensions, particularly the US tariffs, have injected uncertainty into global markets, diverting capital towards established safe-haven assets. Tariffs and Trade Tensions: A Persistent Headwind The US imposition of trade tariffs has emerged as a significant headwind for Bitcoin. These tariffs, designed to protect domestic industries, have disrupted global trade flows and created a climate of economic uncertainty.2 Investors, wary of potential market disruptions, have sought refuge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold, which has historically outperformed during periods of economic instability. The impact of these tariffs extends beyond immediate market reactions. They signal a potential shift towards protectionist policies, which could have long-term implications for global trade and investment flows. Bitcoin, often touted as a decentralized and borderless asset, is particularly vulnerable to disruptions in global trade and capital flows. Whale Activity and Market Manipulation Adding to the complexity of the market is the activity of large Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales."3 These entities, possessing significant amounts of Bitcoin, can exert considerable influence on market prices through large buy or sell orders. Recent observations suggest increased whale activity, potentially contributing to the volatility and price fluctuations. Concerns about market manipulation have also resurfaced. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin, while a core strength, also presents challenges in terms of regulation and oversight. This lack of centralized control can create opportunities for manipulation, leading to price swings that are not necessarily reflective of fundamental market dynamics. Bitcoin Bears Tighten Grip: Where’s the Next Support? The recent price action indicates that Bitcoin bears are tightening their grip. The failure to sustain upward momentum has emboldened sellers, leading to a downward trend. Traders are now closely monitoring key support levels, anticipating potential further declines. Identifying these support levels is crucial for understanding the potential trajectory of Bitcoin's price. Technical analysis, using tools like Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, can help traders identify potential areas of support where buying pressure may emerge. However, the volatile nature of Bitcoin makes it challenging to predict these levels with certainty. Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparative Analysis The stark contrast between gold's recent performance and Bitcoin's struggles has reignited the debate about their respective roles as safe-haven assets. Gold, with its long history and established reputation, has benefited from the current climate of uncertainty. However, Bitcoin proponents argue that its decentralized nature and limited supply make it a superior store of value in the long term. The comparison between the two assets highlights the evolving nature of safe-haven assets and the growing acceptance of digital currencies. The quote "Gold has taken 26 years to 10X. Bitcoin has taken 4 years to 10X" shows the potential for rapid growth, but also its volatility. Looking Ahead: Volatility and Uncertainty The coming week promises to be a period of significant volatility for Bitcoin. Traders should brace for potential price swings, driven by a combination of factors, including: • Continued Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade disputes and potential for further tariffs are likely to continue to impact market sentiment. • Whale Activity: Large buy or sell orders from whales could trigger significant price fluctuations. • Regulatory Developments: Any regulatory announcements or policy changes could have a substantial impact on Bitcoin's price. • Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation data, interest rate decisions, and other macroeconomic indicators will continue to influence investor behavior. • In conclusion, Bitcoin's disappointing first quarter has set the stage for a period of heightened volatility. The confluence of trade tensions, whale activity, and market manipulation creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a subject of debate, the immediate future is marked by uncertainty and the need for caution.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, we were unable to update the local high of $88,800, after which we broke the uptrend and went down. As we mentioned earlier in the daily analysis on TradingView, of the support zones at the moment, only the accumulated volume zone of $84,400-$82,900 and technical levels can be noted. Therefore, the main priority for this week is to reduce to a minimum of $76,700. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? The only buyer's zone couldn't resist. The seller's pushing volumes appeared just above it, which will now act as a resistance zone when the price returns. Long is contraindicated. Consider buys only when approaching the local minimum and testing the buyer's zone of $77,000-$73,000, or with abnormal market activity and a breakdown of the maximum of $88,800. Sell Zones: $84,000–$85,300 (pushing volumes) $86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer's market aggression) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zone: $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes) IMPORTANT DATES This week we’re following these macroeconomic events: • Monday, March 31, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the German consumer price index; • Tuesday, April 1, 03:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Australian interest rate decision; • Tuesday, April 1, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone compared to March 2024; • Tuesday, April 1, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for March; • Tuesday, April 1, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the US labor market for February; • Wednesday, April 2, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in March; • Thursday, April 3, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits; • Thursday, April 3, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for March; • Thursday, April 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for March; • Friday, April 4, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States for March; • Friday, April 4, 15:25 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Short
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin - Bulls in trouble: 81k next?BTC Loses Bullish Structure – What Comes Next? Bitcoin has officially broken below the bullish trendline, closing underneath it for the first time in this recent uptrend. This is a key shift in market structure, as the ascending trendline had previously acted as strong dynamic support, keeping Bitcoin in a steady climb. Now that we have seen a clean break, the momentum appears to be shifting toward a deeper retracement, and the price is heading toward the next major support zone. Whenever a trendline like this is broken, it signals that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher levels. Instead of continuing the pattern of higher lows, Bitcoin is now moving lower, seeking stronger levels where buyers might step back in. The question now is whether the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement zone, combined with a historically strong support level, will be enough to hold the price up and trigger a reversal. Golden Pocket Support at $81.2K – A Key Bounce Zone The next major area of interest is the golden pocket retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with the strong support around $81.2K. This is an area where Fibonacci traders and institutional buyers tend to look for entries, as the 0.618 – 0.65 Fibonacci levels have historically been some of the most reliable support zones during retracements. What makes this level even more significant is the confluence of technical factors coming together at the same price range. Not only does this level align with the golden pocket, but it has also been a major historical support in previous price action. Every time Bitcoin has visited this range in recent weeks, we have seen strong buy-side reactions. If buyers step in once again, this could be the turning point for another leg to the upside. If we see a bounce from this zone, Bitcoin could attempt a recovery back toward $ 83K – $85K, potentially regaining its footing and re-entering a more bullish structure. However, the strength of the reaction at $81.2K will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term relief bounce or the start of another major uptrend. What If Bitcoin Fails to Hold $81.2K? While the golden pocket is often a high-probability reversal zone, it’s important to consider the bearish scenario as well. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, we could be in for an even deeper retracement. The next major downside target would be around $79.3K, which lines up with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. A move to $79.3K would indicate that Bitcoin needs a larger correction before it can regain bullish momentum. This wouldn’t necessarily mean that the bull market is over, but it would suggest that the uptrend needs a deeper reset before resuming. A drop this low would likely shake out weak hands and allow larger players to accumulate before any potential reversal. If Bitcoin does move down to this level, the market reaction will be key. A strong bounce from $79.3K could set up a powerful recovery, but a failure to hold would raise concerns about a larger trend shift. Losing this level would open the door for even deeper downside, meaning traders would need to be cautious about the broader market outlook. Final thoughts Now that Bitcoin has broken the trendline, all eyes are on how it interacts with this next major support zone. If the $81.2K level holds, we could see a strong reaction and a push back toward higher levels, reestablishing confidence in the market. However, if we lose this level, the next stop at $79.3K will become the last major line of defense before a more significant correction unfolds. The next few 4-hour candles will be crucial in determining whether buyers are ready to step in or if we need to prepare for a deeper move down. Will the golden pocket be enough to stop the drop, or is Bitcoin setting up for an extended retracement? We’ll find out soon! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
63
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move - Bounce or Breakdown?Bitcoin Holding the Ascending Channel (For Now) Right now, Bitcoin is moving inside a well-respected ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. This channel has been acting as a strong structure for price action, with Bitcoin consistently bouncing off the lower trendline while facing resistance near the upper boundary. As long as we remain within this channel, the trend remains bullish, and buyers are still in control. However, we are at a critical point where Bitcoin is approaching a key support level. If the price holds, we could see another bounce toward the top of the channel, but if support fails, a larger retracement is on the table. Golden Pocket Support – A Crucial Area for a Bounce A golden pocket retracement zone is forming from the most recent short-term swing low to swing high, and this is where Bitcoin could find support for a potential bounce. The golden pocket is one of the most high-probability reversal zones, as it often attracts strong buy orders. At the moment, Bitcoin hasn’t quite tapped into this level yet, but if we do, we could see buyers stepping in, leading to a reversal. If this scenario plays out, the price could make a move toward the midline of the channel first, followed by a potential test of the upper resistance level. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, we need to see strong buy-side momentum at this level. If we get a clear rejection and a push higher, it could signal the continuation of the uptrend, offering solid opportunities for long positions. What Happens If Support Fails? While the golden pocket is a great area for a bounce, there’s always the risk of it breaking down. If Bitcoin fails to hold the $85.5K level and breaks below the ascending channel, we could be in for a much deeper correction. In that case, the next major support level to watch would be the golden pocket from the entire uptrend, which sits around the $81K range. This would be a more significant pullback, but still a normal and healthy retracement within the broader bullish trend. A move to this level could offer another strong buying opportunity if the market structure remains intact. However, if Bitcoin loses the $81K support, that could indicate a larger shift in trend, meaning we’d have to reconsider the overall market outlook. Possible Trade Setups and Key Scenarios Bullish Setup: If Bitcoin holds the short-term golden pocket and bounces, we stay inside the ascending channel. In this case, a move back to the midline and possibly even the upper trendline is likely. This would confirm that buyers are still stepping in and maintaining control. Bearish Breakdown: If Bitcoin loses $85.5K and breaks below the channel, then we could be looking at a larger retracement toward the $81K zone. This would signal short-term weakness, but it wouldn’t necessarily mean the bull trend is over—just that a deeper correction is needed before the next move up. Invalidation Zone: If Bitcoin falls below $81K, it could indicate a larger structural shift, meaning the bullish outlook would need to be reassessed. Final Thoughts Right now, we’re at a make-or-break point for Bitcoin’s short-term price action. If we see strong buying at the golden pocket, the uptrend remains intact, and we could be heading higher. But if support breaks, we’re looking at a deeper pullback toward $81K. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
46
Bitcoin is so close to falling into a Bear, repeating Aug 2023First off, this maybe the last time I post this chart. Binance are Stopping USDT use from tomorrow morning. I have used this chart since around March 2020 and it is my most trusted,. A sad day for me. This chart saw me through Bulk Run, Deep Bear and now this Recovery and Bull run. ANYWAY, the Arrow points towards a time in 2023 when we were so close to dropping into a Bear market for a number of reasons. Lets just say that Long Red Candle shoiwed a sudden weakening of Sentiment, A Lot of selling and confidence went. It took a number of weeks for confidence to return. And Now, we have a Similar thing. FEAR is high AND I AM BUYING MORE BITCOIN - this is excellent...because when the price rises again, this maybe the last we see this price range. We have Loads of support below. It is that RED 236 Fib circle that is dragging PA down, as I mentioned last week. This and the Fact that the Weekly MACD is still falling Bearish As you can see, the weekly MACD hits Neutral around 21 April, in 3 weeks time. It is from this point forwards that I believe we will see major shift's in Sentiment and PA action. Possibly earlier but maybe not strongly. Also note how the Histogram is levelling out. We need to see a White candle in the coming weeks or we could be facing bigger issues maybe. The Daily version of this same chart shows us very clearly where we are. This is Great News. We have broken through that 236 Red Fib circle. It is now Support. though we are under a line of resistance. But we broke through that in the recent past. I still think we will visit 78K again for a very short period of time. ( Hopefully, nothing is certain) Currently, the shorter term charts show Support found on the 618 Fib retracement line. And we need to see if this holds Over all, We are near the end of the first phase of this pause in Pushes higher. We have that wall at 109K to break through in the longer Term. Once Weekly MACD is on neutral, we will wait fo rthe daily to get there also and then we can push higher with Strength. This push maynot be a single push. the Weight of BTC with its current price holds back the sprints to ATH we once saw. Patience is a Virtue HOLD and BUY MORE
by Orriginal
BTC Volatility Play: Compression, Fib Confluence & 48% IV OptionBTCUSD | Volatility Compression Meets Macro Catalyst: Options & Technical Thesis Chart: BTC/USD 1M (BITSTAMP) Bitcoin is currently consolidating below all-time highs after touching the $95K level. The monthly candle structure shows the first significant pause in momentum, with price now holding around the $82,000–$84,000 range. This area represents a confluence of prior resistance-turned-support, Fib retracement zones, and the VWAP session level (~$84,910). Technically, the long-term ascending broadening wedge remains intact. MACD is extended but positive, while RSI has cooled to approximately 62. The structure supports the thesis of short-term rebalancing before a potential continuation or breakdown. Volatility compression is evident. Options Market Context | BTC1! (May 30, 2025 Expiry) Implied Volatility (IV): 48.1% across strikes Underlying Spot Price: $82,978 ATM Strike: $84,500 Theta: ~ -52 per leg (high decay environment) Delta Cluster: Calls around 0.53–0.59, Puts around -0.41 to -0.47 Despite BTC's recent move and upcoming halving-related volatility potential, the options market is pricing in moderate movement, not extreme. This opens the door for straddles, strangles, and gamma-based strategies if volatility expands or price breaks out of range. Breakeven Analysis: BTC Straddles (May 30, 2025) The table below illustrates the breakeven zones and required directional moves for various straddle positions, based on total premium (call + put). Strike Total Premium ($) Upper Breakeven ($) Lower Breakeven ($) % Move Up % Move Down 82,500 13,468 95,968 69,032 15.65% 16.81% 83,000 13,454 96,454 69,546 16.24% 16.19% 84,000 13,488 97,488 70,512 17.45% 15.04% 84,500 13,546 98,046 70,954 18.16% 14.48% 85,000 13,607 98,607 71,393 18.87% 13.97% Interpretation: The FWB:83K –$84.5K strikes offer the most balanced convexity. The average breakeven range requires BTC to move approximately 15%–18% in either direction by expiration to achieve profitability. Strategy Considerations 1. Long Straddle at ATM ($84,500): Total cost: ~$13,546 Profit potential if BTC > GETTEX:98K or < $70.9K Ideal for traders anticipating a significant move in either direction Vega + gamma rich; best for breakout environments 2. Directional Option Play: Long Call at $85,000 (~$6,538) for a lower-cost breakout bet Long Put at $82,500 (~$5,713) to lean bearish Scaled exposure possible for either side, depending on directional bias 3. Advanced Structures (Neutral Thesis): Short Straddle or Iron Butterfly at $84,500 to harvest premium High decay potential, but vulnerable to directional expansion Only suitable if anticipating range-bound behavior near-term Final Thoughts Bitcoin is entering a historically volatile phase post-halving with price compressing below all-time highs and implied volatility sitting at moderate levels. This convergence of technical consolidation and underpriced volatility creates a strong environment for defined-risk, high-reward trades. Whether you favor directional breakouts or volatility-based strategies, the current setup offers clear levels, manageable risk, and strong reward-to-risk symmetry. Chart source: BTCUSD Monthly (BITSTAMP) Options source: CME BTC Options (May 30, 2025)
Short
by TheHouseofTrade
$BTC for Next week (31st March - 4th April)Given out all the ideas, Will react to the market based on which idea presents itself. If Yellow line - Its better to stay out of the markets. With the other wait for MSS (Market Structure Shift) and then take the trade and target the other side of the liquidity. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT Overall I'm neutral on CRYPTOCAP:BTC but SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ and NYSE:ES look bearish to me, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC could follow.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by MrVelvet_
Bear cycle begins if this happens. Not the time of buy the dipI have been thinking this Bitcoin cycle has already peaked.   I am using a weekly chart here because I can fit in three BTC cycles on the screen, but it is more clear if you look at it in the Daily chart.  I am analysing the chart by using VWAP - Volume weighted moving average. When you place VWAP (orange line) at the peak of each cycle you can see the pattern as below: 1) The price goes down steadily from the suspected peak price but eventually breaks above the descending trendline.  (please check it in daily chart).  2) The price moves and closes above the descending trendine but the upside move is limited and price gets trapped and consolidate in the sideway for a few months (blue rectangular box).    3) VWAP acts as resistance line and eventually resumes the downside move. 4) By then, all momentum indicators are deep in the bear zone, and the bear cycle begins. When I look at weekly and daily chart, I can see the same scenario is unfolding now.  I don't think the price will go straight down from here. There are good small swing trade opportunities in lower time frame for the next few months. However, if the price struggles to move above VWAP, the end of cycle scenario becomes more and more convincing. It is just my humble opinion based on one style of analysis. Final note: Bitcoin price action has been very similar to NASDAQ100 and US500, and these charts are looking very dire. If US indices go down in the the next few months, Bitcoin will go with them.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EbonyFalcon
Bitcoin Part2: Bullish Trade longBad economy,global inflation,recessive U.S. economy,hypes,uncertainly, the white house policy. All these facts matter:They put the markets under massive pressure Where is the chance: To plan different scenarios and models that have benn working in such similar scenarios. 202 is a good example, as the markets suddenly experienced big pressure. Last not least, the FED transistory inflation, that wasnt real inflation, now indeed is becoming a dangerouse reality: We will have higher inflation, and global risks increasing.This will impact global liquidity inflow into markets. Additionally we are noticing an outflow of the US stock markest, and increasing inflow of capital in foreign countries stock markets. This are not good news for Bitcoin nor for crypto at all. The chane in my opinion is just to think reverse.like 2020 Sell when positive news from the Whitehouse andpositive tone from FED. Buy when White house talking and announcing threadful tariffs and if FED talks negatively. Why?Because we have indieed real thread of inflation, and FED is the more competent team, who really now does everything to tame the inflation.Therefor i beleive them more. Also short term contarian trade is just planned for max 24-48 hours. not longer As the volatility rises. Helding positions for more periode of time means increasing the risk.Upwards and downwards.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDLong
by DaveBrascoFX
1
Bitcoin Part1: bearish Trade Short termBitcoin Macro Index' bear signal puts $110K BTC price return in doubt Fact is: Bitcoin and ether drop amid grim inflation outlook, tariff uncertainty midterm to long term, as long the white house continues its policy.And PRES: trump cannot prevent it. A positive change of the white house policy, and improving its relationshipsto other nations,instead putting them with tariffs, will be a boosting positive cataylst also for crypto,specially Bitcoin. Bitcoin has lost in trust of new investors ,specially since 21st of January 2025. Also participating of Pres. trump in crypto summits had no positive significant signals ,specilly not for Bitcoin.Instead Bitcoin lost now more than 34% since Nov. 2025. Also many crypto fans are very disappointed about developement of their crypto performances. Promise gave,Promise ,,NOT,,kept! It wIll be a very volatile time ahead. Therefor I prepare for both scenarios:Bullish/Bearish short term. This is part 1:bEARISH STRATEGY: Below 78k...bearish momentum will gain more on momentum.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDShort
by DaveBrascoFX
3
Bitcoin Dump Perfectly Predicted ! What's Next? 76k ?🚨 DID EVERYONE REMEMBER ? 🚨 🔥February 14th – I told everyone loud and clear SHORT or SELL because BTC was about to DUMP. Look at where we are now another perfect prediction, another massive win. 🚀 Hope all my real ones remembered and stayed safe in this move. We are still valid in our analysis, deep in profits, and absolutely killing this trade. ✅ Book partial profits – Lock in those gains. ✅ Move SL to entry – No risk, stress-free ride. We move smart, calculated, and ahead of the market. Now, let’s analyse the next move. 🔍BTC Technical Analysis What’s Next ? Bitcoin followed the bearish rejection from key resistance and is continuing its downtrend. We saw a weak consolidation before another breakdown, and structure still favors further downside. 📊 Key Levels to Watch 🔻 Support: $68,500-$70,000 – If this level breaks, BTC could accelerate lower. 🔺 Resistance: $85,000-$86,000 – A reclaim of this zone would invalidate further downside. 🔮 Potential Scenarios 1️⃣ If BTC holds above $75,000-$76,000, we could see a short-term bounce before another drop. 2️⃣ If BTC loses $70,000, expect further downside targeting $68,500 or lower. 3️⃣ Bulls need a strong reclaim above $85,000 to flip structure bullish again. 📉 We remain bearish until BTC shows clear strength. Manage risk, stay disciplined, and ride the trend. 💬Drop a comment and follow if you caught this move & let’s stay ahead of the game!🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by wolfchemist
Bitcoin 1-Year Pattern- The art of trading lies in analyzing the past to anticipate the future. On the yearly timeframe, BTC has consistently followed this cycle: - 1 year of bearish decline.🟥. - 1 year of consolidation and bottoming out.🟩. - 1 year of steady growth.🟩. - 1 year of explosive upward movement.🟩. based simply on that : - 2025 is poised to be a breakout year for BTC. - 2026 should be the next bear market. - Everything changes, nothing lasts forever, but as a trader, you must stay on course. - Don't let market noise shake your confidence. Happy Tr4Ding !
BNC:BLXLong
by thecryer
3
Observing BTC to down for a whileBTC/USD Forming an Inverted Flag and Pole Pattern – Potential Bearish Signal Current Market Structure: BTC/USD is currently displaying a classic Inverted Flag and Pole pattern, which is a bearish continuation formation indicating that the market may be preparing for a downside move. This pattern typically forms after a strong downward price movement (the pole), followed by a period of consolidation or a slight upward retracement that forms the inverted flag. 1. Formation Breakdown: Pole Formation: The pole was formed after BTC/USD experienced a sharp decline from recent highs, characterized by strong bearish momentum and high volume. This steep price drop signifies increased selling pressure, often triggered by a combination of profit-taking, liquidation of leveraged positions, and macroeconomic uncertainty. Flag Formation: Following the pole, BTC/USD has entered a consolidation phase, creating a slight upward or sideways retracement. This phase forms a channel or wedge-like pattern that slopes slightly upward or horizontally. The flag reflects a temporary pause where buyers attempt to regain control, but the low volume and weak bullish pressure indicate a lack of conviction in sustaining the upward movement. 2. Key Characteristics to Note: Volume Behavior: During the pole formation, volume was significantly high, confirming strong selling interest. In the flag phase, volume has tapered off, suggesting that the upward movement lacks the strength to reverse the previous bearish trend. Resistance and Support Levels: BTC is currently testing the upper boundary of the flag, near the $ resistance. If this level holds and BTC fails to break out, a reversal towards the lower end of the flag is likely, followed by a potential breakdown. Support to watch lies around the $ zone, which aligns with the pole’s base and a potential target for the next bearish leg. 3. Expected Market Behavior: Bearish Continuation Likely: If BTC breaks below the lower boundary of the flag, it is likely to resume its prior bearish trend. The next downside target is typically measured by projecting the length of the pole downward from the breakdown point, potentially bringing BTC to levels around $ . A breakdown with strong volume confirmation would further validate this bearish move. Invalidation Scenario: If BTC breaks above the flag’s resistance zone with convincing volume, the bearish pattern may be invalidated, potentially leading to a retest of higher resistance levels around $ . 4. Market Sentiment and External Factors: Macro Influences: Ongoing concerns regarding regulatory changes, interest rate hikes, and broader economic uncertainty may further weigh on BTC’s price. Trader Behavior: Institutional selling and retail panic could accelerate the downward momentum once the pattern confirms the breakdown. Conclusion: BTC/USD’s current pattern suggests that a period of downside correction is likely. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, along with volume confirmation to assess the next leg of price action. A confirmed breakdown from the flag structure may signal a continuation of the bearish trend, while a breakout above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by baladeva
BTC/USDT Analysis: Buyers Have LostContrary to expectations and the defense of the local low, buying pressure failed to resume fully, leading to a decline. Currently, we are approaching the buyer's zone at $84,400-$82,900 (accumulated volumes)—monitoring the reaction at this level is crucial. From a wave analysis perspective, the local uptrend has been broken, and short positions are now the priority. A sell zone has formed above the current price at $86,000-$87,200, where we anticipate a continuation of the downward movement. Another short entry point would be a false breakout of the local high at $88,800. Sell Zones: $86,000-$87,200 (absorption of buyer's market aggression) $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500-$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $84,400-$82,900 (accumulated volumes) $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
by Crypto_robotics
BTC/USDT Analysis: Local Buyer AggressionYesterday, Bitcoin continued its downward movement. At one point, after breaking the local level of $86,300, buyers defended the price, pushing it back into a narrow range. Currently, it's worth noting the repeated defense at around $86,700, where a significant buyer volume has accumulated (as indicated by the positive delta in that bar). Given this, we may see a retest of the local high from the current levels. Despite this, the primary scenario remains a correction toward the sell zones. This is supported by the nature of the current uptrend, characterized by weak new highs, as well as selling pressure reflected in the delta. An alternative scenario would be a full breakout of the current high on strong volume, which could indicate a continuation of the trend. Sell Zones: $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500-$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $84,400-$82,900 (accumulated volumes) $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
by Crypto_robotics
1
Bitcoin in Ascending Wedge?Looks like a rising wedge guys - I'm not a charting TA expert but would love to here your thoughts. Many bears keep posting a drop to $70K level.. I guess that drop is written in some prophecy somewhere, and they believe (or hope) it MUST happen, before we go for new ATH. Maybe so... however can anyone explain WHY that must play out like that? A couple of weeks back i was in that camp but after I see the slow and steady Bitcoin recovery, I have changed my mind.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by rafevo
3
BTC/USDT Analysis: Moving Within Our ScenarioYesterday, after testing the $88,000-$88,600 sales zone (local volume zone), Bitcoin began to follow the scenario we outlined. At the moment, we still expect a decline in the first cryptocurrency. Several factors indicate this: a trend with weak updates of each new high and a downward cumulative delta. Reviewing the chart on a higher timeframe, we have identified a potential support level in the form of the POC of the current uptrend. However, our primary scenario remains a decline toward the $76,700 low. Sell Zones: $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500-$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $84,400-$82,900 (accumulated volumes) $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
by Crypto_robotics
GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME) to add BTC as a Treasury Reserve AssetThe price of GameStop Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:GME ) shares saw a noteworthy uptick of 7% in Tuesday's after hours trading, primarily based on the news that the firm is set to add Bitcoin as its Treasury Reserve asset. The asset bounced from it's psychological support zone aiming for a move to the $35- $40 price point. This move would be feasible if GameStop Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:GME ) shares break pass the $30 resistant point. In light of that manner, GameStop Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:GME ) also is set to announced earnings report Tuesday, March 25, 2025, after market close. About GameStop Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:GME ) GameStop Corp., a specialty retailer, provides games and entertainment products through its stores and ecommerce platforms in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Europe. The company sells new and pre-owned gaming platforms; accessories, such as controllers, gaming headsets, and virtual reality products; new and pre-owned gaming software; and in-game digital currency, digital downloadable content, and full-game downloads.
NYSE:GMELong
by DEXWireNews
1
Crypto liquidations drop 76% as Bitcoin $BTC stabilizes aboveCrypto liquidations plummeted by 76% in the second half of March as Bitcoin BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidated around $87,000 after earlier volatility. From March 12 to March 25, Bitcoin's price moved within a narrower range, starting at $82,857 and closing at $87,330. Earlier in March, Bitcoin BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC saw sharp price movements, dropping below $79,000 before rebounding, coinciding with a spike in long liquidations. The recent decline in liquidations signals more stable market participation and reduced leverage risk. Between March 12 and March 25, long liquidations totaled $1.26 billion, while short liquidations reached $1.14 billion, down from 7$7.2 billion in long and $2.8 billion in short liquidations from February 24 to March 12.
by paul_endeo