BTCUSD: 1H Death Cross might be dangerous but expect $100k if inBitcoin remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.614, MACD = 2557.800, ADX = 37.923) despite the correction since Friday's high. This is because the underlying pattern is a Bullish Megaphone which just bottomed. On the other hand, the 1H timeframe just formed a Death Cross. If this is invalidated and the price remains inside the Bullish Megaphone (also see that the 1H RSI is on a Bullish Divergence), we can see $100k on the next leg up (1.5 Fib extension like the 2 HH before). If the Bullish Megaphone breaks, testing the 1D MA200 at least, is veyr likely.
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Bitcointrading
BTCUSDTLooks like BTCUSDT wants to make us smile again 🙂 A new opportunity for a Sell signal has emerged, and I’ll be taking advantage of it. However, don’t forget that in 35 minutes**, the *U.S. Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)* data will be released — and that could cause some market volatility. I’m opening the trade with that in mind, so make sure you adjust your risk accordingly.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.60
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 94333.33
✔️ Take Profit: 93908.54
✔️ Stop Loss: 94598.39
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses."
"Bitcoin traders... The real money is made BEFORE the breakout"🚨 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Showing Smart Money Blueprint in Action!
Let's break it down clearly:
📈 Context:
After a period of compression, we got a strong liquidity sweep at the highs.
Price quickly rejected, causing a sharp market structure break.
📉 Downward Trendline + Liquidity Build-Up:
Notice how price has been hugging a descending line while leaving clear liquidity pockets ($$$) above.
This means Smart Money is trapping buyers into bad longs before the expansion.
📍 Critical Level: CRT Low (Current Range Low)
Price has aggressively returned to mitigate near the CRT Low area (marked red).
Perfect zone for Smart Money to reload before the next expansion.
📍 Entry Confirmation:
Watch for bullish reaction signs off the CRT Low.
If price holds above, we are likely to witness an explosive upside move targeting the previous liquidity pools.
🎯 Target Zones:
Immediate liquidity above (around $94,700 - $95,000).
Secondary target at CRT High area ($95,400+).
🧠 Market Psychology at Play:
CRT Low is a beautiful example of engineered liquidity, where emotional sellers are stopped out and Smart Money absorbs entries.
The goal is to trap the impatient and reward the patient.
⚡ Game Plan:
Be reactive, not predictive: Wait for bullish price action confirmation.
Partial profits at first liquidity zone, trail stop for extended targets.
R:R ratio on this setup is beautifully in our favor.
🚀 Risk Management Tip:
Risk only what you're willing to lose.
Even the best setups can fail — it’s part of the game.
Good trading is consistent execution, not perfection.
✍️ To sum up:
This BTCUSD chart is textbook Smart Money play:
Liquidity sweep ➡️ Break of structure ➡️ Mitigation ➡️ Expansion
If you time your entry well, this could be one of the cleanest setups into the weekly close! 🔥
➡️ Comment "BTC READY" if you're eyeing this move with me!
➡️ Save this post for future Smart Money analysis references!
BTCUSD: The catching up to Gold has started.Bitcoin is having an excellent day turning almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.867, MACD = 3107.700, ADX = 41.327) and that is normally a signal for more upside to come. Adding Gold to the mix, we see that in recent past when Gold topped, Bitcoin was at the start of its uptrend and eventually caught up to Gold. Today's rise is probably similar to early November 2024, so we expect another 1.5 - 2 month upside before the next short term pullback.
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BTCUSD: The final 7 months of the Bull Cycle have begun.Bitcoin remains on excellent bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 65.277, MACD = 2917.800, ADX = 44.478) as it is recovering from this months Low. A recovery that will close today the monthly candle in green, the first after 2 bearish 1M candles. This has technically kickstarted the final 7 months of the Bull Cycle, which have historically been a straight rally to the Cycle's Top. The last 2 Cycles took 35 months from bottom to top and based on that we expect the current one to peak in October (2025).
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BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis: Breakout Incoming?Hey traders! Let’s dive into this juicy BTCUSDT 1-hour chart. Bitcoin is teasing us with some serious action!
We’ve got a textbook symmetrical triangle pattern forming, with price consolidating tightly between converging trendlines. This is a classic setup for a big move — Bitcoin is coiling up like a spring, ready to explode!
The chart shows multiple phases of consolidation , with the latest triangle pushing BTC toward a critical decision point near the weekly high of $95,773.15 and the monthly high of $95,119.06.
The price is currently hovering around $95,000, testing resistance. A breakout above the upper trendline could send BTC soaring past $96,600, potentially targeting $97,200 or higher!
On the flip side, a rejection here might see it dip toward the daily low of $92,839.27 or even the lower trendline for support.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $95,773.15 (weekly high)
Support: $92,839.27 (daily low)
Breakout Target: $97,200+
Breakdown Target: $92,800
✉ What do you think — bullish breakout or bearish?
Drop your thoughts below!
Bitcoin sell technical analysis Description:
Bitcoin is rejecting major resistance near $94,000 after forming a bearish engulfing candle on the 4H chart.
• Key Resistance: $94,000–$95,000 zone rejected with strong selling pressure.
• RSI Divergence: Bearish divergence between price and RSI confirms weakness.
• Break of Support: Price broke minor support at $92,800, shifting short-term structure bearish.
• Moving Averages: Trading below the 50 EMA on the 4H chart, signaling bearish momentum.
Sell Setup:
• Look for entries around $93,500–$94,000 (retest zone).
• Stop-loss above $95,000.
• TP1: $91,000
• TP2: $88,500
Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a pullback — sellers are currently in control.
BTC Bitcoin Trade plan 24/4/2025BTC/USD Trading Outlook:
Key Resistance Levels: $95,000 and $97,000
Channel Support Level: $92,000
Support Zone: $86,000
Market Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to break above the resistance at $95,000–$97,000 and drops below the $92,000 channel support, it could trigger a sell-off.
Sell Targets:
Target 1: $90,000
Target 2: $88,000
Watch for further support around $86,000.
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above $92,000 and breaks through the $95,000–$97,000 resistance zone, it may resume its upward trend.
Buy Target: $97,000 (with potential to extend higher if momentum continues)
Market Analysis: #BTCUSDT💰 On the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart, a clear symmetrical triangle pattern has formed and already broken down, leading to a confirmed bearish impulse. Price has now returned below the POC level at $93,370.4 (Point of Control by volume), indicating weakness from buyers.
📊 Key Levels
🔴 POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $93,370.4
— This is the highest volume area, now acting as strong resistance. As long as price remains below, short bias is favored.
🔵 Support BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $91,905.5
— A short-term target if the bearish momentum continues.
🎯 Lower Target Zone
— Indicates the full depth of the breakdown move, aiming at the $90,800–$91,000 range.
📈 Volume
➡️ Volume increased during the breakdown, then dropped as price revisited the $93,000 zone — this signals a weak retest and seller control.
📍 Important Notes
➡️ Currently, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading between two key zones — the POC above and the $91,900 support below.
➡️ Failure to break and hold above $93,370 keeps the bearish scenario in play.
➡️ A move below $92,600 will confirm continuation of the downtrend.
📢 Strategy Recommendations:
🚨 SHORT Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Entry: on a retest of $93,000–$93,200 and rejection
Stop Loss: above POC ($93,450)
Targets: $92,100 → $91,900 → $90,800
🚨 Alternative LONG Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P (only if POC is broken):
Entry: after a solid breakout and hold above $93,400 with volume
Target: $94,200–$94,800
Stop Loss: below $93,000
🚨 Conclusion :
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P has completed the triangle pattern and is now in a retest phase. So far, signs still point to bearish continuation, with final confirmation coming from a break below $92,600.
Bitcoin Monthly compared to Historical Cycle Tops-UPDATE $400K ?
Keeping this simple
PA is on the 3rd of 3 Candles below that Threshold line. The comparison is the same position back in 2017 ( left Arrow ), Same Months, same position and also in the 4th year of the Cycle.
Now, I will say, I am one of the many that are saying "this time is different" and yet, when we see this.....well....Is it ?
We will find out in time but for now, Lets follow the chart, as we Must......Charts Never Lie
SO, for that Green candle to touch the threshold line, we are looking around the current ATH and then, when MAY comes in, we need to stay above.
Now, The monthly Candle Colours charts I post, mentioned, that if April closes Green, May has a High Percent chance of also doing that.
We have to wait and see - 1 Week to go till April closes.
As you can see, historically, The year with the Green Box is the year we go to ATH and above the upper trend line, with the ATH on or above that dashed line.
This puts this cycle ATH around, or above, $400K !
That is near Twice my current projection.
Is this time different. ?
There is a chart I have that explains how Bitcoin has been under an Arc od resistance since it's crea\ion and This is something that could keep PA down to the 250K ATH that is expected by so many
The chart is Below, it exoplains itself
So, the next 6 weeks are Pivotal to how this cycle will play out, with one of two ATH zones available.
But more importantly, Bitcoin PA NEEDS to break above and away from that Arc of resistance....and THAT WOULD MAKE THIS TIME DIFFERENT
Enjoy the ride guys and Gals
Bitcoin Cycle Update – Are We Nearing the Peak?Check out this BTCUSDT chart – we’re at GETTEX:92K today, and seems like things are heating up!
▸We’ve seen a Cycle Bottom in late 2022 - early 2023, followed by strong Bull runs in 2023 and 2024.
▸Those Consolidation phases (sideways channels) gave us the perfect setup for massive pumps!
▸Right now, we’re in a Pause Triangle after a big rally – but the Cycle Top could be just around the corner in mid-2025.
▸After that? A potential Bear phase – time to plan your moves!
💡 What’s your strategy? Are you riding this wave to the top, or preparing for the next dip? Let’s discuss 📨
Bitcoin Aligns with the 2017 Cycle ModelThere’s growing speculation that the current Bitcoin cycle mirrors the market behavior seen in 2017.
Intrigued by this, I conducted my own analysis. I overlaid the 2014–2017 cycle pattern onto the current chart for comparison.
The results?
A striking resemblance in both the overall shape and the distinct correction and impulse phases.
It seems history may not repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. 📊
BTCUSD Intraday Move 22-04-2025📊 BTCUSD Analysis – April 22, 2025
Price action is currently forming a rising wedge, typically a bearish pattern, indicating that a short-term correction may occur before the next bullish impulse. The structure shows consolidation with weakening momentum, suggesting that a pullback to demand zones is likely.
We have two strong support zones identified:
Zone 1: 86,400 – 86,800 — minor support from recent consolidation.
Zone 2: 84,700 – 85,100 — major demand area aligned with previous breakout and price reaction.
A retracement into either of these zones offers high-probability buy opportunities for continuation toward the upper resistance trendline and prior high near 89,700.
📈 BTCUSD Buy Signal:
Buy Entry #1: 86,400 – 86,800
Buy Entry #2: 84,700 – 85,100
Take Profit: 89,700
Stop Loss:
For Entry 1: Below 86,200
For Entry 2: Below 84,500
Trade Idea: Wait for bullish price action (engulfing candle, pin bar, or volume spike) before entering.
BTCUSD: Heavily supported, targeting $160k.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 51.863, MACD = 1668.900, ADX = 41.878), running a bullish steak of 3 green 1W candles in a row. Supported heavily by the 1W MA50, this looks like all previous HL bottoms since late 2022. Those kickstated bullish waves that have reached at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. The medium term trade here is long, TP = 160,000.
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BTCUSD: 4H Golden Cross to skyrocket it to $100kBitcoin has stabilized from the strong correction earlier in the month and that is reflected on its neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.619, MACD = 70.800, ADX = 32.691). This suggests that the market has priced a bottom and since it already broke over the LH trendline, the 4H Golden Cross that was just formed today may be the trigger to resume the long term bullish trend. The bottoming pattern is a very favorable Inverted Head and Shoulders, which technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. With the 1D RSI already on a HL bullish divergence, we are buying this breakout, aiming at the 2.0 Fib extension (TP = 100,000), which is very conveniently just under the 0.786 Fib from the ATH, typically a recovery's first target.
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BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point.Market Alert: Bitcoin's Crucial Moment
The battle lines are drawn! BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point, slamming into the trendline resistance zone that's proven to be a formidable foe for bulls. Will the bears finally break through, or will the bulls rally for another attempt at higher grounds?
Our analysis reveals a high probability of rejection at this critical level, setting the stage for a potential downturn. If our expectations play out, we could see BTCUSDT plummeting towards the $81K and $80K support zones. These levels will be make-or-break for the short-term trend, and traders would do well to keep a close eye on them.
Stay alert, stay informed, and let's ride the waves of volatility together! The market is full of opportunities, and with the right insights, you can navigate even the most turbulent of times.
On a year on Year basis Bitcoin is where it was in early 2017
I have been talking about Bitcoin following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal and this chart shows us, in a different way, how this is still Valid.
The vertical lines on this chart are January of each year.
You can see from the Arrow on the left and right, where we are in relation to 2017.
Things to note
When we first touched the dotted line on both occasions, it led to a GREEN RED GREEN candle, however, in 2024, we got there earlier than we should have maybe and so we have had to "Wait" to fall back into date sequence.
Why ?
If we look back at 2017, we remained below that dotted line till end of April - Statistically MAY is a great month for Big moves
In my monthly candle analysis, I have also mentioned that using monthly candle close patterns, May is likely to be the better month for PA to rise higher
We seem to be playing this out BUT we need to notice how PA is Below that Dotted line.
PA is under pressure and yet in a great position though the trading volume is Low and consequentially, the candle sizes are not that impressive.
We are half way through April . Things will change and Fast......
Hang on
Bitcoin BTC price analysisThis is approximately the roadmap we have "imagined" for the coming weeks for the movement of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price:
1️⃣ The most optimistic scenario is that the OKX:BTCUSDT price stays above $76100 - 77100, which means that the “bottom” has finally been found, and we can organize at least a rebound to $94k.
2️⃣ Not a pleasant scenario, but not the worst either, is another update of the local lows of #Bitcoin to $71100 and from there a rebound to the above-mentioned $76100-77100 zone, where we will have to "looking out" again: where to go next...
3️⃣ The most pessimistic, and maybe the most realistic scenario in times of total uncertainty, when it is not clear what the "rusty can" will wake up with in. ✊
All market participants will delay their "buying" decisions as much as possible until it becomes clear whether the Fed will cut the rate or not. The next FOMC meeting is on 07.05.25.
To understand what will happen to altcoins during this time, you need to at least monitor and analyze the #BTC.D and #USDT.D indicators, which we do daily in our reviews in...
✍️ It is your right, if not your duty, to follow this plan or make your own adjustments!)
And we will be happy to read and see your charts, with your forecasts for the near future in the comments below the idea.
Rising Wedge for #BTCUSDTWhat’s visible on the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart:
📈 Rising Wedge:
➡️ This is a potentially bearish pattern for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P , especially when it appears after a strong rally following a deep drop (which is exactly the case here).
➡️ The price has almost reached the upper boundary of the wedge and has already formed a second top (Top 2) — a signal of possible weakness.
🔵 Levels:
➡️ POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P — $82,490.8 has already been broken to the upside, indicating current market strength.
➡️ The price is approaching major resistance at $83,807.1 — momentum is already slowing down in this zone.
➡️ Support remains in the $80,449.7 – $78,412.7 area.
📊 Volume:
➡️ The rally was supported by high volume, but the most recent candles show declining volume as the price nears the top of the wedge.
➡️ This could indicate weakening buying pressure.
📉 Why it’s important to be cautious with long positions:
➡️ A rising wedge can act as a bull trap.
➡️ The price is near a critical resistance — even a small pullback could lead to a wedge breakdown.
➡️ After such a steep run (from 73K to almost 84K), the chance of profit-taking and a pullback is high.
➡️ Volume is declining — bullish momentum may be fading.
📢 Conclusion:
➡️ Opening a BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P long position right now is risky because:
- the wedge structure suggests a potential reversal to the downside;
- there’s no breakout above the previous high with confirmation;
- and volume does not support further upward movement.
❗️ It's better to watch how the price reacts to the wedge and BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P key levels — a long entry is only valid if the price breaks and holds above $83,800–84,000 with strong volume.
➡️ Until then, a neutral or cautiously bearish position is more appropriate.
BTCUSD: We haven't seen the real Bull yet.Bitcoin is under heavy volatility and yesterday's gains from the moment of the tariff pause announcement are almost all wiped out, which is reflected on its 1D technical outlook which turned bearish (RSI = 42.714, MACD = -1766.300, ADX = 26.356). Nonetheless, it is still holding its 1W MA50, the key support of this Bull Cycle, which might have not shown its strongest rally yet.
And the reason is a pure look at the 2015-2017 Bull Cycle, which is on a similar Channel Up and 3W RSI pattern. 11 weeks between the Channel's last two corrections, same level with the RSI bottoms. This indicates that this April could be similar to April 2017 that started the strongest rally of the Cycle.
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BTCUSD: Attacking the 2025 Resistance looking for huge breakout!Bitcoin turned neutral on both its 1D (RSI = 47.243, MACD = -1813.400, ADX = 31.557) and 1W (RSI = 45.530) technical outlooks following the 90-day tariff pause. Technically it is going after the LH top of the Falling Wedge from its ATH and the 1D MA50, which has been the main Resistance since February 4th 2025. There is a key Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI too, being on HL as opposed to the LL of the Falling Wedge. A breakout above the Wedge typically sets a technical target on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which falls just under the ATH Resistance Zone. Be ready to go long if the breakout takes place (TP = 106,000).
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Bitcoin and 50 SMA on a WEEKLY chart - UPDATE Following on from the sharp drop in the beginning of the week, where PA dropped Below the 50 SMA ( RED) , PA has recovered and, as you can see, the candle Body is currently sitting ON the 50 SMA
We may need to remain in this area to bring back the Bullish Sentiment and then move higher.
It can be said that a bullish sentiment remains with Bitcoin as its did NOT crash as sharply as Stock Markets.
We are also now waiting on the MACD to fully enter the "Bounce Zone"
The Weeks candle on the histogram has returned to RED and so some caution is required here, while we wait.
It is the next few days that are crucial now. The "Tariff" dust us settling and countries are reacting to Trumps Tariff impositions.
My Gut feeling is VERY positive right now.
But that is just me,
Watch that candle on the 50 SMA like a Hawk. If we loose that again and the week closes below, THEN we need to think carefully