Bitcoinshort
Do technical signals show Bitcoin’s path to $130K? Do technical signals show Bitcoin’s path to $130K?
Bitcoin briefly pushed above $110,000 for the second time this month, before pulling back slightly to trade around $109,500. The market consolidating just below the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level could be suggesting strong resistance is being tested near current levels.
Bitcoin remains within reach of its all-time high at $111,965, set on May 22.
The latest upward move may have been supported by comments from U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, who said trade talks with China in London were progressing well and likely to extend for a third day.
CNBC analyst Todd Gordon expects a breakout toward $130,000 according to his weekly chart analysis. According to our chart, A breakout above 111,897 could open the path to the 78.6% extension around $122,093, followed by the 100% extension target at $135,081
Full Cycle BTC Trendline Mid-2023 to Bull 2025Trendline stretching from mid-2023 lows through the entire bull structure into 2025.
Unbroken since inception
Touched 3+ times
Currently being retested from above
BTC is retesting the primary uptrend
Price dipped below it in April → false breakdown
May-June recovery has reclaimed it
Now sitting right at the trendline, testing it as resistance-turned-support
This is the ultimate decision zone
A daily or weekly close above $110K confirms the trend resumed
Rejection here → opens the door for retrace to $98K–$100K
BTCUSD Breakdown Incoming? 4H Chart Flags Key Bearish Entry🔵 Entry Point (Sell Limit / Market Entry)
• Around $104,600 – $104,700
This area aligns with the retest of the descending trend line and a weak resistance zone. Price is reacting negatively after hitting this level.
🟥 Stop Loss
• $107,060
Placed just above the weak resistance. This protects the trade in case price breaks structure and invalidates the bearish setup.
🟩 Take Profit Targets
1. TP1: $101,818 (Support 1)
o First major support zone; price has bounced here previously.
2. TP2: $98,020 (Support 2)
o Deeper support and more aggressive target. Aligned with previous wick lows.
🔺 Chart Observations
• Trend Line: Still intact and respected. Price rejected it on the latest retest.
• Structure: Lower highs and lower lows show bearish momentum.
• Volume/Volatility: Tapering candles around resistance indicate weakening bullish attempts.
• Risk-to-Reward
o TP1 R:R ≈ 1.3:1
o TP2 R:R ≈ 2.5:1+
⚠️ Scalper Note
If you’re trading this as a scalp, consider securing partial profits at TP1 and moving SL to breakeven to protect gains. Volatility around macro events or news (like the red event icons near June 3–5) could trigger wicks.
Would you like me to add RSI, MACD, or EMA confluence to strengthen the setup further?
Bitcoin ($BTC) - Hoping for a Short-Term RolloverBitcoin bounced from the daily demand (76874.75-74306.67) that was highlighted in my "Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation" post from 5 days ago (see related post below). However, the rubber will now meet the road as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD could break higher or continue lower from current price. The in-play 1D sell zone, which is admittedly doesn't have great structure, is 86267.86-92920.42. Ideally, short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, per the RSI, would be weaker than it is, but momentum is still soft per the daily oscillator. I'm not looking to short BTC blindly, but rather am stalking it via LTFs and will execute a confirmation short if evidence of the near-term uptrend (established 3/10) violation/termination materializes. If the intermediate-term downtrend continues, T2 = sub-$70K.
Anyway, just an idea. For those looking for longer-term buying opportunities, a near-term selloff should be viewed as a positive. Futures open in ~5 hours and can always be used to hedge longs if we get a breakdown.
Thanks for reading. Thoughts/feedback appreciated!
Jon
@JHartCharts
BTCUSD SMC Short Play | Fair Value Gap Rejection Ahead?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Smart Money Sell Opportunity | Liquidity Sweep Setup
Here’s a surgical-level BTCUSD bearish setup unfolding on the 30-minute chart, giving pro traders and learners a textbook SMC opportunity. Let’s break it down:
🔍 1. Trade Idea Summary
This move is a retracement into a premium zone, reacting off a:
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) between ~104,300 and 104,600
✅ Strong High at ~105,100 acting as liquidity
✅ Perfect Sell-Side Liquidity Target at ~102,200
Expecting a short retracement play with a clean 1:4+ RRR.
📊 2. Key Zones Marked on Chart:
FVG Zone: 104,259 – 104,600
Strong High (Liquidity Trap): 105,104
Entry Zone: Watch rejection inside FVG or after sweep of Strong High
TP Zone (Sell Side Liquidity): 102,200
SL: Above 105,200
🧩 3. Smart Money Logic Behind This Setup:
Price is in distribution phase, moving within a descending channel
Impulse down created imbalance (FVG) ➝ market now retracing to fill it
Expecting:
Liquidity grab above recent highs
Rejection from FVG zone
Strong push down toward sell side liquidity
⚙️ 4. Trade Execution Plan
Wait for price to enter FVG
Look for:
M5/M15 CHoCH (Change of Character)
Bearish OB or breaker block for sniper entry
Target liquidity zone marked on chart
Trail SL once price breaks below 103,000
📉 5. Market Bias + Risk Tip
HTF Bias: Bearish
Mid-Term Target: 101,800–102,200
❌ Don’t jump early — wait for structure break or FVG reaction
📍 Drop a “🔥” if you’re learning
🧠 Comment “SMC ENTRY” if you caught this setup
📲 Save for later & follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily breakdowns
BTCUSD Trendline Trap? Smart Money Short at FVG
🔍 1. Trade Idea Summary
Trendline gets violated ➝ retail panic
Price retests Fair Value Gap at a premium level
Confluence:
✅ Trendline break liquidity
✅ FVG mitigation
✅ Bearish order block zone
✅ Lower high structure formation
Targeting the weak low sweep around $100,773.
📊 2. Key Chart Levels
Entry Zone: $104,800 – $105,200 (FVG)
Stop Loss: Above $105,209
Take Profit: $100,773 (Weak Low / Sell-side liquidity)
RR: ~1:3+, textbook sniper setup
🧩 3. Smart Money Concept Breakdown
Trendline Break = Liquidity Grab
Price taps into a premium zone FVG + OB
Expecting:
Rejection candle formation
Lower time frame BOS
Sell-side liquidity target @ weak low
This is a setup you can replay again and again — pure institutional footprint.
⚙️ 4. Execution Plan
Monitor retest reaction near FVG zone
Look for M5 or M15 bearish BOS/CHoCH
Refine entry on confirmation
Lock partials near midpoint, TP at weak low sweep
⚔️ 5. Pro Tips:
Trendline breaks are often traps — always check where the liquidity hides
FVGs act like magnets — price often returns to fill the imbalance before real moves
Volume dying into FVG = 🔥 clue for rejection
📉 Comment "BTC Trap Sniper 🎯" if you saw this setup too
🔁 Save this chart for future reference
⚔️ Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more SMC breakdowns & fib-paired traps
BTCUSD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom AlgoSmart Trend Signal | Technical Analysis + Custom Algorithm
This signal is the result of a combination of classic technical trend analysis and a proprietary software I personally developed.
BITCOIN Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom AlgoSmart Trend Signal | Technical Analysis + Custom Algorithm
This signal is the result of a combination of classic technical trend analysis and a proprietary software I personally developed.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Local Scenario Has Changed
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin failed to confirm the bullish scenario above $105,000 and instead entered a natural correction. The volume zone at $104,000–$103,000 mentioned yesterday still hasn't shown any clear positioning.
Currently, the local scenario has shifted. On the 1-hour timeframe, we’ve seen a break in the trend structure. The cumulative delta indicates weakness on the buyers’ side, and just above the current price, there is a zone of absorbed market buys.
Main scenario: a decline toward the nearest support at ~$100,000 (absorbing volume), from where we can consider rejoining the global bullish trend.
Sell Zones:
$105,000–$105,700 (absorption of market buys),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
~$100,000 (absorbing volume),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
What do you think — which scenario will play out?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication is not financial advice.
Will it fall? Yes. The reasons are HERE!Reasons why it will drop:
1. hypurrscan.io
This is an insider — take a closer look.
2. Selling pressure during the first attempt to rise.
3. Selling pressure is still ongoing.
4. Very low liquidity ahead. It's easy to push the price down because the rise happened with almost no consolidation.
5. Whoever is applying pressure needs to accumulate cheaper.
Downside for bitcoin around the cornerLooking for a retrace to between 96-97.5k
-Hourly closure above red horizontal line = idea invalidated
-Drop will increase in volatility below red box zone marked on chart
Happy trading!
Bitcoin Short Setup | 30m SMC OB Rejection + Clean RR💣 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 30-Min SMC Short | May 9, 2025
We just caught BTC’s premium tap into a 30m bearish Order Block, followed by a strong rejection candle. This is a classic Smart Money play, where price fills inefficiency and instantly rejects the institutional footprint.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
📦 Bearish Order Block tapped at $101,752
📈 Strong bullish impulse followed by hard rejection
🎯 Short from premium into discount zone (~$99,114 target)
🔺 Clean Risk-to-Reward: ~1:5+
💰 High-probability Smart Money setup
📊 Setup Specs:
Timeframe: 30min
Direction: Short
Entry Zone: $101,752
TP: $99,114
SL: ~$102,000
RR: Approx. 1:5+
💡 Trade Logic:
Price made a liquidity grab + FVG fill before tapping a 30min Order Block. The sharp red engulfing candle at the top confirms SMC presence and intention to sell-off. This zone represents premium pricing, ideal for institutional distribution.
🎯 Chart Ninja Note:
“Smart Money never chases price… they wait for the retest where the fear begins.”
BTCUSD | Bearish Rejection from Order Block Zone | Choch Confirm📉 BTCUSD – 30M SMC Breakdown | April 30, 2025
Bitcoin just printed a clean bearish reaction from a high-probability supply zone, aligned with Smart Money tactics.
📍 Technical Breakdown:
Order Block (OB) marked clearly near 95,474 – 95,756, sitting in a premium price zone.
Price returned to this OB after a previous Change of Character (Choch) to the downside — a clear signal of distribution.
The Strong High remains intact — no structural break = institutional control still active.
Rejection wicks and slow momentum near the OB confirm buyer exhaustion.
🎯 Setup Breakdown:
Entry Zone: 95,474 – 95,756
SL: Above 95,800 (invalidates OB)
TP Zone:
TP1: 94,600
TP2: 94,000
TP3: 93,480 (next liquidity pool near the Weak Low)
Risk:Reward ~ 1:3.5+
🧠 Smart Money Insight:
This is where retail traders start buying the breakout — but Smart Money knows better.
They set traps in the OB, then reverse price for maximum stop hunts.
🔁 Market Psychology:
Choch = shift in sentiment
Price retesting OB = liquidity hunt
Weak Low = magnet for future price sweep
This short setup aligns with mitigation + manipulation + distribution.
📌 What to Watch:
If price fails to break Strong High → short bias remains
If we break below 94,600 → hold for full TP at 93,480
Re-entry possible on LTF pullbacks into new internal OBs
🧠 Execution Note:
Be patient — price might dance in OB before melting. Let it reject, confirm, and flow.
🔥 Final Word:
This setup is clean, logical, and follows institutional flow. If you missed the first touch, wait for a lower-timeframe pullback entry.
Smart traders don’t chase price — they let it come to them. 🧘♂️📉
🗣️ Comment “BTC BEAR ZONE” if you caught this short setup.
📥 Save this post — real case study for Smart Money traders.
📡 Share this with your trading group — gems like this don’t show up daily.
$BTC back to $59-62kAs you can see from the chart, BTC is rejecting from the range highs which sets up the next (and final) leg lower before we continue the bull run.
Despite the bounce over the last few weeks, all we've done is retested the area which we broke down from back in February.
Now this sets up a large move lower down to the lower support levels at GETTEX:59K -$62k.
After we tag those levels, we'll continue our next move higher into 2026-2027.
Invert Scale - Bitcoin Expectation at HTFBelieve we go to 81-85K first and then to 106K
Either we take this route through touching 97K or directly from here.
My posisiton is short and I believe we go down directly from here.
BTC | FAKE REVERSAL - Here's WhyI'm not convinced of the recent "bullish" price action. In fact, I say it's likely the calm before the next bearish move down.
In a downtrend, there are a few tale tell signs that the price has gone into full bear mode . In this video, I discuss two of them.
Make sure you catch up on ALTCOINS, and their ideal buying zones HERE 👀👇
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Is BTC Set up for a fall today? (17/04/2025)BTC has been ranging since last Friday and therefore the price action has been very tight but one candle has given us a clue about the possible next direction.
This has been highlighted by the red arrow. This 2H candle is a bearish engulfing candle, which as a single candle is bearish.
Since that candle was printed, the price has currently retraced into that candles range but has failed to break over it.
I am speculating that this is a failed high.
The blue arrow points to a wick on a subsequent 2H candle which signifies bullish exhaustion and a rejection of that 85000 price level.
The Green lines represent the High and Low price of the most recent 7H candle.
The Orange lines represents the High and Low price of yesterday's Daily candle.
The Red line represents the High and Low price of last week's candle.
There is a purple target beside a 2h FVG that I believe that market could be targeting alongside last weeks low.
BITCOIN Supply Demand Short ALERT1) See picture for full analysis...
Higher Timframe:
-Price inside supply
-Trend = downtrend
-Stochastic RSI overbought
Lower Timeframe:
-Need break to break support + break upward trend-line + quality supply created.
- IF price does the following then possible pullback for short OR look for scalp/day-trade shorts
to the downside with 1TF setups.
#supplyanddemand #supportandresistance
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely!
Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant.
I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop.
Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
USDT Dominance Good for Bitcoin price actionHello everyone!
I want share my price analysis at USDT Dominance.
The reason i am making Bitcoin price action analysis at USDT Dominance is here chart is more clear and gives me better view of what is happening at market.
After Trump inauguration day most of retail traders excepted bullish bitcoin, but we saw strong sellers, that means bitcoin will find new strong buyer and it will reach new high then, but i think the new high will be maybe 2026 or 2027. if we will look at USDTD we will see the price action is still uptrend, but not too strong it tested well support after 1D double bottom and went higher.
my price prediction will be it will test 6.75 were it will get huge reaction, but the price will come back second time and we need to wait for that moment, if we will get same price reaction, it will be start of bullish bitcoin, at the moment i think bitcoin will be at 55000 or 60000, but if USDTD will brake 6.75 then we need to wait Bitcoin at 40000-45000.
We will see what will happen that's only my opinion it will happen.
Always make your own research
BITCOIN Outlook: Watch for a Drop Toward $85100COINBASE:BTCUSD has reached a key resistance level, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume.
If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 85,100$, which represents a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure.
However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, leading to further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Bitcoin Part1: bearish Trade Short termBitcoin Macro Index' bear signal puts $110K BTC price return in doubt
Fact is: Bitcoin and ether drop amid grim inflation outlook, tariff uncertainty midterm to long term, as long the white house continues its policy.And PRES: trump cannot prevent it.
A positive change of the white house policy, and improving its relationshipsto other nations,instead putting them with tariffs, will be a boosting positive cataylst also for crypto,specially Bitcoin. Bitcoin has lost in trust of new investors ,specially since 21st of January 2025.
Also participating of Pres. trump in crypto summits had no positive significant signals ,specilly not for Bitcoin.Instead Bitcoin lost now more than 34% since Nov. 2025.
Also many crypto fans are very disappointed about developement of their crypto performances.
Promise gave,Promise ,,NOT,,kept!
It wIll be a very volatile time ahead.
Therefor I prepare for both scenarios:Bullish/Bearish short term.
This is part 1:bEARISH STRATEGY:
Below 78k...bearish momentum will gain more on momentum.
BTC ~ MACRO Bounce ZoneBTC has been holding the 80K zone well, but from the macro perspective the bearish cycle should be starting soon.
This is due to simple logic (after such a dramatic ATH) as well as the Wyckoff Method.
Unless we can reclaim 90K, it's likely that this will be the third touch on the parabolic curve - which is usually when the bearish cycle starts.
Previously, BTC retraced and bounced one Fib higher than the price at the start of the bullish cycle. This puts us roughly at 28k, as well as at the neckline of the previous resistance zone before the new ATH:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
