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BTC – Between Structure and Supply!BTC has been trading inside a clean ascending channel 📈, respecting both support and resistance. After breaking above the $113,000 structure zone, price pushed higher but is now approaching a potential retest area. 🟠 Structure zone ($113K – $114K): Could act as support on a pullback. 🟢 Channel support: Aligns perfectly with structure for confluence. 🔵 Supply zone ($122K – $124K): Next major resistance where sellers may step in. As long as BTC holds above structure, bulls 🐂 remain in control, with the next upside target sitting around the supply zone. Patience ⏳ is key — waiting for a clean retest could set up the next continuation trade. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entry, risk, and management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
6
XRPUSD → Will the rate meeting be a bullish driver for altcoins?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is consolidating above the previously broken boundary of the descending triangle formed within the bullish trend. Important news is ahead—the Fed's meeting on interest rates, which is highly likely to become a bullish driver for the cryptocurrency market. The daily structure of the XRP market looks promising. The price is not updating global lows, is staying within the boundaries of the uptrend, and at the same time is breaking through the resistance of the downward correction, trying to consolidate above the fairly strong support level of 2.9535. But the market is waiting for a driver, namely fundamental background. If this background strengthens after Powell's speech, Bitcoin and altcoins may strengthen, including XRP. However, the fundamental background largely depends on the overall mood of the Fed and its comments. The market has already priced in an interest rate cut, as this is predictable given the economic data. But traders will be watching Powell's tone and how dovish or hawkish his view of the situation is. Support levels: 2.9535, 2.8853 Resistance levels: 3.0577, 3.155, 3.359 Technically, at the moment, I am considering a scenario of a retest of support and the formation of a long squeeze at 2.9535 - 2.8853 against the backdrop of increased news volatility (manipulative nature). However, if this does not happen, the focus will be on 3.0577, and a close above this level could trigger further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
Bitcoin at Critical Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSDT – 3H) is testing the 117.5k – 118k resistance zone, which coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel. So far, this level has acted as a strong rejection zone several times. 🔎 Key Insights: • Structure: Price has formed a rising channel/wedge, often seen as a corrective bearish pattern. • Resistance: 117.5k – 118k (major supply zone + channel top). • Supports: • 114k (short-term channel support) • 107k – 108k (major support zone + channel bottom). 📌 Scenarios: • Bearish (more likely): Rejection from 118k → downside targets at 114k and 107k – 108k. • Bullish (alternative): Break & close above 118k → potential rally toward 122k – 124k. ⚠️ As long as BTC stays below 118k, downside risks remain higher.
Short
by CryptoPilot
Bearish reversal for the Bitcoin?The price is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 116,976.22 1st Support: 113,498.37 1st Resistance: 119,215.75 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by IC Markets
2
BTC 2017 All Over Again? Is It About to Go Parabolic?Forbes just ran with a headline about a Bitcoin “death spiral.” The wording might be sensational, but the risk they are pointing to is real. It is sitting inside Bitcoin treasuries. Companies like MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) and Nakamoto are being packaged as safe institutional gateways to Bitcoin. The truth is, they are not just buying and holding. They are borrowing, issuing debt, and selling shares to continue buying more BTC. That structure works brilliantly when the price is running higher. When BTC pulls back, the debt remains while the value of the collateral falls. If their share prices sink at the same time, they cannot raise fresh equity. That is when forced selling begins, and the pressure feeds on itself. This is where the LUNA comparison fits. LUNA collapsed because the system relied on TWAP buying to keep its peg alive. It needed a constant programmed demand. The second confidence cracked that demand disappeared, the mechanism broke, and the whole structure fell into a reflexive death spiral. Bitcoin treasuries carry a similar fragility. They look strong on the way up because debt and dilution keep the system fed. But if one cracks, others will likely follow, and the forced selling could cascade through the market. It is history repeating in a new form. The Cycle Overlap Now layer in the cycles. December 2024 marked the rollover of the 8-year stress cycle in traditional markets. That signal has already triggered. But treasuries are not following that rhythm. They are moving in line with Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle. Every halving is followed by a strong run, a cycle top, and then a correction. That puts the real pressure point into December 2025. If treasuries hit the wall at the same time Bitcoin’s bull cycle peaks, the overlap could accelerate a blow-off followed by a brutal correction. The 8-Year Stress Cycle (Traditional Markets) 2000 → Dot-com bubble rollover. Fed started cutting rates, but equities crashed hard into 2001–2002. 2008 → Global Financial Crisis. Fed slashed rates aggressively, but markets fell into a full-blown meltdown before recovery. 2009 was the brutal washout before recovery. 2016 → Global growth scare, China devaluation, Fed hiking cycle wobble. Markets pulled back, stress showed, then liquidity stepped in. 2024 → December rollover. The signal of cracks returning: inflation sticky, rate cuts being prepped, credit stress building, and leveraged players under pressure. The pattern - every 8 years, traditional markets hit a rollover point where stress shows up, liquidity shifts, and the system resets. The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle 2013 → Top after 2012 halving, deep correction. 2017 → Top after 2016 halving, brutal correction in 2018. 2021 → Top after 2020 halving, correction in 2022. 2025 → Halving cycle points to a top window in December 2025, with correction risk into 2026. Where Tether Fits Tether (CRYPTOCAP:USDT) is not just minting stablecoins. It has become one of the largest buyers of short-dated US Treasuries on the planet, with more than 120 billion US dollars worth on its books. In calm conditions, that makes sense, they clip yield and backstop redemptions. But if markets crash and liquidity dries up, redemptions spike. To meet them, Tether must raise dollars by selling or repo’ing those T-bills. Normally, that is seamless. In stress, selling can add to liquidity drains at the edges of both the Treasury market and crypto. If redemptions surge at the same time treasuries are being forced to sell BTC, you get a double liquidity squeeze. The Technical Picture Look at the Fibonacci structure on the chart. The key levels line up with what could be a wave 3 of 3 in Elliott Wave terms — the most explosive part of any trend. That explains the sharp upside move this year. It is powerful, but it is also the phase where leverage and euphoria get stretched the furthest. If this lines up with treasuries cracking and Tether redemptions spiking, the volatility on both sides will be extreme. 2016–2017 vs 2024–2025 In 2016, traditional markets were rattled by China’s devaluation, an oil price collapse, and Fed policy missteps. Liquidity reset the system. For Bitcoin, that reset coincided with the halving and set up the most explosive run in its history. By 2017, equities were making new ATHs and Bitcoin went parabolic to nearly $20k before the brutal 2018 correction. Now in 2025 we are seeing the same setup. Stress triggered in December 2024, but liquidity is flowing back. Markets everywhere are hitting new ATHs. Bitcoin has surged and is acting like it is in its 2017 phase right now, the blow-off leg of the 4-year cycle. That puts the risk squarely into December 2025 for a cycle top followed by a correction. The Cycle Top Target I believe the cycle top for Bitcoin will land on or around 22nd December 2025. The Fibonacci levels line up cleanly with this window: Strong resistance at 0.236 and 0.382. Under normal conditions, these zones would cap the move, but if we are truly in a 2017-style run, price can blow straight through them in a parabolic surge before the eventual correction. Fibs left on the chart for reference. Key points BTC treasuries are leveraged and debt-loaded. Many treasuries exist, not just one, so cascades are possible. December 2024 = 8-year rollover in traditional markets. December 2025 = 4-year BTC cycle top window. Tether can flip from stabiliser to amplifier if redemptions rise. Fibonacci shows a potential wave 3 of 3, explosive but unsustainable. 2025 mirrors 2017: markets at ATHs, Bitcoin in parabolic mode. Target: 22nd December 2025 as the likely top. Stop losses and capital protection are critical. It looks like BTC 2017 all over again. The parabolic phase may not be finished yet, but the closer we get to December 2025, the sharper the risk of a brutal correction. This is not Bitcoin dying. This is a test of leverage and liquidity. If treasuries and Tether both get squeezed into the cycle top, the correction could be brutal. But as always, it will clear the field for the next 4-year cycle if you survive the next brutal 2026 BEAR Market. Thanks for Reading, and please let me know your thoughts <3 Lisa
BNC:BLXLong
by LisaNEdwards
22
The 115854.56-119177.56 area is a resistance zone Hello, fellow traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) Looking at the big picture, there are two important areas. These are the 104463.99-18353.0 and 84814.27-93570.28 levels. To continue the stepwise uptrend, an upward breakout of the 116259.91-119177.56 level is necessary. The M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts is passing through the 108353.0-116259.91 level. If support is found in this area, the price is likely to continue attempting to break above the 116259.91-119177.56 level. If the price declines to the 104463.99-18353.0 level and encounters resistance, it is expected to eventually encounter the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is moving between 84814.27 and 93570.28, so it's important to determine whether it can find support within this range. -------------------------------------- Two OBV EMA lines have been added to the OBV indicator in the Low Line ~ High Line channel. OBV EMA 1 can be used as a short-term indicator, EMA 2 as a medium-term indicator, and EMA 3 as a long-term indicator. Disabling EMA 3 reveals that the OBV is currently above both EMA 1 and EMA 2, indicating a transition from EMA 1 to EMA 2. If OBV rises above the High Line and remains above it, the price is likely to continue its upward trend. Currently, the price has been trending upward as the OBV indicator has risen above the High Line, but with the High Line indicator re-emerging, it appears to be declining below the High Line. However, as mentioned earlier, since the OBV indicator is holding above EMA 1 or EMA 2, the key is whether the current support and resistance zones hold support. In other words, the key is whether support can be found and an upward movement can occur around the 115,854.56-116,259.91 range. The 115,854.56 and 116,259.91 points are the HA-High indicator levels on the 1D and 1W charts. Therefore, the current support and resistance zones should be considered resistance zones and a corresponding strategy should be developed. The basic trading strategy is to buy between DOM(-60) and HA-Low and sell between HA-High and DOM(60). However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, it could exhibit a step-like upward trend, while if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, it could exhibit a step-like downward trend. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy. Therefore, those who bought near the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range should consider selling in segments. If you want to make a new purchase, you can do so when the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range shows support. However, this requires a quick and short response, so caution is advised. From a broader perspective, this means buying in a sell zone. - I believe whether the price will rise or fall in the future depends on whether it can break above Zone 1. There's a possibility of a bear market turning around, with a new all-time high (ATH) occurring between the week of November 24th and the week of January 26th, 2026. More details will likely emerge as this month progresses. This month's volatility period will be around September 19th and September 28th. - Thank you for reading. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
2
THE 4-YEAR CYCLE WILL NEVER ENDTHE 4-YEAR CYCLE WILL NEVER END. As I’ve said many times before, I now think this cycle will push into late January / February 2026, similar to 2017. As I’ve written extensively about, the macro setup is nearly identical to 2017. Read that here. The funny thing is, when we do push into early Q1 ‘26, all your favorite “influencers” will proclaim “this time is different”, because most weren’t here during the 2017 cycle or before. There is ZERO EVIDENCE that the 4-year cycle is dead. Since the GFC in 2008, the Fed was redesigned for these boom and bust cycles to counter inflation and unemployment. At this point, unless the US completely dismantles the Fed, the 4-year cycle will live on in perpetuity. We see the effect of this on TradFi as well. See the comparison here. The Fed is set to cut interest rates for the first time in a year at tomorrow’s FOMC. This is a liquidity positive catalyst for markets. The next ISM PMI print on October 1st should be ~50, which will be the start of the business cycle. That would give us ~5 months of a surging business cycle, which will pump risk assets to VALHALLA.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
1
BTCUSD 4H chart short-term1. Trendline breakthrough • In the chart you have a drawn orange relegation line (downward trend). • The current candle struck above this line, which is the first signal of a change of sentiment from short -term inheritance to more bullshit. 2. Horizers of support and resistance • Support: • USD 115,426 • 114,487 USD (below, strong support, where price reactions can be seen) • Resistance: • 116,826 USD (the price came there) • 117,717 USD (next resistance - an important destination point, if the moment is maintained). 3. Volume • The last candles have a growing volume when struck. This is healthy, confirms that breaking from Trendline is not "empty". 4. STOCHASTIC RSI (below) • You can see a dynamic break from the level of sale (<20) in the direction of 60+. • This is a signal of growth, but note: the indicator begins to enter the purchase zone. A correction may appear in the short term. 5. • Long (aggressive): entry around the retestation around 116k as support, target ~ 117.7k, SL below 115.4k. • Short (versus): If the price rejects 116.8-117K and returns below 116k, you can consider Shorta with Target 115.4k → 114.5k.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
BITCOIN 1W Stoch RSI completed a Bullish Cross. Expect new ATH.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just completed a Bullish Cross on its 1W STOCH RSI and that's the first time it does so since April 07 2025. That was as we know, the previous market bottom of the Trade War correction. In fact, every 1W STOCH RSI Bullish Cross has been a buy signal within this Bull Cycle's Channel Up (since November 2022), most of which huge. The April 2025 Bullish Leg rose by +65.92% and that has been the 'weakest' one of this Channel Up. As a result, if we get the bear minimum of +65.92% this time around too, expect a new High around $175000, which should be the Cycle Top and in our opinion the absolute maximum that this Cycle can give. Do you think we will go that high? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
10
BTC Price Action: Bulls vs BearsBitcoin has shown a gradual recovery after a prolonged corrective phase, with market structure leaning toward a constructive buildup. Fundamentally, sentiment is influenced by global macro conditions—investors are watching U.S. monetary policy signals, while stable demand from institutions and long-term holders continues to provide a supportive backdrop. On-chain activity remains steady, with balanced exchange inflows and outflows suggesting no extreme directional pressure in the near term. From a technical perspective, the market has shifted momentum from bearish flows into a developing bullish sequence. The recent break of structure on the 4H timeframe highlights strengthening upside intent, though price is still moving within a broader accumulation phase. Current flows suggest the possibility of a short-term dip for liquidity before continuation to higher levels, aligning with the overall constructive weekly outlook.
Long
by XAU_EMPIRE
ONDOUSD – Waiting for Bullish Re-entry After 13% SurgeONDO recently posted a 13%+ rally, showing strong bullish momentum. However, the price faced resistance and is now pulling back, likely heading toward a key support zone between $0.85 and $0.78. This level has historically acted as a solid base, and we’re watching for signs of a bullish reversal there. 📉 Retracement Expected The current rejection suggests a healthy correction. A controlled move back into the support range could offer a high-probability long setup—if buyers step in and price action confirms. 📈 Trade Setup (Spot Long): • Entry Zone: $0.85 – $0.78 • Targets: 🥇 TP1: $1.13 – $1.32 🥈 TP2: $1.64 – $2.00 • Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.75
Long
by Richtv_official
C98 ANALYSIS🔮#C98 Analysis 💰💰 #C98 is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and if it breakouts with high volume then we can see a bullish momentum in #C98. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and that a bullish movement. 🔖 Current Price: $0.0498 ⏳ Target Price: $0.0634 ⁉️ What to do? - We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #C98. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲 #C98 #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
SUI Trade Setup – Bullish Structure Intact Amid VolatilitySUI continues to hold a bullish market structure despite increased volatility driven by macro headlines. Price action remains above the bull market support band, indicating strength and resilience. A notable confluence zone has formed between $2.40 and $2.80, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. This area is shaping up as a high-probability accumulation zone, especially if a liquidation wick drives price into it. A bounce from this range could initiate the next expansion leg upward. 🔹 Trade Setup • Entry Zone: $2.40 – $2.80 • Take Profit Targets: 🥇 $3.40 – $3.60 🥈 $4.00 – $4.50 • Stop Loss: Daily close below $2.35
Long
by Richtv_official
BITCOIN → Consolidation in anticipation of a bullish driver...BINANCE:BTCUSDT is testing the 117K area as part of an upward movement triggered by the end of the bearish correction. The price is moving into consolidation. Focus on the range boundaries... The market is awaiting the Fed's interest rate meeting. A rate cut could support the growth of the flagship, but before that, the market may form a manipulation in the form of a long squeeze. The market is forming consolidation after breaking the local correction against the backdrop of a global bullish trend. Focus on the boundaries of the range. Technically, I would highlight the support of local consolidation and the previously broken trend boundary as two key details that can be used in further trading: 114600, 113300. Behind this zone lies a pool of liquidity, and before a possible rise, the price may try to absorb it... Technically, we are seeing confirmation of a bullish market structure; all that remains is to wait for the appearance of a bullish driver and the market's readiness for growth. Support levels: 114600, 113300, 110700 Resistance levels: 11700, 117860 A false breakdown of support followed by a close above one of the specified zones could attract buyer interest, which in turn could trigger a price increase within the global bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
Long Term Btc PlanI can see BTC going to take 85k. People think "Below 90k bull run is over" Would cause extreme fear/panic in the markets if broken below 90k. basically reaching 85-86k would be cause just by paper hands at the end being scared out of their positions. Currently Looking for bigger shorts and small longs only. Exception if BTC breaks above 118.5k and shows bullish signals. Will look for reenter spot below 90/100k depends on situation. Want to see Diamond Top playout on 4h, then break above it or reject from 786/886 fibb and enter big short to 105/90s. The Long/Short Positions on chart is worth looking at, I have alerts near all entries/SL/Tp and even S/R. I had a thought that next big crash might be caused by an exchange going tits up at near top, and I have intuition it might be MEXC. NOT YOUR KEYS NOT YOUR ASSETS.
by Achilly
Bullish bounce off key supportThe Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 112,941.31 1st Support: 110,100.67 1st Resistance: 117,319.09 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by IC Markets
1