Technical analysis update: Bitcoin (11th January 2022)Bitcoin fell below 40 000 USD and reached our latest short-term price target. Additionally, it reached an oversold condition which made us reassess our views. We think a price bounce from its current level towards 46 000 USD is very likely. However, we are very cautious and expect the downtrend to resume after retracement is completed. Though, we are open to change our view as time goes forward. Our medium-term price target of 37 500 USD remains unchanged.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI reversed after reaching oversold condition; indeed, it performed a bullish crossover above 30 points. MACD started to flatten. However, it remains in the bearish area. Stochastic oscillates in the bearish zone too but it managed to reverse to the upside which is bullish. DM+ and DM- continue to show bearish conditions with ADX peaking. Overall, the daily time frame is less bearish than in the time of our last update on BTCUSD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also shows 20-day Simple Moving Average (blue line). We expect price to retrace towards its 20-day SMA (as it is natural for price to retrace towards its moving average after it deviated too far from it) which coincides with price level near 46 000 USD.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bearish. MACD is bearish too and we will observe it in the following weeks. We will watch whether it manages to break below 0 points into the bearish area. We expect such a phenomenon to be accompanied by resumption of the downtrend. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions while ADX continues to flatten. This suggests that price might end up trading within a certain range before a new trend commences (or prior bearish trend resumes). Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Support and resistance
Immediate support/resistance can be found at 41 967 USD. Support 1 sits at 39 573 USD and Support 2 lies at 37 300 USD. Major support level sits at 28 600 USD. Short-term resistance lies at 45 478 USD. Resistance 1 lies at 48 834 USD and Resistance 2 sits at 52 956 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
BTCEUR
Possible bounce coming for BTCI drew overlapping fib speed fans from low to high and another from high to low. It showed BTC following the channels up and down fairly accuratley. We seem to be at a precipus now where it has a chance to bump up in the short term. It could continue downward also. I believe we are on the fifth wave down as well. Which also bodes well for a possible reversal upwards. Onward and upward stay positive. Hit like and share your ideas. I love to hear what others are thinking about BTC future movement!
BTC COULD HIT 10500$ (HEAD & SHOULDER IN FORMATION)
Bitcoin looks it could build an Head and Shoulder Patter which could bring the price hit 10.500$... Exactly where Volumes are the most (see in the chart the red line which is the point of control). Obviously it must first break the neckline.
If the price doesn't build the second shoulder and break directly the neckline, the target would be no more 10.500$ but 20.000$.
Let me know if you agree with a like or let me know your thoughts in the comments.
I wish you the bests trades. BYE BYE ☺️
Turnaround Coming Soon or 39k Rebound?Do you think its about to rebound soon? Or do you think it will make it all the way back down to 39k, before turning around? Check out my last idea where the bottom gann fan line is. We are about to touch the bottom gann fan line. Hence a high probability for turnaround. Please hit like and comment on what you think. I would love to hear any thoughts or ideas. Thanks!!
BTC possible Turnaround PointsI'm expecting a turnaround at about 41,700-41,300. Where the purple lines indicate either a double bottom or inverse head and shoulders. Along with the final bottom Gann fan line. I believe if it does not turn around and the final bottom Gann fan line it will continue on downwards. Towards 39k for a possible double bottom down there. I have hope BTC will have some sort of positive news or a catalyst of some sort in this next week. We're definitely due for another parabolic advance. The problem is it seems to most often happen as we're least expecting it. While just about everyone is looking down. Trade safe, stay positive! Like and comment please. I'd love to hear any ideas on which way things might go! Thanks🙏
My Last & Final Chart TVIt has become apparent this site lurks a new type of parasite
which leeches on the tools of character assassination
and for this reason I will no longer publicly disclose anything.
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Technical analysis update: BTCUSD (6th January 2022)Bitcoin reached our short-term price target of 42 500 USD yesterday. We continue to maintain a bearish stance on Bitcoin and we expect selling pressure to be persistent. Our view is supported by bearish technical and fundamental factors. We view hawkish minutes by the FED as very bearish for the whole cryptocurrency market. Faster pace of tightening and increase in interest rates in the U.S. poses substantial threat for further rise in price of cryptocurrencies. This combined with bearish indicators on daily, weekly and monthly time frames suggest that trend remains to the downside and because of that we would like to set a new short-term price target for BTCUSD to 40 000 USD. Additionally, we would like to set a medium-term price target for BTCUSD to 37 500 USD.
(If you want to understand how we got to this conclusion, read attached articles from 16th November 2021, 13th December 2021 and 5th January 2022)
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also shows a head and shoulders pattern which got confirmed as the price dropped to 42 413 USD. This is extremely bearish and we will observe price action very closely in the following days. We will watch whether BTCUSD manages to stay below the neckline or whether it retraces back above it. If Bitcoin manages to retrace back above the neckline, then we expect price to bounce towards 46 000 USD price tag before dropping lower.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic are all bearish. DM + and DM- show bearish conditions. ADX continues to increase which suggests that the bearish trend is regaining strength. We will watch out for RSI crossover below 30 points which we expect to be accompanied by further selling pressure that will ultimately drag BTCUSD below 40 000 USD.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of RSI (of BTCUSD) that is due to perform a crossover below 30 points. Such an occurrence would be very bearish for BTCUSD.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bearish. MACD and Stochastic are also bearish. DM+ and DM- exhibit bearish conditions. ADX is relatively low which coincides with BTCUSD trading sideways prior to bearish breakout from the neutral zone.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also shows particular support and resistance levels.
Support and resistance
Short-term support can be found at 41 967 USD. Support 1 sits at 39 573 USD and major support level sits at 28 600 USD. Short-term resistance lies at 45 478 USD. Resistance 1 lies at 48 834 USD and Resistance 2 sits at 52 956 USD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: Bitcoin (7th January 2022)Bitcoin's recent drop to 40 938 USD indicates continuation of the bearish trend. This view is also supported by a bearish combination of fundamental and technical factors. During its recent drop BTCUSD broke below the key technical support at 41 967 USD; and, at the same time, it broke below the neckline of head and shoulders pattern. These two instances are very bearish for Bitcoin. We continue to maintain a bearish stance on the overall cryptocurrency market. Indeed, we expect selling pressure to be persistent which will result in Bitcoin moving lower from its current level. Our short-term price target for BTCUSD remains at 40 000 USD; and our medium-term price target is at 37 500 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the hourly chart of BTCUSD. It also shows a bearish breakout below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. We previously noted that this occurrence would be followed by heavy selling pressure.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is very bearish; and we continue to await its crossover below the 30 points. Additionally, we expect this phenomenon to be accompanied by heavy selling pressure that will drag Bitcoin below the 40 000 USD price tag. MACD is also bearish. Stochastic reversed to the upside, however, it continues to oscillate in the bearish area. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market; and ADX strives to make another peak in tandem with our expectations. This indicates that the bearish trend is regaining strength. Overall, technical analysis on a daily time frame is very bearish and signals lower prices for Bitcoin.
Illustration 1.02
Picture above shows the daily RSI of BTCUSD. We expect crossover below the 30 points as indicated by the yellow arrow.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic all remain bearish. DM+ and DM- show that same condition. ADX started to flatten from its previous decline.
Support and resistance
Short-term support can be found at 41 967 USD. Support 1 sits at 39 573 USD and Support 2 lies at 37 300 USD. Major support level sits at 28 600 USD. Short-term resistance lies at 45 478 USD. Resistance 1 lies at 48 834 USD and Resistance 2 sits at 52 956 USD.
(If you want to understand how we got to this conclusion, please read attached articles from 16th November 2021, 13th December 2021 and 5th January 2022)
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
btcusd bitcoin short or long bear market, that is the questionEvery time the moving average 50 (yellow) and 100 (blue) on weekly fallen, bitcoin went into bear market touching MA 200 (red).
Let's hope it is 2-3 short bear market otherwise it go delay up to one year before the recovery.
I think we will have #omicron #covid pandemic dip next two weeks to 24 000 with a short recovery like in 2020 March.
BTC- Could not be much clearer to me - just need volume now!Hi folks!
So, I was right about my last post (see linked), so let us see if the buy signal is real!
Just posting what I see as a very clear technical buy signal if you consider BTCUSD in isolation of the general market:
- Testing massive trendline since last year.
- Retesting broken bearish trendline.
- Massive bullish div on the 1D
- Money Flow index will post buy signal any moment.
I believe the 41k-40k is worth a punt (given that the stock market doesn´t collapse today though), and it seems we will get a test of the 40k level (exactly in the cross) very shortly.
DYOR.
NFA.
I wish you all well! :)
BTC/EUR fiber retraction by 0.5if and when the BTC goes to 0.5 (28896 EUR) of retraction in fibo
it will be the beginning of a new cycle of crypto bull markets
and out of curiosity it is in the middle of two supports
34k/24K(EUR)
Pitchfork + Fibo Retraction + Supports
today these are the values but the story changes as new candles form
BTCUSD - Current Trends and Chart Patterns Hello,
We're still on the yellow trend for already 8 months, if we stay above then the chances for us to hit 85000 USD - 110 000 USD are very high.
Please take care because bitcoin can reach even 26 000 in a correct movement if breaks below the yellow/blue support line.
Note that some altcoins are still underwater.
Take care of your investments,
This is not a trading advice,
St.Gex
Technical analysis update: BTCUSD (18th December 2021)We continue to maintain a bearish view on Bitcoin as it continues to trade below the neutral zone. Since Bitcoin's rebound from its recent low at 41 967.50 USD on 4th December 2021 Bitcoin continues to make lower troughs and lower peaks which is indicative of the bearish trend. We expect an eventual retest of 41 967.50 USD price level and possible continuation of the bearish trend. We think that higher interest rates in the U.S. combined with constriction of money supply present a substantial threat to further rise of BTCUSD in the short-term and medium-term. Because of that we would like to set a short-term price target for BTCUSD to 42 500 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the hourly chart of BTCUSD. It also shows particular troughs and peaks.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
So far RSI failed to cross below 30 points; however, its structure remains bearish. Stochastic is also bearish. MACD is bearish too; DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions. ADX contains high value; and it continues to grow which suggests that the prevailing trend is either getting very strong or it nears its peak. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, Stochastic and MACD continue to develop bearish structures. DM+ and DM- are also bearish. ADX contains relatively low value which suggests that trend of higher degree is weak. In general, the weekly time frame is bearish which coincides with bearish daily time frame.
Illustration 1.02
We think that drop in price below recent low would result in extremely bearish conditions for BTCUSD.
Support and resistance
Major support level is at 28 600 USD while major resistance level is at 69 000 USD. Short-term resistance is at 48 834 USD while medium-term resistance lies at 52 956 USD. Between these two price levels lies the neutral zone. Other resistance levels appear at 59 564 USD and then at 64 895 USD. Other support levels can be found at 42 900 USD and at 37 573 USD. Additionally, support level can be also found at recent low of 41 967 USD.
Our bold predictions from the past:
16th November 2021
Here we predicted double top formation and subsequent meltdown in price.
26th November 2021
Here we layed out case for even more bearish scenario for BTCUSD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: Bitcoin (30th December 2021)Recently a bullish breakout from the pattern resembling falling wedge occurred. However, price halted its rise at 52 098 USD; then price retracted back below the lower bound of the neutral zone. This lower bound continues to gain importance as bearish breakouts and retracements continue to occur along it. We will observe price action near this price level and we will watch out whether price manages to rise back above it or continue its decline. At the moment, we continue to maintain a bearish notion on BTCUSD. We still expect an eventual retest of 41 967 USD price level. Our short-term price target of 42 500 USD for BTCUSD remains in place.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the hourly chart of BTCUSD. It also shows a pattern resembling a falling wedge. Additionally, this chart exhibits bullish breakout followed by exhaustion and bearish retracement in price.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI halted its rise slightly above 50 points. After that it reversed its direction to the downside which is bearish. Stochastic also reversed back to the downside and turned bearish. MACD started to flatten and its histogram started to decline. ADX still contains relatively high value but it continues to gradually decline. However, it is possible that ADX may go for a second lower peak (lower than one which was reached on 20th December 2021), especially if selling pressure returns. DM+ and DM- continue to show bearish conditions. Overall, the daily time frame exhibits bearish conditions for BTCUSD.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.03 shows the hourly chart of BTCUSD. It also indicates a series of bearish breakouts below the neutral zone.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic continue to develop bearish medium-term structures. Additionally, DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. However, ADX contains a relatively low value which suggests that the prevailing trend remains neutral. Because of that BTCUSD allows for two possible trade setups with long position being taken above the Resistance 2 (with stop-loss below it) and short position being taken below the Resistance 1 (with stop-loss above it).
Illustration 1.03
Illustration 1.03 shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. It also indicates values at some of the recent peaks in BTCUSD.
Support and resistance
Major support level is at 28 600 USD; major resistance level is at 69 000 USD. Short-term resistance (Resistance 1) is at 48 834 USD, while medium-term resistance (Resistance 2) lies at 52 956 USD. Between these two price levels lies the neutral zone. BTCUSD enters bearish conditions below it and bullish conditions above it. Other resistance levels appear at 59 564 USD and at 64 895 USD. Other support levels can be found at 42 900 USD and at 37 573 USD. Additionally, support level can be also found at recent low of 41 967 USD.
Illustration 1.04
In our opinion if BTCUSD breaks below the recent low at 41 967 USD then conditions will dramatically worsen for Bitcoin. However, we are open to reasses our bearish view if price manages to hold within the neutral zone and then break out above it.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
BTCUSD (Long)BTC Is currently bouncing from the macro trendline and a long position will be a good entry from here. a stop loss just below the trendline will be fine. This is possibly a good R:R Zone. The stock markets reclaimed ATHs and i expect BTC To at least have a good relief pump. Trade safe and Happy trading.
BTCEUR bullish divergenceDear Friends, on 15-min chart we can see bullish divergence both on RSI and MACD. Therefore the market is telling us the price is more likely to bounce higher temporarily than it is to go further down. Therefore with 2:1 risk & reward ratio we can make a profitable trade.
buy at 42200€
stop at 41400€
profit target at 44000€
r & r 2:1
I AM STILL BULLISH !, CHECK MY OLD ANALYSISi am still bullish, check my old analysis if you like dear
if BTC goes below these lines, then the bear market will eventually start
but i don't see the end of bull market
my prediction for bitcoin before %100 were accurate
you have to know there is no gurantee in market
so please take care and be safe
Wyckoff accumulationPattern Wyckoff acumulation
PS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes, as heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
"…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it."
(The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)