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Gold price continues sharp declineHello everyone! Do you think gold will rise or fall? Let’s dive into the latest movements of this precious metal. Just as we anticipated in yesterday’s strategy , gold has extended its downward move, with the bears firmly in control. The precious metal is currently trading around 3,290 USD, clearly signaling a short-term downtrend after breaking the ascending trendline that started in early July. Although there was a slight bounce, price remains capped below the key resistance zone of 3,333 – 3,350 USD, which coincides with the confluence of the 0.618 – 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the EMA 34/89 — adding even more downside pressure. The main reason behind this recent drop lies in the easing of trade tensions following the US-EU tariff agreement, which has significantly weakened gold’s safe-haven appeal. At the same time, the FOMC meeting yesterday failed to provide any bullish catalyst for gold. Even though the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, a single hawkish remark from Chair Powell was enough to intensify short-term selling pressure. From a technical perspective, gold attempted to retest the broken trendline but failed, confirming the bearish structure. A new wave of correction could emerge soon, but the overall outlook remains tilted toward further downside. My personal view: Target 1 is at the 1.272 Fibonacci extension. Target 2 lies at the 1.618 Fibonacci level — which could be the next destination. And you — what do you think about this trendline break? Let’s discuss in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
13
Gold's Strong Moves: Will the Bears Take Over?Hello everyone, Kevinn here! Today, gold continues to experience significant fluctuations in the new week, with XAU/USD currently hovering around 3,325 USD. Amid the strong rise of the USD, the gold market has seen a sharp adjustment. However, the medium-term trend still seems to favor the bears. The main reason for the turbulence in gold prices is the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, following strong economic news from the U.S. that points to a clear recovery. The stronger USD has made gold more expensive for international investors. Additionally, the market is awaiting further moves from the Fed regarding interest rate policies, which is limiting the flow of capital into gold. Looking at the technical chart, we can see that although gold has shown a slight uptick, bearish pressures are still lurking. Indicators and patterns suggest that gold may break its rising price channel, with a high likelihood of further declines. The next support level could be around 3,310 USD, and if broken, gold may continue to fall toward 3,300 USD or lower. Based on the signals from the chart, ENTRY 1 strategy would be to sell when the price breaks the upward channel. Additionally, if the price pulls back to the upper limit zone, ENTRY 2 could present another potential selling point. For today's strategy, I expect gold to decrease. What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
18
EUR/USD Latest Update TodayHello everyone, what do you think about FX:EURUSD ? EUR/USD previously broke the downward price channel, but failed to maintain the momentum, leading to a strong correction phase. Currently, the price is trading around 1.156 and testing key Fibonacci levels, with the 0.5 - 0.618 levels marked as potential reversal zones, as highlighted in the analysis. With the current market sentiment, the strong recovery of the USD has been the main factor driving the EUR/USD movement in recent days. Positive economic data from the US has strengthened the US dollar, decreasing the appeal of gold and safe-haven assets like the EUR. Furthermore, expectations surrounding Fed policy decisions continue to add pressure on EUR/USD, with investors bracing for the possibility of the Fed maintaining high interest rates for a longer period. For traders, it's clear that the bearish trend is in favor, as indicated by the EMA reversal. The Fibonacci levels 0.5 (1.164) and 0.618 (1.161) will be crucial zones, where reaction signals could open opportunities for SELL positions. The next target will be at Fib 1 and Fib 1.618. That's my perspective and share, but what do you think about the current trend of EUR/USD? Leave your comments below this post!
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EUR/USD Slips Again – Just a Pullback or More to Come?Hey everyone! Great to have you back for another market chat today. As of writing, EUR/USD remains under significant bearish pressure, currently trading near 1.154 — marking a rather gloomy start to the new trading week. The euro is clearly struggling to attract buying interest as traders reassess the ECB’s stance and digest the newly announced EU–US trade agreement. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar is gaining momentum, flipping the trend unexpectedly. From a technical perspective, EUR/USD is showing clear weakness. The pair has broken below both its rising wedge and previous uptrend line, with candles closing firmly lower — a strong sign that the bears are in control. In my personal view, I expect EUR/USD to continue sliding toward the next two support zones, although a minor pullback could occur first as part of a typical correction. But what do you think? Is this just a dip… or the start of something bigger for EUR/USD? Let me know your take in the comments!
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
XAUUSD under pressure – Is the downtrend just beginning?Hello everyone! What do you think about XAUUSD right now? Yesterday, XAUUSD extended its decline and is currently trading around 3,315 USD. The recent drop in gold prices was mainly triggered by a stronger US dollar, following a trade agreement between the US and the European Union (EU). From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook shows the beginning of a new downtrend. Notably, we see a bearish crossover in the EMA 34 and 89, along with a break of the previous upward trendline—both reinforcing the current bearish momentum. If there’s a pullback before the next leg down, the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (which also aligns with resistance and the EMAs) will be a key area to watch. This could be an ideal level for potential trade setups. Looking ahead, the next support target is around 3,300 USD. If that level breaks, gold might aim for the 32XX region. Do you think XAUUSD will continue to fall? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Wishing you successful and profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
26
Bullish Sentiment Returns to Gold?Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on XAUUSD? From a technical perspective, XAUUSD has just retested its long-term ascending trendline and formed a bullish reaction candle, suggesting that buying pressure may be returning. Recently, a survey of 206 investors revealed that market sentiment remains optimistic, with 66% expecting gold prices to continue rising, 19% predicting a decline, and 15% anticipating a sideways market. What do you think? Share your opinion in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
15
Gold Under Pressure – Temporary Pullback or Start of a DowntrendHello everyone, great to see you again. Today, let’s focus on the bearish factors surrounding gold. At the time of writing, gold is trading around 3,331 USD, down 50 pips on the day, continuing its downward correction since the end of last week. Within just a few days, gold has plunged from its peak of 3,433 USD—losing nearly 100 USD per ounce. This sharp drop is largely driven by profit-taking and market anticipation ahead of key economic data next week, including U.S. interest rate decisions, inflation, and job reports. This week is packed with critical updates: growth figures, inflation stats, employment numbers, and monetary policy decisions from major central banks—all of which could significantly impact gold’s next move. According to a recent survey, 36% of analysts expect gold to fall further, while retail investors remain optimistic about a rebound. For now, the market is clearly in a correction phase. Caution is advised. What do you think—will gold bounce back or continue to drop?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
CRUDE OIL Bullish Continuation! Buy! Hello,Traders! CRUDE OIL made a rebound From the support just as I predicted and the price Went further still and broke The key horizontal level Of 66.50$ and the breakout Is confirmed so we are Bullish biased and we will be Expecting a further bullish Move up! Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
Tesla (TSLA) | Short-Term Compression, Long-Term ExTesla’s daily chart is coiled, with price currently trading at $316, sitting along the 200-day moving average. This looks like a consolidation phase with significant moves building up. Price Action Snapshot TSLA sold off last week, rejecting the $335 resistance level before finding footing around $300. The previous range of $280 and $365 is now tightening. Immediate resistance sits at $335 with a clean breakout above that zone likely triggering momentum back toward the upper range of $365. The recent drop does not seem like a capitulation move; it's likely institutional redistribution. Smart money is repositioning, not exiting. Market Is Focused on the Wrong Data Tesla’s Q2 earnings were objectively weak. Revenue fell 12%, deliveries dropped, and operating margins got clipped. But this correction isn't all about fundamentals. It is about the market adjusting to a company evolving beyond traditional valuation models. While most investors are trying to value Tesla like a car company, it’s spending this entire phase retooling itself into an AI and autonomy-first enterprise. That transition doesn't show up in EPS yet (but it will). The Bigger Picture is Being Missed The robotaxi rollout in Austin is live. Expansion into California, Phoenix, and Florida is on the roadmap. Tesla is building a vertically integrated, owner-driven ride-hailing model that could eventually bypass both Uber and legacy OEMs entirely. Optimus is no longer a lab prototype—it’s moving toward scalable production by 2026. If Tesla even partially succeeds in general-purpose robotics, it will unlock a Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) that dwarfs the current EV narrative . Daily Technical Outlook We’re currently in a bullish compression, with higher lows forming against the resistance area of $365. If $280 holds and the price continues to grind within this wedge, it sets up a volatility breakout scenario. The breakout level to watch is $335. A daily close above that reopens $365. And beyond that, the resistance level is at $426. My View Tesla is compressing, both in price and narrative. The long game is quietly coming into focus, where the risk/reward skews asymmetrically in favor of the upside. This daily compression won’t last forever, and when it resolves, the move will likely be outsized.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by JinDao_Tai
Options Blueprint Series [Intermediate]: Gold Triangle Trap PlayGold’s Volatility Decline Meets a Classic Chart Setup Gold Futures have been steadily declining after piercing a Rising Wedge on June 20. Now, the market structure reveals the formation of a Triangle pattern nearing its apex — a point often associated with imminent breakouts. While this setup typically signals a continuation or reversal, the direction remains uncertain, and the conflict grows when juxtaposed with the longer-term bullish trajectory Gold has displayed since 2022. The resulting dilemma for traders is clear: follow the short-term bearish patterns, or respect the dominant uptrend? In situations like these, a non-directional approach may help tackle the uncertainty while defining the risk. This is where a Long Strangle options strategy becomes highly relevant.   Low Volatility Sets the Stage for an Options Play According to the CME Group’s CVOL Index, Gold’s implied volatility currently trades near the bottom of its 1-year range — hovering just above 14.32, with a 12-month high around 27.80. Historically, such low readings in implied volatility are uncommon and often precede sharp price movements. For options traders, this backdrop suggests one thing: options are potentially underpriced. Additionally, an IV analysis on the December options chain reveals even more favorable pricing conditions for longer-dated expirations. This creates a compelling opportunity to position using a strategy that benefits from volatility expansion and directional movement. Structuring the Long Strangle on Gold Futures A Long Strangle involves buying an Out-of-the-Money (OTM) Call and an OTM Put with the same expiration. The trader benefits if the underlying asset makes a sizable move in either direction before expiration — ideal for a breakout scenario from a compressing Triangle pattern. In this case, the trade setup uses: Long 3345 Put (Oct 28 expiration) Long 3440 Call (Oct 28 expiration) With Gold Futures (Futures December Expiration) currently trading near $3,392.5, this strangle places both legs approximately 45–50 points away from the current price. The total cost of the strangle is 173.73 points, which defines the maximum risk on the trade. This structure allows participation in a directional move while remaining neutral on which direction that move may be. Technical Backdrop and Support Zones The confluence of chart patterns adds weight to this setup. The initial breakdown from the Rising Wedge in June signaled weakness, and now the Triangle’s potential imminent resolution may extend that move. However, technical traders must remain alert to a false breakdown scenario — especially in trending assets like Gold. Buy Orders below current price levels show significant buying interest near 3,037.9 (UFO Support), suggesting that if price drops, it may find support and rebound sharply. This adds further justification for a Long Strangle — the market may fall quickly toward that zone or fail and reverse just as violently. Gold Futures and Micro Gold Futures Contract Specs and Margin Details Understanding the product’s specifications is crucial before engaging in any options strategy: 🔸 Gold Futures (GC) Contract Size: 100 troy ounces Tick Size: 0.10 = $10 per tick Initial Margin: ~$15,000 (varies by broker and volatility) 🔸 Micro Gold Futures (MGC) Contract Size: 10 troy ounces Tick Size: 0.10 = $1 per tick Initial Margin: ~$1,500 The options strategy discussed here is based on the standard Gold Futures (GC), but micro-sized versions could be explored by traders with lower capital exposure preferences.   The Trade Plan: Long Strangle on Gold Futures Here's how the trade comes together: Strategy: Long Strangle using Gold Futures options Direction: Non-directional Instruments: Buy 3440 Call (Oct 28) Buy 3345 Put (Oct 28) Premium Paid: $173.73 (per full-size GC contract) Max Risk: Limited to premium paid Breakeven Points on Expiration: Upper Breakeven: 3440 + 1.7373 = 3613.73 Lower Breakeven: 3345 – 1.7373 = 3171.27 Reward Potential: Unlimited above breakeven on the upside, substantial below breakeven on the downside R/R Profile: Defined risk, asymmetric potential reward This setup thrives on movement. Whether Gold rallies or plunges, the trader benefits if price breaks and sustains beyond breakeven levels by expiration. Risk Management Matters More Than Ever The strength of a Long Strangle lies in its predefined risk and unlimited reward potential, but that doesn’t mean the position is immune to pitfalls. Movement is key — and time decay (theta) begins to erode the premium paid with each passing day. Here are a few key considerations: Stop-loss is optional, as max loss is predefined. Precise entry timing increases the likelihood of capturing breakout moves before theta becomes too damaging. Same for exit. Strike selection should always balance affordability and distance to breakeven. Avoid overexposure, especially in low volatility environments that can lull traders into overtrading due to the potentially “cheap” options. Using strategies like this within a broader portfolio should always come with well-structured risk limits and position sizing protocols. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by traddictiv
Gold under pressure as USD strengthensGold is facing significant selling pressure as the US dollar regains momentum. Currently, XAU/USD is trading near $3,337, down over $31 from the session high, and pressing directly against the ascending trendline. The stronger USD is making gold—an asset that yields no interest—less attractive to investors. If this dollar strength continues, the likelihood of a trendline break and further downside is very high. On the economic front, U.S. jobless claims have fallen to their lowest level in three months, signaling a resilient labor market despite sluggish hiring. This stable jobs data is expected to support the Fed’s decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in the upcoming policy meeting, even amid rising inflation pressure driven by President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. At this moment, sellers are in control. Traders should closely watch upcoming support zones and trading volume to spot reasonable entry points. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
NXT (Long) - Clean energy player with even cleaner financialsLet's preamble with what the company actually does (as I imagine a lot of traders trade without even bothering... understandably). In short, Nextracker operates in the solar energy space where it is a leader in providing energy output optimization solutions, i.e. mechanical systems that rotate solar panels to follow the sun, along with software (TrueCapture) that uses sensors and machine learning to fine-tune positioning in real time. Fundamentals NASDAQ:NXT has been growing very strongly in recent years (see the table) despite the numerous hiccups this space has seen since 2022. There is also a backlog of $4.5bn , giving us clear visibility into the next year. Profitability is strong with earnings growth even outpacing revenue growth, showing strong operating leverage . This all comes on the back of a relatively cheap valuation , with P/E of just below 18, which is significantly lower than some of its competitors like NYSE:NVT at 52, and NYSE:RRX at 43. No clear reason for why the markets are discounting the stock. The balance sheet is rock solid , with no debt and $766m in cash. Moreover, free cash flow is plentiful with the firm most recently generating $622m in FCF. Overall, the company is growing, has strong financials and is cheaply valued compared to its competitors - the kind of smoothie I usually look for. One obvious risk is policy , given that the current administration doesn't really see eye to eye with renewables and two thirds of NXT's revenue still comes from the US. Technicals Just breaking into an all-time high is a nice-to-have advantage when entering a new trade. The stock is breaking out from a decent, almost year-and-half long base , though I would prefer the base to be a tad more prolongated. The stock broke the ATH on higher volume, pulled back to around the breakout point and is currently establishing the next leg higher The price is some distance away from its moving averages, so there is a chance that there still might be some more consolidation around this level before we proceed higher Trade Main caveat is that the stock is about to release its earnings on Tuesday , so naturally it is a slight gamble to buy ahead of it. I decided to jump in beforehand just because I have strong conviction (and I love to punch the wall when I always get it wrong), but I would advise others to first wait on the results as a potential catalyst. For gamblers like myself, the ATH breakout point likely serves as the best possible stoploss (black line). One more reason why these earnings in particular could be even more of a gamble is that the BBB bill was passed since the last earnings, so if the executives decide to sprinkle the release with some not-so-positive comments regarding that, it could spook investors. Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NASDAQ:NXTLong
by jurajholik