Has Altcoin rally begun?A long-term support trend-line on Bitcoin dominance has just broken. This suggests BTC dominance may decline , which often shifts liquidity toward Altcoins. If confirmed in weekly time frame, we could see stronger moves across the Altcoin market.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my market view.
Btcd
Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM) Headed Toward MA200 @2277Here we have Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM) but this time through the perpetual futures contract on Binance, weekly timeframe.
The bearish bias is fully confirmed—already a developing phenomena—it has been happening for months.
A little more than two months ago, on the 16-June week, BTCDOM peaked and started dropping. The break of the uptrend was confirmed with four consecutive weeks BTCDOM closing red. The action went below our short-term moving averages and also below a strong Fib. retracement level.
The last two weeks closed red. This is the third week and while it is green, most of the space won has been lost. The current candle is a bearish hammer, a continuation of the previous two and of the broader bearish move.
While BTCDOM was rising for years volume was dropping for years. This volume divergence supports the structure breakdown we are seeing now. The next support is found around MA200, black line on the chart. This indicator has a reading of 2277. MA200 falls between 0.618 and 0.786 Fib retracement.
As Bitcoin Dominance moves down (BTCDOM), Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the altcoins (TOTAL) grow.
Namaste.
Bullish Now, Bitcoin & The Altcoins · 2025 Bull Market ContinuesThe altcoins market cannot be bearish at the same time that Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is bearish. When Bitcoin Dominance is bearish the altcoins market is bullish. When the altcoins market is bullish Bitcoin is already growing or set to grow.
Here we have the daily chart for Bitcoin Dominance. Here we have a full break of support. The bearish bias only continues to strengthen and is supported by really high volume. As Bitcoin Dominance moves lower, the altcoins move higher.
You can see a huge rounded top pattern as well as a very strong decline started late June. Notice that the strongest decline before this June was November 2024. November 2024 was when the entire altcoins market produced a strong advance. This was the first signal and also the bottom for many altcoins (ALTS vs BTC pairs). Things are changing.
The dynamics we are about to experience between Bitcoin and the altcoins market is something not seen ever before. The market evolved for years, is evolving and continues to evolve and this evolution will be reflected in market price action and the charts. The charts will be different and how the altcoins behave in relation to Bitcoin and each other. The market will continue to become harder to read, predict and understand. It is just natural. We human becomes more mentally complex as we become older, it is the same system.
A bearish bias on this index confirms the continuation of the bullish wave for the altcoins. This is all you need to know. You need to know that Bitcoin and the altcoins market will continue to grow. Not months into the future, not years into the future, short-term. We are going up now.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Altseason Trigger? BTC.D Test Crucial SupportOver the past two weeks, Bitcoin dominance has lost its upward trendline and is starting to turn bearish. However, for this scenario to play out, the support box highlighted in the chart (drawn using ichimoku) must first be broken.
Breaking this level = the start of Altseason
there are three possible scenarios:
1. A direct breakdown.
2. A pullback followed by a breakdown.
3. Sideway movement within the current range.
We should hope that the third scenario does not occur.
this analysis reflects a personal opinion and is not buy or sell signal.
$BTC.D On the Cusp Of Breaking Down - What to WatchNothing too exciting to write home about for the Weekly Closes today, but ₿itcoin Dominance shows continued signs of breaking down, now closing the past 2 weeks below the 50WMA.
If we get one more decisive Weekly close beneath it, I’d feel very comfortable calling Alt Season.
BTC.D is also on the verge of breaking below the 8-year trendline, as well as the 0.236 Fib which would add confluence.
Breaking below 57% should seal the deal.
This will be a big week to watch.
Bitcoin Dominance Below 60% & Below SupportBTCD just lost the 0.236 Fib. retracement support, the next level to be tested immediately is 55.64 followed by 52.44 followed by 49.23. All these are high probability targets.
The week closes today and is red. The chart drawings, patterns and signals are bearish; bearish confirmed, pointing lower and support additional bearish action. Everything points down for this index and the volume is just too strong. The downtrend is on.
The drop is about to intensify next week. Last week was the continuation and this week the confirmation. Now we will experience the meat of the current move. This is when bearish momentum intensifies.
Thinking of the inverse relation between Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the altcoins, this means that the 2025 bull market is about to speed up. We are about to see a massive influx of capital into the market and a large amount of bullish momentum.
Remember, Bitcoin will also grow.
Bitcoin and the altcoins market is going up.
Ethereum will continue growing.
Be prepared, no more red.
(As Bitcoin Dominance goes down, Crypto goes up.)
Namaste.
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.)
I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made)
BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation".
Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are):
- A monthly bearish engulfing candle
- A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market
- Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too
However, there are strong counterarguments.
The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise.
Update on the above chart:
The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario.
Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs.
Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least.
ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS?
You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal.
Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
Bitcoin Dominance · Bitcoin Hits $1,000,000, ETH $200K Bitcoin Dominance is displaying the lowest reading in 8 months, since January 2025.
Bitcoin Dominance is in the worst condition possible in 4 full years. The Bitcoin Dominance Index chart predicts a major bullish cycle across Crypto; Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
This week we have a bearish continuation on BTC.D, which also works as bearish confirmation which reinforces the bearish continuation. The altcoins are already going up, it has been happening for months.
The market has been rising for months; Bitcoin has been rising for years but this isn't all. Seeing BTC.D here we know the bigger portion of the current trend is still to unravel.
The rounded top, a bearish reversal signal, is complete and the neckline, the main pattern support, has been broken. Trading volume continues to be high and the bearish bias strong.
There is more. It is the first time Bitcoin Dominance breaks below EMA55 weekly since June 2022. Coming from a high point, this event happened January 2021, the start of the previous bull market. The same signal again now means the start of the current bull market.
It is already happening, it is already confirmed.
It was the same back in 2021. In January/February 2021 it was already happening and it was already confirmed that Crypto was having a major bull market. Bitcoin was already trading near its previous all-time high. Market conditions are the same. Bitcoin is about to grow 20%. While Bitcoin grows this much, the altcoins will grow between 300 and 600%. Then Bitcoin will take a pause and the altcoins will continue to grow. Ether is likely to go beyond 10K.
Crypto is going up. This is the best possible ever. Your life can forever change.
Take a minute to think.
Stop for a moment. Engage your mind and visualize... What type of results can you produce?
What would you do if you knew with a high level of certainty that Crypto is going up? How would you take advantage of this information? What type of actions are you taking now to maximize profits in this bullish wave?
It is not about being bearish or bullish, it is about adapting to what is happening. Crypto is going up; Are you in or are you out?
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance · Downtrend Continues (Bullish Bitcoin)The uptrend ended 27-July 2025 with the highest reading on BTC.D since January 2021. Back in January 2021 BTC.D was also bearish, dropping, and this bearish period in this index matched the strongest bullish action ever, the 2021 bull market.
Now, the bearish phase on BTC.D is intensifying. I am bullish on Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
Bitcoin Dominance being bearish does not mean Bitcoin is bearish, it means the altcoins are rising. When the altcoins are rising, Bitcoin is already high and will continue rising.
Two days closed green on BTC.D and today back red. A few days green, many days red. A new low each time, lower low. A lower high shows up each time... This is only the start.
A reading of 60% is nothing to be proud of if you are a bear. The truth is that Bitcoin Dominance being at 60% simply means that the altcoins market has still plenty of room for growth. For example, Ethereum can hit $11,111 and Bitcoin $200,000+. Targets need to be updated because we will have an extraordinary bull market.
» Many pairs have been growing for months, since April.
» Other pairs have been sideways for months, since April.
» While still others continued lower.
Soon, the entire market will move in one rhythm, one flow. And this flow is an up-wave. Rising prices for the long haul. The best scenario possible if you love Crypto. The strongest bullish cycle since 2021. Possibly the strongest ever.
Prepare for higher prices.
» Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is going down.
» Bitcoin and the altcoins are going up.
Namaste.
BTCD Bear Market Confirmed · Altcoins Bull Market ConfirmedThis is a rising wedge pattern and it broke for the first time after 792 days. We are looking at Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) on the monthly timeframe, super long-term.
A classic long-term double-bottom in 2022 launched a massive uptrend. This uptrend developed within a perfect rising wedge. Last month BTC.D broke this pattern with a full red candle and the highest volume since November 2024.
To add some perspective, the highest volume months were last month (red) and November 2024 (red). The highest volume before these two only happened during the climax of the 2021 bull market, so you can have an idea how strong the volume is this time around.
Since Bitcoin Dominance has an inverse relation with the growth in prices of the Cryptocurrency an Altcoins market, when Bitcoin Dominance was ultra bearish and crashing down, 2021, the Cryptocurrency market was ultra bullish and moving up. Seeing this major long-term signal, the highest bearish volume month to break a 792 days long uptrend, reveals the start of another major crash on this index. The major crash on this index is the confirmation of the late 2025 altcoins bull market.
Bitcoin and the altcoins market will continue growing on all terms.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
If you agree, leave a comment.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance Update · Daily TimeframeThe rejection is happening right at "strong resistance." Notice that this is the same drawing from my previous update so it was drawn before the fact. Since resistance has been confirmed and the action is happening just as we expected, we can continue to follow our map as it is working.
The next logical move is a drop on Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D), which translates into the resumption of the bullish wave for the altcoins, specially Ethereum and the big projects. It can also signal that Bitcoin will stop dropping and will either consolidate or move higher. This index reveals more than anything else the expected directions of the altcoins.
The retrace is over
The altcoins produced a retrace mainly between 21-July and the 2nd of August. In this period we saw many of the altcoins we are buying and holding move lower but only to produce a strong higher low. This higher low now will resolve into a very strong bullish wave, a bullish resumption.
Moving averages
Here MA200 daily has also been confirmed as resistance and trading below this indicator with a bearish bias, coming from a high point, gives out a very strong bearish signal. It means that long-term bearish action is now in place, the direction/trend. If the action was happening below MA200 but coming from a low point, this signal can have bullish connotations, right now it is bearish.
Bearish Bitcoin Dominance = Bullish Altcoins
The altcoins market will continue to grow, this is only the start. We are set to see growth long-term including now, next week, next month and until late 2025; maybe even for some portion of 2026, maybe even beyond.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Smart Money Watching BTC Dominance – Rotation to Alts IncomingAfter a deep correction, BTC Dominance has entered a corrective upward phase inside an ascending channel.
Wave A rallied from 60.5% to 62.3%, followed by Wave B retracing to 60.74%.
Currently, Wave C is developing and has reached around 62.2%.
The key resistance sits near 62.7%, exactly at the upper trendline of the channel. This could act as a reversal point, potentially ending Wave C and triggering a bearish move.
💡 Implication:
If dominance drops from this zone, we could see capital rotation into altcoins, supporting a bounce across the broader altcoin market.
Is Alt Season Underway?CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D | 6h
We're approaching the monthly close, and many are eyeing a potential breakdown in Bitcoin dominance — a key trigger for altcoin season.
On the mid-term chart, BTC dominance held support at 60.43% and recently retested the 60.65% base.
A sustained drop below 61.20% would favor altcoins. But if dominance accepts above 62%, it opens the door to a move toward 63.3%–63.8% level, likely putting pressure on alts.
Bitcoin Dominance Still Bearish · Bullish Altcoins ContinuesThe Bitcoin Dominance Index will continue bearish as long as the action happens below resistance as shown on the chart.
An uptrend has been broken with the highest volume in a single session since February 2021. When this same signaled showed up back in Feb. 2021, what follows was a major drop (a marketwide bull-run.).
Seeing Bitcoin Dominance in the same situation as in early 2021 predicts the start of the 2025 bull market phase. This is all to say that the Altcoins market will continue to grow; Bitcoin will continue to consolidate to end up moving higher; the altcoins will resume growing within days.
The chart supports only little time for a break before the next bearish continuation, it should happen within days. At this point, the altcoins will rally up. We are very close and indeed we are already in-the-action. These short retraces should be used as opportunity to rebuy and reload.
Namaste.
The End of the Altcoins Bull Market? BTC.D Turns Bullish?Bitcoin Dominance produced a bullish trend that was more than 1,000 days long. While this was a major development, the action never happened just straight up. There were always fluctuations.
Bitcoin Dominance broke out of a major rising wedge pattern. A pattern that lasted years in the making.
Recently, Bitcoin Dominance produced the highest bearish volume since 2021. A strong chart signal.
The major breakdown following the multiple years long uptrend signals the start of a change of trend. A downtrend. This downtrend is extremely bullish for the altcoins market because BTC.D only goes down when the altcoins are going up and doing so faster than Bitcoin.
What we are seeing now is an inverted correction, a pullback. Simply put, BTC.D already made a strong drop and it needs some relief. This relief is not the end. Bitcoin Dominance can move just a little higher to later resume its newly developing downtrend. Which means that the altcoins market bull market has not reached its end, it is only getting started.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC.D drop plan 2025 Q4 - 2026 Q1After the liquidity was removed at 61.87%, I’d like to see a sweep at 73.53%, followed by a sharp drop down into the 55–50% zone.
The blue bars represent a fractal pattern from the previous cycle when the altseason began in 2021–2022.
The white trajectory is one of the possible scenarios. In this case, the altseason would be postponed to Q1 of 2026.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Altcoin Season Has Started. And A Quick Look At The Stock MarketHey Traders,
Time for me to catch you up on the latest price action in both the stock market and crypto as well as touch upon a few changes on my platform and subscription services and what I plan for the future.
Timestamps:
00:00 | Housekeeping - site changes, etc
04:35 | BTC Dominance
06:45 | DXY Dollar Chart
10:00 | SPY
14:25 | BTC Bitcoin Chart
15:45 | Bitcoin Liquidity Heatmap
17:30 | Solana
19:05 | Ethereum
20:20 | Crypto & Stock Trackers
24:25 | My Indicator
26:10 | Where I Went Wrong & How I Plan To Course Correct
✌️ Stew
Bitcoin Dominance Weekly · Highest Bearish Volume in YearsThis week Bitcoin Dominance Index is producing the highest bearish volume session since February 2021. More than 4.5 years.
This week we have the strongest bearish action since June 2022. We can say that the altcoins market bull market is not only fully confirmed but already underway. We are already experiencing the best altcoin season since 2021 but it is still early, this is only the start.
Bitcoin Dominance is set to produce the strongest drop in many years and this only happens when the altcoins go ultra-bullish.
Bitcoin is moving sideways right now near resistance. As Bitcoin does this, the altcoins continue to move forward. This is classic bull market dynamics. When Bitcoin consolidates at a high price, the altcoins tend to explode. You can expect this pattern to continue to repeat for months to come. There is more good news though.
The fact that the altcoins are growing, perfect examples right now are Ethereum and Litecoin, is a bullish signal for Bitcoin.
It is not like the altcoins will grow and then Bitcoin will drop, no. Bitcoin consolidates and the altcoins grow, when Bitcoin stops consolidating it will move forward and hit a new major high, that is a price just around $134,000 and $136,000. When Bitcoin hits this price the altcoins continue to grow, back and forth. This is the most bullish the market has been since 2021. We will have to wait and see where this will all lead but new all-time highs are expected across all major projects and then some. Bitcoin is already in new all-time high territory but we need a new all-time high on Solana, Litecoin, Ethereum, Cardano, and so on. XRP is already at a new all-time high but it has much more to give.
If you visit @MasterAnanda, you will find up-to-date analyses for all these altcoins with new updated not conservative but realistic and good optimistic targets.
I will continue to share updates throughout the entire bull market. This is only the start. Get ready because the best is yet to come.
Namaste.
$BTC Will Go Up Alongside Alt SeasonSomeone posted on one of my tweets the following:
" Jonnie my bro, the only problem for me right now is that btc didnt top yet. You also talked how btc shoud top around 200k range. Alt season can only come when btc reach top"
MYTH DEBUNKED ✅
CRYPTOCAP:BTC does NOT need to top in order for Alt Season to commence.
Both can and will occur in tandem 🤝
When This Support Breaks, Altcoin Season Becomes Official!Trading Fam,
We have many signs that altcoin season is almost upon us. Solana is breaking important resistance. Eth is nearing its target (both of these posts can be found below). But the most important indicator imo can be found on our BTC.D chart. Dominance has now reached an important support. I was kind of expecting a bounce here. And it still could bounce. But if it doesn't, then I feel like I can officially state that we will be in altcoin season for the rest of the year. Here's what you should be watching. If the body of that daily candle closes below our support today and then a new one opens and also closes below the support, its a wrap.
Let's go!
✌️Stew
#BTC.D Just Hit the DAILY SUPPORT, WILL THERE BE A PULLBACK?CRYPTOCAP:USDT is breaking out on LTF while BTC.D just hit support that looks ready to break down.
Not a short call, but if you've been trading well, this is when you reduce margin and cut leverage.
Although I could be wrong about USDT here but profit-taking matters.
We will probably get a pullback this week to enter again.
It's better to watch coins rise a few more waves without you than to give it all back in a few reckless trades.
Spot bags? HODL and DCA.
Futures? Trade cautiously.
DYOR. NFA.
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Thank You
#PEACE