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Bitcoin BTC Bears Regain Control: Watching for a Short Setup 📊 Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSD) Currently, Bitcoin is showing clear bearish intent on the higher timeframes 🧭. After an extended period of range-bound price action, we’ve now seen a decisive displacement to the downside 💥 — a strong signal that sellers are taking control. From here, I’ll be watching for a retracement back into equilibrium ⚖️ — the 50% level of the most recent swing — and will then look for signs of rotation and a break of structure 🧩 on the 30-minute chart to confirm a potential short setup 📉. Patience is key here 🕰️ — I want to see price react efficiently to that retracement before considering entries. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis before taking any trade.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by fxtraderanthony
BTCUSD The 114k decision line for the week of Nov 3 to 7One chart. One plan. You can trade the first week of November with a simple map built around one decision area. The band at 112.9k to 114.5k is the gate. Above it, momentum can breathe. Below it, treat strength as suspect and keep risk tight. The Friday close was 110,050 which keeps price right in the middle of the range and sets up a clean reaction trade into the new week. What to draw on your chart Zones • 112,900 to 114,500. Decision band and prior late October highs. • 109,800 to 108,800. First support shelf from the last pullback cluster. • 107,200 to 106,400. Deeper support if the week turns risk off. • 118,000 and 121,700. Extension targets if buyers control the week. References • Add a 50 day and a 200 day moving average on the daily chart for context. Treat the 200 day near the 109k area as a health check. Lose it and fail to reclaim and the swing bias flips cautious. • Add a 20 day ATR read on your platform. Current context is about four percent. I size stops and targets from that number. Why now The tape gets several event tests in one week. Manufacturing PMI on Monday. Services PMI plus the Treasury quarterly refunding details on Wednesday. The United States jobs report on Friday at the usual morning slot. These three items move the dollar and the long end of the curve which in turn moves crypto risk appetite. When the dollar eases and the ten year cools, Bitcoin usually gets running room. When the dollar spikes and yields lift, bounces fail faster. You do not need a complex model. You only need a clear reaction plan and the will to stay patient until your trigger shows. How to trade it Use an ATR based framework. With ATR near four percent, half ATR is about two percent and one and a half ATR is about six percent. These are round figures and they keep your plan honest. Three rules for the week • Breakout rule. Take longs only on a 30 minute close above 114,000 with the next candle holding above 113,800. Stop equals half ATR. First take profit equals one and a half ATR. Trail the rest by one ATR. If the daily session closes back under 112,900 you stand aside and reassess. • Range fade rule. If price tags 114,000 and fails with weak breadth or tired momentum, fade back toward 112,900 with a tight stop above the rejection wick. Scale out near 111,800 to 112,200. Stand down if the dollar softens and yields fall during the move since that flow can squeeze fades. • Failure rule. A daily close under 109,800 is a risk off signal for swing longs. Respect the shelf at 108,800. If it breaks and cannot reclaim, look for price discovery toward 107,200 to 106,400. Only step in again on a stop run and clean reclaim pattern. What I need to see for momentum A decisive reclaim and hold above the 114k band. Dollar index pushing through the prior session low or at least failing to bounce with energy. Ten year yield not making new session highs during the break. Intraday pullbacks that respect one ATR trails without heavy wicking. If those four items happen on the same day, 118k is the first reasonable extension. The second extension sits near 121.7k where the last impulse ran out of steam. What tells me the idea is wrong A strong dollar and a hot yield print with BTC unable to lift through 112.9k. A fast push above 114k on thin liquidity that gives back the level within two or three candles. A daily close under 109.8k that comes on rising volume. In that case the path of least resistance shifts to a deeper test and the best trade may be no trade until the next reclaim signal. Risk template you can copy • Stop: half ATR from entry. • First target: one and a half ATR. • Remainder: trail by one ATR. • Size: risk a fixed R per trade so that a full stop equals your planned loss for the session. • Events: flatten or cut size to half R at least ten minutes before each major release. Re engage only after the first full post release candle closes. Mindset for the week Keep the number of trades small. Let the 114k band answer the only question that matters. Are buyers willing to pay higher prices or not. If yes the job is to stop fighting and ride the extension. If not the job is to protect capital and allow the market to come to your levels. Most of the damage in this market does not come from bad reads. It comes from over trading a chop. One plan and the discipline to sit tight can beat a dozen hot takes. Chart checklist before you click Is price above or below 114k on a 30 minute closing basis. Is the dollar softening or firming during the push. Is the ten year easing or lifting during the push. Is your stop equal to half ATR. Is your first target equal to one and a half ATR. Have you sized for one R and set a hard daily loss limit. Educational research only.
Long
by exlux
$IREN – First 20 SMA Retest + Flag Breakout SetupIris Energy ( NASDAQ:IREN ) is setting up a powerful flag breakout after its first real pullback of this entire move — and it’s happening right as crypto momentum heats up again. 🔹 The Setup: After a strong rally from $50 → $75, NASDAQ:IREN pulled back in a controlled, low-volume correction. Price undercut the 20 SMA, quickly reclaimed it, and now sits back above the 9 EMA — a perfect base reset. Tight flag pattern forming, primed for expansion once momentum kicks in. 🔹 Crypto Sector Strength: CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH both popped this weekend — that’s classic risk-on behavior. The entire crypto stock basket is running hot, with leaders like NASDAQ:CIFR and NASDAQ:IREN showing clean technical setups. This is the first 20 SMA test of the move — historically the most powerful retest in trending names, as late buyers finally get their chance to enter. 🔹 My Trade Plan: 1️⃣ Entry Zone: Watching dips Monday or Tuesday to build a position near the 9 EMA / 20 SMA zone. 2️⃣ If It Gaps Up: I’ll skip swing entries and just day trade the strength — no chasing. 3️⃣ Stop: Below the 20 SMA — tight, logical risk level. Why I Like This Setup: First 20 SMA test after a big run = high probability continuation. Crypto momentum is back — strong sector correlation. Technical structure is perfect: shallow pullback, rising EMAs, and a clear trigger.
NASDAQ:IRENLong
by kunal00
1
Major Breakout Setup Forming on Bitcoin’s 1-Hour Chart👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel. ✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along! 👀 On Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe, we can see that Bitcoin has built a multi-timeframe accumulation zone as the weekend began. It has now successfully broken above the top of this range, but we have a notable resistance area to keep an eye on. The $111,482 price zone is a strong resistance level, and when price reached this zone, it faced heavy rejection and selling pressure. This area could provide the best trigger for a breakout. If Bitcoin manages to break above it, we could see a strong bullish leg and further upside momentum. 🧲 Bitcoin’s trading volume has slightly decreased over the past few days, so we’re waiting for volume expansion during the New York session to see what kind of reaction we get — this will guide our trade setup. Since there’s also a meeting between the U.S. and Chinese presidents tomorrow, we might prepare a speculative position ahead of that event to capture potential volatility and profits. My current bias on Bitcoin remains bullish, as the trend hasn’t broken any significant support levels yet. 💵 Meanwhile, Tether Dominance (USDT.D) has reacted three times to its upper resistance zone on higher timeframes but failed to break above it. This suggests a bullish outlook for the crypto market, as a rejection in Tether Dominance could lead to downside movement there — fueling a strong bullish leg across the market. ✍️ The main long setup will trigger on a break above the $111,482 resistance zone. Confirmation can be taken from RSI oscillator signals and increasing buying volume. We can open this low-risk long position (around 0.5% risk), and if tomorrow’s session brings clear bullish triggers, we can add to the position for larger exposure. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by Satoshimultiframe
BTC/USDT 1H Chart Short-Term📉 Descending Channel (black lines) The price previously moved within a clear descending channel, which was broken upward. A breakout from the channel signals a change in the short-term trend – from supply pressure to an attempted rebound. From a technical perspective, a breakout from a descending channel often leads to an upward correction, the extent of which is at least the midpoint of the previous downward impulse. 🔷 Triangle Formation (blue lines) After breaking out of the channel, the price formed a symmetrical triangle (consolidation) – a sign of market indecision. Triangles of this type are often trend continuation patterns, but in this context – after a breakout from a descending channel – an upward breakout (i.e., a further upward rebound) is more likely. The key resistance level to watch is $111,145 – a breakout with volume confirmation would open the way to $112,320 and then $113,921. 🧭 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $111,145 – local resistance (upper boundary of the consolidation/triangle). $112,320 – another strong resistance level from the previous local high. $113,921 – major medium-term resistance. Support: $110,442 – lower boundary of the triangle (short-term support). $108,793 – support after the recent bounce. $107,285 – next demand level. $104,969 – bulls' defensive boundary in the broader context. 📊 Stoch RSI (bottom of the chart) The Stoch RSI oscillator is currently in a rebound phase from the neutral level (~40–60). If the lines (blue and orange) cross upwards and enter the zone above 80, this could confirm bullish momentum and a breakout from the triangle to the upside. However, a rejection from 60 and a further drop below 20 would signal a false breakout and a possible retest of USD 108,800. 🔎 Scenario Summary ➡️ Upside Scenario (more likely): Breakout from the triangle to the upside (confirmed by a 1-hour candle above USD 111,150). Potential move to USD 112,300 → USD 113,900. Momentum indicators support a rebound if the Stoch RSI maintains its upward trend. ⬇️ Downside scenario (alternative): Unsuccessful breakout and return below $110,400. A correction to $108,800 can then be expected, and if this level is broken, a further decline to $107,300.
by cryptodailyuk
If $GOLD is at its peak, is $BTC next?Gold has been rejected at the 0.618 level of the Fibonacci channel on the 3M chart. The Stoch RSI demonstrates a striking similarity to past cycles: The bullish structure, which continued in the overbought region in October 2010, peaked 273 days later in July 2011. Momentum, which continued in the overbought region again in October 2019, reached its peak 365 days later in October 2020. Today, history paints a similar picture once again. The bullish structure, which began in the overbought region in October 2024, may have reached its peak approximately one year later, in October 2025, just as in previous cycles. Gold appears to be completing its historical rhythm once again. Note: The Bitcoin / Gold pair is developing in the opposite direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EtherNasyonaL
Why is crypto dumping? Bitcoin, Ether, and other cryptocurrencies extended their losses on Monday, even as stocks traded mostly higher. Bitcoin hovers near $106,980, down about 3% in 24 hours, while Ethereum fell roughly 7% to around $3,642. Most major altcoins mirrored the decline (but more pronounced), reflecting a broader pullback in market sentiment. Investors may have turned cautious after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy may have already pushed parts of the economy (particularly housing) into recession.
BLACKBULL:ETHUSD
by BlackBull Markets
SYRUPUSDT – Watching for Pullback OpportunityAfter a strong 24% surge since our last analysis, SYRUP is starting to show signs of a potential retracement. This could be a healthy move, offering a chance to reset before a possible continuation higher on the higher time frames. We’re now closely monitoring the $0.37 support zone, a level that aligns with previous consolidation and demand. If price pulls back and holds this zone, we may see a bullish reversal setup forming—a potential entry point for a spot long trade. Confirmation from candlestick structure or volume would strengthen the case. 📈 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: $0.37 Take Profit Targets: $0.50, $0.60 Stop Loss: $0.30
Long
by Richtv_official
BTCUSDT.P - November 3, 2025BTCUSDT.P is forming a potential lower-high structure within a broader corrective phase, suggesting renewed bearish momentum. The setup plans a sell short limit order at $116,380, targeting a move down toward the profit level at $100,904, with a stop level positioned at $131,811 for risk management. The structure favors a downside continuation as long as price remains below the $116,380 resistance zone. A break above the stop region would invalidate the bearish bias and shift momentum back to buyers. Risk Assessment: Medium risk — while the market structure supports a bearish setup, the wide range and volatility around the $110,000–$120,000 zone introduce potential fluctuations before confirmation.
Short
by miljedtothemoon
03/11/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,415.75 Last weeks low: $106,320.38 Midpoint: $111,368.06 This week will be the third week in a row where ~$116,000 is acting as weekly high and a major resistance level. Last weeks price action was clear, the bulls are incapable of flipping that level and making it new support. As a result the bulls retreated back towards strong support at weekly low ~106,000 completing the SFP. Also this pattern is a mirror image of the previous weekly outlooks price action. No clear trend bias at all here but what is obvious is bull market momentum is dying out. Bitcoin has always been hyper sensitive to liquidity, as always month end window dressing by the banks have a negative effect on liquidity, it usually takes a few days to get over this and resume normal levels again. The Government shutdown in the US does not help this as spending from the Treasury General Account has stopped with approximately $150Bn coming out of the market in October alone as a result. Should Bitcoin push higher it can only do so once Government operations resume IMO. FOMC resulted in a 25bps cut and QT (Quantitative tightening) is ending on 1st December, all bullish signs for the future but currently and for this week I think chop/ gradual drawdown continues. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
Bitcoin Daily Analysis — Why $BTC Might Rebound Soon (Nov 3)A few weeks ago, if you said you wanted to open a short position on Bitcoin, everyone would probably give you a weird look ~_~ . But after President Trump announced the 100% tariff increase, and Bitcoin alone dropped over 15%, opening shorts these days doesn't seem so strange anymore. Buyers were hoping for interest rate cuts, but even after a sharp drop, it looks like buyers still aren't interested in jumping in, and the bearish momentum is gaining strength. Let's start with an overall view from the weekly timeframe. Bitcoin has held its HWC uptrend for about 1,000 days now, and if you look closely, it has never really penetrated its floors, while strongly respecting this curve line—until now, when it seems to be breaking it downward. What does this show us? There's a high probability of a short-term price correction, and if we then break the lower highs and lows, our HWC uptrend would officially change, potentially leading to a drop as low as 45k . But I see the first scenario as more likely: just a daily correction, and then we'll be back in uptrend for the next couple of months, since the interest rate news is still pending, and that's expected to cause another drop. Plus, we haven't had an altseason yet—we've seen Bitcoin's growth, and it seems like it's over (I hope I'm wrong), but altseason hasn't happened, and BTC.D is still in uptrend, sitting above 60%. We're at a very critical point in the market, so pay close attention to these three dominance and index metrics: And finally, pair BTC with the specific altcoin you want to buy. For example, if you're checking Ethereum, you need to look at ETH/BTC too. If it's in uptrend, that's good; if not, be sure there's a better pair where more liquidity is flowing in. This is under the condition that the market has uptrend momentum. In the current conditions, I don't recommend buying altcoins at all. Back to Bitcoin. Today, my short trigger activated after breaking 108,748.95, but I missed it because I was asleep:) We have a lot of liquidity in the 104k to 105k area, so it's best not to miss that. If we miss it, we'll go for the first scenario I mentioned—a correction on the daily timeframe. The next support levels would be 101k, 98k, and 91k. But if we get good support at 105k, personally, I'd look for a long trigger, even with very low risk, and I'd still follow it. Probably, we'll fake out around 105k and then form resistance—definitely open a long after the break. Another possibility is that we fake out this 108,750 support break and head back up, in which case we'd trigger with a break of resistance at 111,480.36 . I suggest you open it too, even with low risk—maybe risk 0.25% of your capital, but it's better to open because Bitcoin's uptrend rallies are usually very aggressive, and they don't give you much room for stop losses, so you get low R/R if you don't join with the first leg. So, it's better to have a position at the start of the uptrend, even with the lowest possible risk. For shorts, there's no new trigger right now—let's wait for the market to give us a better structure. Let's also check BTC.D: it's in uptrend momentum, meaning as Bitcoin drops, liquidity is exiting altcoins, so altcoins are experiencing even bigger drops relative to Bitcoin. If you're looking for short triggers, altcoins are a much better option. For longs, we need to wait and see if, with Bitcoin's rise, BTC.D also rises or not. If yes, open on Bitcoin alone; if not, split your risk between Bitcoin and an altcoin that has an uptrending BTC pair. If you think any part of what I said is unclear, raise it in the comments, and I'll explain. Let's also take a look at Ethereum its situation is similar to Bitcoin, with the difference that since its BTC pair(ETHBTC) is declining, it's dropped more than Bitcoin. It already passed its short trigger, but if you're really keen, if we rest a bit here for New York time, you can open a short with a break of support at 3,685.05 , but with low risk because there's a ton of buy orders below this support, and it's not certain we'll pass it easily. An increase in volume at the break could help keep you safer from fake breaks. For longs, Bitcoin is better right now, but if the second BTC.D scenario happens—Bitcoin rises, BTC.D drops, and ETH/BTC starts printing green candles—you can split your risk between BTC and ETH. It's best to have a BTC position anyway, since it's much safer. And again, I say we're in a crucial geographic spot in the crypto market—stay vigilant and take capital management seriously. I'm sure many got liquidated after Bitcoin's 15% drop and got wiped out of the market because they didn't manage capital and risk. I say this because the day after the drop, I lost 15 followers too :) lol :). Alright, get outta here.
by SkepticLab
BTCUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal at Pullback ResistanceBTC/USD is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 111,22.96, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss is at 113,549.46, whic is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 106,29.13, which is a multi swing low support. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:BTCUSDShort
by Tradu
Bitcoin Trend Analysis Time Frame 4 Hours Hello Traders Update of Bitcoin 4-hour analysis, which I will post below According to the description of the relevant post, in 4 hours the price was able to stabilize below 111,000 and its first pullback reached this level and made a significant profit, and in the second time it is pulling back to the same level of 111,000, and the resistance of 112,000 is also important. I expect the correction to continue to low liquidity areas. Link to previous post:
by kinshinreza
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #207👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! After a short break, let's get back to the daily Bitcoin analysis. The market is still in a very large range box. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Currently, Bitcoin is recovering after the drop to the 106319 level and has moved up to 110803. ✅ Today is Saturday, and as you can see, the market volume has dropped significantly. It seems that the market may range until tomorrow afternoon and won't move much upwards, with the main movement starting next week. ⚡️ The triggers we have for opening positions right now are: For long: 110803 For short: 108844 and 106319 💥 Overall, Bitcoin is in a very large range box between 106319 and 115808, and as long as the price stays between these two levels, I will open my positions with very low risk. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
8
RIOT, nothing changed, Higher...Riot is another low cap volatile asset that keeps people afraid with its wild swings as I am seeing panic in my comments across platforms. Price remains in momentum breaking out of the channel in a wave 3 with a minimum target of the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $91, a 4x from here. Wave 2 completed at triple support- Fibonacci golden pocket, High Volume Node and channel boundary before quickly overcoming the weekly pivot and 200EMA. Breaking out above wave 1 is a show of strength. Price should stall at the High Volume Nodes as supply comes in; $21, $40 and $57 but ultimately they should be overcome. 🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $112 based on Fibonacci extensions 📈 Weekly RSI is oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months as price keeps increasing. 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $9
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Maddox_Metrics
4
MSTR weekly bull divergence on low sentimentSentiment is low, the asset is hated and misunderstood by TradFi and retail. It’s a recipe for a bottom! Price is still in a wave (IV) which are expected to be long and drawn out, driving investors into shallow capitulation through boredom into patient hands. I don’t expect wave (V) to kick in until Bitcoin moves. Wave (V) has an expected target of the R3 daily pivot at $1039 but will overextend if Bitcoin does. Price has fallen out of the lower channel boundary and sitting below the weekly pivot, still above the weekly 200EMA so the outlook is bullish. Wave (4) may complete at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $230. For now I am waiting to see what happens before entering. Good opportunities are setting up. 🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $1000 based on Fibonacci extensions 📈 Weekly RSI has bullish divergence 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $82
NASDAQ:MSTR
by Maddox_Metrics